Deleted tweets by Ryan Maue, Trump's new NOAA chief scientist

maue-deleted-tweets.md

Deleted tweets for RyanMaue

The list below includes 5338 deleted tweets by RyanMaue. There are also 42 tweets that are indicated as not currently deleted by the Twitter API that have been scraped from pages of deleted tweets (as replies, etc.). These possibly undeleted tweets are included for context and are indicated by a (live) link.

Note: GitHub's rendered view of the Gist truncates the list. You can see the full content here, or by cloning the Gist locally.

This report was generated by ✨cancel-culture✨, an open source project by Travis Brown. You can create your own updated version of this document by checking out and configuring the repository and then running the following commands:

$ cargo build --release
$ target/release/twcc deleted-tweets --report RyanMaue

Please note that all tweets quoted here are sourced from the Wayback Machine and were not directly accessed through the Twitter API or any Twitter client.

• 2 November 2020: That's not exactly what the chart shows. If you want to look at the ratio of major hurricanes out of all hurricanes, then you'd show that data not "fixes" Also, I'm not sure "global hurricanes" is a meaningful metric, but that's a different rabbit hole.
• 1 November 2020: Who makes political appointments? The White House. I've been asked to serve in various jobs in the administration since late 2016 -- including my current role -- and declined to remain in private sector & away from D.C. For me, COVID changed that.
• 1 November 2020: Yes, I've been reading a lot of news stories lately about my role at NOAA, and naturally, basic facts haven't been reported properly -- not even close. This has led to harassment and threats that need to stop.
• 22 October 2020: Denver really in for a roller coaster 🎢over the next 5-10 days. Looking at ECMWF 12z meteogram -- I see the following: 2-days in the 70s. 🤗 High of 12°F Monday 🌡️ 0°F for a low Tuesday 🌡️ 20-inches of snowfall ❄️ Actual conditions observed will be different but yikes!
• 22 October 2020: Denver really in for a roller coaster🎢over the next 5-10 days. Looking at ECMWF 12z meteogram -- I see the following: 2-days in the 70s. 🤗 High of 12°F Monday 🌡️ 0°F for a low Tuesday 🌡️ 20-inches of snowfall ❄️ Actual conditions observed will be different but yikes.
• 21 October 2020: Major hurricane Epsilon reminds me of Florence which intensified over marginal ocean temperatures of 27°F at 30°N latitude. The upper-atmosphere (tropopause) temperatures & favorable outflow likely contributes to Epsilon's major status -- overachiever.
• 13 September 2020: Let's do a thought experiment: Randomly sample the climate of California from past 30-years and use that as a prediction for next 30 years. Is Cali prepared to handle the current & recent past climate in the near future? Power grid, forests & water w/growing population?
• 13 September 2020: Here's the rubric: 🌡️ Climate warming. 📅 Scientists warned for years --> decades. 😬 Current extreme weather event harbinger of what's to come. 🪦 We're doomed! 🔥 California is a one-party state & has most aggressive climate change policy for many years. Solution TODAY?
• 13 September 2020: Do we really need another iteration of this type of article from the L.A. Times? California's climate is unpredictable & varies / swings from year-to-year. Droughts to deluges exacerbated by decadal climate warming. Everyone already knows this.
• 12 September 2020: Biden hits Trump on climate: Western fires foreshadow 'unending barrage of tragedies' Shameless but it's their political strategy to blame Trump for all natural disasters past, present, and future.
• 12 September 2020: Jerry Brown & Gavin Newsom have deflected any blame for California's problems on themselves by immediately saying "climate change" and resolving to work harder on decarbonizing the state's economy. This political strategy works well and is smart b/c there's no accountability.
• 12 September 2020: It seems everyone understands that California must dramatically change how it manages its forests. Droughts, dry winters and hot summers (+climate change) will repeat this fire cycle every year. Maybe the next Governor will take it seriously.
• 11 September 2020: Now into the third day: cascading failures at NOAA & National Weather Service with down computer data servers, broken products, missing radar imagery & who knows what else.
• 10 September 2020: I always thought the broken jet stream argument was B.S. as leading atmospheric scientists failed to find the signal. But I've grown to enjoy reading these science articles.
• 10 September 2020 (live): Climate change is causing the California heat & fires 🔥 as well as the extreme cold and snow ❄ according to CBS News article. Bit hard sometimes to connect the dots but it's being called a "triple whammy" due to a broken (but turbocharged) jet stream.
• 10 September 2020: Already mentioned Governor Newsom whose failed leadership means continued bigger and worse fires in California.
• 10 September 2020: A most important exception is @KamalaHarris who thanked the heroic efforts of firefighters battling the California fires. Joe Biden's account RT. Thankfully whoever is running their accounts is not a tone-deaf ghoul.
• 10 September 2020: Seems the Democrats have coordinated their efforts to use the devastating California fires as an opportunity to score political points in the upcoming election by blaming them solely on climate change (and Trump) -- echoing Tweets by Governor Newsom.
• 10 September 2020: Just look at these Tweets. Newsom is proud of his state's bold climate policies which have done nothing to stop it from burning. Instead, he is trying to score political points in the upcoming election. Newsom is like an arsonist throwing more gasoline on the fire.
• 10 September 2020: Just like Governor Brown, Newsom repeatedly blames "climate change" for the forest fires as a cheap way to deflect blame away from inept leadership. In any other state besides New York, the people would demand accountability from their Governor for his willful negligence.
• 10 September 2020: Climate change is making California's fires "exponentially worse" Couple that with inept leadership from Governors Brown to Newsom, the state will continue to burn hotter & longer w/o adopting meaningful fire management policies.
• 10 September 2020: At the time, I was told that this wasn't a big deal. Well, it must have been to me b/c I'm still pissed 3 years later. I will continue to correct the record and remind everyone what these low integrity people did.
• 10 September 2020: My yearly reminder it was now 3 years ago when the hacks at @thegwpfcom used a climate chart that was dishonestly edited by someone that used my name (& PhD). No apology instead they blamed me. I continue to recommend that this denial outfit go to hell.
• 9 September 2020: Trump turned Kylo Jen into a proud anti-vaxxer.
• 4 September 2020: The efforts to police color ramps are nauseating. But I'm constantly on the lookout for beautiful examples of maps that I can use in my own work whether that's from astronomy, oceanography, or meteorology. I also don't criticize someone else's art or craft.
• 4 September 2020 (live): Continually amazed how ignorant professional GIS/cartographers are about creating useful weather maps for public consumption: My colors are garbage! I always ask for a better temperature color-table & they usually block me. 🤣
• 3 September 2020: Chris Paul disappeared at the end of the game. Washed. Garbage play calling by Billy Donovan.
• 3 September 2020: NBA games need lawyers to litigate these rules!
• 2 September 2020: Tough break for the Utah Jazz #JazzvsNuggets, but they probably needed more than 78 points to win that game.
• 27 August 2020: It is "well known" that the Atlantic Ocean hurricane basin entered an "active" phase in 1995. Every hurricane scientist knows this yet award-winning journalists are completely ignorant. That means it was "inactive" for decades prior. Yet, NY Times attributes to climate change.
• 27 August 2020: Asked to comment on Hurricane Laura & climate change especially recent articles using last 40-50 years of data in the Atlantic Ocean to make (misleading) claims. This morning's NY Times article presents cherry-picked data w/o context -- misleading.
• 22 August 2020: Irresponsible and dumb.
• 21 August 2020: Pennsylvania just approved Fall Sports. Ohio on board already -- other Big Ten states as well. Michigan? Governor Whitmer? No way. She is hellbent on keeping the state closed until the Election.
• 19 August 2020: Hey Brad 👋 Yes, updated data analysis from 2016 on "heat domes" and the trend continues upward in "500 hPa height" over Western US. @capitalweather properly cited likely effects of climate change on heat dome intensity
• 12 August 2020: She left out the bang up job the Obama admin did with Swine Flu.
• 12 August 2020: Excellent news for Atlanta metro as legally troubled D.A. Paul Howard loses primary runoff badly.
• 7 August 2020: Meteorologists should follow a code of conduct in their activities especially online. "Members must treat all individuals with respect. Members must refrain from all forms of discrimination, harassment, and bullying in their professional encounters."
• 7 August 2020: Excuse me? I'm not defending any of these people and think they deserve to be fired. But, thanks for the insult -- you seem to be one of those type of people online.
• 7 August 2020 (live): Another meteorologist fired for Nazi historical references in a personal blog or social media. That's at least 3 in the past few months. While protected free speech, such opinions have led to firings regardless of context.
• 7 August 2020: Clarification about rhetoric that has led to termination of a few people now: Comparing another person or group to actions of the Nazis or Hitler regardless of the historical accuracy or context of the analogy.
• 7 August 2020 (live): For a TV meteorologist, you sign a contract to deliver the weather in brief snippets in front of the camera & the station sells advertising. In a big market with 4 other options at 6 pm, it's best for your career to not offend your viewers w/unfiltered opinions.
• 7 August 2020 (live): This isn't about cancel culture and you shouldn't need a reminder to not use incendiary language when you're on TV as a public figure representing a company. 📺
• 7 August 2020: Another meteorologist fired for using Nazi rhetoric in a personal blog or social media. That's at least 3 in the past few months. Such rhetoric might be protected free speech but it's not defensible if you publicly represent a company. You're fired.
• 7 August 2020: I see mocking of the Univ of Georgia "die-in" but I see their point of view. These are graduate students who will do a lot of on-campus, in-person teaching for a pittance & no benefits while tenured faculty beam in from their living rooms at home.
• 4 August 2020: Marietta City Schools start online learning today. Teachers are at the schools -- kiddies are at home. 9,000 students -- separate from the very big Cobb County school system.
• 4 August 2020: Gwinnett County schools in metro Atlanta released plan to transition to in-class learning by Sept 9. August 12th, teachers will deliver digital learning for 2-weeks & grades will stagger back in-person. School system serves 180,000+ students or 1/5 of all county residents.
• 4 August 2020: If you were listening to WSB Radio yesterday in Atlanta, then you would have heard the top-of-the-hour forecasts predicting a "few scattered showers and storms." I'm sure glad I didn't make any plans that required me to drive on the Interstates -- which some flooded. Garbage.
• 4 August 2020: Any follow-up here Kirk @MellishMeterWSB -- what happened with the botched radio forecast in Atlanta yesterday as the entire metro erupted with severe thunderstorms? Sounds like you've mailed it in.
• 3 August 2020: Cherokee County schools reopened today. The county about 1-hour north of downtown Atlanta has 43,000 students 👩‍🎓👨‍🎓 20% so far opted for virtual or at-home learning 🏡
• 31 July 2020: Confusing. Surely you realize that hurricanes do not have a clockwise circulation near the surface in the Northern Hemisphere. Is there something else going on? 🌀
• 31 July 2020 (live): What's going on here? I see a clockwise circulation.
• 29 July 2020: Will there be a publicly available parallel feed for the new GEFS prior to the implementation?
• 27 July 2020 (live): They are already available for about 8500 locations. Which in particular are you looking for?
• 27 July 2020: The Weather Models site continues to be developed every day. I'm always tinkering or adjusting or adding a requested parameter. And the UI + website frequently adds new features. Worthwhile subscribing for hurricane season w/discount. 👇
• 27 July 2020 (live): GFSv16 parallel data now arriving closer to real-time -- this is the next scheduled upgrade of the NOAA global weather model. And of course it develops Invest 92L into a hurricane while the current operational model does not. 😒 Available @weathermodels_
• 26 July 2020: Mayor Bottoms of Atlanta has scrapped her "bottle boys" entrepreneur program. Armed youth and adult handlers would stake out intersections & strongly suggest drivers buy bottled water. Several people have been shot or killed in recent weeks.
• 23 July 2020 (live): Are you're okay with armed checkpoints on a busy roadway? Police told to remain clear of the area. Several people died down there including an 8 year old girl.
• 23 July 2020: 3 weeks ago an 18-year old selling bottled water was shot to death by another "bottle boy" over a $10 sale. Open question how many more kids need to be killed on Atlanta's streets before Mayor Bottoms addresses the problem. I fear it could be many more.
• 23 July 2020: 2 weeks ago, Georgia Gov Kemp called up 1,000 National Guard to confront exploding violence in Atlanta including the death of an 8-year old girl at burned out Wendy's. The city & Mayor Bottoms are facing an enormous lawsuit for allowing gunmen to barricade & patrol city streets.
• 23 July 2020 (live): The (absentee) mayor of Atlanta has encouraged the practice of selling beverages at city intersections and the beverage selling is everywhere. It's easy money and motorists typically donate w/o taking the water. Adults nearby manage the operation.
• 23 July 2020: Atlanta city leader demanding Mayor Bottoms end her "entrepreneur" program assisting "bottle boys" to aggressively sell water at city intersections. Armed juveniles are shooting motorists and being run over by cars in traffic. The kids swarm luxury cars.
• 22 July 2020: Political ads are going to saturate the airwaves when we're watching baseball. Can't escape it.
• 20 July 2020: Why?
• 18 July 2020: Atlanta: And another story today by AJC about kids armed with handguns selling bottled water & threatening drivers waiting in traffic. Upon being arrested, kid tried to bribe the cop with $300.
• 17 July 2020: Weeks before the 8-year old girl was shot by armed "protestors" at Wendy's, the situation was described as "Mad Max" The Mayor and city leaders 'gave them space'
• 17 July 2020: Mayor Bottoms and the city of Atlanta are likely facing a lawsuit for allowing the situation at the Wendy's to continue leading to the death of an 8-year old girl. Atlanta NAACP has demanded Bottoms to resign saying she has "blood on her hands".
• 17 July 2020: Armed juveniles selling water at Atlanta exit ramps and intersections are increasingly shooting into cars. Today, an advisory council set up by Mayor Bottoms will report on progress helping out these "up and coming entrepreneurs".
• 17 July 2020: 2 days after one armed protester was arrested for felony murder of an 8-year old girl at the burned out Wendy's, Mayor Bottoms of Atlanta blames "open carry" laws in Georgia. Multiple daily national interviews suggest she is on the very short VP list.
• 16 July 2020: Thanks for thinking about me down here, a bit weird considering I don't know you and you don't follow me to see my Tweets. In-group virtue signalling?
• 15 July 2020: Biden has been captured by the far-left on climate policy. Of course, media, activists & scientists are overwhelmingly pro-Biden. But his plans should be scrutinized fairly otherwise there is a significant risk of political damage especially in swing states.
• 15 July 2020: So-called "fact checkers" and media activists are very eager to parse every statement of Trump's on climate or science in general. That is exactly the media's job. But, they seem to turn a deaf ear and blind eye to the anti-science nonsense coming from the far left.
• 15 July 2020: Could not find a news article fact-checking or even mentioning Joe Biden's climate speech statement of "Science says we have 9-years left ..." to save the planet. This rhetoric of "years left" is not based in science but instead channeling Greta Thunberg doomsday preaching.
• 15 July 2020: The Wendy's was being occupied as a makeshift shrine to Rayshard Brooks who was killed by police during a DUI arrest. Armed men patrolled the area & set up barricades blocking traffic. Mayor Bottoms allowed the situation to continue until 8-year old Turner was murdered.
• 15 July 2020: One of at least 4 armed "demonstrators" who allegedly shot at an SUV at the burned out Wendy's in south Atlanta is being charged in association w/killing an 8-year old girl. The Wendy's was demolished yesterday.
• 14 July 2020: Science doesnt say we have "9 years left" to save the planet from climate change. The 'years left' narrative is a complete fraud. Biden didn't write the speech, of course.
• 14 July 2020: Anyways, the cat is out of the bag. Climate policy is just a Trojan horse for Biden's planned economic & societal transformation. His puppet masters will handle the details on background, anonymously and outside media scrutiny.
• 14 July 2020: How is climate change the "existential threat" to humanity? Which scientists are saying that?
• 14 July 2020: Sanders, AOC types are pulling Biden's strings on climate, Green New Deal, energy, etc. Is a massive green stimulus going to be the plan to solve our current economic problems? Biden running on Green New Deal is going to be tough sell in a few important states.
• 14 July 2020 (live): Apparently everyone in the campaign needs to speak on background, anonymously, etc. to roll out Biden's climate plans. If it's so popular, then why is that?
• 14 July 2020: Biden openly embracing climate doomsday rhetoric. "Climate change is the existential threat to humanity, and it is real. It is real. And it is urgent, and the public is becoming aware of it. And it may be the very answer to get us out of this economic situation we’re in."
• 14 July 2020 (live): The authors are clearly advocates for public transit. Not seeing any original research or compelling evidence for their claims, either.
• 14 July 2020: March 8th, the NYC Mayor's office put out an infographic urging people to avoid overcrowded subway cars. Early on, seems there was recognition that cramming people into dirty subway cars was a bad idea. Reduced capacity exacerbated that problem.
• 14 July 2020: I remember a MIT scientist put out a draft of a paper connecting spread of COVID-19 in New York City to the subway system. He was pilloried. Any follow up on this? The NYC subway system volume was reduced causing crammed cars. April 15, 2020:
• 14 July 2020 (live): It's private property. The former restaurant that was destroyed by arsonists. Did you miss that part?
• 14 July 2020: The burned out Wendy's in Atlanta is finally being demolished. The action comes a week after an 8-year old girl was shot and killed by at least 4 armed demonstrators. Mayor Bottoms finally ordered the site cleared after community pressure.
• 13 July 2020: Local radio news played a clip of Governor Cuomo speaking to Atlanta Mayor Bottoms who has abandoned the city to run for Vice President. She praised the New York governor for his leadership in presumably killing of the thousands of seniors in nursing homes. That's not Georgia.
• 13 July 2020: Horrifying ... at a press conference, Governor Cuomo threatening to send a team of experts from New York to Atlanta to assist in the city with COVID-19 by sharing "everything they've learned".
• 13 July 2020: These errors are not simple scientific disagreements but calculated misinformation designed to smear & censor. There are also obvious significant conflicts of interest that should be addressed. Facebook made the right decision to dump the Feedback service as a neutral arbiter.
• 13 July 2020: Sadly, the Climate Feedback scientists continually spread misleading information w/o any consequences. I'd encourage them to enlist Roger to help edit the site and clean up errors before publishing again.
• 13 July 2020: Video of long-range weather forecasts across the U.S. from @bamwxcom Rainfall and temperatures trends. Example of the type of weather information farmers look at every morning.
• 12 July 2020: Growing calls for Mayor Bottoms to resign her office from local NAACP.
• 10 July 2020: Mayor Bottoms has been blamed for the murder of the 8 year old girl and has "blood on her hands". Only after Gov Kemp called up the National Guard did the Mayor take any action.
• 10 July 2020: Non-essential businesses would need to close immediately. The Mayor has been escalating her political showdown with Governor Kemp since he called up National Guard troops on Monday to deal with widespread shootings and murders in Atlanta including an 8 year old girl.
• 10 July 2020: Looks like Mayor Bottoms of Atlanta is shutting down the city back to "stay at home" Phase 1 due to a surge coronavirus cases. Most businesses will need to close until further notice.
• 10 July 2020: Huh? The campaign made the right decision to cancel the event.
• 7 July 2020: And right on clue, the Climate Feedback clown car drives up with a pretty clueless review of @ShellenbergerMD article of his new book This is so transparently dishonest that you have to marvel at the cognitive dissonance to pull it off.
• 6 July 2020: There is abject paranoia on the climate activist left about any unapproved scientific opinions being disseminated on Facebook without a filter or system of "fact checking". This saga continues to take weird turns into absurdity.
• 6 July 2020: This campaign to police climate news and opinion on Facebook is getting even more laughable. Now claims that a prominent activist scientist is being prevented from sharing her "peer reviewed videos" on FB. Nobody cares.
• 6 July 2020: The City of Atlanta has cleaned up and dispersed the Wendy's site where numerous people have been recently shot and killed including an 8-year old girl.
• 30 June 2020: Will you promise to shut the country down on Day 1?
• 27 June 2020: Man who stood atop CNN logo arrested by US Marshals for arson & inciting a riot. "Jeffries is an Atlanta rapper who goes by DQJ. Pictures of him standing on top of the burning police car are posted to his social media accounts."
• 26 June 2020: Haven't scanned the new research literature lately, but seems like weather linked to surge in virus cases in hot weather states. Hypothesis: Indoor air conditioning provides favorable environment for virus survival and spread.
• 25 June 2020: Very dangerous situation on the beaches of Bournemouth -- these folks aren't listening to the experts.
• 24 June 2020: June 24, 2020 Tropical Update 🌀 Fish storms in the Eastern Pacific 🐟 Read my newsletter & get it emailed (📩)
• 24 June 2020: Code is floating around from a bunch of places but it's probably originally forked from Johns Hopkins.
• 24 June 2020: Wendy's Autonomous Zone in Atlanta 🍔
• 24 June 2020: Whoa, she's raised over $183,000 on GoFundMe to build her "competing dashboard". Now, that's an impressive haul for a pretty simple grift.
• 24 June 2020: She's on a media blitz today.
• 24 June 2020: Instead of going on CNN or building her own data dashboard, this fired data scientist should go straight to law enforcement and swear out an affidavit of what she knows about this conspiracy, who is implicated and how high up it goes.
• 24 June 2020: CNN continues to promote the conspiracy theory that Florida is hiding data and bodies. I just called @GovRonDeSantis office to ask what the hell is going on with this and will report back. 🤔
• 24 June 2020: Also, and it should not need much prompting after the past 6-months, peer-reviewed literature & scientists' expert opinions are not written on stone tablets. Some scientists think they are gods but crap gets published everyday. Censorship services only help to cover it up.
• 24 June 2020: The rating of "Scientific Credibility" is quite loaded and purposely so. It concludes the author in this case a PhD holding scientist Roy Spencer wrote an article that is Biased, Flawed reasoning, Misleading. It's a cute project but Facebook isn't buying it, so it's over.
• 24 June 2020: The fact-checking service does not frequently subjugate alarmist media articles to the same scrutiny as say Roy Spencer. It turns out this Climate Feedback rating was mostly difference in opinion & relies on a faulty/retracted study. It's garbage.
• 24 June 2020: The problem with Climate Feedback is that it's not a neutral party when it comes to choosing subjects of their fact-check. There is an inherent bias that shows repeatedly on topics that scientists have genuine and legitimate disagreements.
• 24 June 2020: Facebook has decided to stop using a (supposedly) neutral fact-checking service to censor "climate science" posts on the platform. Climate activists including academics involved with Climate Feedback are very upset.
• 24 June 2020: First hearing is today. Fundraising was already underway to pay for any bond. She has a high-profile attorney representing her.
• 24 June 2020: Last night, BLM protesters demanded the release of Rayshard Brooks' girlfriend from the Fulton County jail where she resides after allegedly torching the Wendy's. Protesters plan on rallying at the jail until she is released (on bond).
• 24 June 2020: From AJC: If you visit the torched Wendy’s, you’ll get guns with that “Don’t make any sudden moves, or you will get shot.” 'Welcome to Mad Max in The ATL, a bizarre scene with a post-apocalyptic feel.'
• 24 June 2020: Protestors at the county jail demanding the immediate release of the girlfriend of Rayshard Brooks who is alleged of arson at the Wendy's in Atlanta.
• 23 June 2020: Temperature anomalies can be misleading in regions with very large variance like the Arctic. Thus, you must consider the normalized anomaly by standardizing the climatology by mean and variance. That allows for proper comparison between different regions on the globe & times.
• 23 June 2020: Lil Yachty totaled his 2020 red Ferrari 488 on the Atlanta Interstate near the exit of the burned Wendy's. He was speeding and is probably lucky to be alive.
• 23 June 2020: The alleged Atlanta Wendy's arsonist has been scooped up by the sheriff and into the custody US Marshals.
• 23 June 2020: Universities have a lot of statues, busts and iconography on campus. Student protesters will need to blow off some steam and administrators should give them space.
• 23 June 2020: Who is going to tend to the gardens?
• 23 June 2020: Another stimulus check 👀
• 21 June 2020: It is certainly possible.
• 21 June 2020 (live): Previous model forecasts seem to have really underestimated the intensity of this Saharan dust layer. The SAL remains coherent into Gulf of Mexico by this next weekend. Checking on historical context but this seems extreme. (@weathermodels_)
• 20 June 2020: A local reporter has connected her name to Rayshard Brooks as a girl friend he mentioned in the bodycam video.
• 20 June 2020: Natalie White has been identified as one suspect in the Wendy's fire in Atlanta. A warrant has been issued for her arrest.
• 20 June 2020: This is about indoor transmission.
• 20 June 2020: You are missing the rest of the sentence: "proper precautions can prevent super-spreading" Masks, temperature checks, visual symptoms, etc.
• 20 June 2020: Concerts, sports leagues, movie theaters, malls, universities and other indoor venues are watching closely. 👀 If this doesn't work, then businesses will have to seriously reevaluate phased reopening plans across the economy.
• 20 June 2020: Not indoors. Sports leagues and concerts are watching 👀
• 20 June 2020: The Trump rally in Tulsa indoors at the BOK Center will have important economic ramifications. In two weeks, we will either learn that massive crowds are susceptible to infection or that proper precautions can prevent super-spreading. We're going to find out either way.
• 20 June 2020: Just one of 3 on-the-street shootings Friday night in Atlanta. 🚨 A young woman was shot in the leg as 20-gun gunshots rang out at the south Atlanta Wendy's where a vigil has been set up for Rayshard Brooks.
• 20 June 2020: Atlanta Zone 6 🔥 "Witnesses told Channel 2 Action News that the driver was upset about protesters blocking the road, so he grabbed his AR-15 out of his car. An armed protester then allegedly shot at the man." No one hurt. No charges filed. 🚔
• 20 June 2020: Atlanta Zone 6 scanner (mostly silence)
• 20 June 2020: Listening to police scanner (Zone 6) where a shooting has occurred from crowd of protesters into a car. Police have eyes on the suspect but limited personnel to interdict. 🚔
• 19 June 2020: Found the report. It is a brochure written for an activist organization and laundered thru the Guardian as some sort of groundbreaking research.
• 19 June 2020: Sign up for my email weather and science newsletter (Free!) And suggest topics for me to research and opine.
• 19 June 2020: The media invokes science when it suits their political agenda. They do not understand science. So, reporters are easily bamboozled by dishonest scientists with their own political agendas. This vicious cycle is helping to divide the country.
• 19 June 2020: That's what we have been told by politicians as they use science writ large to justify their completely unjustified orders. This is dangerous and you should not trust any politician invoking science to take away your rights.
• 19 June 2020: If you believe in science, then you must do what the science is telling you. You must listen to the science and top experts. Sadly, a lot of people are not heeding the advice of leading scientific experts.
• 19 June 2020: Atlanta #BlueFlu continues.🚔 No one showed up in Zone 5 today? --> includes Midtown and Downtown.
• 19 June 2020: Some good news out of NOAA. The satellite program, which has been poorly managed & wasteful for decades, has been fiscally stabilized & is delivering birds into orbit w/o gaps. 🛰 NOAA acting admin deserves lot of credit on this one.
• 19 June 2020: "A successful strategy to address the climate crisis will need to find a way to weave together environmental justice, working-class struggle, and opposition to the far right."
• 19 June 2020: "One cannot substitute direct action and mass organization by holding up signs on Instagram. In my view, the digitization of politics has been detrimental to the radical left and beneficial to the far right, so further digitization will bring nothing good for us."
• 19 June 2020: "Since early 2020, COVID-19 has completely paralyzed all the most promising developments in the environmental movement — Fridays for Future, Extinction Rebellion, Ende Gelände, and so on — this is a situation of grave disaster."
• 19 June 2020: "To Halt Climate Change, We Need an Ecological Leninism” "we need to stop seeing climate change as a problem for the future — and use state power now to impose a drastic reordering of our economies."
• 19 June 2020: Thanks! It is so much easier to type and think in complete sentences.
• 19 June 2020: June 18, 2020 Global Cyclones Update Tropics remain eerily quiet so we're watching Saharan dust. #TropicalUpdate
• 18 June 2020: It's not raining in Atlanta tonight. This Precinct 3 is by Grant Park near the Atlanta Zoo. Relatively upscale neighborhoods e.g. overpriced infill renovations.
• 18 June 2020: Growing Protests at Precinct 3 in Atlanta: Police dispersing.
• 18 June 2020: Now hiring 🚔 Henry County in south metro Atlanta has announced job openings in their police department and is taking transfers. From their Facebook just now: ☠️
• 18 June 2020: Atlanta Mayor Bottoms on CNN Cuomo right now. Police department morale is at an "all time low"🚔
• 18 June 2020: Reminder that the City of Atlanta has a small % of population within the overall metro: 520K population. The Atlanta Metro Area is 5.8 Million.
• 18 June 2020: Other law enforcement agencies pulled their help from Atlanta after the Fulton County D.A. charged 6-officers in this incident downtown. 2-weeks ago, stun guns were considered deadly weapons.
• 18 June 2020: Atlanta is split up into Zones. I wouldn't worry about Zone 6, they can handle their business.
• 18 June 2020: Dispatcher: #AtlantaPD 🚨 “since nobody got hurt on this one, we won’t be able to send anybody out to this call” ☠️
• 17 June 2020: Grand jury indictments might not be returned until Jan 2021 with current coronavirus delays and case backlog in Fulton County.
• 17 June 2020: One bullet ended up in a bystander's car. The officer is in a heap of trouble & faces up to life in prison. The officer is charged the same as Officer Chauvin in Minneapolis for killing George Floyd.
• 17 June 2020: Holy cow. The other officer has turned state's evidence and will testify against the other officer. 11 total charges vs. Officer Rolfe
• 17 June 2020: The DA has determined that Mr. Brooks presented no threat to the police of death or bodily harm.
• 17 June 2020: Arrest warrants will be issued prior to securing a grand jury indictment. In Georgia, the grand jury must indict. A police officer is afforded the opportunity to testify on his own behalf.
• 17 June 2020: Fulton County DA is charging the officers in the Atlanta #RayshardBrooks police shooting.
• 16 June 2020: The source is me as I was listening to the Live press conference. Stories have been posted at AJC and WSB-TV.
• 16 June 2020: I think you're right. Suggests premeditation. A long prison sentence awaits this young lady.
• 16 June 2020: More pictures released by law enforcement ... same girl? Or two girls and same outfit?🤔
• 16 June 2020: Here is a close up of person of interest and alleged Atlanta Wendy's arsonist. Seriously.
• 16 June 2020: Firefighters had to abandon scene initially bc protesters were throwing bricks and attempting to commandeer the fire truck.
• 16 June 2020: Atlanta Fire Dept doubled reward to $20K for info on suspects responsible for Wendy's arson. Both white females.
• 16 June 2020: I already had a low opinion of leading environmentalists especially in the climate movement including scientists and politicians that purport to care about solving problems. Sadly, after reading Apocalypse Never, I am more convinced of the darkness in the "green movement"
• 16 June 2020: Marvelous inventions like nuclear power that can legitimately help solve humanity's ever-growing demand for accessible energy are shunned b/c of turgid ideological dogma. Progress in the developing world is limited by whims of wealthy, hypocritical & highly ignorant elites.
• 16 June 2020: Shellenberger details the evolution of the environmental movement from his unique personal vantage point. Instead of embracing humanity's progress, apocalyptic environmentalists preach doom and demonize their opponents in the destructive pursuit of pure political power.
• 16 June 2020: Summer reading recommendation📚 'Environmentalism has devolved into an apocalyptic religion for upper-middle class elites.' Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All by @ShellenbergerMD
• 16 June 2020: June 15, 2020 Tropical Update: Sharpiegate 🌀
• 16 June 2020: Disgusting conduct. Something seriously wrong with Atlanta's P.D. lacking integrity and honesty. Suit: APD cop breaks man’s ankle, calls him ‘little girl’ for hurting
• 15 June 2020: Yes, the timeline is key to the story.
• 15 June 2020: The science behind 🌀 Sharpiegate is quite interesting and no one has dug in too deeply. ✍
• 15 June 2020: What is the political fall out? The acting admin wasn't going to get a floor vote in the Senate b/c there's no time left. Just kicks the can down the road past the November election.
• 15 June 2020: So, the scientific integrity of the Tweets wasn't the issue investigated but the process which was employed to issue the unsigned NOAA statement, which was a disaster. The clowns at Commerce threw everyone under the bus and played politics with the science.
• 15 June 2020: Jacobs argues correctly that the actual science behind the dueling Tweets from NWS Birmingham and Trump was not investigated or addressed. And admin Jacobs then didn't consult with that NWS office before issuing the statement crafted by Commerce.
• 15 June 2020: With hurricane season underway, we finally get a report on the Sharpiegate controversy. And it seems some in NOAA leadership have their knives out for the acting administrator. But, I find the Jacobs rebuttal compelling ...
• 15 June 2020: All aboard the crazy train. 🚂 Choo choo!
• 15 June 2020: The "War Against Climate Science" is back on in the Trump administration but this time from low-level bureaucrats. Article doesn't really describe a war but more like petty skirmishes. This is good narrative building and fan service for liberal readers.
• 14 June 2020: It's the same girl. Police added a link to that video:
• 14 June 2020: Live video feeds showed some of the arsonists being younger white women.
• 14 June 2020: My prediction is that scientist activists will embrace the extreme sensitivity numbers (+5°C) as "possible enough" leading to widespread adoption of the model results in policy docs e.g RCP 8.5
• 14 June 2020: These articles are unhelpful to climate scientists who assiduously avoid publicizing uncertainty in their models or predictions. The CMIP6 sensitivity enigma will be filed under 'giving ammunition to doubters' while it works itself out.
• 14 June 2020: At first climate scientists thought there was a bug in their code. 🤡 Climate worst-case scenarios may not go far enough, cloud data shows
• 14 June 2020: The peaceful assembly is over. Police in riot gear are clearing the area. Tear gas was fired just 15 minutes ago.
• 14 June 2020: Protesters milling about the intersection have now turned their attention to the Gas Station.
• 14 June 2020: From the AJC: This follows accusations that Mayor Bottoms politicized the firing of 6 officers involved in a downtown incident with college students in a car.
• 14 June 2020: Atlanta Mayor Bottoms has been in the national spotlight as she is apparently on Biden's VP short list. But, questions being raised about her leadership here in Atlanta. Her impassioned speech with T.I. and Killer Mike was not well received locally as it was nationally.
• 14 June 2020: Mostly. Still smoldering. Fire trucks put out the billowing flames and then left.
• 14 June 2020: For those wondering, this is not a busy area of Atlanta or near any tourist traps. It's a few clicks south of Downtown. Gas stations and previously a Wendy's, warehouses and some industrial. Sparse residential about a mile away.
• 14 June 2020: The fire is out at Wendy's but the focus has shifted back to the Interstate as police and public are facing off at the on ramp.
• 14 June 2020: The fire trucks have showed up to Wendy's. I'll give them a 2-hour response call on this one.
• 14 June 2020: Traffic slowly drives by the fully engulfed Wendy's.
• 14 June 2020: Everyone standing around and watching the Wendy's explode now. Quite the conflagration on University Avenue. Even some added fireworks.
• 14 June 2020: The new Wendy's is a total loss on University Avenue.
• 14 June 2020: And 4 left lanes have been reopened I-75/85 heading Southbound. Police just dropped the checkered flag. 🏁 Another luxury bus has arrived to collect arrested protesters chilling on the guardrail.
• 14 June 2020: The luxury coach has arrived to pick up the detained protesters for their trip downtown. Police are entirely focused on reopening the Interstate. The area around Wendy's has been left alone.
• 14 June 2020: Atlanta SWAT has showed up with their gear. Helmets and shields. Police continue to arrest the remaining protesters. Looks like Interstate could be reopened shortly safely.
• 14 June 2020: Back to Wendy's The building is being set on fire now by "protesters". Looks like those jobs won't be coming back. Shame, that was the only fast food in that area with that Wendy's.
• 14 June 2020: Police are now detaining / arresting everyone remaining in the line blocking the road. Looks like 25 or so remain on the bridge deck.
• 14 June 2020: Lasers being shined at WSB's helicopter.
• 14 June 2020: The Interstate is still closed. Several lines of protesters have set up along the roadway. 18-lanes blocked.
• 14 June 2020: The Wendy's is on fire. Live feed at @wsbtv Fire department not yet being allowed onto scene
• 14 June 2020: Interstate 75/85 is now blocked south of downtown Atlanta. This is one exit south of Turner Field (now Georgia State football stadium). Protesters have shut down the freeway. In previous protests over the years, this hasn't happened.
• 13 June 2020: Chief of Atlanta police resigns after another officer involved shooting. As she is being vetted for Biden's VP slot, Mayor Bottoms will be under pressure to come up with solutions to her city's worsening police problems.
• 13 June 2020: Atlanta police shot and killed a drunk driver after a struggle in the Wendy's drive-thru on Friday.
• 13 June 2020: Another person = 2 🧐 The sneering media narrative was that the Memorial Day lake festivities were going to cause a massive outbreak.
• 13 June 2020: Suspended -->
• 11 June 2020: It's a mystery why Fulton County is not the model of election turnout and participation b/c it is hugely Democrat (Hillary 69%). The state Dem party should be demanding Fulton get their shit together. They are suppressing their own voters thru their ineptitude and incompetence.
• 11 June 2020: Did you read the article and learn anything about Fulton County? Why would an entirely Democratic run county purposely suppress their own voters?
• 11 June 2020: "Looking at what happened in a granular sense, it was not shocking but certainly saddening to see that Fulton County once more bungled a key election." "Georgia and its voters need a voting system that works." Front page editorial from the AJC
• 11 June 2020: Fulton County, Georgia continues to screw up their elections & nothing can be done about it. And they don't care. National leaders & celebrities are using the ineptitude to push voter suppression narrative. But, that might change in a big way:
• 11 June 2020: Goren and Eames #LawAndOrder
• 11 June 2020: June 10, 2020: Tropical update All quiet -- short discussion on some basic tools for tropical meteorology. SST, wind shear, and African dust maps.
• 10 June 2020: Just imagine if the CDC said early on "everyone needs to wear a mask" instead of the opposite. 😷
• 10 June 2020: The place names are just text labels taken from a list and printed with GrADS. No rocket science here.
• 10 June 2020: Climate science has gone so far in that direction in the past few years that it has become inextricably linked with political activism and serves it.
• 10 June 2020 (live): Not too often you see southern Michigan lit up with severe thunderstorms in the early afternoon. This is in the wake of Cristobal which went into Ontario but dragged this historical tropical air mass into the Great Lakes. 🌩️
• 10 June 2020: The two counties are D+60 and run top to bottom by Democrats. So, how does your racist conspiracy theory work? The Dem county election officials are suppressing their own voters?
• 10 June 2020: Before you fan the flames, these counties had 6 months to prepare for Tuesday's election day. Experienced (older) poll workers quit because of coronavirus 😷 and new hires showed up for on-the-job training on new voting machines. November is only 5 months away. 😬
• 10 June 2020: My neighbors reported over a 2 hour wait in DeKalb County to vote in Georgia election in person. Fulton County (10% of Georgia population) had even longer waits. Unacceptable. Counties are responsible for running elections and continue to fail spectacularly on national stage.
• 10 June 2020: Probably not. It was interesting in that it moved quickly so far north into Iowa while retaining its tropical status. The weather is crazy in the Great Lakes like a tropical storm regardless. Very warm and humid.
• 10 June 2020 (live): At 00z Cristobal is declared post-tropical so somewhere around Dubuque, Iowa may be where the storm lost its tropical designation.
• 10 June 2020: In Georgia, each county is responsible for running its election. Democrats run Fulton County -- and neighboring DeKalb County top to bottom but are completely inept. Something needs to change before November or there will be a complete shitshow.
• 10 June 2020: Election Day disaster in Fulton County, Georgia -- includes much of City of Atlanta & 10% of Georgia's population: Poorly trained poll workers can't operate new voting machines. County leadership incompetent -- a perennial problem w/elections.
• 10 June 2020: Wrong Ryan. It's Fulton County (which includes some of Atlanta) that is in "complete meltdown". Poor training, management.
• 9 June 2020: *mostly peaceful here in Atlanta.
• 9 June 2020: "Some poll workers said they were being trained on the job after being hired at the last minute. Hundreds of Atlanta-area poll workers quit before the election because of the risk of the coronavirus pandemic." 🤦‍♂️
• 9 June 2020: “We have reports of poll workers not understanding setup or how to operate voting equipment." "... a function of counties engaging in poor planning, limited training and failures of leadership.” "poll workers were inserting voter access cards upside-down" 🤔
• 9 June 2020: Georgia's most populous counties in the Atlanta metro are having a difficult time figuring out the new voting machines leading to very long lines. "problems were caused by poll workers who didn’t know how to set up the equipment."🧐
• 9 June 2020: NCEP EMC sent an email saying the HRRRv4 is unstable. Not sure if/when the parallel data feed will be cut so I'm going back to Version 3 until they figure out the issues. @weathermodels_ This affects HREFv3 evaluation, too.
• 9 June 2020: June 9, 2020 Tropical Update: Cristobal heads for Great Lakes 🌀 Subscribe to my newsletter which provides at least once daily #TropicalUpdate to your email. 👇
• 9 June 2020: June 8, 2020 Tropical Update: Cristobal heads up the Mississippi
• 8 June 2020: "From the data we have, it still seems to be rare that an asymptomatic person actually transmits onward to a secondary individual" Asymptomatic spread of coronavirus is ‘very rare,’ WHO says
• 8 June 2020: Alex, how did Governor Kemp know this "experiment" was the right policy choice? He didn't flip a coin or rely upon the partisan hack experts filling up the op-ed pages. He listened to the advice of his Health Commissioner Dr. Kathleen Toomey.
• 8 June 2020: Um, you woke up a moron today. Elon Musk just transported astronauts to the International Space Station. 🚀 A Tesla car is one of the most remarkable pieces of technology ever built and the software is a decade ahead of anyone else.
• 8 June 2020: Month later @elonmusk was so right about Ferguson. "Elon Musk called one of the world's top lockdown advocates an 'utter tool' who does 'absurdly fake science' after he was caught breaking his own rules to meet his lover."
• 7 June 2020: June 7, 2020 Tropical Update: Landfall of Tropical Storm Cristobal
• 7 June 2020: Michigan Supreme Court votes 7-0 to vacate order forcing 77-year old barber to shut down his business. The court called the Gov Whitmer's executive order "based on hysteria" She recently told Michigan residents to 'Google how to cut your hair'.
• 7 June 2020: The NY Times has been a dumping ground for politically motivated research studies on the coronavirus. This is how the game is played these days & scientists are adapting quickly. The public should be highly skeptical of experts pimping their unpublished research in the media.
• 7 June 2020: Worth mentioning that the scourge of garbage research articles showing up on pre-print servers has extended to the Lancet. While quantity of published research goes up like a rocket ship, the quality goes down dramatically. Then you have publicity seeking scientists + media.
• 7 June 2020: Perhaps this is GFSv16
• 7 June 2020: There is a "pre-parallel" GFS dataset on para dot nomads. Anyone know what this new data or upgrade is about? @AliciaMBentley
• 7 June 2020: 72 hours of binge watching? Fascinating: It’s Time to Stream “Un Village Francais,” France’s Answer to “The Wire”
• 6 June 2020: This means much less budget cuts than previously forecast. Georgia planned for a 14% cut but it will be less, perhaps 11% or even lower = less university job cuts, no tuition increase, limited furloughs. City of Atlanta w/tourism & office buildings still will be hit the worst.
• 6 June 2020: The timetable for safely reopening may be about 6-weeks for most businesses that survived the lock-down. Florida has also seen the reopening of theme parks, hotels, resorts, and beaches. Economic damage in in the Southeast was cushioned by federal stimulus.
• 6 June 2020: While Governor Kemp allowed the re-opening of Georgia businesses in late April, most did not including gyms, restaurants, and salons b/c they could not meet the strict safety regulations. 6-weeks later the economy is really picking up steam.
• 6 June 2020: There is a popular show on the Weather Channel's called the Weather Underground. Of all the show titles, I always wondered why a major cable channel would brand itself so much around the Weather Underground. I guess it's cool now.
• 6 June 2020: Lot of people on Twitter learning today that the weather website Weather Underground (now owned by IBM) was named in reference to the domestic terrorist group that also originated at the University of Michigan.
• 6 June 2020: June 6, 2020 Tropical Update: Tropical Storm Cristobal 🌀 Poorly organized but large storm heading north toward U.S. Gulf Coast -- heavy rain threat especially for Louisiana. Beach weather washout. ⛵️
• 5 June 2020: Amazing to see the default reaction of NY Times columnist @paulkrugman to the blockbuster jobs report -- the BLS data was cooked and they had been "gotten to" by the Trump admin. Real-time mental breakdown as he tried to process the data. Hate to see it.
• 5 June 2020: Looks like the Washington Post was going for a more pessimistic jobs forecast. Their pre-canned Tweet went with the ominous "grim milestone" 🧐 and had to deploy the "unexpectedly"
• 5 June 2020: Grim milestone? 🧐
• 5 June 2020: I need to get into a business that can forecast -7.5M jobs lost and instead 2.5M are created. 📈
• 5 June 2020: The return of "unexpectedly" ... it's been a few years.
• 5 June 2020: These bumblefucks shouldn't even be crossing guards.
• 4 June 2020: I assume the editors the Lancet medical journal have resigned. I mean there's no need to call for their resignations b/c surely they have some integrity and fell on their swords. Maybe they can write an editorial with an apology along with the retraction.
• 4 June 2020: Tropical Update June 4, 2020: Cristobal Weakens to Tropical Depression 🌀 Subscribe to email newsletter for Hurricane Season (1-2 updates per day) 👇
• 4 June 2020: I've upgraded to HRRRv4 which was supposed to go into operations last month but was delayed for a few more weeks.
• 4 June 2020: There will be missing data from previous forecast cycles that won't be replaced. And, of course, bugs here and there. So, please report anything weird to @weathermodels_ I've got a long list of new tools that will soon be implemented, but feel free to pass along suggestions!
• 4 June 2020 (live): For @weathermodels_ users we just upgraded the web-server (+IP address) as of 12-AM EDT from an outdated machine to a blazing fast solution w/10x the storage. What does that mean? Step change in performance. NOAA GFS is free to use:
• 4 June 2020: Georgia was the first to reopen the economy in late-April and the predictions of doom did not come to fruition. Governor Kemp stated today the forecast 14% budget cut for 2021 will be less, 11% or lower due to strong economic rebound and fiscal stimulus.
• 3 June 2020: NOAA's real-time ocean temperature product has been offline for a week. The new version v2.1 is unreliabe.
• 3 June 2020: June 2, 2020 11 pm NHC update: Cristobal remains over water #TropicalUpdate
• 3 June 2020: Good chance of t-storms tomorrow in NYC in the afternoon but only slight chance of them being severe.
• 2 June 2020: An argument in the bread aisle at Walmart turned deadly between two men the other day in DeKalb County just outside Atlanta. One man died. No charges filed as the shooter acted in self-defense. 🧐
• 2 June 2020: Attention: @Indiametdept @drharshvardhan @moesgoi @IMDWeather Is the NCUM model data freely available or accessible for users? Many are asking about the provision of this excellent data for important decisions.
• 2 June 2020: Anybody @ncmrwfmoes or Indian Meteorology provide any info about accessing NCUM weather model data? We have been providing maps/graphics for everyone based upon that data. But it has now been removed from open data platform.
• 2 June 2020: Tropical Depression 03L forms #TropicalUpdate
• 1 June 2020: One more reminder to Subscribe to my email newsletter (or bookmark the site and check in regularly) Thanks to all of the subscribers so far! 🌀
• 1 June 2020 (live): In the 3 pm EDT hour, the final set of forecast guidance comes in from the best weather modeling system (Euro ensembles). Added panel charts of MSLP along with spaghettios, spaghetti, and my real-time storm tracking @weathermodels_ for hurricane season.
• 1 June 2020: Thanks. We forecast for that area so definitely keeping a close eye on any tropical weather.
• 1 June 2020 (live): Looks like Invest 93L may be a side-show as it develops in the far southern Bay of Campeche in Gulf of Mexico. Over the next 48-hours, Tropical Storm Cristobal may form and then quickly head into Mexico. ECMWF 12z update arriving now in the 2 pm EDT hour. 🌀
• 1 June 2020: Governor Kemp of Georgia said the state is done nitpicking about social distancing when outside in fresh air. He welcomes everyone to peacefully protest and then get a bite to eat. And today June 1st, bars and clubs can reopen in Georgia. 🍻
• 1 June 2020: Yes ... the real-time tracking feature is really exciting to see as the model data comes in.
• 1 June 2020: If you love tropical weather, then subscribe to my newsletter via email. Allows me more space for daily in-depth coverage on extreme weather 👇 June 1, 2020 Tropical Update
• 1 June 2020: Yes, under EPS Global Cyclones in the left column. 06z also available.
• 1 June 2020: June 1, 2020 Tropical Update by @RyanMaue
• 1 June 2020: Awful to see historic St. John's church lit afire in Washington D.C. across from Lafayette Park.
• 1 June 2020 (live): Reliable weather model showing about a 50% chance for a strong tropical storm or hurricane to develop in the Gulf of Mexico later this week. The 2020 Hurricane season is officially underway June 1st and may get off to a big start. 50-ensembles (ECMWF 18z)
• 1 June 2020: Anyone left lingering downtown Atlanta is being detained or arrested after the curfew -- which is working with the help of 3,000 deployed National Guard troops with armor. Quiet night in Atlanta.
• 1 June 2020: "Those that can't come together need to be run out of town." What should be priority 1 after getting the agitators out of town? "We need to maintain the health of our city in this pandemic." 'Our airport needs to be up and running w/more passengers.' Economic renewal.
• 1 June 2020: "Our problem is greater than racism. We have 40-million unemployed ... we were in the midst of a national crisis. Our mayor and governor has been working together but Congress and White House hasn't been as (responsive)." "This is also a time that climate change is hitting ..."
• 1 June 2020: "Atlanta will hold." -- Mayor Andrew Young "Right now people are being manipulated by outside forces." "People destroying our city are intentionally breaking into respected institutions. This is not behavior of any of our Atlanta citizens."
• 1 June 2020: Former Atlanta mayor Andrew Young on phone: "Two other groups came to town -- Antifa & Boogaloo Boys are provocateurs taking advantage of this all over the nation. We are clearly unprepared for this nationally." Early peaceful protesters marched on street named for Mayor Young
• 1 June 2020: News reporter exasperated on #Atlanta TV-2 earlier describing "out-of-state agitators" wearing all black with "bullet proof vests, tactical gear" "Looks like they are ready to go to war." Curfew in place as of 9 pm.
• 31 May 2020: Police fired tear gas and the scene has cleared in downtown Atlanta. Protestors jumped in their cars and are heading out.
• 31 May 2020: On the other side of Lenox Square mall, 30 pickup trucks with all-terrain vehicles (quads) on the back. Governor Kemp authorized National Guard to make arrests and enforce 9 pm curfew.
• 31 May 2020: State Police and National Guard are staged at Lenox Square Mall in Buckhead, Atlanta. Military vehicles everywhere.
• 31 May 2020: National Guard troops marching through Centennial Olympic Park in downtown Atlanta ready to enforce strict 9 pm curfew.
• 30 May 2020: Looks like an "all clear" for weather and #SpaceXDragon launch from @bamwxcom Weather Porthole lightning.
• 30 May 2020 (live): Showers are less intense and more scattered this afternoon across Central Florida. However, pop-up storms are somewhat random due to colliding boundaries that are hard to predict. #SpaceXDragon
• 30 May 2020: Hmmm didn't look like Trump supporters. I didnt see any red hats and the only America flag was burned early on.
• 30 May 2020: Christian Dior in Buckhead was wiped clean. $3000 bags walked out the door.
• 30 May 2020: Scanning the live shots yesterday, it certainly looked like many in the crowd were from elsewhere since they had stuffed backpacks. This matches word from a News 2 reporter that she interviewed many protestors who said they were from out-of-state. Who are these people?
• 30 May 2020: Amazing the changes in Atlanta. Just the other weekend, news crews were publicly shaming restaurant goers in Midtown & people sunbathing in Piedmont Park even using their news choppers to zoom in from the sky. Yesterday, a lot of people with purple hair showed up outside CNN.
• 30 May 2020: Reminder, Atlanta is currently under "shelter-in-place" as the mayor has not provided date for "Phase 2" of re-opening the city. The "stay-at-home" order remains in place as the coronavirus keeps most businesses and all tourist venues closed.
• 30 May 2020: This is NOT Lenox Square Mall. Police and National Guard are protecting it. Phipps Plaza across the street is way more upscale and some stores have been looted clean.
• 30 May 2020: Finally arrests being made in Atlanta 👏
• 30 May 2020: Several Atlanta station news crews with extensive vehicle damage.
• 30 May 2020: The motherfuckers are damaging the fire trucks that are putting out numerous fires in Atlanta.
• 30 May 2020: Most upscale mall in Atlanta Buckhead being looted. Gucci, Versaci
• 30 May 2020: Thank you Governor Kemp and Mayor Bottoms for your leadership.
• 30 May 2020: Goveror Kemp of Georgia and Mayor Bottoms of Atlanta bringing in National Guard troops into Fulton County. That's enough.
• 30 May 2020: Buckhead Target being looted 🎯
• 30 May 2020: Not clear why the police in riot gear didn't clear that street in front of CNN Center much earlier. They could have tried to disperse the crowd back into Centennial Park while still daylight. Maybe they were following their orders to stand down or give space & not arrest. 🤷‍♂️
• 30 May 2020: The CNN logo and then the building itself turned into the only target of opportunity once the crowd turned violent on that street in downtown Atlanta. The armored police vehicles and adjacent parking garages blocked any advance south to the new Benz stadium.
• 30 May 2020: It's not a safe place in broad daylight on a weekday.
• 30 May 2020: The battle of Lenox Square Mall in Buckhead is underway. #Atlanta
• 30 May 2020: The Olympic Rings remain lit in Atlanta. The fires continue to burn.
• 30 May 2020: Crowd in downtown Atlanta is entirely young folks, teens to probably thirty-somethings. Everyone has a cell phone and many are recording the scenes as if it's a sporting event. The City of Atlanta downtown in situation of controlled anarchy as police stay well away. Sad.
• 30 May 2020: Starbucks attached to Embassy Suites being destroyed. This is heading well away from the CNN Center. The fires are right outside this hotel and College Football Hall of Fame.
• 30 May 2020: Turning into a war zone in Downtown Atlanta near the tourist destinations surrounding Centennial Park.
• 30 May 2020: Live News Feed just showed a business windows being smashed and people inside stealing clothing.
• 30 May 2020: Downtown businesses being looted in Atlanta.
• 30 May 2020: Some rioters are moving down Marietta Street toward the College Football Hall of Fame. More police cars being torched.
• 30 May 2020: And tear gas canisters have been deployed. Clearing the area near CNN Center and Centennial Park. Quite the scene in the normally very busy tourist trap on a Friday late-May evening in #Atlanta
• 30 May 2020: CNN center under assault from rioters outside. Not good. Someone just threw a firecracker at the police.
• 30 May 2020: Georgia State Troopers have showed up. The police are practicing restraint and giving the shrinking crowd some latitude. Only a few arrests so far.
• 30 May 2020: Remaining rioters are heading down Marietta Street destroying property and breaking glass in front of Centennial Park. Businesses are being broken into as darkness falls. The police are preparing to end this riot.
• 30 May 2020: More Andrew Young: Upset and disappointed. "When they burned the American flag, I got really upset. I've been all around the world, and I would not want to be anywhere else but Atlanta."
• 30 May 2020: Andrew Young former Atlanta mayor & civil rights hero on phone: "Everything they are enjoying down there, we fought for." "Bunch of clowns showing off at the end." "Ruined something that was beautiful." "One sick policeman in Minneapolis should not be able to destroy Atlanta."
• 30 May 2020: The police cars are being set on fire in front of the CNN Center.
• 30 May 2020: The Interstate is now blocked in downtown Atlanta north I-75/85 just before main downtown exits to GA Tech and Piedmont Park. The HOV lane is still open and some cars are not interested in stopping. Dangerous situation.
• 30 May 2020: Items taken from the police cars are being burned.
• 30 May 2020: Many arrests as the police is generally pushing the crowd north toward Centennial Olympic Park in downtown Atlanta.
• 29 May 2020: Police cars are now being destroyed with the barricades in downtown Atlanta. Police are moving forward now. It's about to go down.
• 29 May 2020: The police and security are now blocking the entrances to the CNN Center as the crowd's intentions had become clear. This is view from the News 2 Chopper on their Live Feed:
• 29 May 2020: Some folks are trying really hard to get inside, but the CNN center doors and glass are well fortified as such high traffic tourist destinations these days. The CNN logo is a popular place for travelers to take a picture -- iconic symbol in downtown Atlanta.
• 29 May 2020: More painting of the CNN building.
• 29 May 2020: The one American flag in the crowd was just burned. Someone has a blow torch handy. 🔥
• 29 May 2020: Here is an overview of the situation This isn't a main road -- no traffic anyways. It's quite unlikely the crowd could breach the CNN center as there is another set of security doors inside the inner vestibule.
• 29 May 2020: And just like that, the crowd is throwing shit at the police. There is an officer that looks to be 6 foot 5 and 300 lbs of muscle that is not going to back down. The crowd and police are getting quite agitated now
• 29 May 2020: There is one person up top of the logo with a Black Lives Matter flag. The police are well removed from the situation to the south up the road.
• 29 May 2020: The CNN logo is being painted with graffiti in Atlanta. The crowd is cheering.
• 29 May 2020: The organizer of the protest w/bullhorn is calling on the crowd to move back: "fall back, but stay together, we are safer in numbers" No discernible tension or indications of any violence. Seems more like a campus protest gathering.
• 29 May 2020: The police chief is trying to defuse the situation -- allow the demonstrators to protest in the street and at the CNN building. The sound on the video feed can pick up the insults hurled at the Atlanta police from individual demonstrators.
• 29 May 2020: Atlanta SWAT is wearing gas masks. The crowd is easily 3,000+ extending north toward Centennial Park. The crowd is facing south toward the new Mercedes Benz stadium & that is the way the police are blocking. The CNN building is the main venue for this demonstration.
• 29 May 2020: The police brought a corrections bus and each has plenty of zip ties. Suggests that arrests will be taking place here shortly if the crowd does not disperse peacefully. #Atlanta
• 29 May 2020: Live coverage of crowd gathered at CNN Center in downtown Atlanta. Police have armored vehicles and plenty of manpower. Crowd is well organized and chanting "Our Streets"
• 29 May 2020: This is a catharsis. A purge.
• 29 May 2020: I'm learning the @SubstackInc platform and it is (whispering voice) a better way to post weather content than Twitter. Subscribe for email updates -- starting soon -- but still thinking about format. The "threads" on the site are like Tweets already.
• 29 May 2020: This book now almost 30-years old was incredible ... the Planet Killer used for revenge against the Borg.
• 28 May 2020: I believe Cocaine Mitch called this effort "leave no vacancy behind"
• 28 May 2020: Acting. Nomination sent to Senate floor for Sen McConnell to put on the calendar.
• 28 May 2020 (live): If @realDonaldTrump wants the most up-to-date science on hurricanes then he can talk to his acting NOAA admin or go to the authoritative webpage: This is the consensus so beware of those peddling in unsound science on hurricanes & climate change.
• 28 May 2020 (live): During hurricane season, it's important for residents in the path of the storm to be weather aware and resilient so gov't can focus on infrastructure rather than evacuations. Mixing climate change politics into this urgent preparation period is not helpful.
• 28 May 2020: Stick to weather --> no politics. But there might be some farming 🚜sports ⚾️and other sectors of the economy ⛽️ that are affected by the weather.
• 28 May 2020: I'm putting together a weather newsletter with content that might be interesting to weather hobbyists and professionals alike. 🌡️ Weather. Tropical Update. Hurricanes. Some climate. Data science. by @RyanMaue
• 27 May 2020: Please subscribe to my newsletter titled "Weather" 🌡️ Weather. Tropical Update. Hurricanes. Some climate. Data science by @RyanMaue
• 27 May 2020: Speaker Pelosi has already announced Congressional hearings into the tragic number of deaths at nursing homes especially in New York, right? Or is this just going to be swept under the rug?
• 27 May 2020: Good riddance to this garbage. 👇
• 27 May 2020: Update: Gov Whitmer finally confirmed the details of her husband's call to a boat dock company but dismissed the request for special treatment as a "bad joke". 😦
• 26 May 2020: "Experts say ... " Ain't that good enough for you? After all, experts have been banging it out of the park in the media lately.
• 26 May 2020: Delaware lifting stay-at-home restrictions on June 1st. Biden can hit the campaign trail again at a full sprint.
• 26 May 2020: For someone on the short list for V.P. this is a pretty lame excuse to cover up a silly episode. She could have owned it and said no special treatment. But that ain't her.
• 26 May 2020: Micheal Moore was considered an ally of climate activists on the far left so the creation of this movie was an unforgivable betrayal.
• 26 May 2020: Censors have succeeded after a copyright claim for a couple seconds of footage ... Climate activists were lobbying hard for the movie to be removed from any easily accessible platform. Michael Moore film Planet of the Humans removed from YouTube
• 26 May 2020: And the Facebook page went kaput. The company employee should not have spilled the beans about his phone call w/Gov's husband. But they explained the situation and hopefully won't receive backlash from the incident. Everyone should be able to now enjoy the #PureMichigan water.
• 25 May 2020: What about Chris Christie in 2012?
• 25 May 2020: "Because I created and managed the dashboard by myself, I was the only person who could alter it or the data behind it, so they had to go come to me with requests to make changes." This "they had to go through me" attitude is not going to work.
• 25 May 2020: "...her last work day was Thursday, after a pattern of overstepping her duties as data manager. The final straw came May 15, when she vented in emails to researchers and other data recipients that she’d been reassigned, suggesting they should now doubt the data’s integrity." 😬
• 25 May 2020: She has done serious damage to the reputation of the Department of Health in Florida. Her expertise is data entry not epidemiology and yet she was openly questioning the judgement and orders of the state epidemiologist with 27-years experience. Inexcusable.
• 25 May 2020: There are proper procedures to report legitimate concerns about scientific integrity and research ethics within FL Dept of Health. There is also a big difference between being a whistleblower and a mole with a political agenda feeding unverified health data to media. Insane.
• 25 May 2020: This episode was latched on to early by political partisans who neglected to dig into any facts instead indulging a massive conspiracy theory. How would you like a data entry employee constantly questioning your instructions & then sending raw health data out the back door?
• 25 May 2020: Updated: No data tampering conspiracy in Florida: State Records Show [data dashboard operator] Fired For Violating Health Department Policy On Public Remarks Dangerous to have a rogue employee mishandling data & refusing to follow directions.
• 24 May 2020: Yes, that's just up M-22. Hope your family enjoyed the scenery.
• 24 May 2020: When's the last time you went to the beach?
• 24 May 2020: No Joe. Don't be so obtuse. If you read the article, then you would have seen "proper social distancing" should always be practiced.
• 24 May 2020: Read the article, Casey. Or get someone to read it to you.
• 24 May 2020: Never was any scientific justification to keep people cooped up indoors vs. going outside on a sunny day 🌤 or to beach 🏖, park, or garden. Sunlight Inactivates SARS-CoV-2 on Surfaces in Lab Study as CDC Says Virus Does Not Spread Easily Across Mediums
• 24 May 2020: Article also points out the increasing role of pre-print servers for publishing research that has not undergone peer review. Turns out a lot of it is crap.
• 24 May 2020: Apparently we need to explain why only some scientists change their minds when new facts present themselves. But other scientists are stepping up personal attacks on their critics in the media.
• 24 May 2020: Climate scientists and activists still seeing the "silver lining" from COVID-19 economic destruction and incalculable loss of life.
• 24 May 2020: "It's extraordinary," he said, "that someone who wants to be our president and commander in chief doesn't know how to send an email." 2020 candidate Joe Biden? No, was 2008 Obama/Biden campaign mocking Senator McCain's war wounds & inability to type.
• 24 May 2020: Clayton County ... Lights and sirens are on the car for a reason. Fucking idiot.
• 24 May 2020: Makes me furious to see cops outside their jurisdictions driving recklessly in marked cars. Safety should be the first priority not nearly killing law abiding motorists. 🚗
• 24 May 2020: @DeKalbCountyPD Hey DeKalb, just observed (930 AM) a Deputy in marked car recklessly driving in Clayton County south 675 before the Ellenwood exit. Criminal speed, illegal lane change, nearly hit a car by going 90 mph in right lane to exit. Get this asshole off the road.
• 24 May 2020: The water can be in the 70s and the sandy beaches along Lake Michigan are perfect. Can't beat the sunset views.
• 24 May 2020: 75°F daytime temperatures and cool nights by a campfire. Hope you had a great time.
• 24 May 2020: As alluded to in this FB post, in another deleted post by the employee who took the phone call, after explaining the 3 week delay, the Governor's husband asked for special treatment. The ridiculous motor boat ban by his wife was just lifted a couple days prior.
• 24 May 2020 (live): If you'd like a beautiful summer vacation spot then you cant beat Northern Michigan. Beaches, recreation, great food and wine. Not crowded. Drive across the Mackinaw Bridge or go to Mackinac Island when it opens. #PureMichigan
• 24 May 2020: I'm relaying a Facebook post that some might find ironic as Whitmer's emergency order orginially forbade residents from traveling to their second homes up north. I'm from Northern Michigan near that area and thankfully things are getting back to normal.
• 24 May 2020: Gov Whitmer's husband wanted their boat put in the water up in Northern Michigan which was recently opened up prior to their arrival for vacation. The North Shore Dock company told them no preferential treatment & may be a few weeks. ⛵️
• 23 May 2020: I enjoyed the article. It had a religious feel to it.
• 23 May 2020: Gov Whitmer of Michigan extended the economic lockdown and stay-at-home order until June 12th. Except for some opposition, Whitmer enjoys overwhelming support for her actions. Her poll numbers are sky high. Why mess up a good thing?
• 22 May 2020: How long has it been know there was a serious risk of structural failure? At least 25-years! The feds warned about "inadequate spillway capacity" so recent heavy rains coupled with a wet / warm winter finally did in the dam earthworks. Bureaucracy not "climate change"
• 22 May 2020: Everyone knew the dam was dilapidated & may not survive a major flood. The owners, state & federal authorities have been engaged in long legal battles over violations & safety measures. Just 3-weeks ago, the state was in court suing the dam owners over "too low" water levels.
• 22 May 2020 (live): Holy moly -- this Michigan dam collapse story is a complicated mess of legal issues, bureaucracy and unintended consequences. The state sued the dam owner on May 1st (!) for "lowering" the water levels in the lake too much and killing mussels.
• 22 May 2020: The charges made by the fired employee are serious: she was ordered to censor, manipulate, and cover up Florida's coronavirus data. However, there is no evidence of such a wide ranging conspiracy. Instead, this appears to be an overzealous data analyst who just screwed up.
• 22 May 2020: Democrats & newspaper editorials spinning conspiracy that @GovRonDeSantis & Florida is manipulating coronavirus data after a data dashboard manager was fired for challenging state epidemiologist's authority to review data before posting to state website.
• 22 May 2020: I happily live in unincorporated Dekalb.
• 22 May 2020: Governor Kemp's state of emergency supercedes any municipal or county reopening plans. But that could order left to expire in a few weeks & the City of Atlanta would effectively be shut down again.
• 22 May 2020: If any of these 5-indicators hits a warning threshold, then it is back to Phase 1 and starting over with the 14-day target clock.
• 22 May 2020: I have a feeling many prospective businesses are looking more closely at the Perimeter in Sandy Springs and Dunwoody for office space. Much better business climate up there.
• 22 May 2020: A month after Governor Kemp announced the reopening of Georgia and easing of restrictions, the Mayor of Atlanta has unveiled her "reopening" plan. Looks like the city of Atlanta will remain shut down with economic restrictions for a long time. Plan PDF:
• 21 May 2020: Yes, thanks. I forgot to put on the map. 🌀
• 21 May 2020: *Forgot Hurricane Catarina from 2004 on the map. Will redraft the figure!
• 21 May 2020 (live): Where have hurricane strength tropical cyclones made landfall over the past 50-years? Cyclone #Amphan joined many such storms in the Bay of Bengal. The busiest basins are the Western Pacific and the North Atlantic. South America has been grazed by storms in the Caribbean
• 21 May 2020: The NY Times publishes articles based upon non-peer reviewed "pre-prints" almost daily it seems now. Scientists should just skip that lengthy peer-review process and just submit their research directly to journalists. What could go wrong here?
• 21 May 2020: Yes, I'm not an activist and do not endorse candidates or parties. Many leading climate scientists are hyper-partisan and anti-Trump but they are activists. Don't you believe in science?
• 21 May 2020: No. I'm non-partisan b/c science doesn't have a party. You need to listen to the experts.
• 20 May 2020: Oh, they got the message loud and clear.
• 20 May 2020: Well, they won't fix the infrastructure. See Flint.
• 20 May 2020: Some are saying that the infrastructure was dilapidated and this could have been prevented. However, this narrative probably won't be as politically useful right now. The media should work to turn this into a win for V.P. Whitmer.
• 20 May 2020: The Michigan dam failure flooding downtown Midland was probably caused by climate change according to most folks on Twitter today. We must all "listen to the science" and elect Democrats to stop the rain.
• 20 May 2020: Everything was "by the book"
• 20 May 2020: BAMWX is starting a weather webinar in 10-minutes. If you are interested in how private sector consulting meteorology works, then you can sign up & see what we do! 👇
• 20 May 2020: Pretty sad when it's reduced to a bumper sticker slogan.
• 18 May 2020: Rain today on Atlanta Interstates leading to high speed spin-outs and crashes into the walls. Connector Southbound closed. Police cracked down on speed demons over weekend seizing cars and arresting many for criminal speed.
• 18 May 2020: Atlanta Mayor Bottoms Admits ‘It’s Not as Bad as I Thought that It Would Be’ After Reopening. ‘So I am pleased about that’ From @GrabienMedia
• 18 May 2020: Here are some of my comments into CNN: The authors have provided their data on the PNAS page. I'll dig in over the next week. Nothing new here as best-track datasets have stronger such 40-year signal.
• 18 May 2020: Sorry, that's not me. I haven't worked there in about 3 years. I'm at
• 18 May 2020: Don't think so. Which link is that?
• 18 May 2020: Never understood why Jordan didn't get the band back together for a 50 game season! The lockout was the perfect thing for a veteran team.
• 18 May 2020: You're probably right. ❄️
• 17 May 2020: It's worse than that ... Cuomo personally sent sick patients back to the nursing homes to infect the rest of the residents. This was calculated ahead of time. Ghoulish and criminal.
• 17 May 2020: Yes, recall this headline and story?
• 17 May 2020: What maps are nonsense that I publish?
• 17 May 2020: Politely: do you have any conflicts of interest that may affect the conclusions of this research work? Otherwise: are you whoring yourself out for financial gain, publicity, careerism or all of the above?
• 17 May 2020: Reputable journalists should ask scientists at top research institutions like Stanford and Harvard if their pre-publication findings (which may be garbage) are being funded by outside interests for political purposes. This can be asked politely or otherwise.
• 17 May 2020: Interesting. Many "pre-prints" that are non-published and maybe undergoing peer-review (who knows really) are shopped to news outlets for publication. During crisis, system is gamed big time w/money to shape narrative. Extremely dangerous.
• 17 May 2020: NWS shouldn't be publishing "fictional" weather maps for fun.
• 17 May 2020: Yes, the dog whistles in the NY Times Tweets were heard loud and clear by everyone.
• 17 May 2020: Just because a business was "allowed" to reopen doesn't mean it actually did. The safety requirement list has actually kept most gyms, restaurants, and retail closed even today. Georgia's ongoing reopening isn't being done recklessly.
• 17 May 2020: The City of Atlanta is technically open b/c Gov Kemp's order supersedes any local or municipal rules. The mayor set up her own "blue ribbon" economic reopening panel with 100 supporters. It met a few times but apparently decided to do nothing -- as they oppose the reopening.
• 17 May 2020: We learned right away how political the reopening of economies would be when Georgia Gov Kemp "jumped the gun" by a few days -- but same time as Colorado -- and media gleefully predicted "human sacrifices". Local media (AJC) ran op-eds by political hack "experts" saying as much.
• 17 May 2020: No scientific justification (ever) to close a beach, golf course or other outdoors venue as long as folks practice proper social distancing. Nice use of telephoto lens! Disgraced Governor Ralph Northam should resign.
• 17 May 2020: After immense public pressure to delay reopening in Georgia, LA Fitness gym chain now starting a preview period (no billing) on Fri May 22 until end of month with limited hours. Planet Fitness reopened metro wide in Atlanta over past few days.
• 16 May 2020: Clicked on news story here in Atlanta about all the employers looking for workers right now. Ad targeted me with the perfect job for my STEM skills: FBI Special Agent. 🧐
• 15 May 2020: Florida @GovRonDeSantis ready to allow vacation rentals pending local and county approval. The panhandle could really use the revenue for Memorial Day weekend. 🏖 Gov said there may be some (probably unenforceable) rules about disallowing rentals to NYC visitors. 😬
• 15 May 2020: Clay, the media quoting "experts" was so certain Georgia was creating a "human sacrifice" to the economy. The negative press even caused Trump to say he was "not happy" with Gov Kemp. 👀
• 14 May 2020: Where are they getting all of this money for these spiffy climate advocacy groups? Mostly billionaire Tom Steyer but also the usual foundations.
• 14 May 2020: Democrats have formed another climate group to influence the 2020 election. "Evergreen" is run by alums and supporters of Gov Jay Inslee's ill-fated presidential campaign. "It's time for an all-out national mobilization to defeat the climate crisis."
• 14 May 2020: There's no scientific justification for the #JerseyShore to be closed right now. Closing the outdoors means people are cooped up indoors & more at risk. Gov Murphy should resign.
• 14 May 2020: The morning rush hour "misery index" was a zero on a scale to 10.
• 14 May 2020: COVID-19 data is still trending downward even though the models said otherwise if restrictions were lifted. Turns out everyone is doing a good job of social distancing, wearing a mask, and staying away from large groups all on their own w/o oppressive state of Georgia rules.
• 14 May 2020: While Georgia's governor Kemp allowed many businesses to reopen 3 weeks ago, very few actually did immediately. And today May 14th, big chain gyms are closed across Metro, restaurants are shuttered or kaput and millions are unemployed. It's not a rosy economic picture.
• 13 May 2020: Democrats have formed a new "Climate Power" group to influence the 2020 election. Same names and faces as we've seen in the climate movement for decades. The goal will be to push a far left agenda including the Green New Deal.
• 13 May 2020: This machine learning system was also quoted in new articles warning about Georgia re-opening ... it has also now backed off on dire predictions of deaths doubling by August 4th. Model website:
• 13 May 2020: Of course & hopefully people are learning about which basket to put their eggs. It sure was useful when it was predicting 8,000 deaths in Georgia to make the case against reopening. Now, same model after reopening shows 75% reduction.
• 13 May 2020: The IMHE model updated yesterday including effects of lifting stay-at-home order. Predicted deaths now quickly decrease.
• 13 May 2020: Where is the Scarf Queen? More Dr. Birx and less Fauci please. @realDonaldTrump
• 13 May 2020: Not substantial. The T definitely more important than any delta(T) in past few decades.
• 13 May 2020: Mitigation = indoor environment cooling. Need to increase wealth to access energy and A.C. These effects of climate change are easily mitigated by wealthy societies.
• 13 May 2020: Trillions in economic activity and millions of lives hang in the balance on some expert opinion that might not be true. And, we are investing jack shit in terms of R&D money to understand this coming "second wave". Follow that science off a cliff, yo.
• 12 May 2020: And after 5 months, we still have no effing clue how weather affects this coronavirus. Dr. Fauci is warning of a second wave in the fall season presumably due to changing weather and comparison to colds/influenza. Where's the published science on that expert opinion?
• 12 May 2020 (live): The U.S. would have the best weather forecasts if lobbyists could figure out a way to blast supercomputers into orbit. Hundreds of billions have been spent on satellite payloads and 0.1% of that on research to actually use that data. 🛰
• 12 May 2020 (live): Weather directly affects Trillions in GDP. The amount of money that the U.S. government invests in state of the art weather models is equivalent to putting a quarter in a gumball machine and expecting a golden egg to come out. Looks like epidemiology models are the same way.
• 12 May 2020 (live): Fair enough. Big station here used their traffic chopper to survey restaurant parking lots around Atlanta to see if people were social distancing.
• 12 May 2020: And the media outlets that gleefully predicted Florida & Gerogia "human sacrifice" b/c the states began opening up ... you sick mofos haven't said a peep about thousands of nursing home deaths in your own neighborhood. So, if y'all want to stay locked down, fine, don't come here.
• 12 May 2020: The media is to blame for this fearmongering by promoting shaming videos of people walking outside, getting fresh air. Photographs using deceptive telescoping to mislead. So dishonest.
• 12 May 2020: Someone could ask Dr. Fauci if there was ever any scientific justification to limit outdoor activities (with proper social distancing). All this shit about following the science and the data and moronic governors have closed beaches and the outdoors keeping people cooped up.
• 12 May 2020: I prefer the Scarf Queen.🧣
• 12 May 2020 (live): Any storm would stay off the coast most likely and head out to sea. Not right expecting a hurricane but who knows b/c it's 2020. 🌀
• 12 May 2020 (live): Watching an area of low pressure for development well off the Florida coast heading into the weekend for tropical depression or storm pre-season action! 🌀 The sea-surface temperatures are marginal but jet stream level temps are cold enough for vortex development.
• 11 May 2020: Not forced to here in Georgia. Disinfectant bottles are on every weight machine & cardio equipment piece.
• 11 May 2020: 8-year long defamation case between political commentator @MarkSteynOnline & Penn State climate scientist Mann has picked up steam. Court decided that plaintiff Mann must prove actual damages & ordered him to produce his income records from 2007-2019.
• 11 May 2020: Thanks. This is a better way to visualize it.
• 11 May 2020: So many data visualizations out there showing cases of COVID-19. Is there a similar map with each state color-coded according to their quarantine or economic opening level e.g. Red: shut down Orange: some relaxation Yellow: mostly open, some restrictions Green: wide open.
• 9 May 2020: Atlanta metro traffic seemed nearly normal this afternoon. Economy is showing signs. Retail stores are opening again. I stopped at Dick's Sporting Goods to check on some home gym gear. Everything was wiped. Everyone wearing masks 😷
• 9 May 2020: Elite private school Sidwell Friends in Washington D.C. receiving $5 million in PPP money b/c it was overextended w/other debt -- and Quaker values? The school for wealthy families charges $40,000/year in tuition.
• 9 May 2020: Up for a 1.5 mile hike to the top of Stone Mountain or Kennesaw Mountain? Perfect weather for the next 10-days with sunshine. 🏃‍♂️
• 8 May 2020: The scientific logic: the virus does not follow county or city boundaries. As long as Florida state-wide cases continue to rise, then entire state must remain closed. The risk is too high to reopen any area. This is similar to the indefinite shutdown policy of Atlanta's mayor.
• 8 May 2020: Just as Miami-Dade County announced partial reopening of some businesses in 10-days on May 18th, South Florida congressional Democrats demand the entire state remain closed as well -- tethered to the hardest hit counties.
• 8 May 2020: "Gov. Brian Kemp urged all Georgians to schedule an appointment for coronavirus screening regardless of whether they have symptoms" from AJC:
• 8 May 2020: Governor Kemp said more than 1/2 of the deaths linked to the disease, as well as about 1/5 of the overall cases, are linked to patients in long-term care facilities. About 2/3 of Georgia's deaths involve patients w/underlying health conditions or the “medically fragile.”
• 7 May 2020: Every sample in Louisiana was related to New York City. “New York acted as the Grand Central Station for this virus, with the opportunity to move from there in so many directions, to so many places,” said David Engelthaler.
• 7 May 2020: New York City was the most dominant source of coronavirus infections in the United States. NY Times explicitly blames the political leaders in New York for waiting too long to take aggressive action. 👀
• 6 May 2020: Are you a Morel mushroom picker? Up in Northen Michigan, it's the time of year to search them out.
• 6 May 2020: Bob, do you have any recent coding experience or do any research?
• 6 May 2020: Atlanta traffic slowly returning to normal with poorly secured trailers causing mischief on the Interstate.
• 6 May 2020 (live): I agree. But add that the temperature outdoors determines a lot about how the indoor environment is maintained and whether people are cooped up.
• 6 May 2020: Yes, the study has several weaknesses. However, it's hard to dispute the central hypothesis that the subway could more rapidly transmit the virus around the city. The backlash to this fact seems politically motivated to defend MTA and decision makers.
• 6 May 2020: You realize that being outdoors in the sunshine, heat and humidity is a good thing, right? There was never scientific justification for closing the beaches as long as visitors practiced social distancing.
• 6 May 2020: When you see the tragedy unfolding in New York City, you have to wonder why the media there spent so much time writing highly-offensive and bigoted "anti-South" articles criticizing Floridians outdoors or at beach when tens of thousands of their neighbors were dying.
• 6 May 2020: Looking back at policy decisions that may have exacerbated the coronavirus epidemic in New York, have to wonder how things would have turned out if the subway system were appropriately cleaned/managed. Same decision makers led to the tragic nursing home death toll.
• 6 May 2020: Deeply troubling to see NYC subways only now being cleaned and disinfected. A research working paper hypothesized that NYC subway system "seeded the massive coronoavirus epidemic in NYC" as the "principle transmission vehicle" Non-peer reviewed paper:
• 6 May 2020: Climate activists are rushing to defend Professor Neil Ferguson who resigned from his advisory post due to an illicit affair during the pandemic. This is a bizarre (and creepy) editorial even by the Guardian's standards.
• 6 May 2020: This is not just some random one-off weather event but an obvious trend toward hyper-extreme atmospheric circulations outside the normal bounds of what we typically experience in May. 🌡️ It's not always hotter and dryer with rapid climate change, but also colder and wetter. 🧐
• 6 May 2020 (live): This extended cold period might be at least a climate change "triple whammy" as hard freezes limit agriculture, forces people to remain indoors w/central heating & provides outdoor environment favorable for coronavirus. = force multiplier effect of climate change induced cold.
• 6 May 2020: Heat & humidity reduce transmission but does not wipe out the virus completely. The flu can occur year-round but peaks in the winter (cold season). Meat packing plants, and prisons, very close housing or gatherings of people (e.g. Singapore) seem to drastically increase risk
• 6 May 2020: This is a very interesting dashboard: "High Temperature and High Humidity Reduce the Transmission of COVID-19" From this submitted paper:
• 6 May 2020: I should probably look for any research that links seasonal influenza outbreaks to weather conditions. If you find any links, then please drop them off.
• 6 May 2020: Another thought: How else to explain California's relatively few deaths? The social distancing requirements and shut-downs were implemented very early but perhaps favorable weather helped. Or, the social distancing measures overcame any weather effects -- straight up beat it.
• 6 May 2020: The damp and cool winter weather of Seattle would seem to put the city at the top of the list for bad climates for viruses. Perhaps looking at previous flu seasons would fill in the gaps of which cities fare better/worse than others.
• 6 May 2020 (live): This weekend, high temperatures are only forecast to be in the 40s and 50s from Michigan to New England. These highs are 15-25°F below normal meaning typical highs are at least in the 60s and 70s. In conclusion, the weather may not be helping in the fight against COVID-19.
• 6 May 2020: If we speculate that weather conditions outdoors translate into favorable spread for COVID-19, then the upcoming 10-day period of abnormally cold air across the Midwest and Northeast is exactly what we do NOT want. People will be cooped up indoors b/c it is cold outside.
• 6 May 2020: Meanwhile, I don't really need remind you, it has been hot in Florida. 80s and 90s already with some humidity. Miami had a sweltering April 2020. Georgia & Florida cases & deaths have lagged significantly behind Northeastern states and Michigan. So, now what?
• 6 May 2020: Except for a few scattered days, NYC has been chilly and damp for the past several months. The coastal location allowed for more moisture & less severe Arctic blasts. No strings of 70°F or 80°F days. (2020 NYC weather: )
• 6 May 2020: Researchers examined the atmospheric circulation during February 2020 & speculate it favored spread of COVID-19 across continent: Highly positive North Atlantic Oscillation & Arctic Oscillation *This is unpublished & available for community peer-review.
• 6 May 2020: Did the "hotspots" around the world share similar weather and climate conditions that favored the spread of COVID-19? Northern Hemisphere winter --> spring: Northern Italy, Spain, Wuhan China, New York City? Temperatures around 50°F and just the right air moisture content?
• 6 May 2020: I have not seen any (published) research yet connecting weather & climate to COVID-19 spread in the United States. Do we have enough data now to at least speculate why southern states have fared relative so much better than NY/NJ and Michigan? How is the weather involved?
• 6 May 2020: Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia University: “They didn’t do a single experiment, and this is all conjecture,” she told Gizmodo.
• 6 May 2020: Another example where non-peer reviewed "findings" are publicized widely in the mainstream media -- and then adjusted/amended after the fact. Only need one outlet to pick it up. New version just uploaded today on preprint server. Standards for science journalism are low.
• 5 May 2020: Ferguson initially wouldn't share the code behind his coronavirus model predictions of millions dead in U.K. Media gave him a pass based upon reputation. Maybe time to seriously question his research ethics and integrity too.
• 5 May 2020: Did NYC close the subway in 1918? I think I read somewhere that the health commissioner staggered work schedules to keep traffic down.
• 5 May 2020: Not related. I'm referring here to NY Times publishing internal slides with raw data prior to deliberation.
• 5 May 2020: It's irresponsible and dangerous for media orgs to publish raw model data w/o context or human expert analysis. In weather forecasting there is always a hurricane model that shows a Category 5 landfall. But we know the skill limits of weather models so we don't spread alarm.
• 5 May 2020: Reading this new Future of the human climate niche paper reported everywhere as harbinger of upcoming forced migration. Mean Annual Temperature is the metric. But so many humans live in temperate latitudes with seasons. Cold winters + hot summers.
• 5 May 2020: Probably because the majority leadership is really, really old.
• 5 May 2020: Update: May 4th Harvard researchers have quietly added an asterisk to their news release reflecting a change in their conclusions. This is hot garbage. 🗑
• 4 May 2020: Having the public walk up to the inside counter 10 feet away from the food & 15 workers seems dumb to me. Chick-fil-A should scrap this plan for now. Why muck up something that is working just fine?
• 4 May 2020: Chick-fil-A reopening doors for take out. Makes little sense considering the drive-thru & parking lot pick-up system is keeping theirvbusiness booming. And, their system is finely tuned & model of efficiency.
• 4 May 2020: Singapore is also close to the equator. I'm trying to provide context for why hot and humid locations may have outbreaks of cases.
• 4 May 2020: In Singapore, their largest concentration of cases is within migrant housing where thousands of foreign workers are condensed into tiny living conditions -- indoors. Tropical or warm weather locations will continue to have cases of transmission indoors e.g. travelers.
• 4 May 2020: Minnesota TV station fired popular meteorologist after he re-posted political language (Nazi stuff) on his Facebook page. Interestingly, KARE posted a job advertisement 3-weeks ago. ()
• 4 May 2020: This has been obvious for several months yet the media treated discussion of weather effects on COVID-19 like sunlight, heat and humidity as "conspiracy theories". That's what happens when you have political reporters trying to do science.
• 3 May 2020: A survey of license plates at newly opened Florida beaches in the panhandle found many out-of-state visitors from states that remain in lockdown. 15 out of 50.
• 2 May 2020: Honestly all planes are empty. Avg manisfest out of Atlanta to many locales was 1 to 4 passengers.
• 2 May 2020: Seeing videos shaming people who are outdoors enjoying the warm weather. ☀️ This is anti-science shitposting that needs to stop. Outdoors with proper spacing is considerably safer than cooped up with stale indoor air circulating thru a whole building.
• 2 May 2020: Yes, in Georgia that would be $415/week. It'd be in the employee's interest to only work part-time to avoid making too much. Incentive structure for work has been flipped on its head.
• 2 May 2020: If unemployed due to COVID-19 in Georgia, there is no work search requirement. Your weekly benefits are paid per week until pot runs out which is set at $10,000 per approved claim. If ur job calls u back for limited hours, then you will still get benefits ($600+ pro rata UI)
• 2 May 2020: Georgia is now paying unemployment benefits including the federal pandemic top-off of $600/week. A couple friends that work at a closed gym & restaurant getting $900 after taxes per week on Monday. Unlikely their jobs will even come back.
• 2 May 2020: I was putting along the freeway yesterday here in #Atlanta and saw way too many New York state license plates. Federalism at work as each state has a different plan for reopening.
• 2 May 2020: China lied about origin of coronavirus from the Wuhan lab and attempted to cover it up. The WHO was complicit. Simplest explanation is usually the correct one. Probably an accident according to U.S. intel but questions remain.
• 2 May 2020: Ah, I see he shared that something offensive in its entirety on Facebook. Sort of blows up the RT's aren't endorsements excuse.
• 2 May 2020: Looks like KARE used this as justification to terminate contract. My spider senses tell me that maybe his days were numbered to begin with. Competitive business in a tight job market right now.
• 2 May 2020: I'm not finding much besides that repost proving Godwin's law again.
• 2 May 2020: Unless I've had a personal conversation with a friendly TV meteorologist, I have no idea what they think politically and I don't care much unless you're an a-hole about it. The viewers probably think the same way. Be professional about it.
• 2 May 2020: Minnesota TV meteorologist fired after repeated violations of station policies. Almost all TV meteorologists work assiduously to avoid politics just like the anchors & reporters.
• 2 May 2020: Or the health experts "must all agree" ... I've read quite a few op-eds from epidemiologists here and they have an overt anti-Trump and anti-Kemp bias. Why would Kemp ask a bunch of political hacks invested in his failure to help the state?
• 2 May 2020: I don't claim to have better answers and I agree the re-opening of some types of businesses was too soon. But that contingent upon these places meeting Kemp's strict list of requirements. And lo and behold, most places couldn't and still can't ... people are staying home.
• 2 May 2020: Mayor Bottoms is upset that she wasn't consulted about the state's reopening. Her argument boils down to "listen to the science" and racism. But like the AJC op-ed, Mayor Bottoms doesn't provide any metrics or a timeline to do anything.
• 2 May 2020: I give credit to Mayor Bottoms of Atlanta for being honest. She can't endorse Kemp's decision to re-open b/c of politics. "Atlanta is a blue city in a red state." "Health experts" must tell us when it is safe to reopen.
• 2 May 2020: Key points from @CDCgov: For seniors 65+ the hospitalization rates are similar to a bad flu season. 👀
• 2 May 2020: How's #Atlanta metro doing: Fulton, DeKalb, Cobb, Gwinnett Counties: 3.66 million population and 1784 total COVID-19 hospitalizations. Total of 325-deaths w/seniors 60+ w/underlying health conditions the vast majority of cases.
• 2 May 2020: Reminder that while Atlanta has tall buildings, the population is only 500,000 and city budget is about $700 Million. Another 5-million people live in "Atlanta metro" which is growing rapidly. The city does own the airport 7-miles from downtown.
• 2 May 2020: Governor Kemp has kept in place the shelter-in-place or stay-at-home order for elderly and chronically ill folks until mid-June -- and until a vaccine or drug cocktail arrives, I don't see this changing until 2021.
• 2 May 2020: In Fulton County, what's going on? (Population 1.06 million) 122-deaths: 110/122 60-years+ & mostly with chronic conditions. 41/122 were 85+ and 13/122 95+ years old. Gwinnett County (population 936k+) 58 deaths, almost all chronic conditions & 52/58 60+ years old
• 2 May 2020: COVID-19 confirmed deaths in my Atlanta metro county (DeKalb, pop 750k+) is at 49. Of known chronic conditions or not, only one "No" -- a 99-year old woman. I sorted according to age. 43/49 are 60+ mostly with underlying health ailments. 🧐 ()
• 2 May 2020: AJC editorial says Georgia re-opening today is "just too soon". Governor Kemp's decision. But AJC didn't provide any metric or standard to determine when is the right time to re-open. Many other states are going ahead w/phased reopening, too.
• 1 May 2020: Good to see data and model transparency.👏 Hopefully other outfits follow this example to the fullest like Imperial College.
• 1 May 2020: Many #Atlanta area malls abandoned their plans to open today -- delaying until Monday or Tuesday.
• 1 May 2020: You'll appreciate this. When I worked at Meijer's cashiering, I would pick a lane in front of CoinStar machine. When people dumped their coins, I'd hear distinctive sound of silver clinking. I'd volunteer to empty the machine on my own time & trade out silver dollars.
• 1 May 2020: Please send me all of your money for proper sterilization.
• 1 May 2020: If you're patronizing a restaurant: take-out or dine-in or delivery🧑‍🍳 TIP with CASH 💸 so the server or driver has it right NOW. Restaurant owners/managers will steal that money or hold it hostage for weeks. They are always running a scam.
• 1 May 2020: One popular Midtown restaurant uses "tip pools" and assigns a point system based upon hours worked. The managers were included in the tip pool. The records were only provided "weekly" to employees. Large parties w/auto gratuity were not included in tip pool. House kept that
• 1 May 2020: I have friends that have worked in probably a dozen different restaurants in Atlanta & every one of them had a scheme to screw the employees out of their tips or wages. Cheering for a few of them to fail hard.
• 1 May 2020: In early March, food banks were packed to the gills and couldn't accept the surplus produce grown domestically. It was dumped e.g. Florida. Meanwhile, U.S. continues to import a lot of food.
• 30 April 2020: Perhaps it's because the weather in the Northeast has been dreadfully cool and damp. It's almost May -- where is 80°F? If the media in NYC can't go outside or walk the beaches in the Hamptons, then by golly, no one in Florida or California should either.
• 30 April 2020: The Washington - New York City media whining about Florida and California beaches being open are contributing to bad outcomes. They are not following the latest science and instead punishing otherwise conscientious & cautious citizens into enforced lock down. Why is that?
• 30 April 2020: Science says outdoor environments are preferable for people during this pandemic. Sunshine, fresh air, and warmth+humidity considerably better than stale indoor recirculated air. Governor Newsom still closing California state parks & beaches.
• 30 April 2020: Georgia waiving road test for teenage drivers to obtain their drivers license. Simply attest to your skills and print out your license from a website.🚗 20% actually do fail their driving test. 😬
• 30 April 2020: Good reminder to have a backup plan on getting severe weather information like tornado warnings. Tegna group stations furloughed many of their TV meteorologists including a Chief in Charlotte. Beginning of massive job losses in TV weather space?
• 30 April 2020: The article suggests otherwise.
• 30 April 2020: This action by Gov Newsom is contrary to the science. Properly distanced heatlhy adults in outdoor environments with fresh air and sunshine are considerably better off than cooped up indoors.
• 30 April 2020: Insane in the membrane from @GavinNewsom Lead your people @elonmusk
• 29 April 2020: Yes, accumulated air pollution exposure of all types. There is an urgency to connect fossil fuel pollution to the pandemic in order to advance climate policy.
• 29 April 2020: Wildfire smoke is also being linked to increase in death rates. A lot of numbers are being thrown around with 20% increases perhaps being confused with 20-times ... seen this a few times in news highlighting the research paper.
• 29 April 2020: I've noticed that some scientists that I follow treat peer-review as the gold standard -- except in cases when political points can be scored. Good reminder to not blindly "believe science" or scientists when politics or money is involved. Trust but always verify.
• 29 April 2020: Perhaps the authors are politically motivated -- and promoted this paper to NY Times prematurely to do it. Whatever, that's how science is done these days. Why not wait for peer-review? April 7th: 15% increase April 27th: 8% increase (2%-15% CI)
• 29 April 2020: The statistical link continues to weaken to the point that, as data updates, the confidence interval will contain a negative relationship or the opposite conclusion. Best example in a while to avoid publicizing pre-prints while still collecting data🧐
• 29 April 2020: Recall a few weeks ago, Harvard publicized a bombshell study linking tiny changes in air pollution to huge increases in COVID-19 death rates. The paper has not completed peer-review, sits on a pre-print server & is constantly being updated as new data arrives ...
• 29 April 2020: We've built the Weather Porthole from scratch including data (forecast + radar) and will soon launch the native App as a platform for professional weather services e.g. event planning, agriculture, retail, transportation.
• 29 April 2020: Southern schools including Univ of Georgia cautiously optimistic that Fall 2020 semester actually occurs on campus -- only 4-months away. High school seniors surveying landscape are making decisions about their Freshman year based upon that info.
• 29 April 2020: Climate activists are ratcheting up their campaign against Michael Moore's new climate change documentary which paints many aspects of green energy & advocacy in a negative light. They want an apology & the YouTube (4M+ views) video taken down.
• 29 April 2020: In order to "believe in science" does one actually need to understand it?
• 29 April 2020: Singapore cases skyrocketing due to extremely cramped dorms for migrant workers. Inhumane.
• 29 April 2020: Delta asking gov't to suspend flights from Atlanta to certain airports. The routes often only have 1 to 4 passengers total on the flight. 🛩 Flint, Melbourne, Hilton Head U.S. airline flights only averaging 12 passengers per flight 👀 down 95%
• 28 April 2020: Smart move. Axios backed by billionaires had received almost $5M in small business loans that will now go to more deserving companies and their employees.
• 28 April 2020: Holy cow.
• 28 April 2020: Here in DeKalb County, GA (population 750k+) there was only one death w/o indicated underlying health conditions and she was 99-years old. 29/36 were 65+ w/health conditions. Do most seniors have health issues just being elderly or is it based upon a diagnosis?
• 27 April 2020: Atlanta's Mayor chooses this particular chart to share 🧐
• 27 April 2020: Sun belt opening up quickly. 🌞 California will follow suit with or without Newsom. Warm weather is the predominant reason! 🏖⛳⛵
• 27 April 2020: Sunshine tomorrow in NYC will be very important to help kill coronavirus outdoors. Direct UV light in laboratory experiments killed it within minutes. Persistent gloomy and cool weather in Northeast is exacerbating pandemic crisis.
• 27 April 2020 (live): Published peer reviewed metholodgy is key to evaluating and replicating any seasonal hurricane forecasts. What about NOAA? Trust them b/c their expert scientists have published reams of material on their methods and built foundation of understanding hurricane climatology.
• 27 April 2020 (live): Important to distinguish seasonal hurricane forecasts: (a) dynamical = based upon climate model forecasts and (b) statistical w/hindcasts & training (c) expert interpretation of (a) and (b) Don't waste any time with (c). Only trust outfits w/transparent methods & verification!
• 27 April 2020: Whoa ... go big or go home. @MichaelEMann statistical model predicts very active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.
• 26 April 2020: After the negative national attention upon Georgia's decision to reopen some businesses last Friday and others on Monday, I'm shocked to see news that other states are also relaxing lockdowns tomorrow as well -- including Colorado.
• 26 April 2020: No, or sending COVID-19 sick patients to overcrowded nursing homes.
• 26 April 2020: As southern states move thru Phase 1 of reopening, their economies will pick up steam. Jobs will come back as summer arrives. But in northern locales, could be a long slog into June or July. From a political & media perspective, this will boil down to Blue state vs. Red state
• 26 April 2020: The inequality in warm weather is a function of latitude and the Earth's seasons. So far this spring a stubborn climate pattern has left Great Lakes and Northeast still seeing snowfall & unseasonably cool temperatures possibly extending the favorable environment for COVID-19.
• 26 April 2020: While indoor transmission remains widespread issue, outdoor activities in warm southern states have largely resumed normalcy. More activities should be safely transitioned outdoors weather permitting. But not in northern states. Still too chilly at least for rest of May.
• 26 April 2020: The Southwest, Texas, and Gulf Coast States have already seen plenty of spring warmth. It will only get hotter heading into May. Adds context to this evidence of little outdoor transmission of coronavirus in heat, humidity, & UV sunlight.
• 26 April 2020: Haven't seen the term mentioned but are some of the unnecessary measures during the lockdowns in mainly blue states examples of "Washington Monument Syndrome" or just plain incompetence?
• 26 April 2020 (live): And longer range signals also for below normal temperatures across New England for May 9 - 22.
• 26 April 2020: The warmth required to quickly destroy virus outdoors does not look sustained until at least third week of May. Not sure if Cuomo will take weather into account but our best science says NYC remains too cool for weeks.
• 26 April 2020: Not seeing sustained warmth across Northeast including NYC. In fact, the exact opposite with high probability of below normal temperatures. This puts daytime highs in the 60s & lows in 40s. Abnormally cool for early May.
• 26 April 2020: What's going on in Singapore? Cheap migrant labor ($15/day) live in cramped dormitories seeing a surge in COVID-19 cases. 80% of small nation state's cases are in foreign workers.
• 26 April 2020: Looks like Singapore has outbreak of many cases in your cramped cheap migrant labor dorms. What's that about?
• 26 April 2020: Abnormally chilly weather to continue until next weekend across Northeast. Cloud-cover & temperatures in 50s. Researchers will likely attribute the coronavirus continued grip on the Northeast to abnormally (record) cold weather conditions perhaps linked to climate change.
• 26 April 2020: "I'm here to help you. All of you." Being Borg is fun -- assimilated into the hive mind losing your individuality. #StarTrekVoyager
• 26 April 2020: Georgia changed unemployment benefits for those heading back to work e.g. restaurants where tips due to slow foot traffic might mean low wages: Continue to earn full unemployment even if you make $300/week + $600/week Fed CARES top-off. No wage penalty going back to work.
• 25 April 2020: Based on lab research, virus does not survive long on surfaces in direct sunlight or outdoors in heat & humidity. California beachgoers should keep proper social distancing & take sensible precautions. 🏖 Assuming the beach isn't locked down 👮‍♂️
• 25 April 2020: Kraft Foods bought it, right? The pickles are expensive but a good snack.
• 25 April 2020: The description is like describing fine wine ... Bergamot, Musk, Aloe. Reviews are off the charts describing nasal sensations & arousal. 5*
• 25 April 2020 (live): After unceremoniously discontinuing the Big Sur @Febreze_Fresh over 2 years ago, I have breaking news. It is back as Febreze Forest (limited edition). I am buying in bulk.
• 25 April 2020: Claussen Pickles stopped Tweeting 7 years ago after Kim Kardashian thanked them for sending her a fresh case of pickles. @ClaussenPickles
• 24 April 2020: Whoa @Axios took $5M in PPP bailout loans. Not cool b/c they presumably could access money from their deep pocketed billionaire backers.
• 24 April 2020: 5G cell towers are spreading the virus.
• 24 April 2020: There's a segment of Josh Fox on Tucker that is a train wreck.
• 24 April 2020: Here is the Guardian review with Link to YouTube video of documentary. I was never a @MMFlint hater at all. He is a fellow Michigander that has donated his own money into my community and others for film festivals and theater renovations.
• 24 April 2020: Climate activists are not happy with Michael Moore's new documentary Planet of the Humans. They are working hard to get distribution halted and platforms to censor it. Guardian gave it 4/5 stars so might be worth watching (for free) to see what the hubbub is about.
• 24 April 2020: Day 1 reopening in Georgia. So, how is traffic shaping up on a Friday into rush hours? Volume building significantly more than last week. Not quite gridlock but the NASCAR lanes are probably a memory.
• 24 April 2020: I remember paying $4.50/gallon and needing to swipe my credit card twice to fill up b/c of card limits back in 2011. Still upsets me thinking about it today.
• 24 April 2020: I'm assuming infected people arrive on planes and spread to other indoor environments where virus thrives. The research suggests it's not surviving in warm, sunny locations in the air (aerosol) or on surfaces. Outdoors.
• 24 April 2020: Gas prices finally falling below $3.00/gallon in California where I used to live in Monterey according to @GasBuddy ⛽ Only $1.35 here in Atlanta. And sub-$1 elsewhere around U.S.
• 24 April 2020: Are you sure? Surface, 70°F, solar is 2 minutes on the chart.
• 24 April 2020: So, why is flu seasonal & maybe coronavirus too? Research from 2007 explained that influenza virus membrane like an M&M that melts in ur lungs to infect. But at warmer temperatures the virus lipid shell can't retain itself to enter respiratory system.
• 24 April 2020: It's right here in the chart: Indoor environments at 70°F with low humidity = typical climate controlled (AC) home or office and virus lasts (half-life) 18-hours. At noon in sunlight at 70°F, the virus only lasts minutes. Is this too hard to comprehend? Don't answer that.
• 24 April 2020: Seeing dumb comments about the lab results provided yesterday at White House e.g. if heat, humidity and sunlight quickly kills then virus, then how do you explain Florida or Singapore or tropical locations? Indoor climate controlled conditions are very favorable for the virus.
• 24 April 2020: No, not going to look at Singapore, Ecuador or anywhere else. The virus can survive & be transmitted quite readily indoors within climate controlled environments. I'm talking about outdoor weather only during the daytime. Why can't otherwise smart people understand this?
• 24 April 2020: You are conflating indoors w/outdoors. The virus lives much longer (hours to days) within climate controlled, dry indoor environments.
• 24 April 2020: UV from sunlight, heat and humidity outdoors will kill virus quickly. 168 million Americans are at/above 70F for high temperature today (24th) That's just under 50% or half of U.S. population. Temperatures in the Northeast are chilly (below normal) & not helping w/virus.
• 24 April 2020: Scientists have speculated that this coronavirus would be affected by weather since January but previous research studies were pretty simple & only offered general conclusions. The controlled lab experiments presented yesterday at White House finally providing hard evidence.
• 24 April 2020: I saw a gym open today in metro #Atlanta. One of those 24 hr / Anytime types. And there were people in there working out. 💪
• 24 April 2020: Grocery store fully stocked this morning including milk, bread, toilet paper. Except for one item. Lysol.
• 24 April 2020: The findings were from lab experiments replicating various indoor & outdoor environments. While FL and Hawaii are hot/sunny right now, the indoor A.C. still allows for more effective virus survival on surfaces.
• 24 April 2020: LA Fitness has abandoned plans to reopen on May 1st in Georgia after complaints.
• 23 April 2020: You have a considerably higher risk of transmitting the virus indoors rather than outside. That's important info in order to prioritize where prevention resources are used.
• 23 April 2020: Heat and humidity + sunlight outdoors kills the virus. Inside A.C. = dry air & considerably longer survival time of the virus w/o proper disinfecting.
• 23 April 2020: Well, apparently they've been doing it at Homeland Security since February. That's what I'm wondering too -- why are we just hearing about it now.
• 23 April 2020: I'm confused why it took so long (3-months) to learn that this coronavirus is immediately killed by UV (sun)light, warm temperatures, and high humidity. Does this type of lab research usually take this long? New evidence shows that weather does indeed affect the virus.
• 23 April 2020: Many speculating for months about weather effects on the coronavirus & now we have some hard data & evidence to guide responses: Spring/Summer sunlight, warmth (70°F) & humidity outdoors kill the virus in minutes. Disinfectant required in climate controlled indoors.
• 23 April 2020: Indoor environments (climate controlled) have long survival time of virus on surfaces (6-18 hrs+) while outdoor environment w/sunlight: 1-3 minutes = Florida beaches are considerably safer during middle-day, blazing sunshine than morning/evening. 🏖️ ditto golf courses ⛳️
• 23 April 2020: Less than 1.5 minutes based upon that chart ... with temperatures > 100°F and direct sunlight, matter of seconds, perhaps. The virus outside dies very quickly.
• 23 April 2020: Bleach & isopropyl alcohol will kill the virus in 30-seconds to a few minutes on its own even w/o rubbing. Disinfectants are critical to limiting virus spread.
• 23 April 2020: Half-life of SARS-CoV-2 in saliva droplets: Virus does not last long in high temperature, humidity & sunlight.
• 23 April 2020: Fine, I confess to conflating the climate crisis with other aspects of environmentalism than just CO2 but did not say anything about anyone taking glee in deaths. Definitely not my intention.
• 23 April 2020: Glee? Where the hell did that come from, Seth?
• 23 April 2020: Ligitated this already. It is undeniable that the pandemic has had a positive impact on air pollution, wildlife, etc. Read any of 100 stories with the headlines.
• 23 April 2020: I just searched for "silver lining" on the pandemic and all sorts of articles showed up over the past few weeks of the environmental benefits from air pollution, climate and wildlife. I fail to see how this is controversial to point out the narrative.
• 23 April 2020: Seth, I'm seeing "silver lining" and "golden opportunity" repeatedly in headlines and stories everywhere. Me pointing this out is not the problem. Journos & scientists need to push back hard against it.
• 23 April 2020: I'm glad some are repudiating the notion of a "silver lining" or "golden opportunity" but too many are not. Some see it as good politics, I'd presume. That's my analysis not my endorsement, of course.
• 23 April 2020: Golden opportunity or silver lining? Is there really a difference?
• 23 April 2020: The arg goes something like this: of course the pandemic is not a "good thing" per se but here is the "silver lining". Your antenna picks up the transmission just fine. And, I think the narrative will shift to adopt exactly this lingo.
• 23 April 2020: Turns out there is a lot of backlash against any notion of the pandemic being a "silver lining" to the environment or policy. However, the backlash is not with those making the provocative arguments but against those pointing it out.
• 23 April 2020: It's a joke, Rob. I was born in the last week of the Carter admin so I am technically not a millennial.
• 23 April 2020: This is very dangerous science denial (™)
• 23 April 2020: Didn't type "google" but your boomer glasses might have translated that for you. At least we are on the same page again. To be fair, @ClimateDepot is no different than any other journalist, just doesn't happen to be virulently anti-Trump.
• 23 April 2020: Honestly not a Hannity fan. By 9 pm, I'm all tapped out on the political opinion. I read a lot in the evening and listen to podcasts.
• 23 April 2020: No, in the Twitter search bar. Scroll thru latest or top Tweets. Also, climate depot does any excellent job of curating climate related links and stories. You don't have to agree with the editorial comments to use a resource. I subscribe to the NY Times & Wash Post, too.
• 23 April 2020: Here is a good summary of links since you are either willfully blind or incapable of repudiating what you say you oppose. From a communication perspective, how is this good? Serious question.
• 23 April 2020: Rob, don't you help run a smear website that routinely lies about scientists and their opinions? And, now you just admitted to "silver lining" of the pandemic. Maybe you should talk to your fellow travelers about the language they use. It's disgusting.
• 23 April 2020: You are being dishonest. Simply type in search bar -- climate silver lining -- and see countless comments & claims.
• 23 April 2020: Now you've got me confused. I quoted him saying you'd need 30-years of current economic degrowth to bend the climate curve. (✔️) My generalization about the "silver lining" holds up based upon my sampling of various Twitter feeds e.g. helps booting Trump from office.
• 23 April 2020: I don't want to promote this person's account but the 30-years of continued economic "degrowth" isn't something I just made up -- or misquoted. I think scientists and activists need to be less sanguine about the fleeting environmental effects of the pandemic.
• 23 April 2020: "We'd have to keep doing this -- and even more -- for the next 30-years to bend the climate curve." My ears heard that and I accurately paraphrased it in the second sentence. As per litigating first sentence, that's my informed opinion, which you can disagree with, of course.
• 23 April 2020: This is a much better reported & accurate picture of the effects of the pandemic on global warming ... Won't be an impact at all.
• 23 April 2020: Hi Seth, I'm not endorsing the argument. I'm reporting what is said in the video by the CNN climate correspondent and Dr. Foley. Listen past the 0:40 mark. I would never support or make such an argument, of course.
• 23 April 2020: Ask any climate scientist or activist, and they'll tell you that the pandemic is great (silver lining) for combating the climate crisis. But this level of CO2 decrease due to economic ruin is needed year-on-year for the next 30-years to bend the curve on climate.
• 23 April 2020: No, stop spreading misinformation. COVID-19 unemployed do not have job search or certify here in Georgia. Also, anyone on unemployment prior to CARES Act unrelated to pandemic also gets $600/week extra.
• 23 April 2020: No, in Georgia certification for job search and claiming benefits is waived if you're a COVID-19 unemployed. You don't know what you're talking about.
• 23 April 2020: Only if your employer filed on your behalf. I'm sure you knew that though.
• 23 April 2020: And, that was the point of the CARES Act. Pay people to stay home from work. 1 in 6 Americans have lost their jobs. The incentive for workers to remain at home will end in July. The labor market is going to get really weird.
• 23 April 2020: Restaurant workers who receive tips are getting $1000/week unemployment in Georgia. There is zero reason any of them should go back to work for restaurants and work for tips especially when foot traffic will be so low. $25/hour is going rate for labor.
• 23 April 2020: Unless your job at a restaurant, gym, or beauty parlor makes more than $50K/year, you make more money on unemployment. Many will easily make 2x. Really not fair to e.g. grocery employees who will make less than unemployed workers.
• 23 April 2020: Simple math about businesses reopening: many workers should stay home through end of July. In Georgia, unemployment benefits are $365 + $600 / week and money is flowing 💰 Businesses can do math, too.
• 23 April 2020: Not a good profile of gov't official critical to COVID-19 response reassigned for incompetence & insubordination. Ousted vaccine expert battles with Trump team over his abrupt dismissal
• 22 April 2020: While gyms in Georgia are allowed to reopen on Friday it is uncertain if many actually will around Atlanta. LA Fitness plans on May 1st opening with limited hours. Planet Fitness will remain closed indefinitely.
• 22 April 2020: China's world leading CO2 emissions are expected to peak by 2030. So far, the global youth strikes led by Greta Thunberg have not caught on in China.
• 22 April 2020: I got your original Tweet. Oprah has remained silent which tells us everything all we need to know. 800 words, publish.
• 22 April 2020: The TV doctors she promoted all turned out to be quacks.
• 22 April 2020: Are we starting to see evidence in global temperature data of "flattening the curve" as the 365-day running mean anomaly has stopped rising? Perhaps the dramatic reduction in economic activity & CO2 is starting to "cool the planet" after all on Will need more data.
• 22 April 2020: Harvard hoping to get climate activists off their backs on Earth Day by issuing empty gesture. Hypocrisy pays too well.
• 22 April 2020: Prior to the enforced statewide shutdown last month, Atlanta gym traffic was 10% of normal. I'd be surprised to see crowds flocking to the big gyms like LA Fitness or Planet Fitness. But smaller privately owned gyms, Crossfit and Yoga will be able to get their trainers back.
• 22 April 2020: LA Fitness in Georgia will be reopening May 1st. There are 20 clubs in the Atlanta metro area. Limiting number of patrons.
• 21 April 2020: Just as bad as Richard Brandon begging for a bailout. Disgusting but not really surprising.
• 21 April 2020: This was a wild case. Stanford climate/energy professor butthurt after other scientists published work critical of him filed a $10M defamation lawsuit -- then withdrew it. Court orders defendants can recoup all legal costs.
• 21 April 2020: Trump said he will demand Harvard to pay back their bailout money. Shameful how they stole it from small businesses that actually needed it.
• 21 April 2020: "Attempts to address scenario misuse within the community have thus far not worked. The result has been the widespread production of myopic or misleading perspectives on future climate change and climate policy."
• 21 April 2020: Just read about Harvard's endowment shrinkage & why it accepted bailout money. Some defenders are whispering about their failure to divest from fossil fuel stocks, donations may be lower, and tenure / labor contracts cost a lot. Hopefully Harvard can survive on $40 Billion🙏
• 21 April 2020: Situation contained by the Georgia Patrol 🚨
• 21 April 2020: State patrolman stopped by to say hello. Big weather fan & follower. Thanks man for keeping us safe on lockdown. 👮‍♂️
• 21 April 2020: Ongoing situation in neighborhood as jeep chase ended at entrance. Suspect on foot with K-9 in pursuit. We waiting. #Atlanta
• 21 April 2020: Dr. Toomey is Georgia's health commissioner who is advising Governor Kemp. She has put together the phased reopening plan for the state. I trust her scientific expertise to provide advice.
• 20 April 2020: The risk for states in the Southeast that resume a more open economy is that visitors or refugees from states still in lockdown will flood into Georgia and Florida. Social distancing, testing and vigilance is the only way forward for all involved.
• 20 April 2020: What does science say we should do?
• 20 April 2020: All states in the Southeast including Georgia will be on Phase 1 reopening soon enough by May 1st. I'm prayerful that a catastrophe does not happen with overwhelming wave of new cases. Too many others are openly hoping for that outcome.
• 20 April 2020: I just heard the press conference from Gov Kemp. AJC should have a write up by now.
• 20 April 2020: Dine-in restaurants open next Monday, April 27th. Governor Kemp keeps shelter in place until April 30th.
• 20 April 2020: Georgia reopening many businesses Friday, April 24th.
• 20 April 2020: Imagine being in a business or industry where your product could sell for $150/unit or $4/unit ... same exact product. 🛢
• 20 April 2020: South Florida inc. Miami has been downright hot this month -- much warmer than normal for April. However, the rest of the US has been chilly -- much below normal -- and significantly so.
• 20 April 2020: Paper is on a pre-print server but got the full public relations treatment. Contrast with MIT subway study ... dismissed as "not peer reviewed"
• 20 April 2020: This is a "blue-ribbon panel of thought leaders" ... whatever that is worth.
• 20 April 2020: Barrel of U.S. crude oil as low as $14.47 earlier. Down over 15% 🛢
• 20 April 2020: Seeing Michael Jordan & Dennis Rodman on a basketball court in HD for the first time.
• 19 April 2020: No, I don't state that at all. You have reading comprehension issues.
• 19 April 2020: During 1918 Spanish Flu in NYC, the health commissioner at the time staggered work/business hours in order to purposely limit rush hour crowds & congested subway travel. "Lessons From New York’s 1918 Flu Outbreak" -- Feb 29, 2020.
• 19 April 2020: "The beatings will continue until morale improves." -- Karen.
• 19 April 2020: The place to look for talking points & narrative is Jennifer Rubin b/c she blurts out everything happening behind the scenes. She's like a spy exposing the battle plans every day. Crash the economy to win the Senate was yesterday.
• 19 April 2020: So, Trump is in charge of virus testing at a CDC lab in Atlanta b/c he appointed the director of CDC. Gotcha! Side question, you do realize how dumb this sounds, right?
• 19 April 2020: The most prevalent epidemiology model (IMHE) used as scientific basis to shut down southern states w/shelter in place is cited by Governor Kemp of Georgia as the scientific basis to reopen the regional economy mostly in next 10-days.
• 19 April 2020: Any idea who is in charge of the CDC?
• 19 April 2020: Wash Post exposed the CDC failure to create a COVID-19 test due to lab contamination. Reminds me of Seattle researchers who defied CDC to conduct their own tests and confirmed the virus. Then, CDC ordered them to stop again. I'd like to know why.
• 19 April 2020: What idea is bogus? That MTA reduced service or remaining riders are packed into fewer cars?
• 19 April 2020: Don't want to know people like you. Stay ignorant.
• 19 April 2020: Hey asshole, the super-spreading event was due to a funeral gathering several weeks ago. A 67-year man visited Albany to attend funeral who was symptomatic & died soon after. One person seeded the whole outbreak.
• 19 April 2020: Only 2-weeks ago when "the South" was the one-word explanation from bigot sounding NY Times journos ... The South is getting ready to reopen. Perhaps driving alone 5 miles to Dollar General is safer than cramming in a subway car? Map doesn't show that though.
• 19 April 2020: MTA reduced service and in doing so packed remaining riders like sardines on fewer lines. We saw the pictures. The infection rate and death toll among transit workers is staggering:
• 19 April 2020: Author of study linking NYC coronavirus outbreak to subway is defending his research paper (not peer-reviewed) and raises obvious questions about role MTA played in exacerbating crisis. Critics have dismissed the paper out of hand.
• 19 April 2020: HRRRv4 model showing particularly nasty t-storms tomorrow along an axis from Jackson, Mississippi to Macon, Georgia. Going to be a lot of tornado warnings on Sunday.
• 19 April 2020: I'd like to read an article saying that soap opera ratings are through the roof as quarantined workers at home catch up on the sex lives of fictional characters.
• 18 April 2020: Dr. Deborah Birx is basically running things these days & doing an incredible job.
• 18 April 2020: That's clearly the calculus for Pelosi and her caucus. Hold small businesses hostage in order to get bailouts for blue states strangled by public sector pensions. Risky gambit politically me thinks.
• 18 April 2020: Matt, you could read the article to overcome your puny brain problem. State bailout can happen later. Right now PPP needs unanimous consent and clean bill. If you oppose helping small business employees, then fine.
• 18 April 2020: Stalemate continues over $250B expansion of PPP. Democrats want money for hospitals and $150B for states and localities to bail out pension liabilities e.g. Illinois. That's a red line for GOP & anyone else with a brain.
• 18 April 2020: Yes, I examined the salary and benefits of Chicago teachers during their last strike. It was lavish after a certain tenure was established.
• 18 April 2020: Pandemic may finally push Illinois over the edge ... State lawmakers (Democrats) asking for a federal bailout to pay for pensions.
• 18 April 2020: Just the beginning: avalanche of furloughs, hiring freezes, and cost-cutting at state universities across the U.S. Arizona, Tulsa, Valparaiso, Wisconsin, Louisville, Marquette...
• 18 April 2020: Universities are beginning to furlough employees. University of Arizona just announced: The reckoning has just begun with higher education.
• 17 April 2020: The article has the leaked DHS slides.
• 17 April 2020: Wow ... encouraging news! Dept of Homeland Security lab research finds that sunlight ☀️ effectively destroys coronavirus & it does NOT survive long in high temperatures and humidity. 🏖 Weather may indeed significantly affect the virus.
• 17 April 2020: Sandy Springs police in metro #Atlanta clocked motorcyclist at 172 mph Could not catch up to arrest ... Metro roads becoming more packed so NASCAR lanes will be lost to congestion.
• 17 April 2020: Dr. Drew Dr. Phil Dr. Oz All hacks when it comes to coronavirus advice. All made asses out of themselves and claimed they misspoke.
• 17 April 2020: Seeing a lot of New York out of state tags in Atlanta on I-285 this afternoon. As southern states reopen, expecting to see many more refugees from up north.
• 17 April 2020: Updated Ranking of fake science experts on TV: 1. Dr. Phil 2. Bill Nye 3. CNN
• 17 April 2020: HRRRv4 will be within 48-hour forecast window of severe weather coming up. Added a coupon code to @weathermodels_ drops to about $11/month for professional access to ECMWF / EPS & dozens of other model based products.
• 17 April 2020: Michigan Militia was a thing when I was a kid
• 17 April 2020: I wonder why the Washington Post or NY Times didn't publish a series of articles from experts questioning the efficacy of epidemiology models used to make policy. Well, the coast is clear now b/c such criticism can politically hurt Trump and efforts to reopen America.
• 17 April 2020: This was published just 2 days ago. "Climate science deniers turn to attacking coronavirus models" This is deeply disingenuous and reflects the media's commitment to scoring political points rather than actually deeply reporting the science.
• 17 April 2020: Having fancy charts and an interactive website is the key to epidemiology model uptake. Like the NY Times election speedometer or other whiz bang real-time analytics, the public gets to see the sausage being made. No context or expert interpretation necessary!
• 17 April 2020: I thought it was like climate denial to criticize the epidemiology models? Turns out there are honest scientists who are willing to criticize flawed methods and say it to the media. Couple months late to come to this objective reality.
• 16 April 2020 (live): Here's a view of the "Model Lab" to see what I'm working on as well as more oddball products. Expansion underway of: Global BOM ACCESS-G Global UKMET Global ICON HRRRv4 RAPv5 -- new to the site (will be thru 51-hours) ECMWF Cycle 47r1 (parallel)
• 16 April 2020: We'll come up with something shortly. 👀
• 16 April 2020: Great thing about mapping site at @weathermodels_ is the ability to put "new / fresh" products in the Model Lab. Subscribers get to see things that may not appear for months elsewhere, or not at all. I'm constantly adding things & amazingly using less computing. Tricks!
• 16 April 2020 (live): Excited to use the new HRRRv4 -- NOAA's flagship short-term weather model -- when it becomes operational. Right now, we have a parallel-feed of data that extends for 48-hours. And guess what? More snowfall -- decent accumulations along Interstate 80. ❄️
• 16 April 2020: Elon brought receipts to the "fake news" return desk. 🧾
• 16 April 2020: Ha, well if CNN is filing their report, then I'd say Bret's scoop is legit.
• 16 April 2020: Unseasonably strong polar vortex in the middle troposphere right over your head. Slow warming into next week. While the weather link to coronavirus is tenuous, not a leap to say the cold weather has been unhelpful.
• 16 April 2020 (live): HRRRv4 is back prior to operational implementation. Subscribers can view model comparisons @weathermodels_ 00Z/06Z/12Z/18Z extends to 48-hours
• 16 April 2020 (live): Not a coincidence, of course. Bombshell report from Fox News @BretBaier that COVID-19 transmission from bat to human likely occured at Wuhan lab & Chinese covered it up.
• 16 April 2020: "The science says ..." is a well worn excuse lately for trampling on constitutional rights.
• 15 April 2020: Next up is @TedCruz to condemn China's behavior. What has Chinese communist gov't "covered up" and may have been involved in virus release itself at Wuhan labs. "Accidental escape? There needs to be accountability." "Part of the cover up" Whoa.
• 15 April 2020: Pompeo won't get into the 2018 State Dept cables about Wuhan laboratory safety and "how the virus got away" from it. Might have been a slip of tongue ... but this shift in the origin narrative is abrupt.
• 15 April 2020: "Sources" believe disease started in Chinese laboratory. More from @johnrobertsFox "New information is swirling" I must have missed this ... what is going on.
• 15 April 2020: Trump was asked by @johnrobertsFox about "multiple reports" that COVID-19 escaped Wuhan lab after intern got bat blood over herself & boyfriend -- and then went out to wet market. Trump sidestepped the question.
• 15 April 2020: A few weeks ago, choosing a weather data API was a laborious, expensive decision with limited options. With Dark Sky shuttering inside Apple, that leaves a void in the market geared toward small app developers for following: @climacell @visualcrossing @AerisWeather
• 15 April 2020: Cold pool of continental scale settled across the Lower 48 U.S. Except for hot Florida and West Coast, locations in between 10°F to 20°F below normal at 1 PM ... still cold enough for snow this morning in Chicago.
• 15 April 2020: Chance of snowfall again 1-2 inches Friday morning in Chicago. At a certain point, winter needs to give up, right? ❄️
• 15 April 2020: April 15th snowfall in Chicago went well.
• 15 April 2020: I'd like some reassurances that the virus will not reemerge in Wuhan or elsewhere but with a slightly different strain from another bat cave.
• 15 April 2020: Thanks. The Wuhan lab is dedicated to studying such viruses which occur in nature around China. The coincidence people are discussing is the proximity of patients within 800-feet of that lab of a novel coronavirus. The origin is still in doubt.
• 15 April 2020: Since the "wet markets" have reopened, there doesn't seem to be much fear in China that it is ongoing source of coronavirus. No mass culling of critters or search for an infected bat colony -- at least that we know of. So, is the threat contained or over completely?
• 15 April 2020: Initial reports of pneumonia were from people who frequented the "wet market" next door to the Wuhan virus research lab. Senator Tom Cotton has been the most vocal about some sort of lab connection. Is there any actual intelligence saying so?
• 15 April 2020: Can the origin of COVID-19 be one of the most spectacular coincidences in history? Seeing a lot of conspiracy chatter now in mainstream media: Bat woman virus researcher in Wuhan predicts the exact doomsday scenario 12-months prior She is first to recognize & gene sequence it.
• 15 April 2020: This is a "silver lining" according to climate activists that we shouldn't celebrate. Yet they can't seem to stop mentioning how great it is.
• 15 April 2020: There is no doubt that social distancing is critically important w/plenty of research and common sense concluding as much. WashPo "conservative" Jennifer Rubin is like a double agent who blurts out the battle plans or political talking points every morning.
• 15 April 2020: I couldn't readily find the study or research online by these epidemiologists. But, I would be interested in knowing how many deaths would have occurred if social distancing was not implemented or delayed dramatically by 2-weeks+. This would fit a "lives saved" narrative.
• 15 April 2020: NY Times opinion piece from epidemiologists calc the costs (deaths) of delayed social distancing by 1-2 weeks+. This is based upon a new model hindcast using known/observed data since outbreak of COVID-19. But more interesting is what we knew at time.
• 15 April 2020: I see Whitey Bulger's nephew is still listed 🧐
• 15 April 2020: (c) complimentary booze on all flights over 1-hour🍷
• 14 April 2020: Temperatures well below normal across much of the Lower 48 ... coldest in Texas at 30-35°F below normal. Flip side of coin, temperatures soaring into mid-90s in central & south Florida -- well above normal for mid-April & more typical of July.
• 14 April 2020: "The models were wrong" Should a meteorologist ever blame bad modeling for a busted weather forecast?
• 13 April 2020: Accumulated lightning from the storm system over the past 48-hours. Highest lightning density in Texas. Note the "tracks" of the individual supercells -- many with tornadoes -- in Mississippi into Alabama. Today's storms were in SE GA and N Florida.
• 13 April 2020: Update: dryer is operational. Replaced the thermal fuses & heating element (though not burned out). Half of the repair crew fell asleep on the job. Difficulty was 2 out of 10.
• 13 April 2020: IVT is such a wonderful variable to explain the Earth's weather. Not sure how often you get to zoom out to the entire globe but I'd be interested to see monthly-mean transport deviations from climo.
• 13 April 2020: 🚨Windy🚨 Looking at maximum wind gusts forecast by NWS. southern New Jersey 60-70 mph NYC: 60-65 mph Boston: 65 mph+
• 13 April 2020: I hear that people slept through the severe weather at night -- no matter how bad & are surprised when they wake up & see trees uprooted. Radar from last 10-hours shows the damaging squall line heading from Alabama thru #Atlanta and now off the SE Coast. (@weathermodels_)
• 13 April 2020: Lightning took out my electricity in #Atlanta. ⚡
• 13 April 2020: Lightning strike "tracks" over the past 12-hours show the criss-crossing storm paths or footprints extending from Louisiana through Mississippi and now into AL, GA and TN.
• 13 April 2020: Hot across much of Florida on Monday. 95°+ along Interstate 4 including Orlando. Average highs are normally 81-83°F so mid-90s is definitely summer-time heat.
• 13 April 2020: Well ahead of the squall line -- thunder rumbling through #Atlanta as temperatures pushing into the upper-70s with strong south winds. That is a worrying signal. Expecting this nasty line with severe winds to crash into the metro before 1 AM ET. Radar 11:14 PM
• 13 April 2020: Vigorous flow into the storm system caused west winds across South Texas and far Northeast Mexico to dry air and heat up. Temperatures in Brownsville, Texas record hot at 103°F. Over 110°F further south down the Mexican coast.
• 13 April 2020: The storms approaching Montgomery in the next hour probably what #Atlanta metro will see around 1 AM ET. Radar (10:16 PM ET) shows a squall line w/embedded severe cells including tornado warnings now reaching Birmingham.
• 13 April 2020: Tornado warnings into NW Georgia near Dalton. #Atlanta still escaping storms but new line of severe weather brewing to the West for after Midnight.
• 12 April 2020: Hopefully folks realize how windy it is going to be in the Great Lakes and Northeast ... 50-mph gusts are likely over a large area but in the coastal cities of Northeast including NYC, 60-65 mph+ gusts possible. 90-mph+ offshore.
• 12 April 2020: Upon Trump's inauguration, scientists as a group openly embraced "resistance" ideology & refused to cooperate w/admin & in many cases worked directly against it. A quick glance of the TDS on their Twitter feeds should not surprise anyone why their expertise is not requested.
• 12 April 2020: During last 3-years+ of Trump administration, climate scientists have largely been shut out of decision making process at the Federal level. The current pandemic is an opportunity for "experts" to exert more influence on policy making.
• 12 April 2020: Birmingham, Alabama and just north looking at a massive storm complex in the next 15-30 minutes with tornado warnings. (Radar 5 PM CT)
• 12 April 2020: Possible EF-4 or EF-5 tornado ongoing on southern Mississippi heading toward Interstate 59 near Laurel.
• 12 April 2020: My Easter memory to share would be rolling eggs in the White House lawn in 1987. I recall VP Bush and Mrs. Barbara Bush were there, not sure about Reagan. I got a wooden egg souvenir.
• 12 April 2020: Situation escalating an hour west of Birmingham as severe storms plow into Alabama. Organization into a line extends back to Jackson. Points east including #Atlanta should monitor squall line arrival around Midnight.
• 12 April 2020: The Beijing bureau of the NY Times must really be an interesting place to look for facts and the truth (on anything).
• 12 April 2020: Noted in story how GA Tech used to help professor w/the paperwork but for some reason stopped. With the layers of bureaucracy e.g. vice chancellors, sustainability provosts, and diversity deans you'd think GA Tech could have spared a few hours of clerical time to help her out.
• 12 April 2020: This is a wild story about a well-respected disease professor at Georgia Tech sidelined from COVID-19 research b/c she is facing prison time for falsifying Nat'l Science Foundation grant paperwork. 🧐
• 12 April 2020: Worst of severe storms are in northern Louisiana this morning near Shreveport. Be on watch the rest of Easter Sunday along Interstate 20 corridor for tornadic storms.
• 12 April 2020: "petty tyrants" That term exemplifies government today at the local and state level. State governors to small town mayors are power thirsty and see this emergency to hold the public hostage to their whims. Needs to backfire hard.
• 12 April 2020: Very windy 🚨 Maximum forecast wind gusts from NWS over next 3-days from powerful mid-April storm: NYC --> Long Island 62-70 mph+ Boston 60-65 mph Offshore 75-90 mph.
• 12 April 2020: Precipitation compared to normal for the past 60-days across the Southeast: Dry in Florida. Orlando --> Tampa --> Miami 10% to 30% of normal. Very wet in to the north. Atlanta, Montgomery, Nashville running 100-150% of normal.
• 12 April 2020: I'm a big proponent of "swath" or accumulated maps of whatever variable (usually wind). HRRR modeled "lightning" over next 36-hours -- when animated -- shows the evolution of this storm system well. Current supercell west of San Antonio is opening act. (@weathermodels_)
• 12 April 2020: 💯 ... they got us here. But they have not gone anywhere. No accountability, no self-reflection or course correction.
• 12 April 2020: High-resolution modeling from HRRR updating now for best look ahead next 36-hrs. Lightning & updraft helicity shows focus of severe weather extending from northern Louisiana into central & northern Mississippi thru late afternoon Sunday. Areas of high "supercell potential"
• 12 April 2020: Winds 40-60 mph with higher gusts in the Northeast by midday Monday -- out of the south. Westerly winds across the Great Lakes gusting 40-mph+ The center of the low pressure will be heading into northern Quebec.
• 12 April 2020: Powerful mid-April storm system with severe weather, snowfall, and a lot of wind. This animation shows the source of subtropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico & then from Atlantic surging north focused along cold front. The cyclone Low tracks thru Great Lakes into Canada
• 11 April 2020: Staying the course here in Georgia should be the ticket out of the lockdown in early May. Hindsight is literally 2020 this year, but decisions made in GA and FL seem to be panning out ... perhaps luck but we'll take it.
• 11 April 2020: Georgia and Florida may be benefitting from warm/hot weather earlier. But suburban sprawl might also be mitigating the spread of coronavirus. Early shutdown of Atlanta limited 5.5 Million metro from becoming a major hotspot.
• 11 April 2020: Gov Kemp extended stay at home until April 30th but parks, recreation and essential business remain open with 6 foot distancing. 🏞 Kemp urges Easter worshippers to stay home and almost all Pastors will surely stream their services. ⛪
• 11 April 2020: Georgia seems to have flattened the COVID-19 curve with linear inflection growth rather than exponential. Peak expected in next 7-10 days. Recall that #Atlanta shut down very early on ... NY Times writers failed to recognize the importance of effective city leadership.
• 11 April 2020: Many still wondering how a Hyundai Sonata can go 117 mph 🚗 Atlanta metro freeways are a pleasure to drive on. Avg speed is 80 mph with a NASCAR lane at 100 mph+
• 11 April 2020: While I have quibbles with the severe convective categories from NOAA I can at least understand and explain it. But not the Weather Channel TOR:CON Still no clue what's going on 🤷‍♂️
• 11 April 2020: How do you communicate that? Isolated severe thunderstorms with hail/tornado/winds? function(% chance storms develop, intensity, coverage)
• 11 April 2020: I think the confusion boils down to the average person's definition of "Enhanced" when it comes to risk ... Also, as terms are used in (social) media & after years of uptake, they can take on new/better/worse meanings. Particularly Dangerous Situation (PDS) gets my attention.
• 11 April 2020: Changes in the convective outlook categories were actually small e.g. Slight split into Slight & Enhanced Risk while Moderate and High risk remained same. Not suggesting it's changed again but how would u communicate the "Moderate" risk to the public?
• 11 April 2020: NOAA & Weather Service rejiggered "severe weather" categories a few years ago w/help of social science & communications experts. Upcoming severe/tornado outbreak is considered "Moderate" like calling a Category 4 hurricane "moderate". I'm not one to criticize, but come on.
• 11 April 2020: Ilhan Omar's daughter founded and currently directs this "grassroots" climate outfit.
• 11 April 2020: The current eruption is obviously nothing like 1883 or Pinatubo in 1991. Yet tropical volcanic eruptions are highly disruptive (cooling) to the climate. Climate models do indeed include volcanic eruption effects.
• 11 April 2020: Didn't have Krakatoa on my 2020 Bingo card. I will put my dobber on "all hell breaks loose" 🌋 The climate cooled dramatically after the volcano injected aerosols high into atmosphere. The ocean cooling memory still persists today? Maybe:
• 11 April 2020: I think Kentucky is winning the lockdown derby right now with license plate tracking.
• 11 April 2020: Gov. Whitmer of Michigan has enacted very strict travel & movement measures in the state. Michigan was a few days too late to enact response measures & is now fighting uphill. #PureMichigan
• 11 April 2020: Dr. Ali Mokdad from @IHME_UW just said on @BillHemmer "the worst is behind us" and time to start focusing on how to reopen the economy. Team is working on new models to best advise on next steps. First interview I've seen that is authoritative and optimistic.
• 11 April 2020: A small "error" in the initial conditions (analysis) grows exponentially into the future. Data is terribly incomplete during the early infection phase. There are ways to parameterize what we do not know, but that is just another set of assumptions. Not very satisfying.
• 10 April 2020: "How can the model be off so much?" Well, the cumulative deaths metric grows exponentially if you don't take dramatic action now, then you will be on that dangerous increasing trajectory. Also, fewer deaths is lagging indicator of successful social distancing measures.
• 10 April 2020: Seems many movie theaters will not reopen. From a retail space perspective, what is the easiest thing to do with that big space to re-lease the building? e.g. old storefronts like K-Mart turned into gyms
• 10 April 2020: NY Times highlighting the dangerous anti-science views of Hollywood celebrities such as John Cusack & Woody Harrelson on "5G spreading coronavirus" Same mentality with "anti-vaccine" activists among mostly activists on the political left.
• 10 April 2020: GFS is freely available from @weathermodels_ Integrated Vapor Transport (IVT) is one of my favorite weather variables.
• 10 April 2020: Climate attribution thoughts: Severe weather threat this Easter weekend likely (100%) fueled by climate change. Very warm (compared to normal) Gulf of Mexico waters will turbo-charge tornadic thunderstorms over a large area. Water vapor levels are off the charts.
• 10 April 2020: "How a 2% tornado risk turned into seven twisters that killed 25 people and leveled thousands of buildings"
• 10 April 2020: Ranking of experts: Leading Expert Top Expert Expert Type expert into Google News -- you'll see how many different ways the media frames expertise.
• 10 April 2020: Walmart is selling over 400 million rolls of toilet paper per week.🧻
• 10 April 2020: You completely misread what I said. Viruses are typically NOT named after villages or cities like Wuhan.
• 10 April 2020: The talking points must have gone out from Team Biden: Jennifer Rubin just blurts it out:
• 9 April 2020: Good point. I'd speculate that the rapid reduction in modeled cases/deaths would necessitate a rapid course correction on the lockdowns & open things up state by state. With proper testing & masks, then flip the switch in 10 days in some places?
• 9 April 2020: Universities are facing a financial disaster as campuses & stadiums remain empty. Professors and the bloated cadre of administrators are expensive to maintain & some schools are asking for federal bailout money to keep the Ivory Towers running.
• 9 April 2020: College students upset with the low quality of Zoom online courses are demanding tuition refunds. But unlikely to happen as colleges can't afford refunds w/o laying off administrators (deans, provosts) and hiring freezes. Lawsuits being considered.
• 9 April 2020: Also, the high end number was always reported (up to). The ensemble members in the envelope, if applied like a weather forecast, are supposed to be dispersed so the mean/median (if well calibrated) is closest to the truth.
• 9 April 2020: Monday according to the AJC. Also, retroactive to when the law was passed.
• 9 April 2020: I understand. The comparison is more technical in how the update cycling works rather than the social implications. I've got a different agenda with this and that's why I first commented today after saying nothing for 2 months.
• 9 April 2020: The $1200 stimulus is coming too. I know friends who have been out of work for 3 weeks working as servers and bartenders & have no paychecks coming. But unemployment at $1000/week retroactive to March 20th is pretty legit.
• 9 April 2020: Georgia processed over 1/2 million unemployment applications in the past 2 weeks. Benefits capped at $365/week. But starting Monday, Georgia will add $600/week on top. Gig workers and freelancers can apply for this $1000/week as well.
• 9 April 2020: "As data comes in, our estimates will change, much like weather forecasts adjust." ... as I was saying earlier with hurricane forecasts. This explanation makes intuitive sense and people already have a baseline understanding of risk.
• 9 April 2020: The model is freely available on the IMHE website updated every day. It's a bad time to be spreading conspiracy theories.
• 9 April 2020: Even if you think the models are garbage, the output is trending in the right direction to more quickly end the lockdown. And the trend is your friend.
• 9 April 2020: Mayor Lightfoot of Chicago and the Police Chief of Hialeah, Florida are very concerned with personal grooming and will break their own laws to keep trim. 💈
• 9 April 2020: I'm definitely more curious about how they work and any folks who work across the disciplines. People need to slow their roll w/unfounded criticism b/c we need confidence in IMHE output to open back up the economy sooner.
• 9 April 2020: Would you agree that what we are seeing is the value of more/better data being assimilated into the model? Hesitate to make too many weather/data assimilation/ensemble parallels, but seems like we have better recon now & storm is better understood / closer to landfall.
• 9 April 2020: Analogy is that there's a Category 5 hurricane right off the coast and there is a "cone of uncertainty" about where it will ultimately strike at maximum ferocity. Residents ordered to evacuate over a large area. It strikes but damage less than worst case scenario. Good!
• 9 April 2020: I'm not following the logic of some that are bashing the "models" for our current pandemic policy. 🧐
• 9 April 2020: Yes, my remark implied it could be filtered out. Has that been done for 2019 vs. 2020? The side-by-side comparisons are cool but perhaps a normalized % change vs. long-term climo so we know how many standard deviations change. That's my best idea.
• 9 April 2020: Any good ideas from the scientists (e.g. Zhu) about how to deduce the weather influences on 2019 vs. 2020 NO2? I haven't dug deeply but I see weather mentioned a lot including in your article.
• 9 April 2020: Stimulus money to begin arriving in bank accounts as early as today if the IRS has your direct deposit information on file e.g. you recently filed and received a refund. IRS will set up a website for u to type your bank info -- or you'll have to wait eons for a paper check.
• 9 April 2020: You are operating under the blind assumption that I disagree with you (on anything).
• 9 April 2020: Gas prices have fallen to $0.78/gal in Lake City, Minnesota. That's 78-cents.
• 9 April 2020: In the grossest sense, the IMHE model is cycling every day with new inputs (obs). That's similar to a weather model. That's my only point. Thanks for offering more context. No need to be so combative.
• 9 April 2020: Based upon updated models using new observations -- just like a weather forecast -- projection of U.S. deaths from COVID-19 cut in half again. Dr. Fauci delivered the good news this morning. 60,000 (April 9 projected) 240,000 (March 31) 2 million (?)
• 9 April 2020: And open up rare earth mines immediately in the U.S. or we won't be manufacturing tomorrow's tech.
• 9 April 2020: Feb 27th: "The time is ripe for clear leadership from the WHO based on science not politics." Very ripe.
• 9 April 2020: Checking the pre-print server for new weather & COVID-19 research. A few more have popped up including one that mentions solar cycles as a factor in the spread e.g. solar minimums. Reading that one first. Then, off to explore 5G connections. j/k
• 9 April 2020: Good reminder that the bloated bureaucracy at universities including pyramids of deans & provosts will weather this pandemic just fine. Support staff like janitors, food service, and facilities will get the shaft. Students should not expect a refund.
• 9 April 2020: A dean at NYU sent a nice video to students demanding refunds. Dancing to REM's "Losing my Religion" or in their case "Losing my Tuition" Great song choice 🎶
• 9 April 2020: With universities shuttered, & remaining classes online, college students are demanding refunds for room & board as well as tuition. However, most universities refuse to issue refunds, and students suddenly feel ripped off. 🤦‍♂️
• 9 April 2020: Off duty Atlanta Police Dept officer who broke quaratine for COVID-19 pulled over in red Dodge Challenger going 130 mph by state trooper. Only a citation was issued.
• 8 April 2020: I'm waiting to see how much Old Towne Media made in commissions for Bernie's ad buys. In last 2 cycles, probably pulled in $25M+
• 8 April 2020: Awful but not surprising. We've been told that international travel restrictions don't work. Blood on their hands.
• 8 April 2020: Florida vegetables are left to rot b/c restaurants shuttered. Food banks loaded up with millions of pounds, can't take more. Grocery stores will not take b/c most retail produce is imported. Sigh.
• 8 April 2020: ABC News is the latest outfit to do a detailed flight data study on the spread of COVID-19 from international routes. Airport workers continue to be severely impacted. Baffling why airports continue operating as if nothing has happened.
• 8 April 2020: I'm asked a lot by developers about what weather API to use for their project. There is no perfect singular solution & some providers have unworkable Terms of Service. @climacell stepping up to fill a market void in the private sector weather data space
• 8 April 2020: The severe cells that rolled in off Lake Michigan into northern Manistee County were impressive. Around 8 pm ET That's my hometown 🏠
• 8 April 2020: The line of severe storms as of 11:40 PM ET
• 8 April 2020: Not used to seeing long tracks of severe storms across Michigan. Observed lightning shows the footprint nicely over the past 6-hours.
• 8 April 2020: My repair crew is already on top of it.
• 8 April 2020: Not that I like when stuff breaks, but when a car, appliance or something around the house goes kaput, I take it as a challenge to fix. To a point. Dryer repair coming up Thursday. Heating element fried.
• 7 April 2020: Climate scientists warn that the temporary reduction (if any) of CO2 caused by the COVID-19 shutdown will not abate climate change. While the current lockdown might be too sudden or disliked by many people, a more permanent solution will be needed soon
• 7 April 2020: My day would be complete if Dan Rather Tweeted in support of Nurse Vera. Her video was "fake but accurate"
• 7 April 2020: While research hasn't be completed yet, there's little doubt that climate change made COVID-19 much more deadly. Global pandemics are consistent with what scientists expect as the world warms. Climate fueled extreme weather is a "one-two" punch:
• 7 April 2020: Reminder the global warming has not gone away at all during the COVID-19 global pandemic. March 2020 was in the top-3 warmest overall on par with March 2017 & 2019. The red on the maps keeps increasing as areas overheat due to climate crisis #ClimateEmergency
• 7 April 2020: A tiny increase in lifetime exposure to particulate matter in the air can increase your chance of dying from COVID-19 by 2000%. That's a startling number. The researchers advocate ratcheting up air pollution regulations.
• 7 April 2020: Amazing turnaround on this research. An unpublished Harvard University manuscript has statistically linked past/current/future deaths due to COVID-19 to air pollution in urban areas. (Pre-print service: )
• 7 April 2020: The U.S. Navy JTWC records show maximum intensity of 75-knots -- way too low. Maximum intensity is 100-115 knots (Cat 3-4). Major shortcoming of research on global hurricanes looking back more than 30-years: our data records in much of the world have not been re-analyzed.
• 7 April 2020: The tools we use today in the 2020s to determine hurricane intensity around the globe are generally the same as 40-50 years ago. But major difference was the real-time availability of satellite imagery especially for "polar orbiters" ... case is Cyclone Uma from 1987.
• 7 April 2020: Waiting on a rebate for auto insurance from Progressive. I note that they already charge a $1/month installment fee for splitting up 6-month premium. So, that's $12/year in pure profit. "Reminder: We add a $1.00 installment fee about 10 days before the due date."
• 7 April 2020: Fiji is watching Cyclone Harold as it approaches from the West. Hopefully, the nearly Category 4 storm skirts south of Nadi & strongest winds remain off the southern coast.
• 7 April 2020: Stimulus checks were in Phase 3 not the bill 5-weeks ago.
• 7 April 2020: Had Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi not delayed and filibustered the Relief bill for almost 2 weeks, Americans would already be getting their Stimulus checks. A family of 4 could have had $3400 in their bank account on Monday. Instead, who knows when it's coming.
• 7 April 2020: Cyclone Harold nearing Nadi, Fiji. The top half of the storm will lash the island over the next 24-hours. Then, Harold heads toward Tonga. Intensity is currently Category 3 (110-knots) It's "hurricane season" in the South Pacific.
• 7 April 2020: City of Atlanta is allowing 100s of homeless to use the airport as a shelter overnight raising concerns about creating a major COVID-19 hotspot. Non-profit groups are working hard to find shelter in the city. The Mayor & City Council are not responding.
• 7 April 2020: No, we haven't run out of trees to make toilet paper. The stores are emptied b/c most people are now taking care of business at home instead of the office, at restaurants or hotels.
• 7 April 2020: To verify these weather forecasts, we use the initial conditions or analysis as the truth. 0 hours --> 5 days --> 10 days To get the 0 hour initial conditions, we use the previous 6 hour forecast & all available satellite & conventional observations
• 7 April 2020: ECMWF model had 3 bad forecasts in a row which is unusual but does happen when the atmosphere presents a complicated situation that is difficult to forecast. Anyways, the king is back to 97% 👑
• 7 April 2020: While this is "fantasy land" with the models -- Day 8+ I find extreme scenarios fascinating e.g. what are the atmospheric players / configuration necessary for this to develop in mid-April? Is it predestined to occur b/c of atmospheric flow regime/pattern?
• 6 April 2020: Rush hour in #Atlanta looking south down the Connector thru Midtown. Typically this is a parking lot of gridlock. Today, a few cars here and there.
• 6 April 2020: “I’ve looked at all the models. I’ve spent a lot of time on the models. They don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models.” (Anthony Fauci) Just saw the large revision to IHME. How much are we adjusting policy based upon these models?
• 6 April 2020: Sorry, it's not part of the site. I will only periodically update it here on Twitter.
• 6 April 2020: I periodically update this chart and post it here on Twitter.
• 6 April 2020: Updated chart to included Germany's global model (ICON) I'll keep this updated over the next few months.
• 6 April 2020: Joe Biden is transmitting on a 2 week delay from his basement.
• 6 April 2020: The craziness is a two-way street. I see scientists spreading "conspiracies" continuously here on Twitter whether it's the latest Maddow bombshell or some other anti-Trump narrative. Not clear why otherwise smart & successful people are so susceptible to "fake news"
• 6 April 2020: Hollywood celebrities disproportionately spout crackpot conspiracy theories which their fans/followers spread through social media. Woody Harrelson says his Hollywood friends are talking about 5G signals being responsible for coronavirus.
• 6 April 2020: Category 5 cyclones are common in the Southwest Pacific especially Feb-April as very warm water in the tropics allows for rapid intensification. The storms are typically smaller in size compared to Typhoons on other side of equator.
• 6 April 2020: Cyclone Harold up to 145-knots (Category 5) according to JTWC. The powerful storm is located in the Vanuatu Islands east of Australia. The forecast track has Harold sliding south of Nadi, Fiji but major impacts could still occur in under 36-hours.
• 6 April 2020: Cyclone Harold intensified as it tracked through Vanuatu on its way to south of Fiji in the Southwest Pacific. Intensity from Navy JTWC is 135-knots (top of Category 4) but satellite algorithms show 145-150 knots (Cat 5) This area often has very strong cyclones (hurricanes)
• 6 April 2020: Satellite intensity estimate by human analyst using Dvorak methods pegs Harold at Cat 5 (140-knots) T 7.0 Automated Dvorak up to 7.2. Not stopping so T 7.5 (155-knots) is potential in 6-12 hours.
• 6 April 2020: This is fascinating. Was the 1944 D-Day weather forecast right for the wrong reason? In other words -- lucky? Haven't read it yet so no spoilers!
• 6 April 2020: HWRF is an impressive weather model for hurricanes around the world. GFS gets a lot of unfriendly press but HWRF is a jewel of U.S. weather modeling.
• 6 April 2020: How do we know that Cyclone Harold half a world away is a Category 5? Satellite imagery algorithms trained upon decades of storms + research allows us to estimate fairly well. Automated Dvorak Techinique (ADT)
• 6 April 2020: Fiji could be directly threatened by Harold as a strong Cat 3+ hurricane. It is forecast to track south of Nadi but might not miss entirely.
• 6 April 2020: Vanuatu (spellcheck) This area of the South Pacific east of Australia sees some of the strongest hurricanes on Earth. Tonga, Vanuatu, New Caledonia are all in the neighborhood and can be obliterated by these cyclones.
• 6 April 2020: Cyclone Harold appears to have jumped to Category 5 (140-knots) as it heads ESE of Luganville, Vauatu in the South Pacific
• 6 April 2020: The doctor quoted in the NY Times piece said illegal wildlife trade should be monitored like terrorism. The next pandemic does not need to be so easy and inevitable.
• 6 April 2020: It seems the risk for zoonotic transmission of viruses from bats & mammals to humans will actually increase in the future as China and elsewhere as illegal wildlife trade continues. Intelligence agencies will need to monitor closely.
• 6 April 2020: But, as we've seen in the news, the Wuhan "wet markets" are supposedly reopening. No information about any mass eradication of critters like the illegally trafficked "pangolin"
• 6 April 2020: With the SARS 2003 outbreak, the civet cat -- a mongoose like critter that eats fruit and lives in palm trees -- was linked to the virus. The wildlife markets were shut down and the civets were culled.
• 6 April 2020: Bats have been linked to several coronoviruses that have jumped to other mammals before humans. In January, NY Times did a lot of reporting on the possible origin of COVID-19 but since there is only speculation about the mammal involved.
• 6 April 2020: Working on it. Scroll back like 4 Tweets.
• 6 April 2020: 500 hPa height is only one metric and these deterministic models should be used within a properly calibrated ensemble system. So, when FV3-GEFS comes along & FV3-GFS is upgraded (this summer) then I'd expect the Red Line to stop being the worst. Hopefully.
• 6 April 2020: 92 cents a gallon in Shawnee, Oklahoma.
• 6 April 2020: Well actually, the cheapest I could currently find is 92 cents a gallon in Shawnee, Oklahoma. That is indeed 1 cent per gallon more than Trump said. So, yeah, James has really nailed him this time.
• 6 April 2020: Yes, these "drop-outs" are endemic to all weather models during regime changes like high latitude block breakdown.
• 6 April 2020: Digging thru ACCESS-G (APS3) global model data from Australia BOM for @weathermodels_ (last 70-forecasts) Forecast verification (NH z500 5-days) shows the Aussie was the #2 model during the past 7-days only behind the ECMWF👑 GFS is having a rough one.
• 5 April 2020: No room for traffic stops until you get well away from Atlanta, more rural.
• 5 April 2020: If you're not paying attention and just going with the flow, then the speedometer says 95 mph. There usually is no need for police radar on the roads, too congested.
• 5 April 2020: Interstate speeds around Atlanta have increased dramatically. The left lanes are now minimum 90 mph. Plenty of fancy cars going 100 mph+ on I-75. Truckers w/o governors moving 80-85 mph.
• 5 April 2020: Coming soon to @weathermodels_ ACCESS-G (APS3) 12-km data (00z/12z -- 10-days) full-resolution global & U.S. maps/charts The Australia Bureau of Meteorology flagship global weather model is based upon the highly skillful MetOffice Unified Model.
• 5 April 2020: Joe Biden has been transmitting on a 2 month delay. Biden's kneejerk reaction to Trump's travel ban was anti-science denial of the origin of the virus in Wuhan, China. But maybe it was more? Biden may be in Beijing's pocket.
• 5 April 2020: The Washington Post says don't worry. We should be more worried about a "solar superstorm". Doomsday scenarios "rarely" happen.
• 5 April 2020: Newt Gingrich has been talking for decades about Electromagnetic Pulses. Are we prepared? Who knows, but Trump issued the "Executive Order on Coordinating National Resilience to Electromagnetic Pulses". We were warned & can now say "told you so"
• 5 April 2020: Cyclone Harold is pounding Vanuatu in the South Pacific Ocean -- with an ongoing burst of intensification & clearing eye. I'd put intensity at 125-knots (middle Category 4).
• 4 April 2020: Did Joe write this Tweet? President Trump said he didn't and is incapable. Why is Joe transmitting from his basement on a 2 week delay?
• 4 April 2020: The next step is to correct that grid point to the station location thru MOS or another technique. That's why we still need the humans. 😉
• 4 April 2020: It's the ECMWF EPS model climatology (red line) so it may differ by 1°F in either direction. The model grid point represents a large square (20 x 20 km) so it is averaging weather across an area rather than outputting a single point.
• 4 April 2020: Powerful Tropical Cyclone Harold is rapidly intensifying near Vanuatu well east of Australia in the Southwest Pacific Ocean. Winds may reach Category 4 soon.
• 4 April 2020: Never use hand dryers in public restrooms. It just blows the entire day's business on your hands and face. 😨
• 3 April 2020: Maybe Dr. Fauci has more important things to do than waste 2-hours with the dense neutron stars of the White House press corps.
• 3 April 2020: Nope, hurricane names Agnes, Florence, Gert.
• 3 April 2020: There are at least 6 gray kitties in my house. 😺
• 3 April 2020: Two of my co-workers started fighting in the office for no reason.
• 3 April 2020: Impressive cold front blasting through the central US erasing spring warmth this afternoon. At least a 40°F drop. Sunny and warm across the Southeast🏖️
• 3 April 2020: Yes. If a population of critters was rampant in the area, then they would have sought it out to eradicate like the civets with SARS in 2003. Something was introduced into that market and people started dying.
• 3 April 2020: Senator Tom Cotton has said early on and repeatedly that the origin of the COVID-19 is shrouded in mystery and needs investigation. Perhaps he saw U.S. intelligence saying as much. Will we ever know?
• 3 April 2020: "Wuhan virus research lab" Glad you're woke but also dumb as hell.
• 3 April 2020: Well, then you're going against the published scientific literature on the origin of COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan. Don't be a woke crackpot. Go away.
• 3 April 2020: Stop Hank. No one but you is stirring bigotry here. What the hell is wrong with you?
• 3 April 2020: That's what I called it. Please don't insert that bigoted stuff in this conversation.
• 3 April 2020: Consensus emerging within scientific circles and other media including Washington Post that the Wuhan virus research lab (next door to seafood market) was likely & obvious source of non-local bat coronavirus (COVID-19). Viruses escaping from labs is too frequent in China.
• 3 April 2020: Joe Biden is transmitting from his basement on a 2 week delay.
• 3 April 2020: Is "common core" math still a thing? Are homeschooling parents able to teach or understand it?
• 3 April 2020: Atlanta Hartsfield is using 3 runways to help park about 600 aircraft
• 3 April 2020: Just not sanitary. Reusing anything like a fabric bag (without sanitizing) would lower your health code score to failing at any reputable restaurant.
• 3 April 2020: Yikes! I didn't see a coherent or intellectual argument here at all. Smears and character assassination. Didn't realize Jerry was just a garden variety partisan hack.
• 3 April 2020: Obvious question is if there is any research on the negative health impacts of reusable bags? Are they disease vectors being introduced over and over to stores? Nasty.
• 3 April 2020: This was a reference in a nice Nature summary of how "epidemiologists rushed to model the coronavirus pandemic". Disciplines share common tools and jargon so scientists in different fields can appreciate the immense effort going on here. 🙏
• 3 April 2020: Summary of recent article on "Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola" sounds like ensemble weather forecasting to me. Incomplete observations.
• 3 April 2020: You can see the tactic from @SenSchumer accusing Trump of delaying the relief money. Accusing the political opponent of exactly what they themselves are guilty. The main audience for this projection technique is journalists.
• 2 April 2020: Is this true? Joe Biden's live stream only has 1700 viewers -- 1.7K?
• 2 April 2020: Meteorologists cringe at this all the time. A map thrown out on the Internet with no labels or accompanying text only an ugly statement about different classes or groups of people. It's worse than just sloppy journalism.
• 2 April 2020: Gov Kemp obviously misspoke and corrected the record. But in this political climate, if you have an (R) after your name, you have to be doubly careful not to garble the transmission.
• 2 April 2020: I-285 heading into Spaghetti Junction NE of #Atlanta -- with Stone Mountain in the distance -- is wide open. Builds to a parking lot usually around 3 PM Sunshine, blue skies and a nice breeze. Camera 231 static link:
• 2 April 2020: Shopping carts, counters and checkout belts require constant sanitizing. The mixture of raw produce, meat, and people is a nasty Petri dish.
• 2 April 2020: Roads empty = high speed chases though suburbs in Michigan. Amazing no one was killed/injured in the public or law enforcement. Car obliterated / split in half by stationary tree.
• 2 April 2020: San Francisco has "unbanned" reusable plastic bags b/c dirty, unwashed, bacteria strewn cloth bags are a health threat. Who knew?
• 2 April 2020: The original Tweet has been removed by the NY Times ... but we all know what he meant. Twitter allows journalists to show everyone exactly who they really are.
• 2 April 2020: Prior to coronavirus, the top issue in my county was the proliferation of "dollar stores" in low-income areas. It upset a commissioner who didn't like they way they looked. So, they banned any new small-box retailer permits. Wonder if that moronic decision will be revisited?
• 2 April 2020: Atlanta downtown connector parking lot which normally sees 200K-300K cars per day is empty. Georgia 400, I-85, I-75, I-285 which handle millions of commuters each day are empty. Explain to everyone "down here" what we are doing wrong.
• 2 April 2020: I recall a month ago when my county put a temporary ban on new "dollar stores" b/c it signaled a depressed economy. Those county leaders should be jettisoned out the nearest airlock. Dollar General is saving rural areas!
• 2 April 2020: Completely missing that part of 6th grade where they discuss Urban vs. Rural Metro #Atlanta has been shut down for 3-weeks. People need to drive > 2-miles in rural areas ("The South") to get food & prescriptions. The ignorance here is only eclipsed by the bigotry.
• 2 April 2020: Another map -- Atlanta has been shut down for 3-weeks. Have to hand it to the (NYC) elite media trying to dunk on "The South" ... #Atlanta and Mayor Bottoms has been leading. To hell with y'all.
• 2 April 2020: If you look at the actual story, then you'd see the Map with Atlanta metro (> 5-million population) where people are no longer driving -- or taking mass transit -- or flying out out the busiest airport in the world. We are shut down in "The South"
• 2 April 2020: Sharing this map w/o any context or the underlying story is disingenuous. Adding text about "The South" is bigoted.
• 2 April 2020: What about the needless delays from your stupid filibuster of the CARES act? People will lose their homes & livelihoods b/c you sat on your ass and delayed the bill & checks by > 1-week. You need to repent.
• 2 April 2020: While the "Cash for Clunker" program probably wasn't a good idea economically, it was perhaps the best named government program (boondoggle). But could a version of it work today?
• 2 April 2020: Georgia --> shelter in place. I've heard from several people that the State of Georgia is indeed processing + approving unemployment claims for gig-economy and service employees (tips) up to 16-weeks for COVID-19 affected businesses.
• 2 April 2020: First look at Global temperatures for March 2020 were +0.60°C above 1981-2010 climatology. That puts last month in the Top 4 warmest ... The 365-day running mean temperature anomaly is nearly at the all-time high (see chart). #ClimateChange
• 2 April 2020: And, by next Wednesday 90s across all of Florida. 🏖️ The Southeast and Gulf Coast have seen a very early Spring and apparently now Summer. 🌡️
• 2 April 2020: By early next week, it will feel like Spring across the central and eastern US with temperatures in the 70s in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. 80s along the Gulf coast. Tuesday high temperatures (NWS)
• 2 April 2020: A significant storm to batter West Coast including California by Sunday. Heavy rainfall along coast and many feet of snow in the Sierra. This will be very welcome rain/snow heading toward the end of the wet/cold season! ECMWF 12z GIF: @weathermodels_
• 1 April 2020: Roads in #Atlanta are empty. I-75, I-85, and I-285 at 4:15 pm during rush hour.
• 1 April 2020: ... the temperature and humidity along with data about COVID-19 cases (from Johns Hopkins) This is more evidence in support of weather being important for virus transmission similar to the flu (w/caveats). I'll keep an eye out for more research papers.
• 1 April 2020: Recently updated COVID-19 paper on dependence of weather/climate on transmission. Sajadi et al. (2020) find latitudinal corridor between 30°N-50°N w/temperatures ranging 41°F-52°F w/low humidity. @CopernicusEU hosts a mapping interface to visualize ...
• 1 April 2020: Anyone can explore GFS (in real-time) 🔓. Currently, no restrictions to view and share products. Try here: The rest of the site is viewed or can be toured but products are 2-days old.
• 1 April 2020: Excited to see the new version of weathermodels (v 2.0) updated for both desktop and mobile. Anyone can tour the site and see changes -- many are subtle & highly detailed oriented for user experience. We are always expanding/updating models (e.g. ECMWF, FV3-GFS, HRRR)
• 1 April 2020: I have added the NCMRWF (500 hPa Anomaly GH) And a larger domain over the entire region. Please use the Lab page until we incorporate into main site system:
• 1 April 2020: What I find disturbing is that the initial reaction to this news story is that the Mayor of Cumming must not care about the health of his community. That's what happens when you don't read past the headline or the first sentence.
• 1 April 2020: City of Cumming, Georgia cancelled a controversial order mandating "social distancing". Citizens objected to enforcement mechanisms requiring 150 newly sworn police officers to jail & fine offenders. Some are badly misinterpreting this.
• 1 April 2020: I'd expect a flurry of weather model upgrades in that time frame --early summer. Canadian NCEP FV3-GEFS ECMWF Cycle 47r1 Always looking forward to new/better weather data!
• 1 April 2020: Looking at new data from ECMWF Cycle 47r1 (coming June 30, 2020). Once the data is available in real-time from ECMWF, then we'll add it to @weathermodels_ for side-by-side comparison
• 31 March 2020: Weather data as a commodity is becoming less available and more expensive. Part of that is the high up front cost of developing a high quality forecast system at a granular resolution & then maintaining it.
• 31 March 2020: We have a demo video, if that helps:
• 31 March 2020: Weather Porthole is a great name We've been working hard on building this service for farmers, emergency managers, & whoever needs weather forecasting data & advice. Also, we're not a behemoth company but a small business geared toward customer success.
• 31 March 2020: Sea-surface temperature "anomalies" don't do anything, it's the actual temperature or heat content. 🌡️ In the Gulf of Mexico, the area > 26°C usually sufficient for tropical storm development is expanding already -- and it's still March. Important to watch over next months. 🌀
• 31 March 2020: That may be your personal experience but not accurate overall.
• 31 March 2020: I would be happy to promote your service but I was not given the opportunity to trial the data. Is that option still available? In consultation, I've sent prospective data buyers to other services largely based upon that lack of knowledge. I would like to change that.
• 31 March 2020: The National Weather Service under NOAA has a weather data API but it is not exactly built for heavy loads and is unstable. But the data is pretty good -- and improving. If you want a human touch in your local forecast, then the NWS data feed is the only/best option.
• 31 March 2020: Looks like Apple (Dark Sky) is shutting down their public weather API. A great public service would be Google providing a free weather API. Google dabbled in buying Weather Channel's digital assets. IBM ended up paying billions (way too much).
• 31 March 2020: Highest skill is Weather Channel and Accuweather -- by a lot.
• 31 March 2020: Apple purchased the "Dark Sky" weather app -- not sure why. It's consistently one of the worst skilled forecast apps. Maybe Google should develop their own weather app -- or pay someone to create a decent one ...
• 31 March 2020: I continue to pay my membership for a family owned, small business gym here in Atlanta b/c I am investing in their success. 🏋️
• 31 March 2020: Some gyms like @LAFitness were acting shady by offering "1-month free" at the end of your membership (if you cancel) to make up for the continued billing while their gyms were closed. They've since promised to not bill anymore as of April 1st.
• 31 March 2020: Updated the chart -- it was missing a couple data points at the end. This type of forecast "drop out" hasn't happened in 6-months for ECMWF.
• 31 March 2020: Hmmm. The model scores fell off a cliff for forecasts now verifying e.g. 5-day forecasts made on March 25-26. These "drop outs" or forecast busts are highly unusual. Could be related to missing aircraft data -- ?
• 30 March 2020: I heard that the #MyPillow masks would say "Made in the USA" on the label with the possibility of an American flag on there, too. 🇺🇸
• 30 March 2020: One feature will be a social media sharing option. We also have the option to open up the GFS model to be freely available in real-time for non-subscribers.
• 30 March 2020: Rush hour traffic in Atlanta 👇 Only a few cars on I-85 north of Midtown.
• 30 March 2020: Refresh of weathermodels coming this week. 👀 Updated UI & cool new features to pave way for further expansion into hurricane season. 🌀
• 30 March 2020: Well, knock me over with a feather 😱
• 30 March 2020: ECMWF has announced their global model upgrade for 2020 (Cycle 47r1) in time for much of hurricane season on June 30, 2020.
• 30 March 2020: Huge Steinbeck fan. I also lived in Monterey for several years so I can match up the historical places with the books.
• 30 March 2020: Reminds me of the heroism of "Meals on Wheels" cooks, drivers, and staff who provide millions of seniors with their meals every day -- many volunteers.
• 30 March 2020: Instacart looking to go from 200K workers --> 500K workers as surge in grocery store orders continues. However, a strike Monday might shut down the service in much of the country. Workers are seeking more pay & health care benefits.
• 30 March 2020: Homeschooling parents should work their way through the Grapes of Wrath during April.
• 29 March 2020: Record temperatures continue across Florida on Sunday in the mid-90s ... so far there is scant quantitative evidence that heat + humidity will immediately halt COVID-19 but this summer weather will surely provide pertinent data.
• 29 March 2020: I read in the conclusions of one paper to limit the use of air conditioning to slow spread of virus. Catch 22 right there for morbidity.
• 29 March 2020: The Xindi arc from Enterprise was very good too.
• 29 March 2020: Because the other series have so many episodes in a season, I'd pull out 10-episode arcs from each Season 7 of TNG, DS9 and Voyager and rank in that order.
• 29 March 2020: Just scanned thru this paper using province data from China. We will certainly know the answer in a few weeks based upon good U.S. data and the diverse temperature regimes across the nation.
• 29 March 2020: We do know why influenza sputters in the heat and humidity of summer. A paper from 2008 summarizes the effects on the virus: Has solid gel outer coating in winter like M&M able to enter respiratory tract & melt into liquid to infect.
• 29 March 2020: ... which leaves open a window of opportunity to head off a 2nd wave in the the NH autumn/winter. However, as the Southern Hemisphere heads into the colder seasons, the risk of COVID-19 spread is only increasing if the weather effects in these papers are confirmed.
• 29 March 2020: The emerging consensus: of course weather/climate affects COVID-19 (like other coronaviruses & flu) but we are in the prime climate conditions for spread across heavily populated areas. India is next up. The weather will not save us until at least NH summer ...
• 29 March 2020: 2. Bukhari and Jameel: Will Coronavirus Pandemic Diminish by Summer? Tropical region spread is slower due to heat and humidity BUT in middle-latitudes (Europe & USA) the climate remains ideal for COVID-19 transmission. 😒 Authors not optimistic.
• 29 March 2020: Update: Two more research papers of high quality strongly suggest that local temperature DOES affect COVID-19 transmission. 1. Carleton and Ming: …https://e6041b71-c6bf-407f-a8c0-784efeebb021.filesusr.com/ugd/a0ab35_1e2932287667477db83696bf7838cea9.pdf… 1°C increase in local temperature reduces transmission by 13%
• 29 March 2020: Star Trek: Picard interview with showrunner Michael Chabon. Season 1 was less about entertainment and story telling and more about Chabon's political beliefs. And, based upon viewership, no one cares.
• 29 March 2020: Why is Star Trek: Picard so bad?
• 29 March 2020: CBS should really consider burning it all down & selling off the franchise. As years go on, the Star Trek reboot is getting worse as more content is produced. The writers, producers, and especially show runners are producing trash.
• 29 March 2020: None of the plot of Star Trek: Picard makes any sense. Patrick Stewart's title character is portrayed as a doddering old fool bumbling his way from planet to planet. The only character that deserves screen time & her own show is Jeri Ryan's Seven of Nine.
• 29 March 2020: Star Trek: Picard will rank as the worst Trek series right down at the bottom with Discovery. It doesn't deserve a second season.
• 28 March 2020: Like the alert polygons for tornado and thunderstorm warnings, seems like we are heading down the road of coloring the U.S. green, yellow and red for COVID-19 infections. Effectively communicating warnings to the public is a major work in progress.
• 28 March 2020: Yes, severe weather has been quiet since the Tennessee tornadoes ... but environment looks primed in Illinois tomorrow afternoon/evening.
• 28 March 2020: Weather models try their hardest to forecast severe t-storms especially those with the threat of tornadoes. The signal for long-track tornado-warned storms later on Saturday seems significant ... the "atmospheric spin" parameter is lit up.
• 28 March 2020: Watching the radar this evening ... Powerful hail storm moving through Jefferson City, Missouri (10:30 PM CT) More significant severe weather continues into Saturday through Illinois.
• 27 March 2020: Hopefully. And they typically upgrade their model in July, too. ECMWF will upgrade in summer also.
• 27 March 2020: We need to hear her out.
• 27 March 2020: There are now forecasts when the Canadian model beats the Euro at 5-days. Environment Canada's global weather model has moved well ahead of the NOAA GFS -- amazing. ECMWF still 👑
• 27 March 2020: I'm sure many folks noticing their internet crawling. My home AT&T gigabit fiber is usually full gig up/down. Today, 160 Mbps download, 1 Gbps upload. AT&T 4G LTE near a tower in Atlanta is 27 Mbps / 2 Mbps
• 27 March 2020: The echo of that gavel is pristine.
• 27 March 2020: Warmer than last year...but still chilly to swim right now.
• 27 March 2020: Record heat continues on Friday with the Southeast U.S. basking in sunshine and 80s - 90s. Hottest in Central Florida along Interstate 4 around 95°F. Maybe foreshadowing an early, hot and very long summer.
• 27 March 2020: Haven't noticed in the 5-day forecasts with ECMWF but I would not expect large changes in skill. However, GFS might be less capable of filling in the gaps with satellite data. Will know more in a couple weeks.
• 26 March 2020: Insurers are denying business interruption claims. Instead, they are pleading with Congress to bail out their policyholders. What's the reason to deny these claims other than "we don't want to pay"
• 26 March 2020: Or you will get a lot more of this e.g. Rolling Stone.
• 26 March 2020: Very hot across Texas today with record high temperatures in 90s and maybe 100°F 🔥 Heat builds across the Southeast into the weekend. Orlando & central Florida into the mid-90s. 🌡️ Very early for this type of heat!
• 26 March 2020: Broadcast companies with live NFL games in large markets have made a conscious business decision to not always jump in for severe weather. Hopefully that recent trend reverses.
• 26 March 2020: Honestly, we don't need another outlet or more science journalists "passionate" about the topic to further their social justice views yet have really no science expertise and limited functional knowledge of any subject. Need professionals.
• 26 March 2020: With so little trust within the media right now during the COVID-19 crisis, it raises the question if the loss of credibility will be felt across the board: should you trust the media with science information in general and in an emergency. The public seems to be saying no.
• 26 March 2020: I'm fascinated by narratives especially within the current political climate: how talking points are created & amplified within the media. Climate alarmism and journalism go hand in hand, but there is little study or research on that topic compared to "climate denial" ...
• 26 March 2020: There are many well meaning scientists and environmentally minded people that want the Earth to be here -- with the people on it -- healthy, wealthy and wise. But there are also some folks who are ideological opportunists with questionable ethics and values.
• 26 March 2020: When everything is a crisis caused by climate change, you have to perform mental gymnastics to not see how ginning up another existential threat / crisis (extinction of the human race) is bad politics when there is an ongoing global pandemic. Do we act now or later on climate?
• 26 March 2020: From the scientists mainly on Twitter, the emerging narrative is "told you so" and you should listen to scientists on climate change b/c an even worse existential threat is coming in the next 100-years if we don't act now. This is a weird disconnect that's troubling to see.
• 26 March 2020: In Washington, we saw Nancy Pelosi and Joe Biden amplify Green New Deal initiatives in the $2.2T stimulus bill e.g. airline emission cap & trade, renewable energy mandates. But the viscerally negative reaction was apparently surprising to the Democrats who caved immediately.
• 26 March 2020: I follow the climate "debate" fairly closely for various reasons to analyze media narratives especially how activist scientists frame the issue based upon their ideological viewpoints. Right now there is a concerted effort to blend the COVID-19 response into climate policy.
• 26 March 2020: Your mail is scanned and the pictures are sent to your email.
• 26 March 2020: If your bank info is available & up to date, then you'll get direct deposit. I saw upwards of 60 million checks will be mailed.
• 26 March 2020: I'd highly recommend USPS informed delivery. Via email, you'll know ahead of time in the morning if a large stimulus check is headed your way -- or just more junk mail.
• 26 March 2020: I'm actually surprised they didn't ask for $250 million or $2.5 billion
• 25 March 2020: The gas station I used to frequent in Monterey, California is still at $3.49/gallon.
• 25 March 2020: Gas station prices tanking in Oklahoma City. Now 99 cents.
• 25 March 2020: Boston has temporarily suspended its plastic bag ban at stores due to the detrimental health effects from disgusting reusable bags that no one ever washes.
• 25 March 2020: The original version of the Senate bill seemed odd. Why would you risk going to work when you could get paid more to "quarantine and chill" at home? The galaxy brains in the Senate have admitted there is a "drafting error" and the train is still stuck in the station.
• 25 March 2020: World class Biden gaffe: let the cat out of the bag on what is actually going on with the coronavirus relief bill -- enacting the Green New Deal. Save us all.
• 25 March 2020: Another bailout for Big Bird? Damn.
• 25 March 2020: 👇 $15/hour for the duration of the lockdown. That's $600/per week -- what we've been told is a "living wage"
• 25 March 2020: The building is burning down and Nancy Pelosi shows up with her legal pad demanding the fire truck turn around until they come back with a sustainable fuel option. 🔥
• 25 March 2020: "Alex Jones was right." "About what?" "Everything." "Oh."
• 25 March 2020: The irony of Hamilton getting a bailout.
• 25 March 2020: January 24, 2020: "New York City bracing for almost certain arrival of Wuhan coronavirus" NY officials were certainly warned (alarm bells going off) but were not certain about the risk or impacts 2-months ago.
• 25 March 2020: Exposed how deeply unpopular the far-left agenda is e.g. Green New Deal. Bizarre that Biden was rescued from the scrap heap out of palpable fear of a Bernie nomination and then Pelosi delivers a dead-on-arrival socialist agenda. Political malpractice.
• 25 March 2020: Grocery stores to begin installing plexiglass barriers to protect cashiers at checkout lanes. Kroger and Publix have announced the protective barriers in their stores.
• 25 March 2020: No one is arguing that museums are not valuable for a bunch of reasons. Many are wondering if $4 Billion is appropriate to be spent right now.
• 25 March 2020: $4 billion for emergency museum relief seems like a bit much during this global pandemic, but I'll defer to the experts.
• 24 March 2020: Make sure to sign the petition for Harvard University to pay its subcontracted dining staff during this coronavirus crisis. This includes dining staff, custodians and other workers who are in dire straits.
• 24 March 2020: FWIW, my Tweet was actually in reference to Harvard University not paying its dining staff.
• 24 March 2020: At least we are in agreement about the importance of service to communities. I've provided weather maps and data for 15-years which is quite important for saving lives. So yeah, I'll stick with weather. Don't belittle meteorologists anymore.
• 24 March 2020: No idea who you are ... why are you picking a fight when my whole statement doesn't pertain to you at all?
• 24 March 2020: Very glad you are working hard on finishing the semester. As I stated, there are many universities that have gone to summer status. These professors should kick back that portion of salary.
• 24 March 2020: Are you?
• 24 March 2020: I don't care about your political opinions so I am talking past you.
• 24 March 2020: Exhibit one of many why seniors & all other parishioners should stay home from church for a while (months). Small hometown church pastor has tested positive for the coronavirus. ⛪
• 24 March 2020: Just because you're not getting your preferred outcome or policy is not reason to blow up the entire system. You need to win elections.
• 24 March 2020: So you would prefer a parliamentary style of government? The Senate is the deliberative body meant to take time on any legislation. During a crisis, that often means compromising or offering only bills that would garner unanimous consent.
• 24 March 2020: Yes, in most of your replies to me, you make wild suppositions and use straw man logic. So, I am trying to speak your lingo.
• 24 March 2020: Are you proposing a 1-party system? Perhaps a monarchy or a dictatorship is your preference. No, we actually want vigorous and heated political debate in the U.S. Historically, political rhetoric has always been polarizing. Read about the late 18th Century.
• 24 March 2020: What Nancy Pelosi did is exactly what she accused Republicans doing in 2013 during a gov't shutdown episode. Pelosi used the term "legislative arsonist" She did the same thing -- shooting the tires out of the fire truck as it arrives on the scene. 🔥
• 24 March 2020: Millions of Americans are suffering w/o income for potentially weeks/months. The money in this relief bill will hopefully be targeted to the most needy and arrive quickly. No more shameful delays through senseless hostage taking. This is about life and death.
• 24 March 2020: Nancy's Green New Deal gambit seems to have backfired. Senate Democrats are slowly walking away from the cliff after the furious backlash to their votes yesterday. Looks like they will be accepting the original Senate bill with only tiny changes to the $500B slush fund.
• 24 March 2020: I saw a forbearance option for my mortgage e.g. you can miss 3 payments but then you owe 4 in 4-months. The term of the loan cannot be extended.
• 24 March 2020: And perhaps you should stick to physics? Regarding (3) If your salary is so low and you are so smart, then why don't you find another job?
• 24 March 2020: I'm so sorry you're insulted. Now you just felt how the rest of America feels knowing their rent/mortgage is due in one week, or they can't afford food. This really isn't about you. I'm well aware of what the more productive professors do, btw. Glad you are one of them.
• 24 March 2020: It appears you have reading comprehension issues. What do you teach?
• 24 March 2020: Salaried university professors should be the first people to give up their pay -- for at least 1-month. If the semester is over and students have gone home, then there is no reason to pay full wages to employees not working. They should be no different than the dining staff.
• 24 March 2020: Small businesses and individuals are out of work & teetering on edge of insolvency, eviction or bankruptcy. Relief will probably be too late. The sacrifice should be shared -- so I'd propose non-essential state & federal workers forgo a paycheck. This is only fair.
• 24 March 2020: Very aggressive and horribly wrong weather App advertisement.
• 24 March 2020: Are they even taking temperatures or checking any of the thousands of international passengers arriving daily into JFK and LaGuardia? I'll hang up and listen for your answer.
• 24 March 2020: There are so many flights and the data so dense that much of it is not used. Just like with satellite data, before it can be included in a weather model (data assimilation) it must be drastically thinned & quality controlled. Our Earth observation system is still very robust.
• 24 March 2020: The reduction of aircraft observations due to coronavirus is most apparent near the "jet stream level" -- of course. Will this lead to "worse" weather forecasts? Very unlikely -- effect will be tiny. Satellites will pick up any slack.
• 24 March 2020: So, the result of the "delightful bipartisanship" that Schumer applauded -- before the skunk showed up and sprayed all over the picnic?
• 24 March 2020: Actually it's just the opposite. This is their perfect opportunity to strike while Americans are hurting. It's nefarious.
• 24 March 2020: Jon would win the Tide Pod challenge.
• 23 March 2020: Did you just wake up? Nancy dropped a 1200 page bill full of garbage. You think she just whipped that up this morning? This was the entire plan all along. Now you need to defend that monstrosity. Good luck.
• 23 March 2020: Anyone want to update/delete their Tweets in reply to this? I'll hang up and listen.
• 23 March 2020: What's with the plastic bags? A global pandemic is no excuse to pollute the planet.
• 23 March 2020: 47 cent gasoline (RBOB) on the market was so 1-hour ago. Update: 37 cents. Do I hear 27 cents? Anybody want to buy this stuff? ⛽️
• 23 March 2020: Fine, zero it out. No abstinence or abortion. That fine with you?
• 23 March 2020: Gasoline (RBOB) continues to tank. Now below 47 cents per gallon. If you thought $1.00/gallon at the gas station was exciting, then just wait a couple weeks for 75-cent gas. ⛽️ Nobody driving anywhere.
• 23 March 2020: This report from Friday was just confirmed by Senator McConnell on the Senate floor.
• 23 March 2020: Climate change activists see a golden opportunity to use the global pandemic to further their policy goals. Hopefully they can report back the carbon footprint in hell when they get there.
• 23 March 2020: On the Senate floor just now, Senator McConnell confirms that Democrats are now blocking coronavirus relief bill unless climate change provisions e.g. green energy & carbon footprints are included. The real emergency is apparently not health care but climate change.🤔
• 23 March 2020: Sam's Club and Costco are the fastest to be cheapest based upon their volume.
• 23 March 2020: News article from last week was predictive of current stalemate in Congress over coronavirus relief: "Democrats want climate action included in coronavirus aid" including green mandates, tax credits, and other regulations.
• 23 March 2020: Sure, as long as you don't make a fool out of yourself doing it. 😄
• 23 March 2020: Update: Down to 50 cents a gallon.
• 23 March 2020: You're repeating yesterday's talking points. Do you think this is a good time for leftist social engineering e.g. green energy transition?
• 23 March 2020: Democrats are holding the pandemic relief bill hostage to fight climate change? They are sick.
• 23 March 2020: Based on Trump's Tweets, if there's no relief bill coming soon, then the economy will be reopening by this weekend.
• 23 March 2020: This was the playbook all along. Just think of the evil required to use millions of suffering Americans as pawns in their political games.
• 23 March 2020: It's not the strongest rebuttal to an opinion you disagree with.
• 23 March 2020: A cynic might say that the Democrats were never negotiating in good faith. This was the outcome they desired from the get go. Let that sink in.
• 23 March 2020: Is this the hill to die on here? The train was leaving the station and Dems had a few days to jump on. Then, at the very end, they balked. Was that the plan all along?
• 23 March 2020: The headline is from the NY Times. They've since changed it a few times, but why should I not believe it?
• 23 March 2020: Here ya go: Democrats saw the rope and decided to hang themselves.
• 23 March 2020: I believe this is how the rhetoric works: The Senate Democrats are literally holding the American people hostage. More people will die b/c of their inaction. Small businesses and lifetime savings will be wiped out.
• 23 March 2020: Why are Senate Democrats blocking hospital resources, unemployment benefits, small business relief, and stimulus checks to millions of Americans? Is it to punish their political opponents? Turn the screws on the American people who are desperate for relief?
• 23 March 2020: The $1.00 gasoline won't happen in California. I know that. I lived there when it was $4.50. And I got the hell out.
• 23 March 2020: Gasoline on market fell to 53 cents / gallon. Gas at the station under $1.00/gallon coming quickly. ⛽
• 22 March 2020: Hooked it right up to his record player.
• 22 March 2020: Small businesses and the soon to be 30% unemployed workers can't wait any longer for this Relief Bill. Also, we are quickly running out of Senators.
• 22 March 2020: Then look at the maps if you can't read it.
• 22 March 2020: Incredible NYT visualization: How the Chinese government enabled the spread of coronavirus.
• 22 March 2020: Thanks for the picture Marshall. Here's a link to the article for those more interested ... eerily predictive.
• 22 March 2020: At the outset, it was quickly determined that COVID-19 was more dangerous than the 2003 SARS outbreak b/c asymptomatic carriers were involved in communal transmission. Wuhan being a megacity with dense population overwhelmed the health system.
• 22 March 2020: You can add Richard Branson to that list.
• 21 March 2020: "In the likely epicenter of the virus -- the so-called wet-markets of Wuhan, China -- where wild animals are held captive together and sold as delicacies or pets, a terrifying mix of viruses and species can occur."
• 21 March 2020: Prior to the Chinese New Year, it was reported that 500 million traveled around the country in a total of 3 billion trips.
• 21 March 2020: When an item is removed from the shelf, a replacement is supposed to materialize immediately. Also, just in time inventory and supply chains were developed for a reason.
• 21 March 2020: Think of all of the problems we could solve simply by depositing a handful of trillion dollar coins into the treasury.
• 21 March 2020: Ain't that the truth. And none of them could point to Ukraine on a labeled map.
• 21 March 2020: Make sure to etch this on your tombstone.
• 21 March 2020: Kenny Rogers would average 20 points a game in today's NBA.
• 21 March 2020: #RIPKennyRogers Professionally ranked tennis player
• 21 March 2020: Lots of non-medical scientists apparently moonlight as epidemiologists here in Twitter spreading misinformation. Seeing a lot this morning.
• 21 March 2020: We are only one episode away from the scene where the media and Democrats apologize to China for the travel ban and blaming them for the virus.
• 21 March 2020: Biden does poorly in unscripted and scripted situations. Based on his previous public appearances, he is easily flustered and looks confused. Sadly, a highly technical topic like this coronavirus crisis is outside his mental grasp.
• 21 March 2020: While Trump was implementing the Chinese travel ban to halt the virus from reaching our shores, Biden's campaign was flailing in Iowa calling Trump a "xenophobe". Biden is mentally incapable of managing the scale of this crisis.
• 20 March 2020: Update: it's hot outside. 84°F on my porch which is now covered in green pine pollen. #Atlanta Forecast was again way undercooked. Starting to wonder if I should do my own local forecasting.
• 20 March 2020: Warm across Southeast and Mid-Atlantic this afternoon with temperatures in the 70s and 80s from #Atlanta to Washington D.C. Spring has sprung 🌱
• 20 March 2020: It's not just cooking any raw meat. It's cleanliness of the market.
• 20 March 2020: The markets were outlawed (again). This is a repeat of the SARS outbreak in 2003 w/civet cats. The consumption of snakes, bats, and other mammals allows zoonotic transmission.
• 20 March 2020: Joe doesn't understand why you would want to shut down the source of a virulent disease (Chinese wildlife markets) in the middle of a city of 10 Million.
• 20 March 2020: While some Atlanta metro counties have banned construction of new "dollar stores" -- a monumentally stupid decision by ignorant leaders -- Dollar General just opened a small format DGX in Midtown. Neighbors are impressed. Booze on the way too.
• 20 March 2020: Does she still have that Chinese spy as her driver?
• 20 March 2020: Time to mention that your friendly meteorologists are watching the potential for a major snow storm in the Northeast early next week (Mon-Tues). Uncertainty about coastal amounts (e.g. Philly - NYC - Boston) but interior New England 1-2 feet of snow. ❄️ "Euro" model:
• 19 March 2020: It is necessary to shut down the source of the dangerous virus jumping from animals to humans. Then you can use social tools to quickly slow human to human transmission.
• 19 March 2020: Make sense. Once the Chinese government closed down the wildlife markets, the initial source of the bat coronavirus (+ whatever critter) was eliminated. Entire outbreak mirrors SARS in 2003 when civet cats carried virus.
• 19 March 2020: Just because a research paper is a available online doesn't necessarily mean it has crossed the finish line or passed rigorous peer review. This one is more like a working draft that would normally get scant attention let alone media coverage.
• 19 March 2020: This is a different study revised today. Neither are compelling but highly speculative.
• 19 March 2020: Tap the brakes on the new study that purports to show link between temperature, humidity & COVID-19 transmission. While instilling hope, the meteorology & climate analysis is not what I'd consider, um, rigorous scholarship.
• 19 March 2020: I believe Trump was trying to say "get to the fucking point"
• 19 March 2020: The Biden administration would not have instituted the Chinese travel ban. At this point, millions could be dead. Trump's decision in the face of ignorant media & Biden campaign was a very consequential leadership decision.
• 19 March 2020: City of Atlanta just shut everything down effective Midnight.
• 19 March 2020: Lot of people rightly disgusted with airline stock buybacks & the prospect of a bailout. Warren Buffet started buying airline stocks in 2016 partly based upon that strategy. But, here in #Atlanta, the airline industry is a major component of local economy. Thousands of workers
• 19 March 2020: Millions of Americans will be out of work b/c of a global pandemic and Democratic Senators think it's the perfect time to hold workers hostage for their asinine and unworkable climate policies? @SenMarkey and his colleagues are compounding the suffering.
• 19 March 2020: Senate Dems have sent a letter to @senatemajldr demanding that any assistance to airline & cruise industry be conditioned on reducing their carbon footprint to fight climate change. Join me in telling @SenMarkey & his colleagues to go to hell with that.
• 19 March 2020: Interesting as White House + Senate GOP relief plan takes shape including two $1000 cash payments, Senator Schumer & Democrats' plan has "zero" in cash payments instead focusing on long-term pet projects. Huge political loser according to Wash Post:
• 19 March 2020: "Some virus did something in 1918"
• 19 March 2020: Almost spring and it will feel like it for millions of Americans with temperatures in the 70s and 80s in the mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley and Southeast. Thursday high temperatures:
• 19 March 2020: China knew from their failed suppression of the first SARS outbreak in 2003 the risk to the rest of the world & officially apologized. This time, there is no such acceptance of responsibility. Indeed quite the opposite & evidence of gross negligence & moral culpability.
• 19 March 2020: China has banned exotic or wild animal consumption. Too late. In rural areas, it's likely to continue. That's where the next animal to human coronavirus will surface.
• 19 March 2020: Nope, that was the original playbook: Rumors of SARS being a “foreign” biological weapon spread through Chinese websites, and some claimed that the novel and highly unusual virus was designed to target Chinese genes (Tong 2003).
• 19 March 2020: As with the 2003 SARS outbreak, if Chinese continue to eat exotic (wild) animals, there there will be even more deadly "zoonotic origin" viruses. China may want to deflect blame away from this simple reality.
• 19 March 2020: 2005 Research paper: (must be read to be believed) Civet cats, fried grasshoppers, and David Beckham's Pajamas: Unruly bodies after SARS History is repeating itself almost exactly. The elimination of the "wet markets" of civet cats ended SARS.
• 19 March 2020: Chinese government officials did not inform the World Health Organization of the SARS outbreak for 4-months. China eventually officially apologized for suppressing knowledge about the SARS outbreak in early 2003. Same story almost 2-decades later with disastrous results.
• 19 March 2020: Viruses are traditionally named after the location of where they are discovered or first surfaced but not a village or city to avoid stigmatizing. Ebola (river) MERS (Middle East) not Saudi SARS Zika (Ziika Forest of Uganda)
• 18 March 2020: Western Canadian Heavy crude oil is selling for $9 a barrel -- a record low. 6 years ago it was $90/bbl.
• 18 March 2020: Nationwide, some of biggest shopping malls and outlet centers closing at 7 pm for 10-days.
• 18 March 2020: City of South Fulton in #Atlanta metro has instituted a 9 PM - 7 AM curfew to slow the spread of the coronavirus. South Fulton is located just west of the airport.
• 18 March 2020: I use the "open project" GrADS for wavenumber decomposition.
• 18 March 2020: While airline workers including pilots, maintenance and flight attendants are looking at extended job furloughs or layoffs, Senate Democrats want any loans or bailouts contingent upon fighting climate change through emission regulations. #ClimateCrisis
• 18 March 2020: She literally has no idea why Trump or anyone is calling it the Chinese virus. Most journalists couldn't find China on a labeled map.
• 18 March 2020: References in Nature: "A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin" traced back to a seafood market in Wuhan, China. "A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China"
• 18 March 2020: Nature Medicine correspondence published today: "The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2" debunks notion that it was genetically in a lab. Instead, follows other zoonotic transfer b/t humans & animals like SARS & MERS. Location: Wuhan, Hubei province, China
• 18 March 2020: New research points to animal origin of SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus with speculation of two pathways between bats and humans or an intermediary host such as pangolin. Similar to MERS (camels) and SARS (civets)
• 18 March 2020: When you see everything in life through the "climate lens" then humans have no value. They are simply data points to be moved around in "carbon budget" models.
• 18 March 2020: As the economy collapses during a global pandemic, climate scientists see silver linings and golden opportunities. Think tanks are salivating at the prospect of carbon taxes and other societal engineering. These people are depraved and soulless.
• 18 March 2020: Impressive M5.7 earthquake just shook awake Salt Lake City, Utah
• 18 March 2020: Paul, Democratic party voters just rejected his agenda.
• 18 March 2020: Unemployment benefits should be front loaded for 4 weeks which in most states is at least $1000. Workers and employers have paid into this system. Hourly and tipped employees plus those in gig economy should all be included. States can do this immediately.
• 17 March 2020: It's a news story. Obvious that you are projecting your own perversions upon others.
• 17 March 2020: A recording of the Bernie Sanders campaign phone call has been provided by an inside source:
• 17 March 2020: Interesting. Germany's climate group "Fridays for Future" closely associated with teenage climate activist Greta Thunberg is running a huge phone bank on behalf of Bernie Sanders. The Sanders campaign has close ties to the global climate movement.
• 17 March 2020: This virus aid bill is different than the previous Bush tax cut rebate checks or the Obama Recovery Act as millions of people are forcibly unable to work. But money is needed for survival now not at end of April. Need a natural disaster response like immediate debit cards.
• 17 March 2020: Oklahoma and California gasoline prices are highly correlated ... but still spread by $1.00 - $1.50 per gallon. While some stations sell for $1.21 around Oklahoma City, the average Californian happily pays almost 3 times as much to help fight climate change. ⛽️
• 17 March 2020: Hawaii tornado warning. 🌪️
• 17 March 2020: Highly doubtful that Sulu runs his Twitter account. He is one of the dumbest people walking this Earth or in space.
• 17 March 2020: $58 billion for the airlines and $0 for servers, bartenders, and everyone else in the gig economy forced to shut down? Shove it up your ass.
• 17 March 2020: Can't wait to read that Bill Belichick never offered Tom Brady a contract. #Patriots
• 16 March 2020: This is a DGX concept store that will be akin to the QuikTrip (w/o the gas pumps).
• 16 March 2020: Thanks John, I thought the lack of demand was obvious but thanks for spelling it out. You must be one of those anal retentive types.
• 16 March 2020: Do you live near a highway that shares at least 3 U.S. shields? Decatur near Atlanta has U.S. 23/29/78.
• 16 March 2020: Home economics all day #distancelearning
• 16 March 2020: Must be nice to have slobbering media cleaning up for every Biden gaffe. He can't state his own policy but thankfully we have translators.
• 16 March 2020: Obvious lack of demand has sent gasoline futures down to 70 cents / gallon. Cheaper cities in some states will be under a $1/gallon at pump soon enough. ⛽
• 16 March 2020: Is Biden's position different than what he just said in the debate? That seems to be a recurring problem.
• 16 March 2020: Breaking News: @realDonaldTrump has just won Pennsylvania (again) Fracking ban would destroy the state's economy.
• 16 March 2020: Cheap and abundant natural gas is serving as a bridge fuel to renewable energy -- and quickly. If you ban fracking and stop using natural gas, then you will need to use coal to actually power the nation. Greenhouse gas emissions skyrocket. See Germany's stupidity.
• 16 March 2020: Bernie will create "millions and millions of new jobs" by making houses energy efficient -- right after he bans fracking and natural gas. #GreenNewDeal #DemDebate
• 16 March 2020: "No more fracking" -- Joe Biden. Complete lunacy. #DemDebate
• 16 March 2020: Joe Biden just called for the end of oil drilling. Period. #DemDebate Biden painting himself as some sort of climate warrior. Dangerously out of date.
• 16 March 2020: Now we know why Biden has an F- on climate change policy. Buffoon #DemDebate
• 15 March 2020: Buzzfeed science reporting is across the board garbage.
• 14 March 2020: It is a hypothesis on the potential spread of the virus presumably through the air and person-to-person. If you have a large population of already infected that arrived from elsewhere, then this tells you nothing new. Human vectors are acting totally independent of weather.
• 14 March 2020: But it's probably not until mid-April for most of populated Lower 48 to be in the climatological > 55°F zone. Of course, temperatures will vary widely from day to day. If hypothesis of "warmth" is true, then we want Spring to hurry up.
• 14 March 2020: Since we can't skillfully forecast high temperatures more than 10-days in advance, need to look at climatology or the almanac. Assume we need average daily highs to exceed 55°F to dramatically reduce spread of virus. Seasonal warming is rapid ...
• 14 March 2020: Climatology + weather analysis is solid & this interdisciplinary group is publishing their results in the hopes that seasonality of #COVID19 can be used to prepare for potential virus spread in next several weeks. Cruise ships, planes & human travel not included w/seasonality.
• 14 March 2020: Other human cornonaviruses display "strong winter seasonality between December - April, and are undetectable in summer months in temperate regions" It is hopeful that COVID-19 diminishes similarly as Spring advances northward & temperatures increase.
• 14 March 2020: Seasonality: As Northern Hemisphere spring approaches, temperatures warm from south to north -- moving this latitudinal band of favorable temperatures for potential spreading of virus e.g. freeze-thaw Geography + climatology NE US, Spain, France, Germany, U.K. and Italy
• 14 March 2020: The analysis is straightforward using historical weather model data called "reanalysis" for January - February 2020. The maps I show periodically are "anomalies" but the important quantity here is "actual temperature" Fight me if you think "actual temperature" isn't important.
• 14 March 2020: There is a research paper from last week hypothesizing that weather (seasonality) is important for the spread of #COVID19 Corridor between 30°N - 50°N latitude Air temperatures 5°-11°C (~38°-52°F) and low humidity.
• 14 March 2020: 80°F on my porch in #Atlanta First 80°F of 2020 on March 14 #PiDay
• 14 March 2020: I'd hope a poll of likely voters would rank health care as their number one issue.
• 14 March 2020: Sunshine in #Atlanta already pushed temperatures into upper 70s. 🌡 Forecast was clouds and 70°F. I will take this error in my favor. Spring is in the air. Hopefully your sniffles and sneezes aren't anything more than seasonal pollen allergies.
• 14 March 2020: Every regulation and piece of red tape that is being swept aside for #coronavirus should be permanently removed from the books.
• 14 March 2020: Thought impossible until it happened, Typhoon Vamei formed within 100 miles of the equator (1.4°N latitude) and made landfall in Malaysia near Singapore late December 2001.
• 14 March 2020: No. But here's an interesting storm that developed at 1°N latitude -- a once every 100-400 years occurrence.
• 14 March 2020: This geostationary satellite is centered upon 41.5°E longitude and views Europe, Africa and the Middle East including the Indian subcontinent. Meteosat-8 was moved from 3.5°E in Sept 2016.
• 14 March 2020: Recent satellite imagery (10 PM ET) shows the African continent, Madagascar and Tropical Cyclone Herold's clock-wise circulation. Hurricanes spin the other way in the Southern Hemisphere.
• 14 March 2020: Tropical Cyclone Herold has formed off the coast of Madagascar. It may become very intense (Cat 5) but forecasts show it heading away from any land & will miss Mauritius well to the ENE. Southern Indian Ocean tropics are sometimes busy in mid-March.
• 14 March 2020: After an extended dry period through all of February, California finally seeing a storm system: heavy mountain snow in Sierra (2-6 feet) and rainfall for coast. Good news to forestall trend toward drought.
• 13 March 2020: Dealing meth out of downtown Tallahassee apartment. Unrelated to the shenanigans by Mayor Gillum and his close friend in Miami Beach.
• 13 March 2020: Yes, Sanders uses "climate change" as a fundraising tool for his Presidential campaigns. He has no interest in guiding legislation through committees or writing bills. Same with AOC who did not want to be on any House climate committees or inside the process.
• 13 March 2020: Another article on climate academics lamenting the urgency to rebuild the economy & spur growth after the coronavirus. "Climate advocates are only just coming to grips with the roadblocks to a big climate breakthrough."
• 13 March 2020: It doesn't feel like it right now but in a few weeks, a lot of America will be on its ass. Literally and figuratively waiting around for the all clear to get back to work. When that month is over, there could be a $10 Trillion infrastructure bank ready to go.
• 12 March 2020: Thanks. I assume you mean > Days 10? I will change the priority.
• 12 March 2020: Eric, which specific GFS region or variable is delayed? While there is some prioritization to U.S. vs. global sectors and variables, the products are generated as soon as the data arrives.
• 12 March 2020: NOAA has made its global weather model code available online for community use. Don't like what the forecast is telling you? Well, run your own model -- assuming you have a lot of spare computing capacity.
• 12 March 2020: Bit of a stretch but climate academics see political opportunity to insert themselves into ongoing crisis. The coronavirus is "climate change at warp speed" ... media & academics eager to connect the ongoing health crisis to climate change.
• 12 March 2020: Why aren't we being told to irrationally panic?
• 11 March 2020: The data was never there to support the hysterical claims of media, scientists and activists. No accountability.
• 11 March 2020: Long range climate forecast models (CFSv2) indicating preference toward La Niña during the late summer into autumn in Northern Hemisphere. This would favor a more active Atlantic hurricane season.
• 11 March 2020: Interesting take: coronavirus is the perfect (bio)weapon against climate change. For some climate activists, even a global pandemic has a silver lining.
• 11 March 2020: Bernie Sanders will continue to fight on: younger voters are most concerned about "existential threat to our country and planet" caused by climate change. Biden has received an F- on climate issues. Debate coming up Sunday to focus on climate issues: "7 or 8 years remaining"
• 11 March 2020: A new UN report "points to a threat that is greater to our species than any known virus – we must not be diverted from the urgency of tackling it by reducing our greenhouse gas emissions to zero as soon as possible.”
• 11 March 2020: In an effort to capitalize on the cornovirus emergency, Greta Thunberg is calling for a digital strike on Friday. Ironically, school is being cancelled not out of choice by activist children, but b/c of the global pandemic.
• 11 March 2020: Climate scientists say "deadly heatwaves, floods and rising hunger far greater threat to world than coronavirus" The climate emergency is much more important than the pandemic according to UN experts pushing for rapid action.
• 11 March 2020: Does that mean you will be endorsing Joe Biden for President? 👀
• 11 March 2020: Vast majority of European citizens support banning short airline flights & all single use plastics. + Widespread support to pay more in carbon taxes for flights, meat, clothing & everything else transported over long distances -- to fight climate change.
• 10 March 2020: The sit-down format of the debate might work even more to Bernie's advantage b/c he can speak in his quiet voice which is professorial. The pace of his words picks up and he can really get into nitty gritty details. His Joe Rogan interview is evidence of that.
• 10 March 2020: Yes, and if he was a smart debater, Bernie would challenge Biden on details & bring up flip flops. You might not agree with him but Bernie is a gifted orator.
• 10 March 2020: Remember Joe the Plumber? At the time he challenged Obama about tax policy & they patiently discussed it intellectually for 5 minutes. Instead of following that example, Biden loses control with angry, incoherent rants. Bernie sounds professorial.
• 10 March 2020: Do you know anything about how Think Tanks work or actually what the Koch Brothers may believe? You realize that the Cato libertarians are not Trump supporters at all, right? Your attempted smears are weirdly ignorant.
• 10 March 2020: I'm not affiliated with any groups or organizations. Are you interested in paying me?
• 10 March 2020: I'm concerned that a Bernie supporter might try and bait Biden into a physical altercation or get him to meltdown with an f-bomb. Time to consider pulling Biden from the campaign trail until the primary process is over.
• 10 March 2020: I've heard that trillions have changed hands in the past week during this financial crisis. That's physically not possible. A semi-truck can hold about $2 Billion so $1 Trillion would require a fleet of at least 500 trucks.
• 10 March 2020: I think the media will use the word "cantankerous" to describe Biden's unhinged argument with a union worker. It's only a matter of time before the finger pointing and jabbing turns into a serious physical altercation.
• 10 March 2020: I'm so tired of these NOAA data outages and computer problems. Getting worse.
• 10 March 2020: Impromptu speaking is difficult for even the most soaring rhetoricians. The LA Times explained why President Obama became tongue tied or had Teleprompter meltdowns: intellectual stammer. Brain moving faster than mouth.
• 10 March 2020: Uh huh. When asked at CNN debate in July 2019 (Detroit) about if fracking & oil had any place in Biden administration: “We would make sure it’s eliminated and no more subsidies for either one of those,” Mr. Biden declared with a wave of his hand.
• 10 March 2020: New research shows fracking unlikely to be cause of increasing global atmospheric methane -- a major argument within climate advocacy to ban the practice. Biden & Sanders have both pledged to outlaw fracking.
• 10 March 2020: Weather model data from NOAA has been interrupted for over an hour now. @weathermodels_ 23z cycle of HRRR missing & no hint of 00z data as of yet
• 9 March 2020: Already big plans for the next recession. The hopefulness is an odd look. Spend unlimited money on the Green New Deal.
• 9 March 2020: Oh, my feed is full of parallels and linkages, omens and foreboding. The panic and emergency declarations from a global pandemic are examples for climate activists.
• 9 March 2020: A prospective Biden administration would be the 3rd term of Obama will familiar faces in cabinet positions. John Kerry could be a new Secretary of Climate Change.
• 9 March 2020: Why natural gas isn't being hammered by > 20% today? Pennsylvania's Marcellus shale gas could be a big winner in the oil war. Biden and Sanders have climate plans to destroy that industry if elected.
• 9 March 2020: It's times like this that we should recognize the important duties of non-essential personnel.
• 9 March 2020: Sunshine and 70s across Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today in the wake of the "bomb cyclone" that didn't happen the other day. So, you could have had a foot of snow -- or today at 70°F. 🌡️
• 9 March 2020: Apple is getting hammered to $272 It hasn't been that low since December 12, 2019 -- almost 4-months ago.
• 9 March 2020: Dow 23,800 -- back to where we were 2-years ago. #marketcrash
• 9 March 2020: I thought the debate over political speech was settled on December 15, 1791 when the Bill of Rights was ratified.
• 9 March 2020: WTI crude down as low as $27.34/bbl or off by 32% 🛢 RBOB gasoline down 30 cents to $1.09. Will we talking about gasoline under a $1/gallon just to get rid of it?
• 9 March 2020: Has Joe Biden endorsed the Green New Deal? Yes. Washington Post headline said he "embraces" the Green New Deal in a climate plan released last summer. So, really not much daylight between Sanders & Biden on climate/energy except maybe on the fringes.
• 9 March 2020: Where did the Green New Deal actually come from? It was thrown together by some millennials one weekend in December 2018 after AOC & other freshmen Democrats were elected. It quickly became a platform of Bernie Sanders & most other Democrats.
• 9 March 2020: Hopefully everyone enjoyed the extra hour of sunlight today😉 It was warmer by 3°F today compared to yesterday in #Atlanta.
• 9 March 2020: Brent crude closed at $59.20/bbl on February 20, 2020. That's just over 2-weeks ago. Price is now closing in on $30/bbl 🛢️
• 9 March 2020: Pledge: "I promote the responsible and intelligent usage of weather model data on Social Media." 🌡️ I can police Twitter but really know nothing about Facebook. What kind of hot mess is weather content on there?
• 9 March 2020: Looks spiffy. Keep thinking Cyrano de Bergerac when I see your shortened name.
• 8 March 2020: As expected with Saudi plans to hike oil production and discount barrels, the price has fallen 20%. WTI touched $30/bbl earlier.
• 8 March 2020: 4th shooting (first homicide) in 8 weeks at Atlanta's upscale mall in Buckhead. (The other area malls have shootings too usually drug deals or robberies.)
• 8 March 2020: At the time, it was stunning for Schumer to send such a letter to NOAA. We never did get to see a copy of it. The press wasn't interested. But I completely agree that political meddling is always inappropriate whether Trump, Obama or Schumer.
• 8 March 2020: I'm confident the science won out here in the end. But, now after almost 8-years, you are aware of the political pressure that Senator Schumer put upon NOAA/NWS -- publicly warning (you personally) not to reclassify Sandy as a hurricane, do you think that is appropriate?
• 8 March 2020: Ah, so you do remember now. Did Senator Schumer end up getting it right with New York? For followers of this thread, plenty more about the Science, Politics and the "Hurricane Deductible" with Hurricane Sandy.
• 8 March 2020: I disagree. The bungled nature of NHC's hurricane warnings (or lack thereof) created a public safety debacle at the time. Uncomfortable questions about the "hurricane deductibles" quietly disappeared in the succeeding months. Politics not science more important.
• 8 March 2020: Yeah, it was a long time ago. I guess playing politics with hurricane warnings was okay prior to Jan 2017.
• 8 March 2020: Except for that time Senator Schumer sent a letter to NOAA demanding that Sandy not be re-classified as a hurricane at landfall. Is he still "looking over your shoulder" down there at NHC?
• 8 March 2020: Expect the Sunrise Movement to hit Biden hard from the left on climate policy. If Biden is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic party, then these attacks will not be helpful or welcome. This could lead to further alienation of Bernie's supporters.
• 8 March 2020: Remember when the Sunrise Movement children stormed Feinstein's office? The media reported it as a grassroots organization simply urging climate action thru Green New Deal. Well, Sunrise Movement is a full fledged 501c4 PAC now endorsing and supporting candidates like Bernie.
• 8 March 2020: So they would all work for the government?
• 8 March 2020: There are currently ~6 million unemployed people in the United States actively seeking work. The Green New Deal will create 20 million jobs to battle climate change. Has anyone figured out how this would work?
• 7 March 2020: You're an imbecile.
• 7 March 2020: The United States imports a LOT of oil per day. And plenty comes from Saudi Arabia. Almost 7 million barrels per day.
• 7 March 2020: Not really. We important a lot of Saudi crude oil especially California.
• 7 March 2020: Saudi Arabia planning huge output hike in a major price war. Price of barrel of oil could fall as low as $20! 🛢️ That could put gasoline prices in some locations here in U.S. around $1/gallon. ⛽️
• 7 March 2020: Temperatures in the 80s in South Dakota! 🌡️ Then, much colder where snow on ground still exists. Spring is coming to the northern Plains!
• 7 March 2020: One more chilly morning and then it is Spring fever in #Atlanta and across the Southeast. Temperatures into 60s and 70s thru mid-March and then possibly 80°F by third week of month. Might be time to start planting?
• 7 March 2020: UK airlines forced to fly empty "ghost planes" on routes to keep their gate slots at Heathrow. Obviously a waste of fuel = carbon emissions but regulations & rules are more important than common sense.
• 7 March 2020: Did Johnny Carson cause a panic buying of toilet paper in December 1973? Yes indeed. He read an article on the air about an impending shortage and people ran out to clear the shelves -- causing a brief shortage.
• 7 March 2020: Environmentally conscious people use the "family cloth" -- a community fabric. This will reduce your carbon footprint & feel much better. One woman described the experience as "luxurious".
• 7 March 2020: What is the economic or practical reason for panic buying of toilet paper? 🧻
• 7 March 2020: That'd be a "hell to the no" Beware of these supposed "conservative" climate champions. There is more going on here than just environmental stewardship.
• 7 March 2020: #BombCyclone Hurricane force extratropical storm.
• 6 March 2020: The media mostly ignored Hillary's obvious health issues. Unless we see blood shooting out of Biden's eyes, we can expect his health concerns remain off limits.
• 6 March 2020: Of course, we could delve into how this reflects upon our culture. But at minimum this is evidence that journalists or cable news pundits really have no special knowledge or education that sets them apart from the rest of us. Definitely not a meritocracy.
• 6 March 2020: Feel really embarrassed for both of them, the initial Tweet, the producers, and the viewers. Nobody wants to look this dumb or math illiterate especially on national TV.
• 6 March 2020: Long range forecasts continue to show above normal precipitation for the next 30-days across much of California, Southwest, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley.
• 5 March 2020: Temperatures pushing into the 90s in Florida from Orlando to near Miami. West Palm Beach 92°F 🏖
• 5 March 2020: Correct. Giving Joe Biden an F- on climate obliterates what little credibility groups like the Sunrise Movement have on climate issues. They are supporting Bernie Sanders. No one serious about energy policy should listen to them.
• 5 March 2020: Analysis: Democratic voters aren't sophisticated enough to tell the difference between the respective climate plans or positions of each candidate. Activists overwhelmingly favored Bernie yet Biden won more votes.
• 4 March 2020: Kroger in #Atlanta limiting Lysol wipes to 5 per person to prevent hoarding.
• 4 March 2020: Researchers have calculated that Australia's disastrous wildfires were 30% more likely than models showed in 1900 b/c of a changing climate. The 30% figure requires some context & explanation beyond the scope of this Tweet.
• 4 March 2020: Interesting interview with a climate scientist about "How to talk to a Climate-Change Denier" Alas, convincing conservatives to abandon their values to support far-left climate policies has mostly been a fruitless endeavor.
• 4 March 2020: Breckenridge Resort proclaimed: ⛷️ 'FEBRUBURIED:' Colorado ski areas boast record snowfall on month ❄️
• 4 March 2020: As Democrat primary whittles down to Bernie vs. Biden, there's little doubt where attacks from the far left will come at the former VP: climate change. The Sunrise Movement (which promotes/endorsed Bernie as a 501c3) gives Joe Biden grade of F- (flunking) on "Green New Deal"
• 4 March 2020: No -- far from it. The rise of Bernie Sanders, AOC, Greta Thunberg, Extinction Rebellion and the "climate emergency" movement is a well choreographed campaign of "The Climate Mobilization" It's all right here in the open: goals, people & methods.
• 4 March 2020: If you are not using the "existential threat" lingo, then you're called a "climate denier" or maligned as being "anti-science". Moderates & conservatives have been drowned out in the climate policy debate by cranks & crackpots like Sanders and Greta. Is this now changing?
• 4 March 2020: The notion of climate change being an "existential threat" will not go away for a few reasons: Climate academics dare not criticize Sanders or Warren b/c they strongly identify with far left politics. Greta Thunberg & Extinction Rebellion have built a global movement on it.
• 4 March 2020: Some on the left slowly realizing that Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren sound like doomsday preachers when campaigning about climate change. On #SuperTuesday voters rejected their "existential threat" dogma & socialism (Green New Deal).
• 4 March 2020: Upon news that moneybags Bloomberg is dropping out, TV stations around the U.S. now have entire commercial blocks empty -- will revert to test patterns.
• 4 March 2020: Elizabeth Warren ought to seriously think about resigning from her Massachusetts Senate seat. Her home state delivered a resounding vote of no confidence. #SuperTuesday
• 4 March 2020: The amazing performance of Joe Biden on #SuperTuesday is a massive rebuke for the infeasible & disastrous climate policies of socialist Bernie Sanders: e.g. Green New Deal. The sooner they can kick that boat anchor overboard then the better for November against Trump.
• 4 March 2020: Pretty amazing that Channel 4's Krishnan Guru-Murthy asked this question: "Is there any sense that this could be self-controlling -- that as we see economic growth possibly slowing down around the world, because of coronavirus -- that's actually good for the climate?" Sick!
• 4 March 2020: A global pandemic is actually great for the climate according to Figueres: "But you know one thing that I think is actually very positive could be very positive is that if we really sustained several months of reduced travel, we may realize that we don’t have to travel as much."
• 4 March 2020: Former UN climate chief Christiana Figueres is a climate bureaucracy rock star supportive of limiting economic growth. On coronavirus: "It may be good for climate. But I think — because there is less trade, there’s less travel, there’s less commerce.”
• 4 March 2020: Health care top issue of Democrat Primary voters on #SuperTuesday according to Exit Polls. Climate change lagging with less than 1 in 4 being most important concern tied with Income inequality.
• 4 March 2020: This outlet is known for the most ridiculous weather ClickBait but keeps churning it out b/c idiots scrolling Facebook read it.
• 4 March 2020: Better get your affairs in order. 😱
• 3 March 2020: Extreme weather is often due to stuck jet streams due to missing Arctic sea ice and climate change. Just last May, half of America looked like tornado alley. We may be in for another Spring with climate fueled extreme weather. #ClimateEmergency
• 3 March 2020: These storms are confirming scientists' worst fears about climate change that tornadoes in the Southeast are getting a lot worse. From May 2019 deadly tornado outbreak:
• 3 March 2020: Research and scientists all agree that tornadoes are getting much worse in the Southeast due to climate change ... exactly like recent devastating storms in Tennessee. From CNN: #ClimateEmergency
• 3 March 2020: Once this evaluation is completed and the code is handed off to NCO, then parallel data must be generated or else users will be flying blind when the upgrade occurs.
• 3 March 2020: Added total snowfall to the global maps for UKMET. Looks like the model includes what falls over ocean / water as part of the snowfall calculation. More variables in the Lab:
• 3 March 2020: Note: I'd take issue with some of the science here as the links between climate change and severe storms are not that well established.
• 3 March 2020: Climate activists have quickly linked devastating Tennessee tornadoes to climate change🌪️ Tornado alley has shifted 500 miles east in only 30-years and storms that typically hit TX and OK are now hitting Tennessee which is unprepared, not used to such weather. #ClimateEmergency
• 3 March 2020: Co-founder of Apple Steve Wozniak just throwing it out there that he might have been Patient Zero. #CoronaVirusSeattle
• 3 March 2020: Climate nightmares. This is a growing problem with elementary school students who are terrified about the planet's future. I've heard many parents are concerned about the mental health of their children w/acute anxiety problems.
• 3 March 2020: NOAA (NCEP EMC) has started the new FV3-GEFS official evaluation period -- a major update to the U.S. flagship global ensemble weather modeling system. This has been a long time coming -- expecting to see real-time parallel data before June 2020.
• 3 March 2020: Looks like slightly warmer than normal in Colorado & the chart matches up in Denver.
• 3 March 2020: Not in my experience. The initial conditions should be lost right away
• 3 March 2020: Do you have an example?
• 3 March 2020: Professional note: Also reminder to only use the model climatology or else you will have a badly biased result. ✔ For ECMWF the M-Climate is 2000-2019.
• 3 March 2020: You can find other EPS 45-day charts including precipitation and snowfall + TMIN/TMAX in the Lab @weathermodels_
• 3 March 2020: The EPS 45-day forecast that comes out Monday/Thursday is pretty much climatology by Week 2. I quickly coded the box-charts to demonstrate it. Need to use fancier statistics to get useful information about long-range signals in a 51-member ensemble out to 45-days. (S2S)
• 3 March 2020: Reporter says 700 to 800 people are there, a small venue and rally completely different than the crowds that Bernie draws. How many people do you think? 7,000 (?)
• 3 March 2020: Joy Reid never acknowledged or apologized for her disgusting & bigoted writing. Her hacking story was a complete fabrication. MSNBC has no integrity standards to enforce.
• 3 March 2020: Still waiting on this mega Joe Biden rally to start with the huge endorsements. Looks like a few hundred people gathered for a school play. Not much energy in the venue.
• 3 March 2020: I thought of the Marshall-Palmer relationship when I saw that equation and your name. We use that to convert instantaneous model precipitation rate into dBZ.
• 2 March 2020: Media will report negatively because narrative. "dead cat bounce" "volatility"
• 2 March 2020: That was fun. +1297 points (+5.1%) 🚀
• 2 March 2020: Dow taking off like a rocket ship. +1052 points.
• 2 March 2020: Not that there was much hope this winter but the ECMWF model now has the strong storm well off the coast for this weekend. Boston went from a monster blizzard to a "dusting" of snow. East come, easy go!
• 2 March 2020: Until Thursday morning: Large area of 4-inches+ rainfall centered upon Columbus, Georgia including Montgomery, AL Hoping for less here in #Atlanta more like 2-inches would be enough.🌧️ Southeast has been waterlogged over past few months.
• 2 March 2020: Unlikely as the radiosonde era began in 1958. There would not be much upper-level data to constrain the analysis. The 20th Century Reanalysis Version 3 is probably the best option out there right now for the early 1900s.
• 2 March 2020: Global temperature update for February 2019: +0.66°C ranks 2nd behind Feb 2016. Widespread warmth compared to normal across Eurasia while Alaska remained very cold.
• 2 March 2020: Interesting article in NY Times about how a "Trump insider" is embedding "climate denial" into government reports. Outside scientists & lawyers worry that "highlighting uncertainty" could make lawsuits & left-wing climate policy more difficult.
• 1 March 2020: Mayor Pete could run in the 2060 Presidential campaign and still be younger than Biden, Bernie, and Bloomberg are today.
• 1 March 2020: Our new Weather Porthole @bamwxcom⚡️ Just the beginning of many operational weather products using the best data. 📡
• 1 March 2020: Missing data ... not clear why those few grid points would be missing.
• 1 March 2020: The ECMWF 00z forecast run had a crippling blizzard for Boston next weekend -- something we haven't seen all winter along the East Coast. Unusual track and development.
• 1 March 2020: Waiting on the ECMWF 12z forecast run ... I suspect a lot of meteorologists are today. ❄️
• 1 March 2020: UC Santa Cruz has fired 54 graduate students (TA's) for refusing to submit grades as part of a strike supported by the UAW. The students are paid $31K a year to mainly research useless topics. Terminated for misconduct & abandonment of work.
• 1 March 2020: Weather alert 🏖️ If you're heading to Disney World in the next few days, prepare for hot temperatures in the 80s -- maybe 90°F on Wednesday. The heat may be uncomfortable for folks from the Midwest & Northeast who've been enduring winter.
• 1 March 2020: Tom Steyer has officially ended his doomed 2020 campaign after spending over $200 million on campaign ads 🔥 He contributed nothing of substance and pandered relentlessly.
• 29 February 2020: Unfortunate punctuation
• 29 February 2020: Never heard of that ... My favorites: jackpot, snowing to beat the band, snow cannon.
• 28 February 2020: I don't understand why you are doing.
• 28 February 2020: New Tesla + PG&E battery farm at Moss Landing along Monterey Bay just north of Monterey. I remember a decade ago plans for it to become a coal powered desalinization plant!
• 28 February 2020: Comparison between February 2016 and 2020: Still about 0.2°C below the El Nino charged winter of 2015-16, so no new Feb monthly record.
• 28 February 2020: The charts are updated here: I will continue to add more diagnostics.
• 28 February 2020: Chances of accumulating snow in Washington D.C. look pretty low for the remaining weeks of winter. ❄️ The 6-week ECMWF weather/ocean model from Thursday (00z) shows a total of 1-inch on average of snowfall. That's it ... median is 1-more inch.
• 28 February 2020: More climate science: These regimes or "steps" in temperature demonstrate importance of tropical variability on monthly time scales. Data is updated within 2 or 5 days of real-time, so there is a complete picture since 1950s (JRA-55) and soon 1950 with ERA5 (currently 1979)
• 28 February 2020: Time series of tropical latitude temperature (anomaly) shows that we are not experiencing a strong El Niño like late 2015 to early 2016. I've long promoted the use of reanalysis data (e.g JRA-55 or ERA5) especially to see the changes on sub-monthly (or even daily) time scales
• 28 February 2020: Something goofy. Might be leap year related.
• 28 February 2020: Global temperature (map): As of end of February 2020, the 1-year running mean has increased 0.35°C since late 2014. That corresponds to recent increase/trend of 0.6°C per decade. 🌡️
• 28 February 2020: Global temperatures ending February at high point. Temp anomaly (3-day running avg) at similar peak levels as early 2016 during strong El Niño. 🌡️ Strong El Niño is absent in 2020. If warmth continues into spring, then 365-day running mean will reach record. #ClimateEmergency
• 28 February 2020: Reminder: these "blacklists" are used for academic research. e.g.
• 28 February 2020: Update for @weathermodels_ coming soon (rolling out in next 1-2 days) Global expansion of the high quality UKMET model products w/expanded U.S. states/regions (6-days) New: TMAX/TMIN, snowfall, 300 500 850 hPa T/U/V, 10-meter U/V + gusts Joins precip, Z500, MSLP, t2m
• 28 February 2020: Dollar General rolling out new concept DGX in urban cores to the growing millennial market. Smaller format more like a convenience store with fresh food items. Atlanta is getting a DGX in Midtown.
• 28 February 2020: Lake Effect snow heading into March downwind of the Great Lakes in the favored snow belts. The lakes are mostly ice-free as the winter has been especially mild.
• 27 February 2020: New precedent set as UK court declared Heathrow's proposed runway expansion illegal b/c it did not comport with Paris Ckim6ate Agreement goals. Now, all future energy and transportation projects could face a similar fate.
• 27 February 2020: Court in UK rules against plan to build 3rd runway at Heathrow Airport b/c it conflicts with goals of Paris Climate Agreement. Runway faced fierce opposition regardless.
• 27 February 2020: Are you suggesting China shuts down its factories & quarantine its population for 2-months -- during good times? If you're one of the people that think a global pandemic has a "silver lining" for battling climate change, then hopefully you will voluntarily sign up.
• 27 February 2020: Should Upstate New Yorkers pay more in gasoline taxes to subsidize extremely expensive NYC subway repairs? Definitely yes -- also to combat climate change & fill the coffers of state agencies looking to spend on wasteful "green projects"
• 27 February 2020: NYC will pay people who report "idling vehicles"
• 27 February 2020:
• 27 February 2020: Revealed: Canadian blockade protestors aren't what they seem. Instead of local activists, some are professional agitators from California focused on decolonization and anti-capitalism. Fakes and phonies.
• 26 February 2020: Excited for update of website & addition of many new products including expanded UKMET & 4x4 panel comparisons. continues to improve & grow in its third year thanks to loyal subscribers! 👏
• 26 February 2020: I'd leave "weather emergencies" out of this one Mike. When blizzards were in the forecast, you made sure to gas up your private jet for Bermuda.
• 26 February 2020: 4D-Var based reanalysis like ERA5 also provides the observation feedback information, analysis increment and uncertainty measures (it's actually ensemble data assimilation). But, there's also a coupled atmosphere-ocean forecast model as part of the analysis cycle.
• 26 February 2020: The S.C. #DemDebate was a mess -- poorly moderated. But, a glaring omission in the Dem debate was a question or two about climate change. Conscious decision? The energized far-left of party surely noticed.
• 26 February 2020: NY Times with a nice article on "Snow Days: Is School Canceled More Often Now?" Some people get really worked up about this topic, so trigger warning!
• 26 February 2020: Cold air with west winds over Lake Ontario expected to dump 4-feet of snow along the shoreline over next few days. Winds gusting 40-50 mph could create snow drifts 10-feet or higher. Includes Oswego and Watertown, New York.
• 25 February 2020: Gruesome to behold but climate change activists are pointing to the coronavirus health disaster as evidence that emissions can and should be cut. Beyond disgusting. Don't let these people anywhere near a lever of power again.
• 25 February 2020: Apparently Idaho wants to expand.
• 25 February 2020: Just something satisfying about seeing all of the data on one chart ... might be the colors or the little numbers.
• 25 February 2020: I now provide 3 different ways to visualize ensemble output of Teleconnections e.g. EPO @weathermodels_ with addition of color filled matrix. Sometimes viewing all of the data at once helps the eyeball discern useful patterns.
• 25 February 2020: Tom Steyer running for office of "dictator"
• 25 February 2020: Republican Party is wrestling with climate policy on their own terms. Ideas floating around include carbon taxes, planting trees, nuclear renaissance, mitigation & adaptation with infrastructure investments. It's easy to be a sane alternative to crazy Bernie & Green New Deal.
• 25 February 2020: Bernie Sanders sponsored Green New Deal is a political loser for Democrats. Banning fracking is dead on arrival in PA, Ohio, and other states. It was a disastrous miscalculation for Nancy Pelosi to outsource climate policy to AOC, Sanders & far left activists.
• 25 February 2020: Why hasn't @realDonaldTrump mentioned climate change (global warming) on Twitter in a year? (1) Too busy w/fake Russian collusion & Impeachment hoax (2) Political expediency: Green New Deal is boat anchor around Dem Party & likely nominee Bernie Sanders. (3) Emissions down.
• 25 February 2020: Rapidly growing population & wealth across the state. The tuition & living costs in Tallahassee, Gainesville, Orlando, and Tampa have historically been very cheap compared to Northeastern cities. State government fiscally conservative but funds U system pretty well.
• 25 February 2020: Let's say you are not ready for 4-year college. Tallahassee Community college down Tennessee Street will educate you in the basics for about $100/credit hour -- which you can transfer. Or ... Apprenticeships: HVAC, plumbing, electrical, pipefitters, criminal justice.
• 25 February 2020: Florida State University tuition is $216 per credit hour inclusive of all fees for residents. Assuming zero financial aid -- a 4-year degree costs around $7,000 each academic year. Rent in Tallahassee is quite cheap. Most public schools in the Southeast are still bargains.
• 25 February 2020: Actually, Jeff Bezos committing $10 Billion to Earth research e.g. climate change might be more of a motivation for activists to keep quiet while they destroy Bernie Sanders.
• 25 February 2020: The replies from the loudest activists (who traffic in smears) are telling: "I respectfully disagree ..." They are afraid of the Washington Post editorial page.
• 24 February 2020: Sure. Great Lakes and a Michigan zoom.
• 24 February 2020: Still some uncertainty about snowfall totals across the Great Lakes. National Weather Service snowfall forecasts are still be adjusted -- each local office adding/subtracting hour-by-hour. Last 12-hours of changes: (@weathermodels_)
• 24 February 2020: The @Mike2020 campaign is simply repeating vacuous talking points about climate change attacking Trump when @BernieSanders is under fire from the "moderate lane" including Washington Post. Malpractice by the poorly advised @MikeBloomberg
• 24 February 2020: I'd agree. Climate activism has become unmoored from reality on the far left. Silence, acquiescence and subservience until now -- when the craziness is embodied in the Democratic party nominee.
• 24 February 2020: They are not taking this truth telling very well. Yikes at the ratio!
• 24 February 2020: So where is the Democratic party climate platform? It's stuck with the rantings of a doomsday preacher, a 17-year old Swedish girl, and a former bartender. Tells you all you need to know about their intellectual seriousness on actually combating climate change.
• 24 February 2020: This has been building up over a year with the election of AOC, the roll-out of the Green New Deal, and the rise of Greta Thunberg. Climate activists, media & politicians hoped to bottle up the anti-Trump energy on the left -- but not in the form of a Bernie nomination.
• 24 February 2020: Washington Post editorial board calling Bernie Sanders a climate denier. This is a signal to Democrats that the coast is clear to finally criticize Bernie's dangerous, doomsday preaching about climate change which is unhinged from actual science.
• 24 February 2020: Washington Post with a glossy, promotional article about the "anti-Greta" -- a German 19-year old "climate realist" who says she is not an "indoctrinated puppet" preaching the end of the world. Sure is curious to see this in the WashPost 🤔
• 23 February 2020: Weather insiders know that the Kuchera or Air-Force method for snow liquid ratio doesn't work so well. But hard to tell anyone otherwise w/o doing something better. Literature has a couple methods. Blend of models uses "energy method" based upon vertical profile. w/ECMWF.
• 23 February 2020: If @MikeBloomberg doesn't beat @BernieSanders then how is he supposed to beat @realDonaldTrump? He hasn't been on a ballot yet! Same question to @PeteButtigieg Democrats in #NevadaCaucus are "feeling the Bern" and there really isn't a prescription for that come Super Tuesday.
• 23 February 2020: Looks like a repeat of the Presidential Election of 1984. 🇺🇸 Some states are too Deep Blue to go Trump but 400 electoral votes looks like a great number to start. House and Senate again under full GOP control.
• 22 February 2020: Virtue signaling that ends up being worse for the climate, of course. Banning gas stoves is not a serious way to fight climate change
• 22 February 2020: Bernie Sander's climate policy platform would benefit Russia immensely. Banning U.S. fracking, fossil fuel extraction, and halting gas exports would immediately bolster Putin's geopolitical influence.
• 22 February 2020: Of course it is ... the level of dishonesty is breathtaking.
• 22 February 2020: P.S. Climate science establishment is right there with Bernie on the far left. This is NOT political pragmatism. And the irony is that their silence, acquiescence & subservience guarantees Trump's 2nd Term & Dem wipeout. ✔
• 22 February 2020: I'm not being paid by @MikeBloomberg for this advice but it's probably worth millions considering his debate debut. Yet, his climate policy answer was pretty good ... pragmatic and nuanced. Everyone is writing off Bloomberg but I see a path forward right thru Bernie's lane.
• 22 February 2020: Trump & the GOP will pound Bernie Sanders so hard on the destructive Green New Deal. He will have Midwest voters erasing the Democratic Party from the landscape. It will be an annihilation & I will enjoy watching it. Unless Bloomberg changes this dynamic it's curtains for Dems
• 22 February 2020: Here comes @MikeBloomberg He is pragmatic and highly educated on climate policy b/c he has business and economic sense that the rest of the Democratic candidates completely lack. He has unlimited campaign cash to destroy Bernie Sanders on climate policy. And he should.
• 22 February 2020: At the most recent debate, Bernie Sanders screamed that we need to ban fracking, end fossil fuel extraction and exports. Not in 20 years but right now. Bernie is the current odds on favorite to win the Democratic nomination. Trump will win in a 40 state landslide.
• 22 February 2020: Yet, the other Democratic candidates lurched left with Bernie going off the proverbial climate cliff. The activist energy is with Bernie, AOC and the Green New Deal (which is a total hoax). Climate scientists choose silence to avoid upsetting this dynamic.
• 22 February 2020: Political prediction: Bernie Sanders, Warren, AOC & others are climate change doomsayers who misrepresent climate policy to advance their left wing policy revolution. It is a complete fraud to say we have 6 to 12 years left to save the Earth from an "existential crisis"
• 22 February 2020: The adoption of 4D-Var like other leading International forecasting centers will be the necessary component to best use the trillions of satellite observations. Finally after spending billions on spacecraft, we will have the ground tools to take advantage.
• 22 February 2020: The NOAA Supercomputer upgrade is hopefully a game changer for U.S. weather modeling vaulting the software & hardware into the 2020s Dual 12 petaflop systems operating full blast with optimized disks (Lustre) Upgrades will bear fruit by early 2021.
• 22 February 2020: Meteorology in the weeds: Arctic Oscillation is very positive (+) and will trend down over next 5 days. Forecast skill is abnormally high and I'm watching for ECMWF to hit 0.98 for the 5-day verification across NH on the 26th.
• 21 February 2020: Haven't heard much about the railroad blockades in Canada. But this sounds bad since Quebec is a bit chilly during late Februrary "Critical propane shortage"
• 21 February 2020: Anything to distract from the Dumpster Fire 🔥 that is the Democratic Party nomination process.
• 21 February 2020: BTW, there's enormous pressure being put upon Republicans including the Trump administration to pursue a climate change carbon tax. There is bipartisan support in the moderate lanes of both Dem & GOP parties. Not exactly on the far Left w/Bernie, though. And def not Trump🤔
• 21 February 2020: Roger Pielke Jr. was the only academic on Twitter to question these reports from consulting agencies, banks and governments usually based upon the faulty RCP 8.5 "business as usual" scenario. But he gone.
• 21 February 2020: Usually with a bank there is money involved. Yes. 💰 "JP Morgan warns of end to human life in climate report" "An explosive new report sees economists at the bank calling for a global carbon tax" JPM leaking their report to Extinction Rebellion is 🔥
• 21 February 2020: Another leaked document in the Guardian -- this time a climate report from JP Morgan. Humanity faces extinction from climate change. The report was obtained by Rupert Read who is the Extinction Rebellion spokesperson. I'd like to see this report.
• 21 February 2020: At the recent debate, Bernie proclaimed "listen to the scientists" ... and the scientists tell us that the Earth is doomed in 6-years unless we do something e.g. Green New Deal. Oddly enough, the scientists aren't particularly interested in clearing up this confusion.
• 21 February 2020: What an unusual winter! Snowfall over the past 7-days Zip, zero, zilch from D.C., Philly, NYC to Boston🤦‍♂️ Over 3-inches in North Carolina right to the coast. ❄️
• 21 February 2020: Quiet weather today ... maybe 2% of the Lower 48 will see precipitation Friday.
• 21 February 2020: Yes --> Alex, discussion going on here about some of the other "cognitive experts" cited in the article -- which are part of Skeptical Science -- an insider smear/messaging outfit.
• 21 February 2020: The left always accuses the other side of what they are doing. Projection is the foundation of much of this "climate denial" research. If denial bots are so influential, then it's obvious that activist bots are too -- for the same reasons.
• 21 February 2020: The Guardian has seen a "draft of the study" "The study of Twitter bots and climate was undertaken by Brown University and has yet to be published." I understand if it's completed peer review & Guardian is getting an exclusive first look. Otherwise, this raises ethics issues.
• 21 February 2020: Interesting study suggests 1/4 of climate related Tweets are generated by bots. Oddly enough, the study isn't published or available in the article -- yet being publicized in the press.
• 21 February 2020: HRRR has an accumulated snow variable from the model itself, so the output does not need to be calculated by taking ptyped-QPF. asnowsfc You can tell bc there is no accum over water surfaces.
• 20 February 2020: I've thought about this. If it was a private company, then the intellectual property and assets of ECMWF would be probably worth tens of billions.
• 20 February 2020: More: "The computers — each with a 12 petaflop capacity — will be operational and ready to implement model upgrades by early 2022 after a period of code migration and testing." Bigger computers + better models at NOAA = better weather forecasts. 👏 to Trump admin leadership.
• 20 February 2020: Huge! 🎉 NOAA has awarded $1/2 billion contract in order to triple supercomputing capacity for weather forecasting. Acting NOAA admin Neil Jacobs: “We are committed to put America back on top of international leadership with the best weather forecasts"
• 20 February 2020: I understand (a) and (b) but it's impossible to require anyone -- including other scientists -- (c) to publish any comments or criticism in peer-reviewed articles. On Twitter, peer review can happen instantly when a colleague raises a question or makes an observation.
• 20 February 2020: Who the hell asked her? Ric Grenell has served with distinction wherever he was asked to go -- including most recently in Germany. We need more honorable public servants like Ric and less like Speaker Pelosi.
• 20 February 2020: Bernie Sanders, AOC, and activists have dragged the Democratic Party so far to the left on climate policy, that Bloomberg sounded pragmatic, intelligent & up to date on practical climate policy goals/aims. Warren and Biden are just as ignorant.
• 20 February 2020: Bernie Sanders yelling: Climate change is an existential threat! The fate of the planet is at stake. Green. New. Deal. He claims to have the climate scientists on his side & we need to listen to them -- and him. Nope, he's selling snake oil on climate policy.
• 20 February 2020: So @MikeBloomberg is being criticized for being "too knowledgeable" about climate policy e.g. by actually bringing up China and India emissions. Apparently the Democrats are used to "ranting doomsday preacher" Bernie Sanders yelling at them about world ending in 6 or 12 years.
• 20 February 2020: Oh, so Bloomberg gets criticized for being too knowledgeable about climate policy? With Bernie ranting like a doomsday preacher, you'd think the Democrats would embrace someone with a brain.
• 20 February 2020: Bernie Sanders said the #GreenNewDeal would be wonderful b/c it would create 20 million new high paying jobs. Where the hell does that huge number come from? I hear similar claims when critics point out job displacement from outlawing fossil fuels & fracking. #ClimateChange
• 20 February 2020: I was reminded of Al Gore's endless "sighing" with George Bush in the 2000 debate. Gore's stage presence was awful especially with the theatrics of that sighing.
• 20 February 2020: Mike Bloomberg is in a similar boat on the debate stage but does have his NYC mayoral experience & so much business / institutional knowledge. His competence is not in question. He will need to work on everything going forward to show more energy -- not seem bored with it all.
• 20 February 2020: Remember back to the 2016 GOP primary debates. Trump was not a polished debater, he had a few talking points, but quickly ran out of material. He did have enormous charisma & stage presence of an experienced TV star. He stole the show -- huge ratings!
• 20 February 2020: Bloomberg has a wry sense of humor -- maybe a hint of self-deprecation. He should balance out his business credentials with some personal stories e.g. how he became so successful. @MikeBloomberg Lots of work for Mike to do ... more campaign ads!
• 20 February 2020: Bit of a rough start for @MikeBloomberg at this first debate as all incoming fire was directed his way but he held up pretty well. #DemDebate Eventually his patience ran out with the disingenuous attacks and he stopped apologizing. Bloomberg will destroy this field one-by-one.
• 20 February 2020: I just realized why @MikeBloomberg has failing grades on the left-wing climate policy scorecards. He is the only sane voice among the rest of the candidates on the stage. He sees the issue from a pragmatic point of view -- not like a doomsday nutjob. #DemDebate
• 20 February 2020: Excellent question from moderator: Why is Las Vegas so damn hot? 🔥🔥🔥 #DemDebate #ClimateCrisis
• 20 February 2020: I have a feeling the blood bath will continue with the #ClimateCrisis questions at the #DemDebate We know that @MikeBloomberg has an F-grade (flunking) in every climate policy category. He flies everywhere in a fleet of polluting private jets destroying the planet.
• 20 February 2020: This animated version of @ewarren is bringing the smoke 🔥🔥🔥 #DemDebate
• 20 February 2020:
• 20 February 2020: Mike Bloomberg bought the Democratic nomination fair and square. 💰 #DemDebate @MikeBloomberg @BernieSanders
• 20 February 2020: Excellent decision! Ambassador Grenell has served with distinction & it's great to have him back in the U.S. 🍻 Congratulations!
• 20 February 2020: Seems to be a bunch of TV meteorologists & other outlets with different snowfall forecasts. Here's the National Weather Service forecast map:
• 20 February 2020: Thursday afternoon & evening -- a snowstorm develops from Tennessee into North Carolina & southern Virginia. Accumulations likely in the 2-4 inch rain across much of NC.
• 19 February 2020: A new "climate change" policy scorecard has come out and no surprise that @MikeBloomberg is at the bottom with another F (10%) @BernieSanders scored 100% (10/10) Of the remaining candidates, only @ewarren has a passing grade (8/10)
• 19 February 2020: How much should you charge for putting a @MikeBloomberg bumper sticker on your car? Seeing $1000/month out there ...
• 19 February 2020: Weather model watchers: GFS (12z) running late Wednesday now 1-hour+ Files not staging to web. @weathermodels_
• 19 February 2020: "Astroturf army" @MikeBloomberg buying up social media influencers to promote his presidential campaign. Should be pretty simple to see who has been bought off or is in the pocket of Bloomberg.
• 18 February 2020: Latest from Roger Pielke Jr. on CO2 emissions and climate policy. "Good News And Bad News As Carbon Dioxide Emissions Grow More Slowly Than Models Predict"
• 18 February 2020: Just read article and I didn't see any examples of deniers circling. Are you predicting or speculating? A new leadership team hasn't been chosen, right? I have confidence in the WH Science Advisor to handle this w/o influence of politics.
• 18 February 2020: Update: delayed until tomorrow. Exciting advancement. One more day of version 3.1
• 18 February 2020: The Blend of Models now outputs many probability based variables including temperature and precipitation. Example: 9-day forecast customizable "blend" chart for Indianapolis that I've designed with @bamwxcom
• 18 February 2020: I use different sci comm techniques to reach new audiences on some topics. If I regurgitate mainstream climate news, then it sounds absurd when put into proper context. Its not an indictment of the science but more so the weak media sci literacy.
• 18 February 2020: The "model wars" between ECMWF and GFS (and now Canadian) are primarily with the global modeling systems. GFS is an excellent model -- it's not the king. The blend of models -- like HRRR -- demonstrates NOAA's leadership in & focus on mesoscale ensemble techniques. 👏
• 18 February 2020: NOAA National Weather Service has significantly upgraded the "Blend of Models" to version 3.2 as of 12Z. For forecast periods of 2-7 days, good luck beating this system as a human forecaster. Model blend includes many data sources including ECMWF ensembles.
• 18 February 2020: Phil, I'm not being sarcastic -- please don't presume to deign hidden meanings behind my Tweets. If you read the rest of the thread, then I outline recent research about Arctic climate change. I'm not making an explicit attribution argument only a hypothesis.
• 18 February 2020: New Orleans city inspectors allegedly didn't visit the Hard Rock Hotel building site yet continually signed off on construction. Fox 8 couldn't match vehicle GPS records to the hotel site. Inspectors & city open to civil and criminal liability.
• 18 February 2020: You'll recognize this song then 😄 Professional darts is so exciting.
• 18 February 2020: I understand that production machine is cluttered with countless jobs ancillary or downstream of the global model. ECMWF really has a singular mission to provide medium range forecasts. I'm overblowing b/c we need better global analysis to benefit entire production suite
• 18 February 2020: Well, let's see. ECMWF is building a brand new Supercomputer complex in Bologna, Italy. MetOffice is spending $1.6 Billion Maybe NOAA can get their old machines off the scrap heap?
• 18 February 2020: This is all politics, Dan. Actually, I'm not surprised you think Nye's political communication is effective. You're really no different than him.
• 18 February 2020: I don't question Bill Nye's credentials. He's an engineer with impressive background. His kids science show has made millions. He is beyond successful. I'm just saying his interviews on climate & weather mixed with politics are ridiculous. A complete assclown.
• 18 February 2020: My thesis remains the same: Bill Nye's (political) brand is based upon polarization and bigotry not actually convincing fencesitters or educating anyone. He has been this way for a decade. Complete hack.
• 18 February 2020: Bill Nye showed up on Hardball with Chris Matthews and talked out of his ass about climate change & new EPA chief of staff -- dragging her two young kids into his twisted theory. It's disgusting but par for the course with the deranged Bill Nye.
• 18 February 2020: Earlier, somebody told me that Bill Nye was on TV today and he said something about climate change and the EPA. I didn't have the mental fortitude to watch it ... before I had a few adult beverages. It's worse than I could have imagined.
• 18 February 2020: I'm happy to offer you some advice. Don't presume to be my editor or translate my Tweets into "denial speak". However, I do have patience for those that want to learn the actual science and how to be politically effective in communicating it.
• 18 February 2020: Critics are saying that this money won't make a difference b/c there is currently a lack of gov't coercive action in place. Foundations are about legacy. Making a lasting difference. Bezos has the opportunity to reshape everything with his personal resources. Praying he does.
• 18 February 2020: “Climate change is the biggest threat to our planet" -- Jeff Bezos Bezos is committing $10B of his own money to combat climate change. Do you agree that the biggest threat to Earth is climate change? How did this ubiquitous claim come about?
• 18 February 2020: I don't need an editor, thanks.
• 17 February 2020: Not really as the map shows. This station was 50 cents cheaper for 2 days then went right back to 2.75 with mid-grade at 3.00 The prices are being fixed.
• 17 February 2020: Amazing News: There is a wine grape glut in California which will lead to dirt cheap, high quality vintages hitting store shelves. The next 3 years will see bargain wine prices! Why? Probably climate change.
• 17 February 2020: Two Kroger gas stations 2 miles apart in East Atlanta. $2.75 vs. $2.29 Something fishy going on with that @Kroger Map from @GasBuddy
• 17 February 2020: Seriously, Bezos' $10 Billion "Earth Fund" is an enormous pot of money available to researchers. Of course there will be overhead, graft, and waste, but no doubt excellent research potentially game changing will occur all thanks to private sector donation.
• 17 February 2020: Academics are constantly in the pursuit of grant money & will go to great lengths to get it. This initiative by Bezos would be the largest infusion of non-gov't money into Earth science since the BP Oil Spill settlement. And it's his money -- he made it. 👏
• 17 February 2020: Amazon and Jeff Bezos have been under fierce fire from inside the company in the media about pitiful efforts to reduce their enormous (intergalactic sized) carbon footprint. $10 billion is a substantial sum (payoff) to shut down his critics -- unless they want more, of course.
• 17 February 2020: Strong North Atlantic storms have helped trigger an Africa dust event further south in the tropics. The Saharan dust layer shows up well on visible satellite and modeled by CAMS from @CopernicusECMWF It's all connected, yo.
• 17 February 2020: Pushing 90°F in central South Florida. Just thought I'd let you know. 🏖️
• 17 February 2020: That sounds like a challenge to be more vague and alarmist.
• 17 February 2020: I'd be firmly in the camp that argues the tropics (heat source) dominates any changes to planetary waves vs. the Arctic. In climate science, this is repeated ad naseum b/c it has to be: "... correlation does not necessarily imply causality"
• 17 February 2020: 🚨 “I think they likely have it backwards, based on published evidence,” said climate scientist Gerald Meehl (NCAR). “There is no way that heating anomalies in the Arctic are large enough or stationary enough to force planetary waves,” Trenberth said.
• 17 February 2020: More evidence piling up that rapidly melting Arctic is causing climate chaos across the Earth including the tropics. Amazing new research (doesn't violate laws of thermodynamics like some jet weirding) "There’s now a network of consistent correlations.”
• 17 February 2020: Stratospheric polar vortex is currently symmetric w/o a strong signal of breakdown. This means coldest air remains bottled up in Arctic and not into Lower 48. Lack of sustained cold air this winter due to a combination of factors including climate change. #ClimateEmergency
• 17 February 2020: Massive pothole on eastbound I-20 just before Turner Road in the right lane. Could not avoid it ... nearly lost control after hitting it in my sedan. Dangerous!
• 17 February 2020: Weather model skill update: 1. ECMWF 2. Canadian 3. U.S. GFS The Environment Canada weather model has solidified it's place ahead of the U.S. NOAA GFS.
• 17 February 2020: Clear skies and snow cover allows the temperatures to crash. I remember that drive to Clare from the west and seeing -30°F in my truck thermometer.
• 17 February 2020: Yes. Definitely an inversion layer. Its stable so smokey air can't rise up and escape. Ends up just settling near the ground and filling in low spots.
• 17 February 2020: Found the "climate science" grading scale ... it's hilarious. A: 80%+ B: 55% - 79% C: 30% - 54% D: 10% - 29% F: 0% - 9%
• 17 February 2020: Harvard grading scale? Under 60 is flunking ... a big red F. @MikeBloomberg flunks "climate change policy" according to this neutral report by our friends at Greenpeace.
• 17 February 2020: The rise of Greta and her mass appeal was a singular European event. I think we need to look at the anti-nuclear movement of Germany as a foundation piece of her activism.
• 17 February 2020: The data assimilation is very resource intensive. The time window allowed to finish the analysis can't be lengthened in practice. It's all about squeezing highest resolution in shortest run time.
• 17 February 2020: We do use their forecast model output. But we need our own complete system from Step 1 for a bunch of other subsystems.
• 17 February 2020: In related news, U.S. weather forecasting computer resources are "inaqequate" especially compared to Europeans. It's a broken record playing now for two decades. Trump & Congress should commission the most massive system ever conceived & name it MAGA.
• 17 February 2020: I'm not a fan of the cartoon names but otherwise don't care. It's marketing not science.
• 17 February 2020: That was last week.
• 17 February 2020: Seeing "Weather bomb" & "bomb cyclone" everywhere now in media. A technical term from meteorology that lived in journal articles or weather discussions evolved from social media to the evening news.
• 17 February 2020: Highly in doubt
• 17 February 2020: Current best model is 0.1° global grid: 3600x1801 cells and 131 levels in vertical. We are marching toward 0.05° so 7200x3601x131 Then 0.01° by 2030: 36000x18001x131 Scales exponentially.
• 17 February 2020: Weather forecasting requires the output to be delivered in a timely manner. A 7 day forecast that takes 2 days to complete is not valuable. More power = finer grids both horizontally and vertically. Finer grids generally means better representation of features
• 17 February 2020: You can watch McMillions on HBO!
• 17 February 2020: Whoa Boris! 🇬🇧 U.K. to spend $1.6 Billion on a new Supercomputer for weather forecasting and climate modeling. This is an astronomical investment to yield a 6-fold performance increase.
• 16 February 2020: The top speed of the Presidential limo is unknown. But at 11 tons, the Beast is not easily stopping.
• 16 February 2020: Final analyzed pressure of powerful North Atlantic #StormDennis was 919 mb from ECMWF 00z. This ranks the storm #3 in terms of central pressure for Northern Hemisphere non-tropical cyclones in the satellite era (since 1979) using ERA-5 reanalysis. 9th NH storm under 925 hPa.
• 16 February 2020: Quarantined over Alaska.
• 16 February 2020: If you have a weather model or data question, then I'm happy to help you out. ☔ Or if you don't want to waste your money on some outfit's opaque and expensive API 💰, then why not have your own data stream? It's easier than you think & many are now doing it! 🌡
• 15 February 2020: Analysis at 12z saw complicated twin cyclones about to merge near Iceland. The dominant low was at 922 hPa.
• 15 February 2020: Prediction: Now that Hillary is floated as a possible "election opponent", A.G. Barr must discontinue the investigation into 2016 election issues. Ploy could work, too.
• 15 February 2020: Powerful cyclone likely below 930 hPa by now in the North Atlantic just south of Iceland. (02Z satellite imagery @eumetsat) The final pressure should bottom out around 915 hPa -- near all-time historical records for a non-tropical system in Northern Hemisphere.
• 15 February 2020: Epic! Let's see what that Beast can do on the track.
• 14 February 2020: The UN climate chief blamed climate skeptics for "hacking" his phone amid sexual harassment charges. The long-lasting case was unresolved at his death. He also wrote a trashy, smut novel.
• 14 February 2020: "a charismatic voice on the risks of global warming who led the United Nations’ climate science agency when it won the Nobel Peace Prize, but whose career ended amid accusations of sexual harassment"
• 14 February 2020: Is winter over in Washington DC? ❄️ Reliable weather forecast see only a 6% chance of at least 3-inches of snowfall from a storm system. Not good odds. Stick a fork in it. 🍴
• 14 February 2020: Tainted Probe.
• 14 February 2020: Really shouldn't beat a man when he's down on his luck but for C.P.L. we shall make an exception.
• 14 February 2020: So why do some winters have several major winter storms called Nor'easters but this one has not? ❄ All wrong answers accepted.
• 14 February 2020: It's fine when government lawyers or senior officials lie under oath. Also, those same officials prosecute others for the same crimes. 🤔
• 14 February 2020: The upwind effect of ice-free Lake Michigan likely kept you above zero. Not much of a winter.
• 14 February 2020: Ice-free Great Lakes keeping down-wind shorelines 10-15°F warmer than just upwind or inland e.g. over Lower Peninsula of Michigan. That Arctic air passing over Lake Michigan does generates snowfall -- a few inches right along that shoreline. Clouds help insulate as well.
• 14 February 2020: We have liftoff of the GFS model 🚀 about an hour later than usual. 🎉
• 14 February 2020: For weather model watchers, NOAA went kaput. Data is not flowing out due to comms issues. @weathermodels_
• 14 February 2020: Climate change is causing an exploding population of rats especially in Washington D.C. 🐀 They are chewing up wires in cars and destroying them -- "digitally totaled" #ClimateEmergency
• 14 February 2020: Yes, 1-hour delay (so far) reported by NCEP.
• 14 February 2020: The record heat in Antarctica is directly caused by Climate Change. The hopeful Democratic Party @BernieSanders nominee has the boldest #GreenNewDeal agenda to make Antarctica Cold Again! #ClimateEmergency @MikeBloomberg what say you?
• 13 February 2020: There are ECMWF ensembles that go as low as 906 hPa for the monster Icelandic cyclone on Saturday. The control is 917 hPa. Deterministic is 916 hPa. So, I'd set the betting number at 916.5 hPa. Definitely a historically deep storm (top 3 in past 40-years+)
• 13 February 2020: Yes, on a remote island at the tip of the Antarctic peninsula.
• 13 February 2020: Bloomberg is hiring meme-makers to create stupid cartoons when he should be spreading his cash around to climate scientists and meteorologists who are actually fighting for the future on the front lines of #ClimateEmergency Tell @MikeBloomberg to raise his game on climate!
• 13 February 2020: The Antarctic peninsula is the "canary in the coal mine" on the meltdown of the entire continent. #ClimateEmergency
• 13 February 2020: These temperatures are well above what AMPS modeled -- like 20°F warmer. Could be highly localized micro-climate where these observations took place, but hardly representative of the entire peninsula or even the tip.
• 13 February 2020: Unbelievable calculation -- but the math is real. ➗ It was 100°F hotter 🔥 in Antarctica than Minnesota this morning. How on Earth is this even possible? 🌡️ Is this unprecedented? #ClimateEmergency
• 13 February 2020: This Antarctica heat was quote "insane" -- it was warmer on the ice covered continent containing the South Pole than Spain -- 20.7°C is almost 70°F -- but also warmer than the entire U.S. except for Florida. #ClimateEmergency
• 13 February 2020: We are under a #ClimateEmergency 🚨
• 13 February 2020: Looks like a high of 6°F in Des Moines. Could be worse I suppose.
• 13 February 2020: North Florida is getting some thunderstorms. Radar shows a line strengthening as it moves toward Tallahassee in next hour. ⛈️ If you like exciting weather, then #Florida is a great place to go 🏖️
• 13 February 2020: Another day of suffering in #Florida as lunchtime temperatures head into the 80s. As an ex-Floridian (#GoNoles) I am quite jealous of their non-existent winter.
• 13 February 2020: It's t-shirt weather again in Antarctica w/unprecedented heat on Seymour Island. #ClimateEmergency Don't worry so much about geography accuracy (-64°S) here -- it's pretty much the South Pole. 🌡️
• 13 February 2020: There's a beautiful & powerful ocean storm over the North Atlantic that will set the stage for the follow-up (potential) historically intense monster cyclone. This is a textbook "warm seclusion" extratropical cyclone. Perfect. 936 hPa central pressure.
• 13 February 2020: The sea-surface temperatures along the track of the powerful North Atlantic cyclone are chilly, under 10°C but not at all frozen. Open ocean water is an important source of energy (diabatic/moisture) for non-tropical cyclones when optimally combined with kinetic jet stream.
• 13 February 2020: Temperatures in the -20s and -30s across Minnesota this morning. -10°F in Minneapolis.
• 13 February 2020: The extreme cold in Alaska is conducive for thickening of sea ice reversing a trend. However, too early to know if woolly mammoths will return to the continent.
• 13 February 2020: Alaska's weather is controlled by Russia.
• 13 February 2020: One state that is extremely cold is Alaska -- experiencing an old-fashioned winter. 🥶 The same atmospheric flow pattern that causes the warmth (+Arctic Oscillation) over the Lower 48 US keeps the worst cold bottled up over Alaska. 🗻
• 13 February 2020: So far 2020 is more than 3°F above average across the Lower 48 as winter was cancelled across the Eastern US. 🔥 Why? The positive Arctic Oscillation (+AO) and effect on jet stream. The 🌡warmth & jet weirding 🛩 is more proof of #ClimateEmergency
• 13 February 2020: Not in this dataset (since 1979) The lowest in Southern Hemisphere is 910 hPa from Sept 5, 2018.
• 13 February 2020: The storm that reaches 917 hPa is actually a "secondary development" that rapidly develops around the parent low. This serial cyclone development isn't unusual but the intensity is rare. The final circulation encompasses the separate lows into a giant, broad cyclone.
• 13 February 2020: Background or environmental pressure is much lower already in SH compared to NH with ample baroclinicity.
• 13 February 2020: ECMWF 18z model is now down to 917 hPa for powerful North Atlantic cyclone by this weekend. Look in the upper-right between Greenland & Iceland. Meteorologists will be watching with curiosity if this storm can move onto the all-time rankings list.
• 13 February 2020: The map shows all tracks of cyclones under 930 hPa. Since the reanalysis has tropical cyclones too weak (pressure too high) none show up at this intensity in the ERA-5. The Southern Hemisphere has > 450 such storms vs. only 16 in the Northern Hemisphere middle-latitudes.
• 13 February 2020: Historical context: From the newly released ERA-5 reanalysis, the kings of North Atlantic bomb cyclones: Jan 10, 1993 (914 mb) Dec 15, 1986 (912 mb) Pacific: Oct 30, 1989: (923 mb) former Super Typhoon Forrest Oct 3, 1981: (924 mb) former STY Elsie Dec 20, 1981: (924 mb)
• 13 February 2020: I found some extreme cold in the Lower 48: Minneapolis. Might struggle to reach 0°F Thursday afternoon for a high temperature. 🌡 And just by luck, that could match record low max from 1909. 👀
• 12 February 2020: Ominous new phenomena similar to "rain bombs" 🌧 Atmospheric rivers in the sky because of climate change are drenching the western U.S. and are worsening. #ClimateEmergency
• 12 February 2020: Multiple areas of low pressure combine into a very deep cyclone centered near Iceland by Saturday. 914 hPa would be near the all-time lowest surface pressure observed or modeled in the far North Atlantic.
• 12 February 2020: Back in 2016, the Daily Kos was adamant about Bernie naming Tulsi as the VP pick in March! Hindsight is 2020 but Bernie + Gabbard vs. Trump might have been a winning ticket considering the political climate.
• 12 February 2020: You mean make it official --> "suspended animation"
• 12 February 2020: Way under ... Biden 8% Also, Warren failed to reach double digits at 9%. Both of these candidates were supposedly front runners just recently.
• 12 February 2020: She was accelerating downward before the fake Bernie smear. I wondered if she was vindictive enough to try taking Bernie down with her in flames. 🔥
• 12 February 2020: New Hampshire's 4 electoral votes would be a nice pick up in November. Only way to turn NH red 🔴 is with massive turnout.
• 12 February 2020: US, EU, and Japan led the way in emission declines. Transition to natural gas due to fracking away from coal is obviously a huge part of reduction success.
• 12 February 2020: U.S. carbon dioxide emissions fell by almost 3% [despite] [because of] Trump. Guarded optimism from this surprisingly good news. ... as booming economic growth continued apace in the U.S.
• 12 February 2020: Based on exit polls, Bernie Sanders won younger demographic (under 45) huge b/c of importance of climate change to Dem primary voters.
• 12 February 2020: Micky Mouse is a very popular write in candidate.
• 12 February 2020: Complete disaster (< 1%). Tom Steyer is really good at lighting enormous amounts of money on fire. Bad for climate change! 🔥🔥🔥
• 12 February 2020: Way over! 🤦‍♂️ Tom Steyer has demonstrated a singular ability to light large amounts of money on fire for doomed political causes. 🔥
• 12 February 2020: The FAQ's were not supposed to be in the final press release but somehow they got out. It was botched. So many Dems signed on in support but that seemingly innocuous mistake killed the Green New Deal legislative momentum. AOC then went full Bernie.
• 12 February 2020: Out of paywall link with informative article on powerful Atlantic storms from @afreedma Bomb cyclones poised to form in the North Atlantic will rake Europe with high winds, ‘phenomenal seas’
• 12 February 2020: The first iteration or "leaked draft" of the Green New Deal from AOC's chief of staff had a type of UBI for those "unwilling or unable to work." It was roundly dismissed as crazy & torpedoed AOC's momentum on the national stage. Yang sold it.
• 12 February 2020: Over/under on Joe Biden in #NewHampshire 9.5% ... do you think he will break double-digits?
• 11 February 2020: Turns the entire Northeast Atlantic into a violent bathtub with maximum wave heights of 40 to 100 feet by Saturday.
• 11 February 2020: ECMWF model has twin 928-mb cyclones between Greenland and Iceland. Sub-930 mb cyclones in the North Atlantic (non-tropical) are quite rare. I found 10 others since 1979 in the ERA5.
• 11 February 2020: Don't let anyone ruin your #broomstickchallenge challenge fun by telling you it's a hoax. The fact that a simple broom can bring about so much happiness is proof that it works.
• 11 February 2020: The rest of February does indeed look dry across Northern California as the storm track is well north into Canada. 0% of normal is just that -- zero rainfall (or snow) February is typically a very wet month in the California rainy season.
• 11 February 2020: Massive "bomb cyclone" to develop in the North Atlantic with > 100 mph winds and central pressure similar to Category 5 hurricane! More frequent extreme storms are direct consequence of climate change leading to more disasters. #ClimateEmergency
• 11 February 2020: These are pretty much the same maps I made 15-years ago starting my PhD work on these "Warm Seclusion Extratropical Cyclones". My receipts: I don't get much opportunity to research but these monsters are definitely worth stopping to appreciate.
• 11 February 2020: A "bomb cyclone" rapidly intensifies off Newfoundland, probably dropping 48 mb / 24 hr (or 2x the threshold) The track is ENE with the final graveyard along the coast of Greenland -- a place you do not want to be w/major hurricane wind gusts + heavy snow. Gusts next 4-days:
• 11 February 2020: GFS model generates an obscenely strong "extratropical cyclone" over the North Atlantic down to 918 mb (equivalent to a Category 5 hurricane -- a tropical cousin) If you're interested in middle-latitude storms, then the next 7-days will be incredible viewing!
• 11 February 2020: I think you've got it figured out.
• 11 February 2020: Temperatures in the 30s today in #NewHampshirePrimary election. 🗳️ If you are a snowbird voting remotely from the #Florida beaches, then make sure you put on sunscreen. Hot today well into the 80s. 🏖️
• 11 February 2020: Snowfall covers Baghdad, Iraq on Monday, first time in more than a decade likely due to climate change. The Middle East is least prepared for these rapid shifts to much colder conditions. #ClimateEmergency
• 11 February 2020: Bill, you've got to be joking, right?
• 11 February 2020: Bloomberg has spent a lot of money already this election cycle, but as we've seen over the past 4-8 years with Tom Steyer, tranches of $50-$100 million spread around the U.S. or on the Internet have very limited impact. And, what's the value of Trump's "earned media" (?)
• 10 February 2020: Rainfall through Thursday morning is impressive. Huge area of 3 to 5 inches across northern Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia including #Atlanta
• 10 February 2020: The deluge is on across the Southeast including #Atlanta with slow moving waves of heavy rainfall. Expect localized flooding: Up to 4" potential in next 24-48 hours.
• 10 February 2020: According to this report, the crippling drought due to climate change in Australia has now been erased across the eastern half of the continent. Droughts and deluges are becoming much more extreme & frequent leading to high fire danger like this summer
• 10 February 2020: Horray! 🎉 In the past year, Twitter has new cool features -- like notifications that act like "priority following" lists. Just click the little bell & James Woods rings it when he Tweets!
• 10 February 2020: Some scientists definitely deserve 90-days in the Twitter hoosegow especially the ones harassing @curryja & @RogerPielkeJr on a daily basis. You need hand sanitizer nearby just reading the vitriol! Gross!
• 10 February 2020: This type of behavior is truly an abomination! Sadly, we cannot hope to stop all bad faith science actors from practicing their wicked crafts. But we can surely shine sunlight on it!
• 10 February 2020: Twitter jail is filling up with climate scientists. Another one was just put into the slammer (Account Suspended). Probably an innocent mistake but never know with some people.
• 10 February 2020: Jet weirding was due to missing summer Arctic sea ice. It's still climate change just depends on the situation.
• 10 February 2020: Strong zonal Atlantic jet (> 250 knots ✈️) at middle-latitudes matches what you'd expect from off-the-charts (unless you adjust the chart y-axis) positive Arctic Oscillation (+AO) This also reflected in botted up cold air over Arctic leading to warmer Lower 48 & East Coast.
• 10 February 2020: You may have seen news articles about jet airlines speeding across the Atlantic to Europe at record speeds due to climate change. ✈️ This is consistent w/what (some) scientists say about global warming leading to stronger jet streams & ocean storms. #ClimateEmergency
• 10 February 2020: Winds about 1-km above the surface can exceed 100-knots easily with these most powerful non-tropical storms over the North Atlantic. Here's the next 5-days. Definitely need to watch the secondary cyclogenesis event for Ireland & U.K. by Saturday.
• 10 February 2020: Strong jet stream over the North Atlantic will help fuel formation of a powerful "bomb cyclone" with central pressure falls of 48 hPa / 24 hours. However, as with most of these storms, they occur entirely over water & end up dying south of Greenland. (@weathermodels_)
• 10 February 2020: Twitter has shown me that respected colleagues & people I thought were erudite and deep-thinkers are really just hacks. I learn quickly that these people don't share my values.
• 9 February 2020: Deranged! climate scientist and his puppet now spreading (false) rumors about Roger and his father's health: "socio-psychotic episode of some sort"
• 9 February 2020: Roger was suspended from Twitter so he isn't responding to anyone right now. I follow Occam's razor on anything related to computers and hacking.
• 9 February 2020: No need to upset Jim's dinner. Here is a contemporaneous account:
• 9 February 2020: John Wayne movie. He has used it before ... and often.
• 9 February 2020: "As my brother, who loves to use lines from movies, a John Wayne movie, there’s a good line in a movie, a John Wayne movie where the Indian chief turns to John Wayne and says ‘this is a lying dog-faced pony soldier,'” Biden rambled. @RealSaavedra (2018)
• 9 February 2020: I've seen this mentality referred to as a "cult" with hashtags. Of course there are religious overtones in any mass movement, but is climate science different or special? Who knows -- def ain't no academics studying the messed up psychological aspects of climate "doomism"
• 9 February 2020: This is especially true for academics including professors and graduate students e.g. at institutions like George Mason University where these climate smear campaigns tend to gravitate. Your first inclination should be to distrust ALL targeted climate communication efforts.
• 9 February 2020: The strong jet stream crossing the North Atlantic is leading to astounding airliner ground speeds > 800 mph Climate scientists have directly linked these jet stream wind increases to climate change. So thank global warming when you land 2-hours early!
• 9 February 2020: You can peruse the feeds of @RogerPielkeJr and @curryja and see the behavior continue today as bad faith bullies continue to smear them. IMO the shoe should be on the other foot. Climate activists should NEVER be trusted to be honest about anything, science or politics.
• 9 February 2020: The website Skeptical Science began as a "smear operation" against top academics who produced highly cited research that "might be misinterpreted" by climate deniers. The goal was to harm the researchers' reputations by building up a searchable database of smears.
• 9 February 2020: Timely & pertinent article: A Climate Blacklist That Works: “It Should Make Her Unhirable In Academia” by (suspended) @RogerPielkeJr
• 9 February 2020: New book concludes human extinction is the only way to save the Earth from climate change. The professor makes arguments for the "phasing out" of human reproduction. Climate advocacy was trending in this direction anyways.
• 9 February 2020: More like a dichotomy?
• 9 February 2020: Jet stream of 240 knots (276 mph) extends across the entire North Atlantic from Newfoundland to Ireland. Aircraft tailwinds mean ground speeds > 800 mph. If pilot tried, then why not 850 mph?
• 9 February 2020: His day long exposure of a coordinated smear campaign against him and others (his father, Judy, Steve, et. al) has led him to Twitter jail. Many Tweets were flagged for unknown reasons. Also, he was legally threatened for those Tweets defending himself. 👀
• 9 February 2020: And Roger is now suspended from Twitter. @RogerPielkeJr
• 8 February 2020: When a passenger plane flies in a jet stream and reaches 700 mph, that's the ground speed, it's not breaking the speed of sound in the air. Why? It's in a moving stream of air. Save fuel & arrive quicker but you're not going Mach 1. 🛩
• 8 February 2020: Chilly day across #Atlanta with snowfall earlier today. ❄ Temperatures only in the 30s. Meanwhile its t-shirt weather in Antarctica. 🐧 This is NOT normal. #ClimateBreakdown
• 8 February 2020: #ClimateEmergency going on in Alaska. Extreme cold typical of decades ago has returned this winter to the state. Currently the United States is at -49°F 👇
• 8 February 2020: From videos on social media, looks like snow is overperforming in north metro #Atlanta around Alpharetta. 3"-6" is plenty to build a snowman and shovel the driveway.
• 8 February 2020: Climate chaos: Snow falling in #Atlanta just as expected from our weather models. Not sticking south of I-20 including the airport ... just wet, heavy flakes. Meanwhile it is t-shirt weather in Antarctica! 🐧
• 8 February 2020: Nearing landfall. Satellite intensity estimates T 5.5 so I'd put Cyclone Damien at 100 knots Models did well with rapid intensification.
• 8 February 2020: The best hour of the day is between Midnight and 1 AM for a bunch of reasons.
• 8 February 2020: After new #StarTrekPicard episode I searched for Romulan disruptors. I got a Tweet for that.
• 8 February 2020: Post #DemDebate media analysts dumped all over Biden's strong performance.
• 8 February 2020: Preparing for 1 hour of heavy wet snow in #Atlanta Saturday morning around 8 AM. Road crews are treating roads necessary for travel until about Noon when temperatures warm to melt any leftover frozen spots.
• 8 February 2020: Morning satellite view of Tropical Cyclone Damien nearing coast of NW Australia. Intensity likely to exceed 100-knots equivalent to Cat 3 hurricane near Dampier. Currently 962 mb
• 8 February 2020: It is only 37°F right now in Atlanta and we're expecting snowfall in the morning! That's not normal. #ClimateEmergency
• 8 February 2020: The continental ice sheet still plunges to -50 during Antarctica's night. 🐧 I'm not sure that qualifies as a "heat wave"
• 8 February 2020: Biden is hitting it out of the park tonight. This is the strong performance he needed to confirm his status as the likely nominee. His answers are razor sharp. Putting on a debate clinic.
• 7 February 2020: Snowfall ❄ early morning Saturday across northern Georgia including a mixture at #Atlanta airport 🛩 Maybe an inch of wet flakes north Metro and 1-2" heading north into mountains. Temps warm during day so any snow won't stick around. 🌡
• 7 February 2020: It should be obvious that this temperature record is due to strong Foehn winds as part overall synoptic weather pattern. Hardly represents changes to the overall continent but whatever.
• 7 February 2020: For the meteorologists, you can see the spikes in 850 hPa temperatures with the Foehn wind effects on the peninsula. Mix that air down and get rapid but brief warming episodes.
• 7 February 2020: There is a daily or diurnal cycle across Antarctica in the summer since there is indeed -- relatively speaking -- warming sunlight.🌞 Animation of actual temperatures modeled from NCAR AMPS for next 5-days. Should give you an idea of what to pack your next Antarctic vacation 🐧
• 7 February 2020: So, are you trying to make the point that the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula which juts out many degrees of latitude is not the entire continent? Where the hell did you learn geography, fat?
• 7 February 2020: Disgusting and ignorant. What the hell is wrong with these people?
• 7 February 2020: It appears to be a micro-scale, topography induced mixing episode of warmer air aloft reaching the surface. Difficult to diagnose.
• 7 February 2020: As it's summer in Antarctica, the sea-ice edge around the continent reaches its minimum. Actual temperature of the open water are generally in the low 30s °F Temperatures over the ice cheat range from tolerable 20s to -20 °F
• 7 February 2020: NCAR runs the "Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System" and kindly provides the data. This is a high-resolution weather model over the continent. I've mapped the actual temperatures modeled at 15:00 UTC coincident with observation of record warmth at Esperanza Base.
• 7 February 2020: Need to have a vomit bag nearby when scrolling through the feeds of these award winning climate communicators.
• 7 February 2020: This is dangerous and disgusting but thankfully they are no longer hiding or lying about their true motives and intentions. It's right out in the open. The depths to which they will plumb are endless.
• 7 February 2020: The caption reads: "Temperature anomalies for Friday as modeled by the GFS reveal a plume of very warm temperatures in Antarctica." The "warmth" is relative over the rest of the Antarctica continent compared to "normal" which is highly variable.
• 7 February 2020: A location on the Antarctica peninsula reached 65°F. However, headlines and weather maps can be misleading. Why show an anomaly map when the actual temperature is the record? Where did this record occur on the map -- e.g. where is the Antarctic peninsula?
• 7 February 2020: Sadly too many climate scientists and advocates are POS people that really don't deserve the pedestal they've been bestowed. You can see it everyday on Twitter. Wonder how they'll feel when the shoe is on the other foot?
• 7 February 2020: Nearing landfall along NW Australia coast, appears Tropical Cyclone Damien is rapidly intensifying. The rather small storm is developing an eye -- and may become major hurricane strength > 95-knots in next 24-hours.
• 7 February 2020: Warm January weather due to climate change spurred huge job gains +225,000 in the U.S. Trump's economy continues to overheat. 🔥
• 7 February 2020: Tropical Cyclone Damien (14S) has the potential to rapidly intensify prior to landfall in the next 24-36 hours along NW Australia coastline. Could reach "major hurricane" intensity or Cat 3 on Saffir Simpson scale.
• 7 February 2020: Yes, no argument there. I was just curious about how the events are spaced out & if there was any coherent pattern. Doubtful.
• 7 February 2020: @ericfisher EPS 45-day still has a lot of winter ahead of you in Boston. Added the 24-hourly matrix to better highlight the rather random nature of the snow events within each ensemble.
• 7 February 2020: Squall line progressing thru Florida peninsula - about to crash onshore Tampa / St. Pete. Interstates 75 and 4 will be adventurous travel over next 1-2 hours.
• 7 February 2020: Looking forward to candidate casino. But perhaps a look back to see how much money the house has won so far? A lot of very bad bets by some All Stars!
• 7 February 2020: Upper level water vapor is sometimes deceptive but GFS IVT confirms a narrow moisture source from Pacific through the gap into Bay of Campeche. Massive source in Gulf and Caribbean.
• 6 February 2020: Thunderstorms in February aren't usually big time lightning producers but this cold front provided plenty of noisy storms. Lightning map from last 24-hours. Follows from the storm tracks nicely.
• 6 February 2020: Line of severe storms approaching Tallahassee in the next hour. February often has these trailing cold fronts providing chances of brief tornado spin-ups across the Southeast.
• 6 February 2020: So, when some galaxy brain inevitably tells you to "trust the models" tell them nicely to pound sand. Of course, this doesn't invalidate the existence of climate change or the human contributions.
• 6 February 2020: The new models (CMIP6) for the next UN climate report (2022) were supposed to be better w/improved handling of clouds. Not so much -- it's all mucked up. Some of these new models can't even reproduce the past or historical climate. They are unfit for purpose.
• 6 February 2020: Do you remember last week the BBC article saying the "worst case" climate scenarios were non-operative? "Stop saying they are business as usual" Well, that was last week. It's back to the Apocalypse! But, these climate models might be good for shit.
• 6 February 2020: #Atlanta traffic Watch out for that tree!
• 6 February 2020: You've got a fan in #Atlanta. Your analysis over the past few years on Russia-gate & now the sham Impeachment has been refreshing & spot-on.
• 6 February 2020: Translation: Tom Steyer is a moron when it comes to his signature issue: climate change.
• 6 February 2020: Rounding errors 😂
• 6 February 2020: Elon, what sort of (predictive) weather information on the micro-scale is included in your A.I. programs? ⚡️ You know, it'd make my job easier (and other #NationalWeatherpersonsDay) if the cars themselves provided & shared continuous weather information. ⛈️
• 5 February 2020: Cocaine Mitch isn't wasting any time getting back to his favorite job: confirming judges. @AriFleischer
• 5 February 2020: "Leave no vacancy behind" ✔️
• 5 February 2020: Well, that was a complete waste of time #ImpeachmentVote
• 5 February 2020: Oh no!
• 5 February 2020: Averaging the next 2-weeks of temperatures ... From GFS & GEFS (ensemble mean) tells you the same thing. 10-15°F above normal 🌡️across the Southeast & Mid-Atlantic. 🔥 I can't complain about this at all -- the groundhog was spot on.
• 5 February 2020: Diet advice Peter? Come on, man.
• 5 February 2020: It looks suspiciously like the 06z minus 00z delta-change.
• 5 February 2020: 6-inches of rainfall in #Atlanta thru 15-days is a lot! 3-inches is on the way over the next 3-day days.
• 5 February 2020: Getting updated data in 2-hours -- but the most recent 15-day forecast from ECMWF "Euro model" shows above-normal warmth hanging on across the Eastern US thru the middle of the month. This weather pattern means a LOT of rain across the Southeast, too. (From @weathermodels_)
• 5 February 2020: 1°C increase month-on-month for Feb 2020 ensemble mean. Head fake!
• 5 February 2020: Reminds me of this: President Trump committed a crime (felony) when he drew with a Sharpie on the weather map.
• 5 February 2020: That is an interesting point. What happens to a Type 0 in an academic dept (students or professors) when Type I or II control research funding, perks or privileges? I get the sense that ostracism is considered a feature and not a bug in this system.
• 5 February 2020: Yes, but I'm willing to be corrected if they are a friend of Peter or Aaron -- or known to be a real person.
• 5 February 2020: Who is this willard person? Anyone know who this is in real life? The quote Tweets are creepy and weird. Anyone vouch for him/her?
• 5 February 2020: But, I'm not confused at all about how climate advocacy is perceived in the public sphere. I fear new graduate students would feel obligated to participate in political functions that may challenge their personal values to please their advisor. This dynamic ends badly.
• 5 February 2020: What if you simply want to go to college to learn climate/ocean/atmospheric science but not participate in the social justice / left wing politics?
• 5 February 2020: Updated: More data shows that the January 2020 global temperature was probably at "record highs" (for January) Northern Hemisphere land warmth was especially pronounced except for Alaska -- which was extremely cold due to weather patterns. ERA5 data from @CopernicusECMWF
• 5 February 2020: Thanks for the advice, Peter. On this issue, I'll continue to outsource my thinking to @RogerPielkeJr and enjoy dunking on you along the way.
• 5 February 2020: Yes, this is critically important for legal interpretations and policy concerns as there are many places in federal apparatus that the conclusions of NCA hold incredible weight. Unwinding the "intertwining" of RCP8.5 and BAU is definitely more than just an academic argument.
• 5 February 2020: Yes. @RogerPielkeJr has documented this -- in perhaps too charitable of terms. I think it's an abomination & should stop.
• 5 February 2020: It's awful. I don't think the far reaching implications of this fatal flaw have been fully realized. There needs to be a full investigation and accounting of the NCA process going forward into Trump's second term. (e.g. procedures, conflicts of interest, nepotism)
• 5 February 2020: 🤦‍♂️ Roger, your patience is unlimited.
• 5 February 2020: That was a hell of a speech
• 5 February 2020: He wants America to win at everything.
• 4 February 2020: Ironically, as Trump's re-election chances increase, there is zero likelihood of a U.S. government subsidized competitor in the green/electric vehicle space -- which is growing globally. Tesla is positioned to dominate.
• 4 February 2020: This is highly unethical for the scientist as well. You could immediately expose and report this behavior.
• 4 February 2020: ERA5 has January 2020 slightly ahead of January 2016 as the warmest January on record. Waiting on the raw data (not available)
• 4 February 2020: Update: Gallup poll shows President Trump's approval rating up 10-points (39% --> 49%) since "Impeachment inquiry" began in October. 49% is best mark of Presidency.
• 4 February 2020: Could be a divide by zero error? Didn't look like Biden had any viability. #IowaCaucuses
• 4 February 2020: "Democracy is messy, and it's hard. It's never easy."
• 4 February 2020: This is the perfect time for conspiracy theories. Anything is a better explanation than "quality control". #IowaCaucuses
• 4 February 2020: Can't tell what's going on with the #IowaCaucuses Somebody is either getting railroaded or ramrodded. And that's probably #Bernie2020
• 3 February 2020: Temperatures well ahead of forecasts today in #Atlanta 75°F to 77°F so far this afternoon. Up to 3-inches of rain thru Friday from Pensacola to Washington D.C. with a very wet pattern.
• 3 February 2020: At the end of his Monday program, 69 year old radio host described a pulmonary problem that turned into a malignancy. Rush will try to keep his normal schedule going forward.
• 3 February 2020: Rush Limbaugh just announced he has advanced lung cancer. Undergoing treatment.
• 3 February 2020: Nearly 50-million Americans are at least 70°F so far this afternoon. Can't beat that in early February especially into St. Louis and Atlanta. Winter is waning ... 🌡️
• 3 February 2020: Meteorologists are very precise when it comes to geography -- we need to be!
• 3 February 2020: Nah, I'm happy to admit I am a former Californian. I left as they were building Levi's. Flying out of San Jose always got a good status update.
• 3 February 2020: Yes, I am being super pedantic. Less than 500K live in Atlanta but the metro population is > 5 Million. Yet, we have our stadium actually in the city. Of course, can't say that about the Braves anymore.
• 3 February 2020: Also, the #SuperBowl really wasn't in Miami, Florida. Hard Rock Stadium is in Miami Gardens.
• 3 February 2020: I feel the need to point out that the 49ers don't even play in San Francisco. Levi's stadium is in Santa Clara at the other end of the Bay. #SuperBowl
• 3 February 2020: Pretty sure the entire state of Kansas was cheering for the Chiefs, too. #ChiefsKingdom #SuperBowl
• 3 February 2020: Temperatures warm into the 70s across the entire Southeast on Monday. Can't beat that for early February.
• 3 February 2020: Hard to win with 20 points when you give up 21 unanswered in the 4th Quarter. #SuperBowl
• 3 February 2020: Why not just stick to the substance of his arguments instead of trying to read his mind or impugn his character? RCP 8.5 "misuse" has been bubbling on the stove for years & it finally boiled over into the (scientific) mainstream.
• 3 February 2020: Clearly, highly credible members of the (climate) policy community have found significant merit in Roger's arguments over the past several years on RCP 8.5. @MikeBastasch has also written countless critical articles over the years that have held up well.
• 3 February 2020: Hey Peter, Maybe you don't see it b/c you're part of it, but the Twitter feeds of "award winning" climate communicators are a fetid mixture of leftist political opinions that some might call ignorant and intolerant. I'm sometimes disgusted but I don't call for censorship.
• 3 February 2020: Lower temperature by 2 degrees ... 🔥
• 3 February 2020: That was a funny and witty Alexa commercial. Wins #SuperBowl (so far)
• 3 February 2020: As someone who has interacted with Roger on a professional level, I can attest there is nothing dishonest about his motivations except to promote sound science for policy reasons. His detractors on the other hand have consistently displayed questionable ethics.
• 2 February 2020: Temperatures in the 70s in Denver on Sunday will fall to near Zero degrees (0°F) by Wednesday. 🌡️ The groundhog picked a great day to forecast an early Spring. #GroundhogDay
• 2 February 2020: He looks quite a bit different. Maybe it's the camera angle --- but his face looks more gaunt, like he's put on a lot of weight.
• 2 February 2020: Both Roger and Judy are subjected to bullying, smears and bigoted behavior from (award winning) "climate communicators". The same "consensus enforcers" also complain about the tiniest legitimate research criticism. The tone-deafness is amazing.
• 2 February 2020: How much snow in February across the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Great Lakes? ❄️ A more active weather pattern brings many chances of snowfall starting Wednesday. Best estimate of snowfall over next 15-days: Boston 8", NYC 3", D.C. 2" Detroit 7", Chicago 7"
• 1 February 2020: That's a great question to think about more.
• 1 February 2020: Road crews are grinding up the asphalt and replacing the large section of destroyed pavement. That stretch of I-85 NB carries well over 300,000 vehicles a day on average. Less on Saturday, of course.
• 1 February 2020: Indeed. There is little scrutiny of these propaganda / advocacy groups that serve as supposedly agnostic fact checking outfits. Eventually they collapse under the weight of accumulated smears.
• 1 February 2020: Dana is a good example of what I'm calling "unhinged denial" about asking "genuine questions" about "worst-case scenarios" in climate adjacent research. Bad faith does not begin to describe this tactic seen especially in the past few years.
• 1 February 2020: January 2020 global temperatures were 2nd Warmest on record -- just behind Jan 2016. #ClimateChange The 365-day running mean is also approaching warmest on record.
• 1 February 2020: Some scientists have been pointing out "bad science" with the RCP 8.5 "worst case scenario" in climate for years -- but only now has the issue reached the mainstream. The response? Ranges from ponderous introspection to outright unhinged denial. The latter is dangerous.
• 1 February 2020: Welcome to Atlanta -- and the land of the never-ending crash. Massive fire earlier -- or vechicle conflagration. Interstate 85 NB is still closed
• 1 February 2020: Tornado warning over the Everglades. Severe thunderstorm warned Squall line is spinning toward Miami 11 pm ET radar animation
• 1 February 2020: Yes, I mean tonight.
• 1 February 2020: Severe weather heading into the Florida Keys and then Miami in the next several hours. Strong winds likely with this squall line. Unless you like to watch lightning from a distance, best to have indoor plans.
• 31 January 2020: Looks like BREXIT and the Impeachment down in flames within minutes of each other. Just a coincidence, of course.
• 31 January 2020: In fact, you could just queue up Obama's 2012 State of the Union speech and get most of the GOP clapping these days.
• 31 January 2020: Next week, Trump could just play a tape-recorder of Obama's 2012 State of the Union speech on American energy production. Obama's pragmatism on fracking, drilling & exports is something most folks don't realize b/c it's not exactly bragged about in today's Dem party.
• 31 January 2020: I'm quite thrilled you're using them ... the future of weather information to the public is probabilistic: confidence bounds & uncertainty + verification.
• 31 January 2020: You know, almost all conspiracy theories end up being true.
• 31 January 2020: Even more fun visualizing the IQ (25th-75th) differences on a map.
• 31 January 2020: The donor requirement was entirely unfair to the billionaire candidates and I'm happy the DNC has ditched it for the debates.
• 31 January 2020: Of course, some of us have been saying this for the last several years. But, the bullies & entrenched interests would rather gaslight & feather their nests. Worst-Case 'Climate Porn' Is Counterproductive to Addressing Real Climate Change
• 31 January 2020: Scientists: stop using the "worst case scenario" as the "most likely outcome" with climate change. Media: no. This stuff sells & is great politically. Scientists: yup, you're right.
• 31 January 2020: Just looked at the 30-day EPS from yesterday. You're right -- quite dry. Only 50% of normal.
• 31 January 2020: The next 10-days across California look quite dry. Precipitation % of normal is in some places 0%.
• 31 January 2020: Heading into February, the Southern Hemisphere tropics can spawn tropical cyclones. But, it's been very quiet so far. In the North Pacific, a powerful "bomb cyclone" will head toward the Aleutian Islands of Alaska. This will help block atmospheric rivers into California.
• 31 January 2020: The EPS did too. This is a huge correction & monster signal for the ensemble mean > 10 days.
• 31 January 2020: How are you preparing for unprecedented extreme weather in the next year & decade? Hopefully you are getting accurate weather forecasts that take into account the changing climate. 🌡️
• 31 January 2020: It was only the first month of 2020 and I'm already noticing very weird weather around the globe. #ClimateEmergency
• 31 January 2020: The GEFS forecast of AO in Week 2 underestimated the positive magnitude big time. Also, this is NOT the GFS ensemble. It is not based upon FV3-GFS.
• 31 January 2020: ECMWF +AO forecast is no longer "off the charts" b/c I just adjusted the chart. Ha! Strongly positive Arctic Oscillation means what for US weather in 10-days? Whole lot of nothing -- quiet w/mild temperatures.
• 31 January 2020: "I feel like I am doing my part."
• 30 January 2020: If you want to learn more about the details of weather & want expertise from a professional weather service, then I'd recommend my cohorts @bamwxcom who are really on top of it this winter. Getting excited about new things to come that include yours truly!
• 30 January 2020: The first 2 weeks of February could not get any more red 🔴 on my maps. Of course, that doesn't mean a heat wave, just tolerable & mild air for folks acorss the Eastern U.S. that have mostly escaped much of a winter. Above normal temperatures continue! 🌡
• 30 January 2020: Love the animation Kurt. As someone that handles countless TB of weather data, I know how hard it can be to make useful maps and animations ... and QGIS is now a great, easy way to visualize hurricanes.
• 30 January 2020: January 30, 2020: The Bloomberg / Steyer axis is closing on 1/2 Billion $
• 30 January 2020: Not lately. Working on a more useful verification page.
• 30 January 2020: Elizabeth Warren is a "gifted storyteller" -- NY Times.
• 30 January 2020: CMC has pulled ahead of GFS and is widening its lead. However, still has some shortcomings.
• 30 January 2020: GFS does beat ECMWF once in a while. 1 or 2 times a month -- with 5-day height forecasts. ECMWF skill is superb -- banging away at it's record high. Recent assimilation of new data sources paying off.
• 30 January 2020: Obviously, I see all of the weather data. But, there is a lot more to weekly, sub-seasonal, and seasonal forecasting than just interpreting the models. It's pattern recognition + historical context, too. Hopefully, you were able to pare any losses betting on the wrong horse.
• 30 January 2020: There's a lot of high-level weather info that's given away for free on Twitter -- and, if you're looking in the right place, very valuable. From December 30, 2019 and the "winter cancel" we've been talking about ... The professionals at BAMWX nailed it.
• 29 January 2020: Anyone trying to shine even the dullest light into that hidden corner of climate science is immediately shot down and bullied as a "denier". Happened with Trump admin & anyone asking questions. Pretty shameful but that's politics. 🤷‍♂️
• 29 January 2020: Also worth pointing out that the vast majority of climate communicators (media, politics, academia) don't concern themselves with mundane details of underlying climate modeling scenarios. Instead, there is a feedback loop in which most extreme scenarios get most publicity.
• 29 January 2020: ... worth adding for the record that some elements of the Trump administration were quite concerned about the proliferation of extreme varieties of RCP 8.5 being laundered throughout the federal apparatus. Alas, the reckoning comes.
• 29 January 2020: Of course, aside from a few insiders on Twitter, RCP 8.5 issue has not broken into the mainstream. Two notable exceptions: Professor @RogerPielkeJr (his blogs and comments) & journalist @MikeBastasch formerly of the Daily Caller.
• 29 January 2020: Finally, after years of beating a dead horse: Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate warming as the most likely outcome — more-realistic baselines make for better policy.
• 29 January 2020: Often see "anomaly" maps compared to the "normal or average" temperatures. Well, here are the actual high temperatures modeled in the long-range, Days 11-15: I'll take near 60°F here in #Atlanta for mid-February! 🌡️
• 29 January 2020: The next 2-weeks are continued well above-normal temperatures across the Eastern US -- considerably so heading into Valentine's Day. January is in the can -- and the first half of February will continue the mild winter trends.
• 29 January 2020: No word on which other businesses give off a "bad image" but I'm going to surmise in DeKalb County: Nail salons Liquor stores Pawn / Title Shops Check cashing stores Bail bonds Self storage
• 29 January 2020: “You’ve seen your last dollar store in Stonecrest,” Mayor Jason Lary previously told the AJC. The proposal to ban the stores sprouted from concerns from residents that the businesses do not provide enough fresh food options and give off a bad image, he said.
• 29 January 2020: My county commission has found the culprit for crime, poverty and limited growth: it's dollar stores! The thinking goes that the proliferation of dollar stores prevents Whole Foods from opening in a low-income area. It's so dumb it requires intense academic research study.
• 29 January 2020: Atlanta metro area DeKalb County extends ban on new "dollar stores" to 180-days. The scourge of cheaper goods provided at convenient places by private companies is ruining already impoverished areas.
• 29 January 2020: The long-awaited Biden vs. Sanders battle coming to a Bingo parlor near you!
• 29 January 2020: I should do a daily weather and climate podcast. I'd have unlimited material and can say whatever I want about it.
• 29 January 2020: These go well with bat soup. The existential threat of global heating (climate chaos) will destroy crops and survival will depend upon eating bugs.
• 28 January 2020: January 2020 was much warmer than average across most of Lower 48 USA. Great Lakes, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic & Northeast all 5-10°F above avg temperatures. My seasonal forecast was spot on. I cancelled winter a while ago. Taking climate change into account was the key factor.
• 28 January 2020: Not much rain/snow for California during the next 10-days as a strong ridge takes charge in the Northeast Pacific. The bountiful atmospheric rivers are blocked from hitting California instead sent up into British Columbia.
• 28 January 2020: Biden ridicules climate activist & tells him to "go vote for someone else" The master of retail politics is fading fast into the Iowa pasture.
• 28 January 2020: Miami is quite a distance from the epicenter of the M 7.7 earthquake yet high-rise buildings swayed Historically, South Florida has indeed felt the effects if distant earthquakes but none under FL peninsula itself.
• 28 January 2020: Upgraded to M 7.7 Earthquake NNW of Jamaica
• 28 January 2020: Powerful Earthquake > M7.0 off Jamaican coast
• 28 January 2020: As seen standing proudly in front of San Francisco's new public "pee walls" where anyone can walk up and relieve themselves, the Public Works Director was arrested for corruption by the FBI.
• 28 January 2020: Locust plagues are becoming much worse due to climate change. The swarms affecting East Africa are directly caused by the changing climate, warmer ocean waters, and conditions not seen for 25-75 years in vulnerable nations like Uganda.
• 28 January 2020: Nope. Cancelled. The potential weekend snow-storm went poof. Some models really tried to "wish-cast" this storm into existence for those missing a real winter. Perhaps next week / next month.
• 28 January 2020: My favorite Don Lemon clip will always be his serious question to an expert wondering if flight MH370 disappeared into a "black hole" or "Bermuda triangle" These CNN morons are lecturing anyone about geography or science? Spare me.
• 28 January 2020: I think we will learn that the rogue synths were controlled by the Romulans with the Borg cube. The ships that attack Mars are standing guard around the cube in the final scene of Episode 1.
• 28 January 2020: Been watching this storm possibility for a week now. A powerful Nor'easter this weekend may actually happen. Will watch the weather models into Tuesday morning to nail down the details.
• 28 January 2020: The proposed independent nation of Bougainville (that I never heard of) would contain valuable mineral wealth including gold.
• 28 January 2020: Chief O'Brien would be on top of my list.
• 28 January 2020: No idea. It's very dark. The side walls of the lanes way up on the bridges obscure car headlights. Most interchanges are lit by tall light poles.
• 28 January 2020: I would favor the military take over responsibility for Earth monitoring in conjunction with NASA. NOAA's history of satellite acquisition and management is extremely poor.
• 28 January 2020: I would bet against that prediction. In fact, I would say the opposite will happen. It's cheap to put disposable cube sats into orbit but those are practically useless for most weather data needs.
• 27 January 2020: Spaghetti Junction itself would get another level up ... although I don't see any lighting in the picture. Spooky being > 100 feet up in the dark. Is there some reason why I-85 / I-285 has no lighting even today? @GADeptofTrans
• 27 January 2020: Recent ballot initiative last March to expand MARTA into Gwinnett failed 54/46. Would have cost $5B with a sales tax increase. The public transit agency has a horrible history of wasting money. The toll lanes are very lucrative and much easier to finance. $20 per car!
• 27 January 2020: Georgia DOT unveils video showing massive Interstate expansion ($11B) around #Atlanta including a 7-level "Spaghetti Junction 2" with zig-zagging express lanes.
• 27 January 2020: A follow up question: Has the economic boom exceeded even the wildest expectations? The sense of American defeatism has clearly been turned around 180-degrees.
• 27 January 2020: Just because there's an appearance of impropriety doesn't mean there is one. It could stink to high heaven but be entirely above board.
• 27 January 2020: Only recently has the Trump administration made concerted efforts to rectify this sad situation under the leadership of newly nominated NOAA admin Jacobs. But it's hard to overcome bureaucratic inertia and the accumulation of so much dead wood.
• 27 January 2020: The U.S. taxpayer has spent $100 Billion in state-of-the-art satellite systems to monitor the Earth from orbit. But, the money spent on the ground computer systems to process that satellite data is a rounding error. I've joked we should launch the Supercomputer into orbit.
• 27 January 2020: The future of U.S. weather prediction looks bleak compared to other nations and private sector. Who to blame? The bureaucracy. Huge defense contractors w/lobbyists for Big Satellite. Acceptance of mediocrity. Been this way for 20-years.
• 27 January 2020: Climate scientists have directly linked a swarm of locusts descending upon East Africa to climate change. The plague of voracious eaters mentioned in the Bible (Exodus) is now occurring due to the climate crisis.
• 26 January 2020: Kobe was the most intense athlete of his generation. He did not tolerate failure or excuses and had little patience for laggards.
• 26 January 2020: Weather related ... fog.
• 26 January 2020: This simulation needs to be fixed.
• 26 January 2020: Come on ...
• 26 January 2020: Isn't the common flu still pretty deadly in China relative to the Western world?
• 26 January 2020: And solar farms c.f. Topaz and PG&E sole provider contracts.
• 25 January 2020: Looks like the rundown of any Trump rally. Some golden oldie laugh lines in there.
• 25 January 2020: Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway purchased a large stake in Pilot Flyin' J in 2017 with plans to expand hugely. Responsible for 1/6th of U.S. diesel consumption ❤ Buffet loves pipelines, trains, and anything that spews fossil fuels for profits.
• 25 January 2020: It's even worse. The Showcase Showdown on the Price is Right was preempted as well. Millions of hardly working Americans had their daytime TV messed up.
• 25 January 2020: It's right there in the Tweet. I'll screenshot it for you:
• 25 January 2020: Flashback: Trump's weather map Sharpie was a criminal violation according to the Washington Post & should have been an Article of Impeachment.
• 25 January 2020: Geography can be hard even for smart people. TV meteorologists know this when it comes to maps with county outlines. Without Interstates or city names e.g. highlighted or color coded county maps are very confusing.
• 25 January 2020: 949 mb from 12z ECMWF. Something is surely brewing.
• 25 January 2020: In Star Trek, the Pakleds are an alien race that feign being dimwits to steal technology. The ruse involves staging a malfunction & then relying upon Good Samaritans to help out. Smart episode from Season 2 of TNG.
• 25 January 2020: Climate change is causing FEWER shark bites off Florida coast. This is really bad news since humans are the primary food source of migrating sharks. Thanks to the @JonahDispatch for catching my egregious blunder.
• 25 January 2020: Climate change is causing less shark bites off Florida coast. This is really bad news since humans are the primary food source of migrating sharks.
• 25 January 2020: Only the most Trump deranged could write something like this ... and Sulu doesn't disappoint. This whole Star Trek / Space Force logo deal is probably the dumbest faux outrage yet -- until tomorrow's iteration.
• 25 January 2020: Ignorance of the history of U.S. space emblems underlies these weird reactions to the Space Force logos.
• 25 January 2020: If you read the article or my Tweet, then you'd have seen $1 trillion "increase". The data from another insurance outfit Munich Re differs by $850 Billion for same period.
• 25 January 2020: Couldn't really find any legitimate outrage by Star Trek fans. Just the typical Trump derangement in the media. Of course the Star Trek logo was "borrowed" from previous USAF Space Command designed.
• 25 January 2020: News reports headlines screamed a $1 trillion increase in climate related disasters. You should not trust that data or news.
• 25 January 2020: Many Star Trek actors are upset with the United States infringing upon their logo for the Space Force. Talk about being triggered by anything nice.
• 25 January 2020: With debut of #StarTrekPicard it's fitting that Trump unveils the new Starfleet / Federation delta emblem as the U.S. Space Force logo. First Contact is coming soon.
• 25 January 2020: Nothing else to talk about since I cancelled winter.
• 24 January 2020: Buffalo, New York will be one of the few climate refuges in the U.S. according to climate scientists. Everyone should consider moving there soon, or something.
• 24 January 2020: Accuweather talking about the Day 9 "super-bomb" Nor'Easter that has been showing up in weather models. * Don't panic (yet) * It's winter. It might happen.
• 24 January 2020: "Urban campers" starting fires to keep warm under the Interstate. In March 2017, drug addict lit a chair on fire in a shopping cart. It then spread to highly combustible fiber glass tubing stored by GDOT under the Interstate. It burned so hot the bridge buckled and collapsed
• 24 January 2020: Video of the Interstate in Atlanta -- same spot that collapsed in 2017 after burning hotter than the surface of the sun.
• 24 January 2020: The culprits are "urban campers" that collect enormous amounts of trash and debris under the Interstate which periodically "catches fire". Law enforcement and the City must be indifferent to the situation as they allow it continue.
• 24 January 2020: Yes, negligence by law enforcement and the City. The entire freeway collapsed less than 3 years ago & they seem incapable of preventing it again. So astoundingly dumb that it must be purposeful.
• 24 January 2020: The Georgia DOT was found responsible for the bridge collapse. GDOT stored highly combustible construction material in an unsecured manner under the Interstate. Lucky no one was hurt or killed.
• 24 January 2020: In Atlanta, multiple trash fires under the Interstate keep "breaking out" ... right next to section that collapsed 2 years ago after an enormous inferno.
• 24 January 2020: The evidence is overwhelming on land use changes affecting temperatures on the microscale leading to trends. But step changes also occur due to rapid near-station environment or siting changes. It can happen literally overnight.
• 23 January 2020: Should I make an argument about why some weather forecasters get worse at their jobs b/c they (a) rely upon models too much or (b) too little?
• 23 January 2020: Can you think of jobs that people seem to get worse at even though their main technology resource improves by leaps and bounds? I can think of one.
• 23 January 2020: Aren't you worried about young girls being in the vicinity of powerful politicians or billionaires based upon what we learned about Epstein? The media know and covered for these perverts. They should all rot in hell.
• 23 January 2020: With climate chaos, scientists warn us to urgently adapt to eating bugs and other less popular foods. Bat soup might be on the drive-thru menu soon but we must still work on food safety.
• 23 January 2020: Jerry Nadler is going to show up on DVR's and people are going to be pissed.
• 23 January 2020: Programming note: Days of Our Lives is preempted by the sham Impeachment trial.
• 23 January 2020: "Chemtrail research" gets federal funding to fight climate change. Actually, it's just condensation trails but this huge federal grant will only fuel the conspiracy theories.
• 23 January 2020: Maybe the Doomsday Clock is right after all. Will climate change lead to more of these wild animal viruses jumping to humans?
• 23 January 2020: Disgusting. Reminds me of a certain professor who insisted upon Church's Chicken for every seminar.
• 23 January 2020: I'm disgusted by how powerful liberal men like Epstein, Bill Clinton, Harvey Weinstein prey upon young women and children. There is no accountability until they meet their maker. I would not defend such behavior & hopefully you agree.
• 23 January 2020: Some folks have noticed the 10-day GFS model has a "super-bomb" Nor'easter. But, no worries yet. * Coast gets all rain * 10 day forecast much worse than a coin flip
• 23 January 2020: Why Is Cold Weather In January So Confusing For Some People? Climate scientists have to constantly point out to idiots that one day of weather isn't climate change. from @DrShepherd2013
• 23 January 2020: Greta says she is on "gap year" ... she didn't drop out after 9th grade but actually graduated high school? So, she is going to college this Fall? I thought she was striking from high school, or something. Weird.
• 23 January 2020: Professor Lawrence Krauss says it's time to retire the Doomsday Clock. Hard to disagree ...
• 23 January 2020: Yes, Lawrence Krauss retired after being credibly accused of sexual abuse.
• 23 January 2020: No, I'm on my gap year.
• 23 January 2020: The "prophets of doom" have their own Doomsday Clock, of course.
• 22 January 2020: PG&E wants to add gas powered substations into microgrids likely to be affected by wildfire prevention power outages. Environmental groups are opposed to any fossil fueled backup power generation.
• 22 January 2020: The 365-day running mean global temperature is slightly behind the post-El Niño spike in 2016. We may come close to that +0.6°C mark toward late 2020 ... I'd give 50/50 odds. #climatechange or #globalwarming
• 22 January 2020: I think it's a bad idea & waste of time to "make examples" of people that might have slighted you on the Internets. What you end up doing is create a "dog-pile effect" where in-group peers snicker at some troll.
• 22 January 2020: Saw some images of iguanas (lizards) on the ground -- they fell out of trees due to the cold shocks in South Florida. The "shocked iguanas" will reanimate & continue about their day. Actually, climate change should cause fewer "shocked iguanas"
• 22 January 2020: The RTMA analysis earlier at 7 AM showed the down-wind warming effect of Lake Okeechobee. Too dry for any lake effect snow❄️ Chilly day for Florida but no record lows. It has been much colder in the past.
• 22 January 2020: Verifying this 40°F forecast in Miami this morning. I put the betting line at 43.5°F so it really went under! 🌡
• 22 January 2020: Seems this Impeachment is turning into a Democrat led filibuster.
• 22 January 2020: Viking Cruises building a ship for Great Lakes cruises including a stop at Mackinac Island ... Plenty of freighter traffic on the Lakes but a 665 foot long cruise ship will stand out high above the water viewed from shore.
• 22 January 2020: Wonder what @FrankLuntz thinks about this ... global warming has always seemed a more apt descriptor. Let’s Go Back to Calling It Global Warming “Climate change” is vague and doesn’t convey enough urgency.
• 22 January 2020: Wind chill advisory for South Florida -- 1-day of winter. Temperatures will feel like the mid-30s in Miami 🏖️. Actual temperatures should remain in the mid-40s. Wind chill of 25°F in Orlando -- brrrr 🌡️
• 21 January 2020: Looks like about 19" of snow ensemble mean for February from yesterday's 46-day EPS.
• 21 January 2020: After 2-weeks, the ensemble mean returns to the zero line -- or climatology. So, any signal is washed out.
• 21 January 2020: I have follow-up questions but there is zero chance her handlers would allow her to be subject to critical inquiry. This "doomster" rhetoric will not galvanize any action except backlash.
• 21 January 2020: Here in California, the ignition source (downed power lines) was removed from the equation through preventive blackouts in 2019. The climate was the same yet fire acreage down by 85%. Still all major fires were caused by some sort of human negligence.
• 21 January 2020: Based upon the 12Z time stamps, GEPS ensembles have finished 70-minutes faster. 👀
• 21 January 2020: Checking in on Winter 2019-2020. All that red on the map = much above normal temperatures more than half-way thru the DFJ season. Weather models for next 2-weeks+ see continued warmth heading into February.
• 21 January 2020: I don't know about you, but I don't want to live in Greta Thunberg's dystopian hellscape. There is no negotiation, debate or rationalizing with this insidious type of rhetoric. Don't even try.
• 21 January 2020: "All the solutions are obviously not available within today’s societies. Nor do we have the time to wait for new technological solutions to become available to start drastically reducing our emissions. So, of course the transition isn’t going to be easy. It will be hard."
• 21 January 2020: In her Davos speech, Greta Thunberg demands the following: End all fossil fuel exploration, extraction, investment. When? Now. (Transcript: )
• 21 January 2020: Flashback: Washington Post on Hillary in 2016 -- echoing the 2008 Obama debate quip: Is she 'likeable enough'? 🤔
• 21 January 2020: Code ... but weather models are more skillful when the resolution is increased & that requires enormous computing capacity.
• 21 January 2020: The Canadian weather modeling agency is flipping switch on a new Supercomputer with 2.5x increase in performance. Huge. Over past 3 month, the Canadian model has moved ahead of the U.S. NOAA global weather model in skill metrics.
• 21 January 2020: A new Enterprise-D rendering in the #StarTrekPicard promo New series debuts on Thursday.
• 21 January 2020: Didn't want to step too much on Season 8 of Homeland.
• 21 January 2020: Davos private jetsetters could buy "green jet fuel" that has 18% less CO2 emissions. Reducing a carbon footprint by 1/6th is actually a good thing to do especially for the ultra-rich.
• 21 January 2020: Yeah, a balanced diet with exercise would seem to be 99% of the battle. Tweaks based upon genetics would seem like a waste of time if you're obese b/c of poor diet and sitting all day.
• 21 January 2020: It seems that's what they are trying to do with diet plans. I'm really curious if this actually works. Honest question, am I fat b/c my diet is not optimal with my DNA profile?
• 21 January 2020: Just saw a commercial for Jenny Craig weight loss. There is a companion DNA test that supposedly helps tailor your weight loss plan. How does that work? You're fat b/c it's in your DNA?
• 20 January 2020: Planning for extreme weather in a changing climate is pretty much what I said in my first Tweet, right? (b/c as we know, the climate is always changing) Neutral phrasing will persuade better if you want to reach a diverse audience.
• 20 January 2020: Couple historical tie-ins: U.S. military embargo on helium likely forced Germans to use hydrogen for Hindenburg Japan's discovery of jet-stream prior to WW2 led to hydrogen-filled balloons carrying bombs to be sent to West Coast of U.S. (some worked)
• 20 January 2020: Let's say I reversed the words to a "changing climate". You have no context or information about how it's changing or why. What useful advice can you offer someone who wants to mitigate damage to their crops, property, etc?
• 20 January 2020: Thanks for your thoughts. Let's assume I know the difference b/t weather and climate (change) b/c I certainly do. Yet, I chose my words carefully. Now, you interpreted them in a certain way. Now you're boxed in a corner.
• 20 January 2020: You're right. Saikat left and the idea factory went with him. It's unfair to call him the puppet-master but definitely was the brains behind the operation. AOC generated Trumpian level media interest for better part of a year.
• 20 January 2020: Okay, where do you disagree? Read the words carefully.
• 20 January 2020: Thanks. Busy intersection with potential for high speed crashes.
• 20 January 2020: Only in the 30s here today in #Atlanta ... chilly across the entire Southeast (except for South Florida in the 70s) But it's sunny & feels good enough if outdoors. This might be the last/coldest of winter. Cross my fingers.
• 20 January 2020: Anyone here in #Atlanta know the intersection where Chandler Parsons was in terrible accident (DUI) on the 15th?
• 20 January 2020: So, you're reading about what a politician said about climate, weather or science in general and you just assume they are spouting gibberish. Yet these same elected officials have plans to transfer & manage trillions of dollars to solve the climate problem.
• 20 January 2020: What are some indefensible positions in today's political climate? * climate change isn't occurring * the public should not be concerned Climate and the weather touches everything -- if only in a tangential way. This is obvious, right?
• 20 January 2020: You can't deny what you are seeing outside your window, in the news or in your pocketbook. Climate change can involve weather that can flip on a dime resulting in damages that shortsightedness can make worse. Keep an open mind to avoid boxing yourself into indefensible positions.
• 20 January 2020: State of Georgia could upgrade "rest areas" into giant transit collection points like the Turnpike Oasis concept. Heck, just give Pilot or Flyin' J the land & they'll do it.
• 20 January 2020: I have an App idea: "Going That Way" I'm going that way anyways -- hop in the back for $20. Car pool app, or call it "Bum a Ride"
• 20 January 2020: Tracking "bomb cyclones" across the Northern Hemisphere this cold season. So far about 17. I developed an extratropical cyclone "best-track" dataset using the ERA-5 reanalysis. Will make data available for everyone @climatlas
• 20 January 2020: “I don’t want to spend too much time on the mayor, mostly because I think some of the behaviors that we’ve seen since he entered this race have been disqualifying. We can probably set him aside,” Kingsbury concluded. Mediaite doesn't know why either.
• 20 January 2020: Did anyone catch why the NY Times said "Bloomberg" disqualified himself from an endorsement 'because of what he was saying lately' ... They dismissed him out of hand.
• 20 January 2020: Tremors turns 30. The documentary starring Kevin Bacon and @reba describes a Nevada desert town's battle against four giant subterranean creatures.
• 19 January 2020: 1050 millibars high pressure over Great Britain late Sunday. That's near record high (all-time)
• 19 January 2020: Just saw a quick promo for #StarTrekPicard on CBS. Only 4-days away. Moving into the 2400s finally.
• 19 January 2020: EPS 12z median at 43°F now. I'd set the betting line at 43.5
• 19 January 2020: Breezy winds out of the NNW could send wind chills to near freezing early Wednesday morning in South Florida. However, actual temperatures should remain well above freezing, instead with patchy frost well inland. 🌡️
• 19 January 2020: Latest ECMWF model has a low of 40°F in Miami (MIA) Wednesday morning. That's the roughest winter weather in a year ... high temperatures still around 70°F. About 10-hours below 50°F = winter in Miami. 🏖️
• 19 January 2020: Chilly day across the Southeast but brilliant sunshine. The UV-index in #Atlanta maxed out at 3.2 today under clear skies with temps in the lower-40s. Cold few days this coming week and then back to above-normal temperatures.
• 18 January 2020: How's this for the last week of January? Average daily temperatures 5-10°F above climatology for the week. That means above freezing daytime highs in the 30s for Chicago, Detroit.
• 18 January 2020: Looking down on the North Pole and the Northern Hemisphere, the cold air is bottled up mostly in the Arctic. Strong signals for a 15-day ensemble mean. Individual ensembles must be off the charts.
• 18 January 2020: After this brief cool shot across the Eastern US, it's back to well-above normal temperatures through first days of February. If you want extreme cold, then Alaska is your best bet. They're exceptionally frigid right now & getting colder. ECMWF EPS 12z (@weathermodels_)
• 18 January 2020: Lack of Great Lakes ice cover will allow increased evaporation to lower near-record high lake water levels. But, then the spring melt + rains come again. Water levels have been increasing since 2015 -- remain at high levels last seen in 1986.
• 18 January 2020: Just looking at GFS toward end of month. Extremely cold with polar vortex anomaly over state.
• 18 January 2020: Before you say stop ripping on retail or cashiers, this was a union store and everyone was paid well. I maxed out at $14.25/hour. Insurance. Retirement 401K, vacation, overtime. A 10-year full time employee made $40K. 20 years ago.
• 18 January 2020: When they rolled in, a BOLO went out. And then cashiers would manually change every mis-ticketed price. All good, right? Nope, they purposely messed with the price tags and overlayered on top. Now that was theft. Banned permanently.
• 18 January 2020: Two scammers riding the store electric carts would purposely look for mispriced items so they could get a 10x difference bounty up to $5. Theyd then return the items to another store. Quite a racket. We caught on.
• 18 January 2020: Self-scan machines started around turn of century. Angry man rang up a watermelon by the pound ($18) and threatened the cashier for ripping him off. Oh yeah, he was also buying a pitchfork. Arrested.
• 18 January 2020: A fire started in a parking lot island in mulch from a discarded cigarette. Windy as hell and it was spreading. Management said wait for the fire department. I said f-that my truck is out there. Grabbed fire extinguisher and turned island white. Fire dept never came.
• 18 January 2020: Same cashier drove into work for first time with her mom's car. Ran out of gas on way. Someone saved her ... got in late. Someone gave her $20 bucks to put it all into the tank. Never pumped gas before. She filled the tank at $17 and ran the rest on the ground.
• 18 January 2020: New cashier was told to keep her till with her at all times because she was responsible for it. She went on break and walked out of the building with her cash drawer. Went to sit in her car with it. Dumb as a box of rocks.
• 18 January 2020: A cashier, a heavy smoker, would ring up a pack of cigarettes a day at the mid-point of her shift. She would pay for it by overcharging a customer by $5 on their debit by not returning change. Not terminated.
• 18 January 2020: I should tell some stories from my 3 years in retail at a major supercenter in Michigan. I saw a lot of "dishonesty" from customers, employees and especially management. Mostly penny ante stuff but also some well designed scams ...
• 18 January 2020: In Michigan, law stated the store only needed to honor the "cost" of the item, not one cent. That was to prevent obvious mistakes turning into legalized theft for less than honest customers.
• 18 January 2020: The "bomb cyclone" storm has wind gusts > 75 mph and very heavy snow. Here is the development from the 00z ECMWF model ... Pressure falls rapidly as the center wobbles around Newfoundland.
• 18 January 2020: Global weather models have a stripe of snow > 30" through Newfoundland in the cloud head of powerful "bomb cyclone". Still ongoing ...
• 17 January 2020: That does not look like Lake Michigan. 🏖️
• 16 January 2020: Great example of the 1977 Great Pacific Climate shift. #ClimateChange Just from Anchorage, can see increased annual /yearly variability on top of the 10°F step increase.
• 16 January 2020: I'm taking even more interest in Weekly weather forecasting since much of it lately is awful. Forecasters have strong biases that aren't rectified leading to repeated busts. So, is winter canceled or not?
• 16 January 2020: Differences in Week 2 are quite large, 12z just updated.
• 16 January 2020: Actually, a brief 48-hour cold-shot will send temperatures at or below normal here in #Atlanta by early next week. But, 60s return again.
• 16 January 2020: Tough way to run a winter across the Eastern U.S. if Arctic air can't join the party. Heading into next weekend (Sunday the 26th), the "blow torch" January continues. Also, that pretty much puts a cork in the month.
• 16 January 2020: Is it accurate to say the "step up" in global temperatures after 2015 was due to the strong El Niño?
• 16 January 2020: Matt, currently in development mode. This link is under construction until the products are merged into the main interface: GEFS and GFS:
• 16 January 2020: Over past 2+ years, @RogerPielkeJr has been sounding the alarm on the pervasive & insidious usage of RCP 8.5 emissions scenarios in "doomsday" academic studies, gov't reports & consulting (insurance) grey literature. No media has covered except for @MikeBastasch at @DailyCaller
• 16 January 2020: McKinsey's climate report critically flawed b/c it is based upon an extreme & unlikely emissions scenario (RCP8.5). Not a good sign for sound public policy🙄
• 16 January 2020: I was showing a forecast trend not a specific day. Trending colder is useful information for a lot of different sectors including home heating or retail. We are constantly watching for model flips, too.
• 16 January 2020: You can't successfully forecast into Week 2 without weather models. They are our most important and critical tools. Some people want confident forecasts w/o seeing the underlying process. Probably best to just stick with your phone App for that.
• 16 January 2020: The conventional 7-day temperature anomaly from the 4x daily or synoptic time averaging shows a similar pattern. However, in winter with rapidly changing weather patterns, the degree-day formulation or TMAX is probably best.
• 16 January 2020: Colder weather across the Lower 48 east of the Rockies for "Week 2" from Jan 23-29. This is the 7-day average GEFS ensemble mean using (TMAX+TMIN)/2 or the "Degree Day" formulation.
• 16 January 2020: Update: “I think you called me a liar on national TV,” Warren said to Sanders in their off-mic exchange, per CNN audio.
• 15 January 2020: Recently, ERA5 from the European CopernicusEU agency was released, freely available 5th generation "reanalysis" data for the ocean & atmosphere since 1979. I'm producing maps & time series for ERA5 as well -- I showed December 2019 last week.
• 15 January 2020: How are global temperatures for the first 2 weeks of 2020? Well, 2-weeks is short enough that we see the effects of weather imprinted upon the global maps. You can trick people w/o providing appropriate context.
• 15 January 2020: Now, look at the beginning of 2019. We saw a "step up" in global temperatures in February. What was that? When you look at sub-monthly time scales (days to weeks) you can see so many cool things going on with global temperature.
• 15 January 2020: The Green Line🟢 is the current 365-day running mean temperature -- extended to make comparisons easier going back to 2013. Look at the El Niño spike of Oct 2015-March 2016. That eventually was "given back" by 2018.
• 15 January 2020: From this daily JRA-55 temperature data (globe) The high-frequency (EKG) shows variability on short-time scales = weather Take a 365-day running mean = Red line🔴 The Earth was "warmest" toward the end of 2016 as the effects of the El Niño waned.
• 15 January 2020: I think I'm still the only person to keep daily global temperature time series -- been doing so since JRA-25 was released about 15-years ago. The follow on data-set is called JRA-55 & provides a "frozen" time series to provide > 60-years of continuous, complete global data.
• 15 January 2020: Current Great Lakes ice cover = 5% January 14, 2020 Superior = 4% Michigan = 6% (mainly because of Green Bay) Huron = 10% Ontario < 1% Erie 0% It's been an easy winter, obviously.
• 15 January 2020: The U.S. really should have a 5th generation"reanalysis" temperature dataset akin to the Copernicus EU project (ERA5). But we don't -- so most use the "lego blocks" from NOAA and NASA for satellite era climate analysis. Fine for long-term trends.
• 15 January 2020: The field campaign in Winter 1988/1989 was very lucky with a lot of East Coast "bomb" cyclone activity. Remains to be seen if a "Nor'easter" actually affects the U.S. in the upcoming weeks. February is the busiest month in general.
• 15 January 2020: NASA flying into Nor'easters again after 30-years ... The papers & stories about the previous field campaign underpinned my graduate research.
• 15 January 2020: Don't hold your breath for snowfall across the Southeast in the next 10-days. While some weather models hint at chances of frozen precipitation, it's a very tiny chance, like 0-2%. ❄️
• 15 January 2020: Shocking prediction from top climate scientist: Australia may become "uninhabitable" due to climate change & force everyone to leave -- all becoming climate refugees.
• 15 January 2020: I'm sure the CNN control room heard that entire exchange between Warren and Sanders. Mics are always hot. Some source familiar with the conversation will come forward tomorrow to blab about it.
• 15 January 2020: CNN should have had a chyron ready: "Fact check: Bernie Sanders is lying"
• 15 January 2020: Need to save your stamina for the 45 minutes of climate change debate coming up
• 14 January 2020: Huh? It's the 7-day ensemble mean average model cycle change, if you know what that means. Trending warmer ...
• 14 January 2020: “Nowadays, the politicization of scientific issues is often intense, but it is not uncommon. Climate change of course is an extreme example of science that is variously hyped and denied, making it difficult for non-experts to tell the difference.” More smart analysis from:
• 14 January 2020: Based upon previous debate word clouds & the current news cycle, I created a debate Bingo card for tonight's Democratic debate. The entire card could be filled in the first hour. (entertainment purposes only) What other obvious buzzwords or phrases have I missed?
• 14 January 2020: Obviously the line moves based upon the betting public and wiseguys, but come on. 67 points on the dot? 🏈
• 14 January 2020: Many sports books had the score at 66.5 or 67. How do these folks always get it right? Final score 42-25 #LSUvsCLEM
• 14 January 2020: I can't get enough of the Chevy commercials. You know how many JD Power awards they've won? More than you Ben.
• 14 January 2020: What would happen if any of the campaigning Senators summarily refused to show up and sit for the Impeachment trial or missed a day or two?
• 14 January 2020: Now there's no water in Venice, Italy. The gondolas can't float tourists around the lagoons.
• 13 January 2020: Well, it doesn't compare anything b/c that's not a Week 3-4 forecast. Perhaps you're confused?
• 13 January 2020: What is the point of this map, Vincent?
• 13 January 2020: Winter is not cancelled? The EPS update for Monday came in much colder for Weeks 3 & 4 (Jan 27 - Feb 10th) across much of the US 🌡️ That's pretty exciting, huh?
• 13 January 2020: Why were we ever pretending that she was writing any of her Tweets or Facebook posts?
• 13 January 2020: Climate change didn't stop -- it was one of the hottest years on record in 2019. So what caused the dramatic decrease in acres burned? It's probably a combination of favorable weather (more rain later into summer) & the preventative electricity shut-offs.
• 13 January 2020: Finally good news: 2019 California fire season saw 259,823 acres burned across the state down significantly from 1.96 million acres in 2018 ... more than a 85% decrease. Lowest since 2011 2019: 0.26M acres 2018: 1.96M acres 2017: 1.55M acres
• 13 January 2020: "It seems much less possible that the White House comms. team is engaged in some Machiavellian psychological experiment on bending the American public to its will than that some person at the White House scheduled a pretty picture to run on Sunday evening... Time will tell."
• 13 January 2020: Everything is hyper-partisan these days, even a simple photograph of snowfall at the White House. There's always hidden meaning, message or "grim irony".
• 13 January 2020: Published in Nature Medicine, the research correlates monthly mean temperatures over the past 40-years with mortality data & then extrapolates that thru 21st Century. Younger males that drink may also get more violent and drown if near water.
• 13 January 2020: New research: expected increases in deaths due to arguments among males b/c of global warming. "more time spent outdoors in anomalously warmer temperatures leads to an increased number of face-to-face interactions, & hence arguments, confrontations & ultimately assaults"
• 13 January 2020: Last night, Twitter lost its mind over a simple White House photo showing the "First Snow of the Year" Weirdos thought it was a secret message or conspiracy.
• 13 January 2020: Yeah, I skipped 12z HRRR once the data feed blinked out. I think NDFD is the only issue with NWS ftp right now. Shouldn't have any problems with GFS starting in 15-minutes.
• 13 January 2020: The main NOMADS data server has been dead for about 3-hours. They sent an email earlier. I'd assume it will be resolved soon. @weathermodels_ should be mostly unaffected.
• 13 January 2020: Next year is a big birthday (🎂)
• 13 January 2020: One of the most powerful U.S. supercomputers to study climate change is located in Wyoming. Why? Cheap coal powered electricity (> 3 Megawatts).
• 13 January 2020: Supercomputer update: ECMWF upgrading hardware at new computing site in Italy. New Atos Bullsequana system allow global ensembles at 10 kilometers.
• 13 January 2020: That being said, Week 1 vs. Week 2 daily temperatures will be much colder across the East. A good bet b/c you can't really go much higher than record high.
• 13 January 2020: Also, my fault for mixing color tables which is another issue when glancing at maps only for the colors. Daily TMAX and TMIN anomalies are difficult b/c most models don't typical provide daily parameters & the climatology isn't trivial to calculate.
• 13 January 2020: The 4x daily 2-meter chunk is the next best option, I suppose. But if you're looking at Degree Day trends, then you need to use the (TMAX+TMIN)/2 deg day formulation. Why? TMIN and TMAX climo is regionally complicated when considered in tandem..
• 13 January 2020: A 4x daily average at 00z, 06z, 12z, 18z is supposed to mimic the daily cycle but it can be misleading in winter especially if making the cardinal sin of showing 5-day chunk 850 hPa temperatures The general drift is right but 850 hPa is not 2-meters.
• 13 January 2020: For my fellow meteorologists, when showing 5 day chunks of temperature anomalies, in winter, it's best to pick daily highs as the best reflection of experienced weather. e.g. 11-15 day TMAX anomaly & actual temperatures from recent ECMWF EPS 12z
• 13 January 2020: Thankfully, Twitter has a learning curve. Those that can't figure it out probably shouldn't be Tweeting anyways.
• 13 January 2020: And, the White House has now Tweeted that Flickr account. Turns out there was no conspiracy or secret message.
• 13 January 2020: Daytime view of Australia (Monday Jan 13, 2019) The continent is mostly clear, hot and dry with temperatures > 100°F. Tropical Cyclone Claudia is swirling off the western coast -- now 75-knots (equivalent to Category 1 hurricane) Bush fires continue with smoke visible (SE)
• 13 January 2020: "Racking my brain" and the simplest explanation didn't register.
• 13 January 2020: Beautiful snow falling in Green Bay late Sunday evening after a #Packers victory.
• 13 January 2020: Here's a high-resolution picture from the White House Flickr account. It's dated January 7, 2020. ❄️
• 13 January 2020: I'm laughing at the people losing their minds b/c the White House posted a photograph of snow from last week. There's no secret meaning, no agenda. It's just a photograph of the White House while snowing.
• 13 January 2020: Could be some light snow by the 4th Quarter in Green Bay. It's cold already -- lower-20s with wind chill of 14°F. #SEAvsGB
• 12 January 2020: Mind-blowing geography. #TaalEruption2020 Vulcan Point = function(island(lake(island(lake(island)))))
• 12 January 2020: Is there some reason the Texans have stopped scoring the ball? Staying on 24-points is not going to win the game.
• 12 January 2020: You know it's a good thing the Texans scored 24 points right away or they might be behind in this game.
• 12 January 2020: January monthly record high set in Boston at 73°F ... warmest January temperature in 70-years.
• 12 January 2020: Snowfall totals across the Great Lakes came in well under model & human forecasts. Instead of 6-10" it was more like 3-6". Short-range guidance did particularly poor. Bust-o-matic!
• 12 January 2020: Swiss tennis player Roger Federer is very popular & respected in the world. Well, apparently he's a climate criminal according to Greta Thunberg b/c he is sponsored by Credit Suisse, which lended to fossil fuel related businesses. @rogerfederer responds:
• 12 January 2020: 70°F in #Atlanta through next week. 🌡️ Crossing off the weeks of winter wearing shorts.
• 12 January 2020: Forecast record highs today in Florida. 83-86°F from Jacksonville to Orlando, Tampa to Miami & down to the Keys. 🌡️ Mild 60s across North Georgia including #Atlanta with sunshine 😎
• 12 January 2020: This is an example of a "bomb cyclone" In the North Atlantic, bombs are frequent during the autumn & winter. The Low Pressure typically ends up near Iceland and referred to as the "Icelandic Low" #StormBrendan
• 12 January 2020: A power hurricane-force storm develops in the Northeast Atlantic heading into Monday. Central pressure to drop ~933 mb
• 12 January 2020: You could learn how to use Google News.
• 12 January 2020: I added 500 mb temperature to my model maps. I'll keep an eye on the tropopsheric polar vortex
• 12 January 2020: A Facebook hack showed who edits/writes climate activist Great Thunberg's social media posts. It's her father and other people. Does it matter?
• 12 January 2020: You mean she probably didn't write in that op-ed: “To address climate change, we must overhaul everything,” including “colonial, racist, and patriarchal systems of oppression"
• 12 January 2020: The discovery of the jet stream is an interesting historical story. During WW2, Japanese researchers knowing about the jet stream tied bombs to balloons and sent them across the Pacific hoping to hit Western US. And, some did!
• 12 January 2020: 226 knot jet stream across Eastern Canada helping trans-Atlantic travel. Depending on who you ask, faster & slower jet streams are expected with climate change. A "drunk jet stream" or "jet weirding" are classic gibberish terms.
• 12 January 2020: Trickery tomorrow, the low will be 32°F on Sunday, just not in the morning. The 70°F will definitely be a record high.
• 11 January 2020: With 3 other networks in #Atlanta it's an easy call to keep the NFL game & halftime uninterrupted. Viewers are encouraged to use their streaming devices.
• 11 January 2020: 3 of 4 major networks in #Atlanta with full screen severe weather coverage. NBC going to halftime of NFL #VikingsVS49ers
• 11 January 2020: Since the entire line is severe warned, puts population over 5 million under threat this evening. My lightning detector says 17 miles away.
• 11 January 2020: Line of severe storms has crossed 285 Perimeter into #Atlanta metro. Expecting some wind.
• 11 January 2020: Line of severe thunderstorms heading into North Georgia -- on way to #Atlanta in the next 2-hours. I'd expect airport travel interruptions. Good amount of lightning -- plenty of moisture for heavy rainfall. Impressive set-up for mid-January.
• 11 January 2020: Only 4 days have seen 70°F+ in the month of February in Boston. Feb 24, 1985 70° Feb 24, 2017 73° Feb 20, 2018 70° Feb 21, 2018 72° So, don't get too used to the warmth. Much colder air by next weekend.
• 11 January 2020: For the month of January. Using historical records for Boston, there's only a 2% chance a given day in January will be 60°F.
• 11 January 2020: Boston is 70°+ for the 3rd time in over 140-years Jan 1, 1876: 70°F Jan 26, 1950 72°F Jan 11, 2020 70°F
• 11 January 2020: "Each striking feature on a long record is, therefore, no evidence of the persistent recurrence of peculiar irregularities, but is the residual scar or imprint of some unusual event, or a few which have been fortuitously combined at about the time in question." C. Marvin (1919)
• 11 January 2020: Is the "January thaw" in the Northeast a real, physical climate phenomena or a psychological trick? Sorry folks, meteorology researchers have studied this by looking at historical data and statistics. Turns out, it's really just a random fluctuation in the --> weather. 🌡️
• 11 January 2020: Widespread record highs today across Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. The flow around a record strong Bermuda high ahead of cold-front will usher warm, moist air. Parts of West Virginia into the 80s 🌡️
• 11 January 2020: Cold front with severe weather has wiped away at least 40°F across Texas today. 70 yesterday at this time -- now below freezing. Last 24-hour temperatures: (@weathermodels_)
• 11 January 2020: Home values up 50% in < 3 years. Atlanta is on fire.
• 11 January 2020: My neighborhood (HOA) has a Facebook group that devolved into a sewer of personal insults. A 2nd more private group branched off to handle emergencies. Well, that just went off the rails, so a 3rd group has formed. Lowest common denominator waste of time.
• 11 January 2020: Ha, I'm definitely not negligent in the weight room.
• 11 January 2020: The TVs at the gym have LeBron's Lakers and his son's High School game.
• 10 January 2020: What do temperatures look like in Iowa for the next 2-weeks of campaigning? Seasonably cold. Snow will remain on the ground with temperatures generally below freezing in 20s heading into next weekend & week of the 20th.
• 10 January 2020: Below normal temperatures finally arrive by next weekend (Jan 18-19). Highs in the 30s to near 40 is quite tolerable. Balmy through next week -- well above normal temps 🌡️
• 10 January 2020: When's the next snow day in Washington D.C. during possible Impeachment Trial? Well, first legit chance of snowfall is next Sunday the 19th and then Wed the 22nd. But, from the ensemble matrix, huge range of outcomes from nothing to 6-inches. Running out of January for ❄️
• 10 January 2020: 6-10 inches of snowfall for Green Bay thru Saturday. $12/hour to shovel it Sunday morning. Should be clear and calm by evening game time -- temperatures in the low-20s. Packers (-4.5) vs. Seahawks*
• 10 January 2020: Are global tropical cyclones moving slower in a warming climate? Spoiler alert: No.
• 10 January 2020: Honest question. Any data or polls on the impact of celebrity virtue signalling on climate change? The messages are a bit incoherent, but apologizing for being so rich and famous seems to a common theme.
• 10 January 2020: She said her laptop was stolen -- right after Science magazine inquired about the data. It was truly an "extreme coincidence"
• 10 January 2020: The GEFS (ensembles) show "winter cold" finally extending into the Eastern US with "below normal" temperatures in 10-days or so. Energy traders will be keenly interested in how cold it will actually get.
• 10 January 2020: Climate activists "occupying" Chase bank branches in effort to defund fossil fuel projects.
• 10 January 2020: Bad ice storm on the way for Michigan. Half-an-inch of accumulated ice on trees = not good. On the northern side of the heaviest freezing rain will be snow, at least 6-inches including Chicago, Milwaukee. Might over-perform to a foot from Wisconsin into Northern Michigan! ❄️
• 10 January 2020: Dow 29k January 10, 2020 How long until 30k? Sham impeachment rally continues.
• 10 January 2020: The scooter fad has ended in #Atlanta End of the road was when Atlanta imposed nighttime bans after multiple deaths by riders. Not safe at any speed.
• 10 January 2020: Maybe get a heavy dose of bouncing ice pellets before any ice accretion in Mt. Pleasant. I was supposed to fly into Grand Rapids late Saturday. 🛩
• 10 January 2020: You've got 2-inches of QPF to partition but ECMWF doesn't include freezing rain in the snow accum, so only a small % is actual snow.
• 10 January 2020: The puzzle pieces don't fit tonight.
• 10 January 2020: I wondered how they'd work in David Bowie's Life on Mars. @itspetergabriel covering Bowie's Heroes was much better. Picard already ordered for Season 2, so it must have screened well.
• 9 January 2020: Also, I point out that the episode is set to "Heroes" by Peter Gabriel (cover)
• 9 January 2020: Yes, good point. Ensemble means are very expensive smoothing operations and misleading. The initial week signal can "wash out" anything past that. There are ways to address this.
• 9 January 2020: Checking in on winter across the Eastern U.S. especially here in the Southeast. Nope. Average temperatures during the next 30-days predicted to be well-above normal heading into early February. Probably minor shots of Arctic air at best. Make the groundhog's job easy!
• 9 January 2020: The Federation News Network goes to Red Alert with breaking news. Short Trek is only 7-minutes in length but sets up the new Picard series
• 9 January 2020: It's a highly contentious political topic.
• 9 January 2020: Much better. Although I'd say the premier 2 episodes of Discovery were top 10 Trek. The one in Season 2 that Frakes directed was different level.
• 9 January 2020: CBS Online. Paid streaming. I'd gripe, but I don't waste my money at theaters. For Star Trek, they can take my money.
• 9 January 2020: My goodness, just watched the Short Trek prequel to Star Trek Picard. 2 weeks to go. Children of Mars. This will be totally different than Discovery.
• 9 January 2020: A ridge is protecting the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic from the worst of winter. Coldest air is STILL bottled up for next 7 days over Pacific NW and western Canada. By next weekend, it will try and penetrate the Eastern Lower 48. Temperature anomaly next Thurs:
• 9 January 2020: I read the L.A. Times article, examined reports from PG&E on faulty equipment that was de-energized and avoided fires during most extreme fire weather. This evidence is compelling to experts in this field including Cali Task Force.
• 9 January 2020: Also, it's worth pointing out the same climate experts that reflexively blamed California fires on climate change are the same people singularly blaming climate change for Australia's fires. Won't name them, but I really have questions about credibility.
• 9 January 2020: It's important to note that PG&E blamed (in court filings) climate change for disastrous fires in order to escape/limit liability for fires caused by faulty equipment. Acres burned decreased by 85% in 2019 as a result of preventive power outages during extreme fire weather.
• 9 January 2020: This advice is consistent w/article Sunday by L.A. Times on human ignition sources of fires (100% most destructive fires have human cause) Again, this doesn't exculpate changing climate patterns but should help properly focus policy solutions.
• 9 January 2020: We know changing climate and multi-year weather patterns like droughts can exacerbate conditions bad for fires. ✔ Human ignition sources must be reduced ✔ Forest management is very important. ✔
• 9 January 2020: I guess Trump was right then? Climate change NOT "driving" California wildfires. Task force experts "advocated thinning California's forests, either through prescribed burns or manual clearing."
• 9 January 2020: The future of toilets is here: Internet linked toilets will be critical to controlling water use in the future as well as monitoring solids to combat climate change. You'll get print out of your daily accomplishments to share on social media.
• 9 January 2020: Now with 50-years of data in my analysis: The number of global tropical storms & those that become hurricanes has varied over the years but no significant global trend has emerged -- and probably will not in future. We have 85-90 tropical storms each year on Earth.
• 9 January 2020: Obvious extension/rejoinder w/our analysis of global landfalls and this new paper is "how fast are storms moving that make landfall" And, are these storms dropping more rainfall? Stay tuned -- ! 💻
• 9 January 2020: Coincidentally, a new paper was published on "speed of translation" or movement of global tropical cyclones. Popular talking point from past 3-years: "storms are moving slower" due to climate change e.g. Florence, Harvey. Update: not so much.
• 9 January 2020: Around the world, tropical cyclones (hurricanes, cyclones, typhoons) make landfall and cause considerable damage. Most affected: United States, Mexico, Cuba China, Philippines, Japan, India Madagascar, Australia Map: last 50-years of Hurricane-Force landfalls.
• 9 January 2020: New analysis on "global hurricane landfalls" from 1950-2019 updates a previous study jointly w/@RogerPielkeJr In 2019: 91 global tropical storms 52 became hurricanes including 31 majors 17 hurricanes made landfall, of which 7 were majors.
• 9 January 2020: In the warm-sector of the storm, very heavy rain across many states with 3-5" of rain (not snow!) Indianapolis, Detroit and Cleveland to be inundated by warm rains. Temperatures in the 60s on Saturday! How frozen is the ground? Run-off & flooding would seem to be an issue.
• 9 January 2020: Accumulated ice from freezing-rain across northern Indiana and southern Michigan could be 0.3" to 0.6" including South Bend to Grand Rapids. ✈️could be affected in Chicago, Milwaukee & Grand Rapids at times this weekend.
• 9 January 2020: Storm snowfall totals aren't quite within the 72-hour forecast period issued by NWS, so they still have their paintbrushes out. So far, the back-side of the low-pressure predicted to dump large area of 6-10 inches including Madison, Milwaukee into Michigan. Chicago is on edge.
• 9 January 2020: Dynamic storm system heading into weekend across the Great Lakes. Snow, freezing rain, and heavy rain surrounding a strong low-pressure system.
• 8 January 2020: So, it seems this is a two-way street. Climate activists suppress news and knowledge about fire causes and ways to mitigate instead focusing solely on global climate policy. Scoring political points & furthering agendas is sadly more important right now.
• 8 January 2020: This media coverage echoes the last few years in California. Mentioning ignition sources such as arson, accidents/negligence, and faulty electrical equipment would get you labeled a climate denier. PG&E and Governors Brown + Newsom often only blamed climate change.
• 8 January 2020: However, it's more complicated than: (*) hotter/drier climate trend over 100 years = more, worse fires Climate communicators quoted in media rarely deviate from this "threat multiplier" simplest explanation yet we know there are a myriad of other critical factors at play.
• 8 January 2020: Australian academics see a culprit behind the awful fires and it's not just climate change but worse, News Corp. and its media properties. Their argument is that focusing on land clearing and arson distracts from urgent climate policy action.
• 8 January 2020: Size = land area not population.
• 8 January 2020: Iran is about the size of Alaska. Iraq is the size of California.
• 8 January 2020: Washington Reagan managed a "trace" of snow. ❄
• 7 January 2020: Cold air bottled up over Alaska & Yukon is trying very hard to blast into the Lower 48. By next Monday, looks like the Pacific Northwest and Montana + Dakotas will see well "below average" temperatures -- which in mid-January is extremely cold. Warmth continues across East! 🌡️
• 7 January 2020: According to academics, blaming arson and not climate change for the wildfires is evidence of conspiratorial thinking typical of "bots and trolls" ...
• 7 January 2020: This is just north of the East Lake Golf Club on Memorial east of 2nd Ave
• 7 January 2020: Gas leak ... and the ground/road is on fire.
• 7 January 2020: BREAKING: CNN has settled the lawsuit brought by Covington Catholic student Nick Sandman Terms were not disclosed. Cases against NBC Universal and the Washington Post continue.
• 7 January 2020: Bellingham, Washington proposes a ban on cheap natural gas heating of homes. While the policy will be initially regressive & expensive, city leaders want to do their part to avert the climate crisis by reducing emissions.
• 7 January 2020: You called Mike a "shitposter" and then used an internal page link on Wikipedia to "Ties to white supremacists" This is textbook libel, and for a communication specialist, unethical and unprofessional. I'd recommend retracting and apologizing to Mike.
• 7 January 2020: Australia square miles: 2.97 Million Lower 48 USA square miles: 2.96 Million Same size -- but different shape.
• 7 January 2020: Mike was an excellent reporter at the Daily Caller Foundation during his tenure. Insinuating that he has any "white supremacist" views is defamatory & deserves an immediate correction.
• 7 January 2020: The combustion engine is on the way out ... To reduce greenhouse gas emissions & combat climate change, California considering statewide ban on gas-powered gardening equipment via @abc7newsbayarea
• 7 January 2020: Bushfire "firebugs" continue setting blazes in Australia. Mental illness. 'Swinburne University professor James Ogloff said about 50 per cent of bushfires were lit by firebugs and impending fire seasons excited them.'
• 7 January 2020: Washington is buttoning up at 1 PM for an unscheduled "snow afternoon". Over/under on accumulation at Reagan (DCA) of 1-inch?
• 7 January 2020: That look on your face when a millennial "comms specialist" tries to mansplain climate to the former chair of Georgia Tech atmospheric science department ... "Somebody stop the damn match!"
• 7 January 2020: This is a brilliant idea to eliminate steps and elevators that waste space and electricity. I expect these to catch on quick.
• 7 January 2020: Smoke from Australian fires heads north of New Zealand on the way to South America. The "roaring" latitudes of the Southern Ocean has fast moving, strong storms that can even redirect smoke plumes near Antarctica.
• 7 January 2020: I see from climate communication (award winning) that appeal to authority is supposed to be the final say on Twitter when lecturing/debating those that aren't in their peer group. Usually ends up being a toxic & condescending thread. Why is that?
• 7 January 2020: In hindsight, this was a pretty weird example of Trump Derangement Syndrome by the Post. Complicit (?)
• 7 January 2020: Just re-read this Editorial with the benefit of hindsight. This was based off of bad forecasts which over-predicted the intensity (not Cat 4) but accurately indicated the flooding rains.
• 7 January 2020: It's not a good sign when you have to remind your followers that you have an advanced degree e.g. science PhD. Suggests (a) your audience is low information and (b) your Tweets are low information.
• 7 January 2020: Moisture from Tropical Cyclone Blake will spread across Western Australia pulled south by a storm south of the continent. Rain over the next 4 days (+ cloud cover and higher humidity) is a step in the right direction to combat fires.
• 7 January 2020: Yes, the heaviest rain will be over Western Australia. But cloudcover and higher humidity will keep temperatures down. So it's definitely a step in the right direction.
• 6 January 2020: Policymakers are being advised by scientists to shut down coal plants as overarching solution to climate change which won't do shit in the present or near-future to ameliorate the fire conditions. California bit the bullet & pre-emptively shut off power. Worked. Shocking.
• 6 January 2020: Let's say you want a solution. "We need to immediately step up our land-clearing and prescribed burns." Why? "Climate change has dried out brush & provided more fuel for devastating fires." Again, two things true w/obvious solution.
• 6 January 2020: The GEFS is freely available data from NOAA. We download it and make the maps. You are free to do whatever you wish -- and share however you want.
• 6 January 2020: Land use changes can affect the local climate greatly. Even if you don't believe in "global warming" writ large, you can't deny that adding/subtract trees/cities will irrevocably change your local micro-climate.
• 6 January 2020: Well, to keep it simple, I would include that as part of (1) and then branch off "conditions favorable for fires"
• 6 January 2020: Amazing that you have to point this out, but two things can be true at once: 🤦‍♂️ (1) changes in climate are exacerbating conditions favorable for fire in Australia (2) arsonists are starting the fires 🔥
• 6 January 2020: Thanks. Here is the Lab link -- we'll eventually add to the main website.
• 6 January 2020: Might be hidden. I'll create a Lab link.
• 6 January 2020: Little hard to see w/o the land outlines, but Tropical Storm Blake is nearing landfall along the NW Australia coastline. Going to be boatloads of welcome rain across western half of the continent. "Hurricane season" in Australia helps w/rainfall, otherwise it's bone dry.
• 6 January 2020: The warmth is just not confined to the eastern US. Almost entirety of Eurasia is forecasted to be much warmer than normal. Sort of wipes out January from the equation. Countdown to Spring📅
• 6 January 2020: Who wants to stick a fork in the winter? Next 30-day average looks warm across the eastern US with > 2°C above average temperatures. 🌡️
• 6 January 2020: Congratulations, you just figured out my Tweet. "those fighting hardest" = Hollywood actors. Now, can you change you profile to "imbecile" for today?
• 6 January 2020: While walking through Atlanta's airport, you can no longer observe the brave souls in the smoke filled rooms ... The entire airport is now smoke free. 🚭
• 6 January 2020: Clowney was out of control and head-hunting. Jarran Reed (91) was going to touch Wentz down but had to dance away from the launching Clowney.
• 6 January 2020: What should I update it to?
• 6 January 2020: Note to @weathermodels_ subscribers: With the "Euro" license changes, we've updated our "sharing policy" to be least restrictive. On a busy weather day, I might post 50+ maps to Twitter & that's just fine.
• 6 January 2020: He even mocked Greta Thumberg for dropping out of school to protest the climate. Turns out we share the same birthday along with Victor Borge, you know the funny piano guy and Eli Manning (same age!).
• 6 January 2020: Just read some of the highly offensive jokes Ricky Gervais made at the expense of those working the hardest to fight climate change.
• 5 January 2020: Another game lost because the defense gave up more points than the offense scored.
• 5 January 2020: There are ~70 dollar stores in all of DeKalb County, Georgia. It is a very large county of population > 750,000 with rural areas outside of the 285 Perimeter. Hardly a scourge. Many are conveniently located where people can easily walk.
• 5 January 2020: What's wrong with shopping at a "discount store" for laundry detergent, household items, and/or food? Well, because it's not "healthy food" as defined by the county commissioner. Academic researchers are very concerned sitting on their fat asses in the faculty lounge.
• 5 January 2020: The editorial drips with condescension -- complaining about negative stigmas having a "dollar store" on every corner. However, the trick here is blaming them for the underlying economic problems rather than being a symptom.
• 5 January 2020: I live in unincorporated DeKalb County here in Georgia -- less than a mile from the Atlanta city limits, and we've just implemented a "Dollar Store" permit ban.
• 5 January 2020: There's currently no penalty for being scientifically inaccurate. True in academia, the media and politics.
• 5 January 2020: George Gershwin's "Rhapsody in Blue" is now in the public-domain after 95-years. United Airlines has used the song for decades in ads and on-board safety clips.
• 5 January 2020: The article does highlight the necessity of "human ignition" sources for wildfires across much of California -- since lightning only triggers fires in mountains. PG&E, Governors Brown and Newsom & activists consistently blamed climate change for the fires.
• 5 January 2020: 2019 California acres burned by wildfires lowest since 2011 and 85% decrease from 2018. Seems the pre-emptive power outages during high-risk fire days (low humidity, high winds) worked.
• 5 January 2020: Tommy sure has great hair -- translates into great stamina. I think he will be back somewhere. Hopefully he has some more reliable ball catchers.
• 5 January 2020: That was a cringeworthy ending to a dynasty #Patriots
• 4 January 2020: Top of hour ABC News just mentioned the Indian Ocean dipole as the culprit behind heat and dryness in Australia. That's some high level news content!
• 4 January 2020: Very well, enjoy watching the weather models and retirement. #GoNoles
• 4 January 2020: Everything under the sun. The entire website is free to view for products older than 2 days. Just my development site (Weather Lab) is a gold mine. Everything I post on Twitter is from weathermodels.
• 4 January 2020: Bummer Jay, should have asked me about my weathermodels. Only $8/month for boatloads more!
• 4 January 2020: Last, Can't do anything like this global analysis on daily time scales (or even hourly now) without "reanalysis" datasets like JRA-55 and ERA-5. A parting chart showing "polar cap > 80N" temperature anomaly time series over past year. Think about why this chart looks as so.
• 4 January 2020: Of course, there will be those that cherry-pick e.g. holy cow look at this global cooling event! Actually, I'm fascinated by these extreme deviations when regional cooling episodes can dramatically imprint upon the global mean.
• 4 January 2020: However, if you don't have the time series and historical climate data, then your anomaly map lacks context. Anomaly from what? It's misleading b/c I could trick you into plucking data from the 1930s and use a 1911-1940 baseline. Not me -- I'm giving you the proper context.
• 4 January 2020: Let's zoom further into daily temperature changes. In 2019, the day-to-day variance across the globe (due to weather) was about 0.4°C with fluctuations around the mean of 0.5°C for the year -- again compared to my 1981-2010 baseline (subjective choice).
• 4 January 2020: In 2015, global temperatures rose quickly due to the strong El `Nino in the tropical Pacific. Some of the increase of about 0.3C was given back until the last year when warmer tropical Pacific conditions returned as show in the MEIv2 (ENSO index)
• 4 January 2020: I need to explain further: The temperature anomaly maps have a "baseline" or climatology averaging period of 1981-2010. We know the temperature has increased in the past 4-decades but it was not a perfect linear trend. Monthly and yearly variability is seen here:
• 4 January 2020: Do not mix geographic regions into the hopper e.g. it was hot in Australia but really cold in Alaska so it all balances out. Also, do not compare a large magnitude temperature deviations in the polar regions with small T deviations in the tropics. Totally diff local variability
• 4 January 2020: Short term changes in temperature patterns are caused by the weather not climate. Longer averaging periods help smooth out weather noise and then patterns of sub-seasonal or monthly variability emerge. Global temperature on average remains just behind all-time record pace.
• 4 January 2020: My perpetual reminder that you should avoid using short-term weather maps (with temperature anomaly) to say anything about climate change. During the past 2-weeks, large positive & negative areas of temperature compared to local climatology occurred around the globe.
• 4 January 2020: Rather warm across central and south Florida on Saturday. Temperatures 80°-85°F 🏖
• 4 January 2020: Recent relevant paper on predictably of the PDO within climate experiments.
• 3 January 2020: More car trouble. Tourists can't get reliable transportation.
• 3 January 2020: I've wondered when the Great Pacific Climate Shift of 1976-77 would be excised from the historical record.
• 3 January 2020: Long range forecasts have 70s in the mid-Atlantic next weekend. 🔥 What the hell happened to winter? 🗓
• 3 January 2020: Going to be awkward when Biden puts his big money campaign bundlers in jail.
• 3 January 2020: In the past month in Atlanta, 3 innocent bystanders were killed by suspects fleeing police in stolen vehicles.
• 3 January 2020: Thanks Roger. I was watching GFS forecasts from past week marveling at the impending cold. This polar vortex anomaly was also responsible in part for the record cold in Alaska. These transient features are predictable enough apparently.
• 3 January 2020: Update: preliminary data at Summit Station, Greenland from Thursday, Jan 2, 2020 showed all-time record low temperature of -86°F. The station spent much of yesterday stuck in the -80°s 🌡
• 3 January 2020: "And while there’s a lot of randomness in weather outcomes, that randomness actually makes climate change much more damaging in its early stages than most people realize." Not sure what this means. 🤔
• 3 January 2020: Some guy had car trouble, a minor fender bender. That's all.
• 3 January 2020: While the statute of limitations for federal wire fraud ran out in 2017, there is seemingly no expiration of being a disgrace to science and society. Is there a toon for that?
• 3 January 2020: You really hate to see terrorists have car trouble.
• 2 January 2020: How Billionaires Tom Steyer and Michael Bloomberg Corrupted Climate Science 🔥 "This is a story of how wealth and power have corrupted (climate) science in pursuit of political goals." from @RogerPielkeJr
• 2 January 2020: Joe Biden is a serial plagiarist. Off the cuff, he is a gaffe-machine saying incoherent, offensive comments.
• 2 January 2020: Do you realize how condescending you sound?
• 2 January 2020: Lose your job and your livelihood because the factory or the mine shut down? Well tough shit, "learn to code" buddy. My day job revolves around "coding" and let me tell you how much enjoyment I get out of gardening, yard work and physical labor. Hard work is a virtue.
• 2 January 2020: I'm still struck by Joe Biden's comment about displaced coal workers "sure as hell can learn to program". Such comments are deeply divisive, ignorant and reflect an out-of-touch, tone-deaf "middle-class" Joe.
• 2 January 2020: ~0.25°C
• 2 January 2020: 2019 Global Temperature Update 🌡️ The global average temperature in 2019 was about 15°C (59°F) Compared to 1981-2010 baseline, most ocean in sub-polar latitudes is within +/- 0.5°C. Land areas show a distinct warming signal. [Data from JRA-55 Reanalysis, my map/analysis]
• 2 January 2020: Australian fires are producing enormous amounts of smoke that drifts over the ocean and is picked up within currents to New Zealand and beyond into Pacific. @CopernicusEU provides weather modeling data (ECMWF) that includes the effects of aerosols & black carbon:
• 2 January 2020: Happy New Year Peter! I'm trying to engage the public on their expectations for the upcoming decade on climate change issues -- and create the betting line. Are you interested in contributing an educated/expert prediction?
• 2 January 2020: Into the 2020s we go. 🍾 What will the average global temperature be over the next 10-years? How much cooler/warmer than 2010-19? 🌡️ Will there be more/less/same extreme weather related disasters than the previous decade(s)? 🌀
• 1 January 2020: Reminder that 2020 is a Leap Year, so wishing someone 365 days of whatever will leave them one day short. Never know, you might need that extra day this year. #HappyNewYear
• 1 January 2020: 180! Who else watching the World Darts Championships? 🎯 Peter Wright v Michael van Gerwen
• 1 January 2020: January 2020 temperature forecast from recent CFSv2 forecasts suggests the Eastern U.S. will fare "above normal" for the month. Alaska will remain very cold.
• 1 January 2020: 1% of gasoline consumption
• 1 January 2020: Jan 2, 1974 President Nixon signed bill implementing 55 mph speed limit to save on gasoline consumption. It saved less than 1%. Many states in the Northeast lowered speed limits to 50 mph on the Interstates. I can't imagine crawling along so slowly today.
• 1 January 2020: Amazing to think someone born in 1999 is now starting their 4th decade on Earth and not even old enough to drink on New Year's! #HappyNewYear
• 1 January 2020: Be thankful for the nice weather today to start 2020!
• 1 January 2020: The battle has begun here in #Atlanta with gunfire heard from all directions (into the air). This populace is heavily armed. #HappyNewYear
• 1 January 2020: What happened in 2019? Weather data: FV3-GFS operational, ECMWF another upgrade 👑 Climate data: completion of ERA-5 reanalysis (1979-present) from ECMWF / Copernicus
• 1 January 2020: So what am I doing in 2020? Research. 🤔 More weather maps. 🌎 New website(s) 💻 A lot of writing on science. ✍ Long game starts paying off.
• 1 January 2020: Hurricane intensity changes.
• 1 January 2020: Started making maps for grad school research in 2003 and posting examples to the web during destructive hurricane season of 2004. Weather data has multiplied in size by a factor of 100 in the past 20 years. 2020s will be even more fun with bigger, better weather model data.
• 1 January 2020: And into my third decade of making weather maps. #Happy2020
• 31 December 2019: You do not need to wait for a government agency to tell you this number. I can provide it -- along with a map -- for the month of December 2019. If data is freely available, then it is more likely to be trusted by the public especially if someone you trust provides it.
• 31 December 2019: Based upon a combination of weather models and all available observations (satellite, aircraft, ships, ground stations), I can tell you the actual global temperature at any given day or hour (or right now) to within 0.1°C. Just that one number averaged across the globe.
• 31 December 2019: I have zero doubt that the Earth has warmed over the past 10, 30 or 50 years. The data (that I trust) is incontrovertible. That temperature change is a function of region meaning locations like the Arctic have relatively warmed much more than the tropics.
• 31 December 2019: "We've lost two people in my family because you dickheads won't cut trees down"
• 31 December 2019: So, no stand-down order? That's a welcome change to protecting our embassies and their personnel.
• 31 December 2019: But, to make things as complicated as possible, different agencies/outfits use different 30-year periods. 1951-1980 (NASA) 1961-1990 (Australia BOM, Hadley) 1981-2010 (UK MetOffice, NOAA, Copernicus ECMWF) 20th Century (NOAA)
• 31 December 2019: In meteorology / climatology, we typically use a 30-year base period to describe the current climate & allow comparisons / understand changes. 1981-2010 will be replaced with 1991-2020 ... in 2021. So, here's a case where the usage of "decades" does not comport.
• 31 December 2019: Humans can affect the local & global climate in many different ways from CO2 (greenhouse) to land-use changes. If you deny that "in entirety", then you are factually & scientifically wrong, certainly a "denier" and an imbecile.
• 31 December 2019: Look in the Lab left column under BLEND OF MODELS.
• 30 December 2019: The SST gradient is zonal so any displacement poleward of the warmer water shows up as a positive anomaly bullseye. Definitely not ocean floor volcanoes or vents. That's ridiculous.
• 30 December 2019: Area of +3-5°C positive SST anomaly east of New Zealand sticks out like a sore thumb. Caused by the prevailing atmospheric pattern and winds over past several weeks related to strong +AAO. Ocean surface on weekly time scales acts as a memory of weather patterns.
• 30 December 2019: All see the warming trend in the newly updated 45-day ensembles from ECMWF. Week 3 change from previous model run is considerably warmer across the Lower 48.
• 30 December 2019: Here is the side-by-side of the two methods: Degree day (TMAX+TMIN)/2 vs. 4x daily synoptic time averages Since TMIN & TMAX can vary so much in winter, we must be careful when looking at 7-day average temperature anomalies when matching up to HDD's.
• 30 December 2019: The Day 15 upper-level pattern from the 3 ensemble systems (ECMWF, GEFS, GEPS) all generally agree. With highly positive AO, I'd expect higher than normal predictability. I actually wrote a paper diagnosing why in 2011 -- enhanced 10-day skill during extreme AO phases.
• 30 December 2019: Why warmer across Lower 48 & southern Canada? More strongly positive EPO (East Pacific Oscillation) pattern. Good idea to follow @bamwxcom for more details.
• 30 December 2019: Decent cold ... even for early January. Not going to come close to this soon.
• 30 December 2019: Here is a side-by-side view of the Week 2 ECMWF EPS 00z vs. 12z temperature anomaly (2000-2019 climatology) Now, this could be misleading when it comes to gas weighted HDD as these anomaly maps do not use the "degree day" formulation.
• 30 December 2019: Weather forecasters especially those involved in "energy trading" typically look at model trends e.g. how much colder/warmer is the model trending. I'd say this one is trending warmer for the 2nd week of January. (EPS 12z)
• 30 December 2019: Too bad Jerry Jones can't fire himself as owner. Stinks.
• 30 December 2019: Temperatures well over 100°F in Tasmania today (Monday Dec 30, 2019). Didn't realize it got so hot there ...
• 30 December 2019: I calculated 40.2°C continental average high temperature (prelim from that map) -- not including Tasmania. Dec 29, 2019.
• 29 December 2019: The warmest day in the past 50-years -- statewide averaged across Alaska -- was July 6, 2019 at 75.2°F The days from July 6-9, 2019 are also the warmest 4-days.
• 29 December 2019: From @capitalweather (January 31, 2012) "This pattern, known as the +EPO (characterized by low pressure over Alaska, the Gulf of Alaska, and the Bering Strait) has actually helped keep Arctic cold out of the lower 48."
• 29 December 2019: The Alaska state-wide average fell below -40°F on January 28, 1989 -- during a period of brutal cold. 'It's so cold the thermometer ran out of numbers.' From NY Times archive:
• 29 December 2019: Rather difficult to see the differences with side-by-side 850 hPa maps. Do you have access to the actual d(cycle)/dt maps for 2-meter Temperatures?
• 29 December 2019: The coldest January in Alaska during the past 75-years was in 2012. The warmest January was 1981. 🌡️
• 29 December 2019: Urban Meyer would have won that game.
• 29 December 2019: It could be a LOT colder. Recall the #PolarVortex Arctic blast of January 2014? USA Lower 48 average temperature was only 13°F. It was 40°F this evening.
• 29 December 2019: Winter will return but not for 10 days according to updated weather models. Finally by Jan 7th, all of North America has below normal temperatures. And that's cold.🌡
• 28 December 2019: Oklahoma's sideline body language is not good. Nothing to be ashamed about losing to a much better team.
• 28 December 2019: This paper combines storm tracking with temperature anomaly distribution changes. Novel approach with counterintuitive findings.
• 28 December 2019: Well actually ... Roman numerals stop at 3999.
• 28 December 2019: Like the reference, Judy. Much recent research on non-gaussian temperature distributions in a changing climate. Open question on how higher moments may change in regions with strong asymmetry between cold and warm extremes.
• 28 December 2019: You might see 2020 represented by the letters MMXX. Why does the usage of Roman numerals persist?
• 28 December 2019: I bet you know someone who can't shut up about how 2020 is not the start of a new decade. "Well actually..."
• 28 December 2019: Heck of a way to run a winter 🔥 Very warm again next weekend across most of Lower 48 and Canadian friends.
• 28 December 2019: I was doing climate science after Midnight. The global warming from 2000s to 2010s is about 0.25°C but with regional variability. It's also important to note that the Arctic warming magnitude is large while the tropics would not show 2°C increases decade-on-decade.
• 28 December 2019: Thanks Roger, as always for your perspective.
• 28 December 2019: I'm a "non-partisan" scientist who does my own data analysis. I don't launder facts to support an underlying narrative. I'm also not going to win any prizes for being honest about weather and climate.
• 28 December 2019: Plenty of space in between: (a) it's -55°F in Alaska so there's no global warming (denial) and (b) the record cold in Alaska isn't a big deal because of climate change (gaslighting) And, now media coverage of extreme weather is affected by politics.
• 28 December 2019: I think equal weight should be afforded to record highs and record lows ... just like Australia & Alaska -- as the winter / summer hemispheres see extremes of hot and cold. Extreme weather is by definition going to the most exciting and impactful.
• 28 December 2019: I have to admit that some meteorologists in media really contorted themselves into pretzels to downplay the extreme Alaskan cold. 🥨
• 28 December 2019: The high temperature was -55°F on Dec 27 setting monthly record low maximum for December. 🌡 The cold in Alaska yesterday was historically extreme for December.
• 28 December 2019: Record book says -60°F was low in Bettles, Alaska on Friday (Dec 27) Coldest December temperature on record tied with Dec 15, 1946 🌡
• 28 December 2019: Comparing the 2010s to the 1990s really accentuates the magnitude of Arctic warming.
• 28 December 2019: As we start a new decade (2020s), time to subtract the 2000s from the 2010s to help show regional patterns of global warming. The "time splice" decadal change is about 0.25°C. ERA5 Reanalysis data:
• 28 December 2019: Over the next 7-days, the "polar vortex" will anchor to northern Greenland and plummet temperatures into the -70s (°F) -- extreme cold even for the elevated ice sheet. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) will be highly positive. Wild weather will occur when this +AO breaks down.
• 27 December 2019: Disagree. ECMWF warm season scores have improved dramatically just this last summer. See:
• 27 December 2019: "Is this a sign that Betelgeuse is about to explode?" Nearby star scheduled to go supernova soon.
• 27 December 2019: -65°F 🌡️ Coldest temperature in almost 8-years in Alaska.
• 27 December 2019: I've said a few times that an "anomaly" doesn't do anything as in a "temperature anomaly". So, can a statistical "trend" do something physical?
• 27 December 2019: I saw this also with the recent extreme Australia heat wave but to a lesser extent as the Indian Ocean Dipole was prominently discussed. Global warming is a long-term trend on top of / in concert with ongoing variability on variety of time scales.
• 27 December 2019: Instead of communicating what we know about Alaskan climate change, there's this weird effort to pre-debunk silly arguments that people aren't making. That's one problem w/dumbing down your arguments to the lowest common denominator -- you end up misleading the audience.
• 27 December 2019: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is about to become strongly positive heading into the first week of January.
• 27 December 2019: I've read a few articles on the historical "climate context" of the current extreme Alaska cold and there's scant mention of the big players on the field including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño.
• 27 December 2019: Thanks Roger for the paper links. Definitely pertinent and missing from discussion. I'd add the Great Pacific Climate Shift of 1976 as important for understanding Alaska climate of the past 4-decades ... perhaps as much as 2°F linked to the P.D.O.
• 27 December 2019: What this means is that GFS is still 1-decade behind the ECMWF when it comes to global model skill. Why? Bunch of reasons. Does it have to be this way? Nope.
• 27 December 2019: The Canadian global model (GEMS) has moved ahead of the GFS in the past few months.
• 27 December 2019: 2019 is also the first year that ECMWF model (5-day NH) skill has remained above 0.90 for the entire year (30-day running avg) The recent model improvements have shown up prominently in the "warm season" when convection is key to successful forecasts. (My data/chart/research)
• 27 December 2019: This may shock you (or not) depending upon your perspective & institutional knowledge. 👑ECMWF yearly average 5-day forecast skill in 2009 exceeded the GFS in 2019! What does this mean? 🤔
• 27 December 2019: 2019 was another record-high skill year for the ECMWF weather model -- called the "Euro" by laypeople. The 5-day forecast skill improved year-on-year (NH 500 hPa Height headline measure) Sadly, the U.S. GFS model skill went down -- that's not the right trajectory!
• 27 December 2019: Snow in the mountains overlooking Los Angeles seems to be a common occurrence in recent years due to climate change. Interstate-15 is open again to Las Vegas.
• 27 December 2019: Is your head spinning from the climate whiplash of experiencing the extreme heat in Australia > 120°F vs. the extreme cold in Alaska -60°F 🌡️? That's 180°F temperature range of inhabitable space on Earth. 🌎 This is just some of the math and numbers of the #ClimateCrisis
• 27 December 2019: How extreme is this cold air? Almost unbelievably so. -56°F in Bettles, Alaska is the coldest December temperature recorded at that location in 45-years! 🌡️ The previous colder reading in December was -59°F on Dec 30, 1974.
• 27 December 2019: The 18-year old student missed so much time that her grades dipped -- and that's bad for college admission.
• 27 December 2019: “Skipping school and business as usual is to show that there’s no point in going to school if we are having our future taken away from us,” she said. “There’s not a point to our education if we’re not going to be alive in 10 years, 20 years, the end of the century.”
• 27 December 2019: Quote: Oakton High School senior Wendy Gao,18,leads several groups that fight climate change and has missed five days of school in recent months to participate in activism. She told the Post she hopes the new policy will increase the number of students who attend climate strikes.
• 27 December 2019: Large Virginia school district to allow 1 excused absence per year for students to go protest (for climate change). Spurred by climate change activist Greta Thunberg, students have been skipping school to attend climate strikes.
• 27 December 2019: Australia 🦘is 1.5% of the Earth's surface or 150‰🌎
• 27 December 2019: You could refer to Alaska as 33 parts per thousand of the Earth's surface. The notation is 33‰🌎
• 27 December 2019: Alaska makes up about 1/3 of 1% of the Earth's surface area. If Alaska was on Mars, then it would only be about 1.2% of the Martian surface area. 🌎 North America would cover almost 2/3 of the moon's surface. 🌜
• 27 December 2019: Episodes of extreme cold create "strings" of records: Dec 19 - Dec 23 are all set in 1979. Dec 28 - Dec 30 set in 1974 Dec 8, 9 & Dec 11-15 set in 1946 It's just not one day that spikes very cold but an extended period. This is the analog of a summer heat wave.
• 27 December 2019: There are 31-days in December and records in Bettles, Alaska begin in 1944. The last record lows set for any day in December were in 2003: Dec 2 at -55°F and Dec 3 at -53°F Now, with Dec 26 & Dec 27, 2019 setting record lows, that counts up to 5 dates in the 21st Century.
• 27 December 2019: -56°F or colder in Bettles, Alaska last happened on Jan 19, 2017 The most recent -60°F was Jan 31, 2012 (actually -61°F) Decadal counts (-50°F) club in Bethel, Alaska (records since 1951) 2010s: 34 2000s: 19 1990s: 59 1980s: 40 1970s: 105 1960s: 54 1950s: 60
• 27 December 2019: Why not use the vertical cross-sections?
• 27 December 2019: Good news in Bettles, Alaska is that temperatures will warm by more than 75°F 🌡️heading into the New Year. From currently -56°F to +20°F. 😬
• 27 December 2019: Records for Bethel, Alaska begin in 1944. Not really long enough to make century scale conclusions. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) probably should be mentioned with respect to mid-20th Century climate shifts.
• 27 December 2019: -56°F sets a new record low at Bettles, Alaska (Dec 27th)
• 27 December 2019: -55°F reported as minimum in Bettles, Alaska so far on December 26th good enough for tie of record low back in 1954. -54°F is record from Dec 27, 1954. 2-for-1 special possible at Midnight local time.
• 27 December 2019: Currently -54°F in Bettles, Alaska -- nearly record cold for both Dec 26th & 27th. About as cold as it can get in December up there.
• 26 December 2019: Florida beaches from Tampa to the Keys and Miami to Daytona are warm 80°F. The water isnt that warm but it's not intolerable.
• 26 December 2019: Perfect weather across the Southeast today with sunshine and warm temperatures. Enjoy all of the gifts Santa brought!
• 24 December 2019: Updated 8-14 day temperature forecast heading through first week of 2020: warmth across much of the Lower 48 and southern Canada. Extreme cold across Alaska. Map is temperature deviation from average.
• 24 December 2019: It's going to take a while, but eventually Willis must admit that "reanalysis" data is the best tool at our disposal to optimally combine available obs of Earth in a physically consistent manner. In ERA5 since 1979, that includes trillions of "observations" from satellites.
• 23 December 2019: If you like meteorology, then you'll have to wait until the New Year for some exciting weather across the Lower 48. Too often, trolls take the fun out of meteorology on social media. Don't let anyone else get in the way of your aspirations.
• 23 December 2019: I must post this hypothetical Florida blizzard b/c no one else will. This is a very long-range forecast but we can learn from it: what weather pattern or configuration can get heavy snowfall in NE Florida? A coastal storm with cold air on the back side.
• 23 December 2019: lithium is a major plot component of the Watchmen
• 23 December 2019: Working on some beautiful maps for my climate research. The ERA5 is a 41-year record of hourly data across the globe on 0.25° grid. I've collected about 150 TB worth so far this year.
• 23 December 2019: Around 12% or so. Just asking -- this map makes sense, right? % chance of 1-inch or more of snowfall in the next 46-days.
• 23 December 2019: In Washington D.C. ❄️ of the 51-ensembles, there is a huge range of snowfall totals from 0" to about 20" with a median of about 6" during the next 45-days. If you're going to do long-range forecasting, then ensembles + probability + distribution sorting is smart way to go!
• 23 December 2019: 45-day snow maps are always in high demand. ❄️ We have forecast ensembles (same model run 51-times) to provide some estimate or probability (%) of snowfall across the Lower 48. There is a tiny chance of 1-inch of snow here in #Atlanta over the next 6-weeks (sad!)
• 23 December 2019: January 2020 is warmer in the most recent EPS 46-day forecast. Map is difference b/t today's forecast output for next 4-weeks vs. last Thursday's model output. Canada trends much colder. Not too surprising.
• 23 December 2019: Where's the cold air over the next 2-weeks? Alaska! ❄️ [ECMWF EPS temperature anomaly (0-15 days) using M-Climate that is now 2000-2019 based. ]
• 23 December 2019: Nice storm over the Southeast today. Will be heading offshore in the Atlantic & behind it will be beautiful, dry & warm weather for Christmas🎄
• 23 December 2019: Fort Lauderdale has passed 6-inches of rain in about the last 12-hours. Here was the radar from when over 4-inches fell in just one hour -- 1-2 AM ET. ☔️
• 23 December 2019: I understand what you're saying but I'd wager a majority of senior science professors in our universities couldn't code 2+2 on a computer. It's not that they are dumb.
• 23 December 2019: Why does Trump know a lot about wind? Not sure about that one but probably b/c he has knowledge about coastal properties e.g. golf clubs and the travails of his friends in New England dealing with giant offshore wind farms. That was my attempt 🤷‍♂️
• 23 December 2019: Trump's comments on "wind energy" require some translating to get past his rhetorical style but his message is pretty simple: Trump doesn't believe U.S. economy can run on wind. And the construction of wind turbines occurs in nations with dirty industrial standards.
• 23 December 2019: Fort Yukon, Alaska has been chilling as low as -51°F early this morning 🌡️ (Actual temperature not wind chill -- but it's calm regardless)
• 23 December 2019: Extreme cold heading into the New Year and New Decade in Fairbanks, Alaska. -50°F is in play! 🌡️
• 23 December 2019: GFS model painting majority of Alaska in pretty pink colors or in the -30° to -50°F temperature range by Friday morning. This is 30°-50°F below normal for late-December -- which is cold anyways.
• 23 December 2019: Ireland power plant may convert from coal to biomass and burn 223 square kilometers (55,000 acres) of forest per year. The biomass is considered "renewable" but burning adds net CO2 to the atmosphere. Shipping it across the ocean, in some cases.
• 23 December 2019: Warmest Christmas (compared to normal) will be centered upon St. Louis with temperatures > 25°F above average with actual temperatures pushing to 70°F 🌡️. Unseasonably warm east of the Rockies 🎄
• 23 December 2019: Rare tornado watch across the Florida Keys and South Florida this evening as line of storms head slowly eastward. Radar: 11:20 PM ET
• 22 December 2019: The "polar vortex anomaly" is spinning counter-clockwise off the Arctic coast of Alaska. If that moves over land, then it's over for them.
• 22 December 2019: So, I'm digging into "why" Alaska is going to be so cold. This is most extreme "polar vortex" anomalies I've seen. Meteorologists will know what 4630 meter heights mean at 500 hPa pressure level. Checking on historical analogs & precedent & links to climate change.
• 22 December 2019: Bettles, Alaska is an icebox ... heading towards -50°F by Friday. This is the actual temperature. Even with climate change it will still be extremely cold in winter in Alaska. Shocking, huh?
• 22 December 2019: 10-day forecast for Fairbanks, Alaska has a few days of -6°F for a high temperature & then it's downhill to -40°F by New Year's Eve. No ma'am.😬
• 22 December 2019: Breaking news -- extremely cold temperatures expected in Alaska to start new year. Like really, really cold. 🌡️ 5-day average anomaly of 35°F below early-January (already) cold is no picnic. Polar vortex remains locked away from the Lower 48 ✔️
• 22 December 2019: So, Rogue One was a daring mission to a giant tape drive archive.
• 21 December 2019: Haven't heard much about "bomb cyclones" or the "polar vortex" in Decmember so far. Remain vigilant.
• 21 December 2019: So, is he going to retract his book and refund the purchases?
• 21 December 2019: Something way off at the Woods Hole link as the average temperature at the North Pole during winter is about -12°F not -40°F.
• 20 December 2019: Snow cover is keeping temperatures 5°-10°F lower than otherwise across central Indian & Illinois. If a weather model does a bad job of surface snow melt / cover, then it will bust on temperatures. Sneaky source of large errors heading into winter.
• 20 December 2019: Global temperature update for December 2019: Compared to recent climatology -- global T has increased now > 0.1°C over November. This puts Dec 2019 in 2nd place for "warmest" behind Dec 2015. (JRA55 reanalysis data, my maps & method)
• 20 December 2019: Cruise ships playing bumper boats ... shake my head! Blue skies & calm seas = no weather issues! 🏖️
• 20 December 2019: Need more information about these forecast maps from CFS. Is this an ensemble mean of the 45-day forecasts -- a single member, or part of the longer 9-month integrations?
• 20 December 2019: West coast of the US currently ready for "atmospheric river" event. But elsewhere around the world -- moisture transport occurs regularly making up our everyday weather. The Integrated Vapor Transport (IVT) diagnostic visualized on global scale is cool to see. (GFS 18z)
• 19 December 2019: Only about 15-million in the Lower 48 (USA) will see a White Christmas ❄️with more than 1-inch of snowfall on the ground. Less than 5% of the population. Lack of storminess means fantastic travel conditions except in the Southeast with a strong storm system developing.
• 19 December 2019: Full suite of weather model maps for ~$10/month -- still the best value, quality, and selection into the 2020s. 🎄
• 19 December 2019: Thursday Dec 19, 2019 came in at 105.3°F for the Australia continental average but the analysis looks inaccurate in some places with unrealistically hot temperatures. Will need to wait for the ERA5 to provide "reanalysis" output in the next 5-days.
• 18 December 2019: 15.8 million are under "Snow Squall Warning" ❄
• 18 December 2019: Christmas looks balmy in the Southeast 🎄. Highs in the 60s and 70s with warm sunshine ☀️. Can't beat this weather.
• 18 December 2019: Strong Gulf of Mexico non-tropical storm forms off the Florida panhandle this weekend. Gusty winds over 40-knots+ could impact as far north as #Atlanta by late Sunday. Breezy several days in the Southeast coming this weekend.
• 18 December 2019: I think most meteorology PhD's have a math major by time they are finished up especially if they dabble in fluid dynamics. I'm having painful flashbacks. That email is pathetic.
• 18 December 2019: Where can I find GALWEM maps or output?
• 18 December 2019: While it is chilly across the Southeast mainly in the 40s from #Atlanta to New Orleans. Still 80°F today in Miami. 🏖️ I'm going to stop looking at South Florida or I'm going to want to move back to the Sunshine State.
• 18 December 2019: Can you copy and paste a few examples? Remove the names, of course.
• 18 December 2019: No, wasn't fact checking ... just offering the first update for Wednesday.
• 18 December 2019: Ha, it's already Thursday in Sydney (3:30 AM) Wednesday (from preliminary grids) came in at 107°F for continental average -- definitely hotter than Tuesday (Dec 17th)
• 18 December 2019: Preliminary Australia continental high temperature was 107°F (41.7°C) Wednesday. That's the hottest on record, again. 🌡️ Data from Australia Bureau of Meteorology. I make maps.
• 18 December 2019: Santa Claus🎅will be happy to exit the polar regions next week. Extreme cold over Alaska for Christmas (🎄) Temperatures -20°F to -50°F with wind chills to -75°F across the North Slope. 🌡️
• 18 December 2019: Previously, Barry Myers (former CEO of AccuWeather) withdrew from consideration after his nomination failed to receive a Senate floor vote for > 2 years. There was growing & widespread opposition across to the board to his nomination.
• 18 December 2019: NOAA administrator Neil Jacobs (✔️) This is the most positive news I've heard regarding U.S. weather forecasting & modeling in over 3-years.
• 18 December 2019: Quote: On Glassdoor, an employee said the company thrives on school boards who “just want good PR and to save money without actually having to make any changes.” Green-washing or virtue signalling on climate is a rapidly exploding industry that I plan on exploiting.
• 18 December 2019: Green energy firm promises school districts energy savings -- for a fee. School officials eager to signal their environmental virtue are also put on payroll. It may be one of the largest "green frauds" from @lukerosiak
• 18 December 2019: Backing up, I almost double majored in something else along with history. I took the pre-req classes already for astrophysics and then half of the major requirements. Why? Big fan of Star Trek. I still see a lot of science from the hobbyist perspective.
• 18 December 2019: Until the last month of senior year of undergrad, I had zero intention of going to grad school for meteorology. Weather was just my hobby while I studied history & read a lot of books. Even when I got to Tallahassee (FSU), I wondered if I had made a colossal mistake.
• 18 December 2019: So what did I study / focus on for my history degree at Michigan? Soviet nationality (Russia and Ukraine) with classes/books from Ronald G. Suny. My senior thesis was oddly enough on Pres Ford's albeit limited diplomacy with North Korea.
• 18 December 2019: Professor Karlsen (retired) was an excellent lecturer. I quite enjoyed the class as a respite from Atmos. Sci. Also, you won't hear me bashing the liberal arts ... The Devil in the Shape of a Woman: Witchcraft in Colonial New England
• 18 December 2019: With the Salem Witch Trials in the news from Trump's letter to Pelosi, I must offer that as part of my history degree at Michigan, I took a class titled the History of Witchcraft. This is serious scholarship & was often related to the weather (bad crops, storms). So yeah.
• 17 December 2019: Snowfall chances are meager over the next 15-days -- heading into 2020 -- across the Ohio Valley into the mid-Atlantic. This is the probability (%) of seeing snowfall of 1-inch.
• 17 December 2019: Excellent advice that will likely go unheeded into 2020 from @KenCaldeira (screenshot of quotes) Policy and science are different and expertise does not seamlessly translate in either direction. Activism could lead to erosion of public trust.
• 17 December 2019: Climate scientists have embraced far-left activism in recent years. It's no surprise none are fans of Trump. However, there are some that see neutrality as more effective way to engage public & maintain trust in science. I'd agree.
• 17 December 2019: Coming up on 2-year anniversary of @weathermodels_ which was launched in late December 2017. We are working on a major upgrade to the website coming in early 2020, and I'll be further expanding offerings. The "Model Lab" contains unique / high value items not found elsewhere.
• 17 December 2019: I'd push back against the notion that "hurricane season" is no longer sufficiently bracketed. For example, it would a waste of resources to have emergency managers focusing on winter months for hurricane strikes rather than spending the time on preparation.
• 17 December 2019: Out of season tropical storms & hurricanes are infrequent by definition. The point of having a "hurricane season" is to focus preparation and vigilance on the appropriate time of year. While scientifically interesting, sending mixed messages is unhelpful to avg Joe Q Public.
• 17 December 2019: Severe storms in the Florida panhandle mainly a wind threat but lone tornado producing cell continues to track through southern Georgia. (Radar 12:10 PM ET) Much cooler air behind the rain/front.
• 17 December 2019: Anyone talking about this Subtropical Storm that is forecast to form in the Gulf of Mexico by Sunday? Next name is Tanya if it organizes significantly enough.
• 17 December 2019: You see this a lot in the Arctic from media & climate activists who see "red" on a weather map and think the "end is nigh" Scientists need to more honest on this one.
• 17 December 2019: Colors can be deceiving as well. Red hot in winter does not mean "heat wave" 🌡️ Temperatures in winter vary wildly -- meaning a typical day can experience a wide variety of weather conditions including Arctic blasts or mild warmth in the 40s. The pendulum always swings back!
• 17 December 2019: Reminder that we experience "actual temperatures" as humans and not anomalies or deviations from a climatology. The climatology is an arbitrary statistic based upon averaging actual temperatures over many years. Example of Christmas U.S.A. temperatures:
• 17 December 2019: Not going to watch b/c the TNT announcers are the worst in the profession.
• 17 December 2019: Severe storms heading in the general direction of #Atlanta in the next several hours. The tornado warned storms generally heading ENE ... Montgomery could see strong winds by time the line arrives.
• 17 December 2019: 18Z update now much hotter. 🌡️124.7°F (51.5°C) 🔥
• 17 December 2019: Christmas is the 10th Day of our model forecasts. I'm sure you've heard about "warmth" compared to normal -- but that's late December. Still, above freezing isn't too bad in the Great Lakes. 60s in the Southeast. Median high temperatures sorted from EPS 12Z ensemble.
• 16 December 2019: Zooming in on 2019 The warming spike happened in mid-February. Arctic blast across North America in November brought global temperatures down only temporarily. Note the weather & sub-seasonal time-scale global T changes.
• 16 December 2019: 2019 will finish behind 2016 for "warmest global temperature" Something happened in early 2019 to "spike" global temperatures up to a new a step which has remained at +0.5°C above 1981-2010 "normal" Hottest days compared to normal were > +1.0°C in Feb 2016.
• 16 December 2019: I keep my own daily global temperature records in my official capacity on Twitter based upon "reanalysis" datasets -- which are the bees knees & better than the Lego blocks found elsewhere. Global T changes on sub-monthly time scales -- with weather pattern signals.
• 16 December 2019: There is no "official" global temperature record. Multiple agencies put out their own data and go from there. NASA, NOAA, Europeans, British, Japanese, Berkeley et al.
• 16 December 2019: The ECMWF model has a sophisticated precipitation-type scheme that does separate snowfall from ice/sleet. A narrow band of 6-inches stretches from central Indiana into New England. (48-hour forecast accumulations)
• 16 December 2019: Here's the storm system over the next 48-hours from our flagship "Euro model". Plenty of wintry precipitation with mixing (pink colors) Snow is blue -- and Lake Effect machine will crank up as colder Arctic air filters in. (@weathermodels_)
• 16 December 2019: Multiple ongoing Tornado warnings across Louisiana & Mississippi. Radar 1:40 CT.
• 16 December 2019: Historical data from ERA5 (@CopernicusECMWF) and forecast data Australia ACCESS-R (@BOM_au) Analysis using some pretty simple code.
• 16 December 2019: The Australia continental high T forecast by ACCESS-R: 🌡️ Tues Dec 17: 104.6°F (40.3°C) Wed Dec 18: 105.5°F (40.8°C) Thurs Dec 19: 105.0°F (40.6°C) I've previous calculated & ranked continental averages from ERA5 (1979-present): Jan 7, 2013: 102.8°F Jan 15, 2019: 102.4°F
• 16 December 2019: Happy to use Australia's excellent weather model forecast data to calculate magnitude of record heat wave. ACCESS-R (10-km) shows a maximum of 119.7°F (48.7°C) across southern portions of continent.
• 16 December 2019: Midnight forecast time from 15Z HRRRv4 simulated radar shows shades of blue over NYC. ❄️
• 16 December 2019: So is it snowing in NYC tonight, or not?
• 16 December 2019: I'm reading headlines that Arctic is warming 2x as fast as the globe overall. In anomaly terms, that is true. But to compare the Arctic with the tropics, you need to use variance as well. Higher moments are important, too.
• 16 December 2019: No, these are not available.
• 16 December 2019: Touchdown #Falcons
• 16 December 2019: Over the past 30-90 days, ECMWF model skill has been particularly excellent 0.93 - 0.94👑 The Euro remains king heading into the 2020s.
• 15 December 2019: Temperatures were record hot in Texas today in the 90s along the Rio Grande. Normal highs are in the low 70s. Meanwhile below freezing in the panhandle.
• 15 December 2019: Western U.S. Mountains will see a typical White Christmas 🎄 but only the U.P. of Michigan & upper Midwest may have the most snow cover on Christmas morning. ❄
• 15 December 2019: Christmas morning now within our best 10-day weather model guidance. 🎄 Good bet for much above normal temperatures🌡 for late December. Right now, not seeing any storms or travel concerns for next Mon-Wed.
• 15 December 2019: Getting some reports of snowfall in Kansas City. ❄️
• 15 December 2019: 6-9 inches of snow forecast for Kansas City and St. Louis thru tonight. ❄️ Kansas City Chiefs (-10.0) are at Arrowhead with game vs. Denver Broncos at 1 PM ET
• 15 December 2019: Next 48-hours from Plains through Ohio Valley into Northeast look wintry ... not a lot of snow accumulation but could be a headache with travel. More soaking rains across the Southeast. HRRRv4 (@weathermodels_) simulated radar.
• 14 December 2019: It's not a climate model. And shove your "rank deception" comment up your backside.
• 14 December 2019: I analyzed historical gridded data from ERA5 (1979-present) and if this forecast plans out, then it would beat the previous Australia continental high temperature by 3°F. 🔥
• 14 December 2019: Updating to -- "Some sort of incident"
• 14 December 2019: Some sort of situation at Cumberland Mall just NW of #Atlanta (near Suntrust Park).
• 14 December 2019: Hottest day across Australia looks to be Wednesday when the continental averaged high temperature is 105.8°F (41°C). ECMWF 00Z model output from @weathermodels_
• 14 December 2019: 2019 global tropical cyclones: 87 tropical storms including: 48 hurricane strength 31 major strength (Cat 3+) 4 Category 5's with Hurricane Dorian (160-knots) strongest *Preliminary as final intensity analysis will occur in next 6-months
• 14 December 2019: Let's go back 50-years -- why not? There is no significant trend in the number of global tropical storms and/or hurricanes since 1970. There is little evidence to suggest that will change during the 2020s* *This is the current consensus among people that study this.
• 14 December 2019: Across the Earth, during the past 30 or 40-years, there is no significant trend in number of global hurricanes (or those that become majors Cat 3+) After the hurricane seasons of 2004-05, I started my graduate research which included updating this chart now on 15-years.
• 14 December 2019: Wow, didn't realize how close the decades were 🌀 Global hurricane activity 2010s: 826 global tropical storms 445 became hurricane strength 249 majors (Cat 3+) 2000s: 855 global tropical storms 450 became hurricane strength 248 majors (Cat 3+) 1990s: 256 majors (Cat 3+)
• 13 December 2019: Instantaneous precipitation rate does not tell you much about accumulation of rain & snow. I'd compare 1-hourly precipitation totals.
• 13 December 2019: I'm on the other side of Hank Johnson in Georgia's 5th but not by much.
• 12 December 2019: IHOP building a new concept "to-go" restaurant called Flip'd here in #Atlanta by April 2020. Location is in Atlantic Station.
• 12 December 2019: Looks like 124°F is the maximum in the 12Z ECMWF for the Australian continent -- next Thursday. That's 51°C 🌡️ I'll continue to update the forecasts as this extreme heat event unfolds.
• 12 December 2019: 122°F = 50°C 🌡️ Watching weather model trends across Australia for the next week to see if the 50°C threshold is broken probably in South Australia. 🔥
• 12 December 2019: Keep seeing this: GFS ensembles [✖️]: No, FV3-GFS and the GEFS are quite different modeling systems. The higher-resolution FV3-GFS is not a member of the GEFS. Development is underway on FV3-GEFS -- eagerly awaiting.
• 12 December 2019: Too much of award winning climate communication is virtue signalling these days & a waste of time. But Roger's daily threads with climate policy analysis are a refreshing exception. Here's another one on "apocalyptic RCP 8.5" 👇
• 12 December 2019: ECMWF EPS definitely has 2-m Temperatures, I suppose depending on where you get your maps.
• 12 December 2019: Oh, okay. In my experience, aggregate 850 hPa T anomalies can provide a misleading picture in the cold season since the diurnal variability is masked.
• 12 December 2019: Why? Stuck weather pattern w/heat dome parked over southern Australia. Long lasting pattern > 1 week. Dry and very hot thru next week and following weekend.
• 12 December 2019: Nearly the entire continent of Australia will be 100°F or hotter next week. Hottest of 121°F🌡 forecast by some models next Thursday in South Australia. 🔥
• 12 December 2019: That is the GEFS not GFS. Here is 2-m temperature run-to-run comparison. Not sure why you use 850 hPa?
• 12 December 2019: Must be a huge relief off your shoulders to finally see the truth come out after 3 years. 👏
• 12 December 2019: Almost certainly nonsense. No doubt that airlines are affected by weather but detecting climate signals in operational delays is ridiculous.
• 11 December 2019: Your same chart but my vintage 2009 version. I've been amazed looking at these charts for years how the actual (observation) is always on the outside of the guidance envelope -- in one direction.
• 11 December 2019: So Bloomberg is literally buying Impeachment "Yay" votes?
• 11 December 2019: We've known for a long while what was going to be in the I.G. report. But, the real intrigue involves all of the "unmasking" and the tentacles into the Oval Office.
• 11 December 2019: Almost as unifying as an open Supreme Court seat.
• 11 December 2019: Here's Elsie (1989) Looks like another obvious Category 5 landfall.
• 11 December 2019: The 21st Century began on January 1, 2001.
• 11 December 2019: I had a thread of a few under-estimated Cat 5 Super Typhoons including Angela.
• 11 December 2019: Gordon (1989) looks like a high-end Category 5 landfall.
• 11 December 2019: Mozambique is a large country but radar coverage of large populated centers is an obvious way to improve severe weather warnings. These considerations are applicable to the developing world confronting extreme weather. It's not a climate problem but infrastructure/computing.
• 11 December 2019: Our global weather models provide highly accurate forecast information for the entire world including Mozambique -- at 9-kilometers grid spacing. I make maps using this data. Mesoscale models at 3-km over SE Africa would provide considerable public good for small relative cost.
• 11 December 2019: Climate change has nothing to do with Mozambique's weather forecasting challenges -- which are considerable all on their own.
• 11 December 2019: -20s in Minnesota vs. 80°F in South Florida Typical 100°F 🌡️difference in temperatures this morning. For those walking the beaches this morning in South Florida 🏖️, think of the frozen Lakes up north.
• 11 December 2019: Can't wait for the Red New Deal.
• 11 December 2019: These are the discussions one has when trying to rank the biggest and baddest. Of course, no recon for 30-years+ means that heading into the 2020s, we'll spend $100B on satellite guessing but miss every opportunity to fly into the monsters.
• 11 December 2019: Not sure if you've come across this paper.
• 10 December 2019: This year's Atlantic hurricane season was worse than normal, but it wasn't nearly as destructive as much of the last 10 years via @nbcnews
• 10 December 2019: Dreaming of a White Christmas? 🎄 15-day forecasts from "ensemble" weather models showing 0% chance here in #Atlanta of 1-inch snow depth on ground. Less than 1-in-10 chance in D.C. and NYC. ❄️
• 10 December 2019: Here is my 00z EPS distribution.
• 10 December 2019: How is that EPS calculated? Mean, median or combination of individual members?
• 10 December 2019: ECMWF 14-day ensembles are only issued 2x per day. How are there 4 dots per day?
• 10 December 2019: Any idea who the Vice President was in 2016? Maybe that person was briefed on these matters.
• 10 December 2019: HRRRv4 more aggressive. Haven't been following to compare.
• 10 December 2019: Looked at my AVHRR archive. Quite the buzzsaw. JTWC had LMI of 155-knots.
• 9 December 2019: Tom Steyer ad spending bonfire already eclipsed by Mayor Bloomberg. 🔥
• 9 December 2019: Look at the placement of the I.G. report news on Drudge. Dan, you've got a lot of work ahead of you.
• 9 December 2019: Are you saying the Obama-Biden FBI spied upon the Trump campaign? Come on, man!
• 9 December 2019: Go Tommy! #Patriots
• 8 December 2019: It's right on the podium.
• 8 December 2019: Big decision for me: Michigan vs. Alabama in Orlando or Florida State vs. Arizona State in El Paso, Texas Sun Bowl. #GoBlue #GoNoles
• 8 December 2019: I expect Michigan to deliver a historic beatdown that forces Saban into retirement. #GoBlue
• 8 December 2019: Whoa! Michigan vs. Alabama in the Citrus Bowl on New Year's Day in Orlando.
• 8 December 2019: No. The reanalysis project has gone back into the 1800s to reassess historical storms. The researchers are making their way thru 1966-69 now.
• 8 December 2019: Hurricane Betsy from September 1965 has been upgraded to a Category 4 hurricane at landfall in Louisiana. The NOAA Hurricane Re-Analysis Project has released updated data from the seasons 1961-1965. (PDF document: )
• 8 December 2019: 2-years ago former FSU coach Jimbo Fisher trashed his Christmas tree and flew off to Texas A&M. Today, FSU announced his replacement's replacement.
• 8 December 2019: "It is thus found that ensemble spread is a good predictor for wind electricity generation output forecast uncertainty" One step further ... using historical forecast ensemble spread is an excellent diagnostic of forecast confidence.
• 8 December 2019: You can read a lot about sustainability from the AGU here ... they are (sort of) trying to limit the enormous carbon footprint of the meeting.
• 8 December 2019: Why flight shaming? This week, thousands of scientists will converge upon the annual meeting of the Amer Geophysical Union (AGU) in San Francisco. The vast majority are conscientious scientists researching climate, oceans, geology, atmospheres of our planet & other.
• 8 December 2019: As a Georgia homeowner (and taxpayer), I'm quite concerned about unnecessary travel by any state employee especially at GA Tech or U Georgia. Perhaps at the university level, new rules/regs should be drawn up limiting travel to 1 trip per year to battle climate change?
• 8 December 2019: Climate scientists have some of the largest carbon footprints on the planet. A few are trying to cut back but really can't because their work and messaging is too important. Plus, these exotic destinations are once in a lifetime vacations.
• 7 December 2019: California Democratic primary voters rank climate change as the Top Priority -- almost half of respondents. Wow.
• 7 December 2019: Watching development of strong "polar vortex" fuzzball over Hudson Bay & Canada arriving from near Greenland in the 5-10 day range. So far, that feature remains mainly north of the U.S. along with the coldest air. GFS 12z (@weathermodels_)
• 7 December 2019: World’s Oceans Are Losing Oxygen Rapidly, Study Finds From NY Times: "The world’s oceans are gasping for breath ..." --> "oxygen levels in the world’s oceans declined by roughly 2% between 1960 and 2010"
• 7 December 2019: The oceans are running out of oxygen. Big if true.
• 7 December 2019: If we had radar over the entire ocean, then we could see that those impressive Gulf of Alaska storms are actually powerful blizzards with heavy snow in the cold sectors. Hurricane force winds with snow!
• 7 December 2019: GFS model forecast over next 5-days show the evolution of atmospheric rivers across the North Pacific. You can trace the warm conveyor belts of moisture from Japan to California ... connected to powerful low pressure systems near Alaska.
• 6 December 2019: The upcoming Arctic blast will be relatively brief mainly for the Midwest and Great Lakes. Measured by Gas-weighted HDDs, the coldest day will be next Thursday. Full 51-ensemble distribution of Lower 48 CONUS GWHDD from @weathermodels_
• 6 December 2019: Addendum: I sorted the ensembles at each U.S. location and created "box-and-whisker" plots e.g. Atlanta.
• 6 December 2019: Roger, what's your experience tell you about the SST anomaly vs upper ocean heat content: highly correlated everywhere? Memory of the OHC anomaly vs. SST anomaly.
• 6 December 2019: My favorite weather variable is "precipitable water" or moisture in the atmospheric column. Note: atmospheric rivers impact U.S. west coast Also, a brief Arctic blast -- battled back by a Gulf of Mexico moisture surge. GFS 00z (@weathermodels_)
• 6 December 2019: Added a link to the Lab page for US cities
• 6 December 2019: While we see the "monthly mean" of the 51-ensembles, there is of course a lot more information. I drilled down to individual locations and constructed the ensemble matrix of Temperature Anomalies. Examples of Chicago and Atlanta.
• 6 December 2019: ECMWF seasonal forecasts arrived this morning with a surprisingly coldish January monthly signal for much of the Lower 48. Maps from @weathermodels_
• 6 December 2019: Tropical Cyclone Ambali in the Southern Indian Ocean explosively intensified on Thursday to Category 5 (140-knots) based upon satellite analysis. The storm will head harmlessly south away from land before decaying. The Southern Hemisphere hurricane season is underway.
• 6 December 2019: At 2330Z, manual Dvorak analysis yields T 7.0 for Ambali. ADT has since fallen back. On satellite, it was briefly Category 5 (140-knots).
• 6 December 2019: Glad to see the traffic surge. You have the opportunity to promote lesser-known journalists and their outlets. That's an ongoing problem on the Right in bringing in new voices -- especially younger ones.
• 5 December 2019: November 2019 global temperature update from newly available ERA5T data @CopernicusECMWF +0.65°C compared to 1981-2010 climate average. Tied with November 2016 for warmest November on record. Same results as presented here:
• 5 December 2019: That is certainly pretty cool. I'm not sure about how often the hole punches occur, but I'm guessing it's frequent b/c of the sheer volume of air traffic. The GOES-16 scans every 5-mins show it well. Also, Dobbins AFB is in Marietta up I-75.
• 5 December 2019: She will run in special election in Nov 2020 when both Georgia senate seats are up with Trump on the ballot. Long game.
• 5 December 2019: When I surf Drudge, I rarely click on a link anymore. I am just fine with the headlines b/c they contain a fact and editorial quip. This is more akin to the Twitter experience of news providers and aggregators like @RealSaavedra and videos from @tomselliott.
• 5 December 2019: Need to be cognizant of the echo chamber effect and make sure your readers know what is going on at the MSM. What is the top narrative at CNN or front page of NY Times? Curation platforms need to have solid analysts who follow all news to keep the site on track.
• 5 December 2019: I didn't mention a lot of things. What does this have to do with weather modeling?
• 5 December 2019: Sad reality is that Big Satellite e.g. aerospace companies like Ball, NG, and Harris get fat contracts to put hardware in orbit. Cost overruns are built in and amount to billions. Weather modeling on the ground does not have high powered lobbyists on Capitol Hill.
• 5 December 2019: Truth is that we have so much satellite data with missions on the way with brand new instruments but U.S. weather modeling systems will struggle to make best use of it. The 5G spectrum debacle is another issue entirely.
• 5 December 2019: Tens of billions of dollars are spent every decade on weather satellites. Let's say $20B as a round number. How much is spent on actually using that data in weather models more efficiently? Maybe 1%. That is out of whack.
• 5 December 2019: The Navy and Air Force already have their own weather forecasting systems. They are independent and self-sufficient. Since Hurricane Sandy, hundreds of millions of dollars have been dumped into upgrading NOAA GFS with disappointing results.
• 5 December 2019: I propose the rapid deployment of a seamless atmosphere-ocean coupled system on a Top 25 Supercomputer. $1B per year for 10 years of new money. By 2030, have the world's best forecasting system.
• 5 December 2019: Lately been some chatter about future of weather forecasting in public and private sector. But I think the U.S. military should be the primary investor in weather forecasting enterprise. Operate in ocean, air, on ice, and now near-space / stratosphere.
• 5 December 2019: Unlikely the public will be able to access their model data in the raw format. It will be included in their Apps and perhaps in the TV broadcaster packages.
• 4 December 2019: I have some advice about further innovating your news curation platform. Time stamps [⏰15 minutes ago] Rapid fire / Twitter like updates [🐦] Popularity [🔥🔥🔥] Importance [🚨🚨] Narrative tracking thru time w/categorized or hashtagged archive [ 🗓]
• 4 December 2019: Arctic blast coming to Midwest and Great Lakes early next week ... will then sweep into the Northeast. Looks like a relatively brief cold snap typical of 2nd week of December.
• 3 December 2019: ERA5 now includes near-real time data to monitor the Earth's climate system from @CopernicusECMWF I'm a huge proponent of "reanalysis" modeling and after many years, we have 41-years of consistent, highest quality data to diagnose changing regional & global climate.
• 3 December 2019: A lot of this is pretty simple. How to get our advanced weather forecasting systems to the people in positions of responsibility to make use of it. Good example is new Tropical Storm off Somalia. I have the best weather model info at my fingertips but difficult to get to them.
• 3 December 2019: Of the private weather outfits doing unique things @climacell is at the forefront. Providing weather information to the developing world is an obvious way to mitigate the impacts of ever changing regional climate.
• 3 December 2019: It's bad for satellite remote sensing for weather model data assimilation. Since fish don't have cell phones, the over-land data can be screened out. It's not the end of the world.
• 3 December 2019: That's pretty easy. Philip Seymour Hoffman. I haven't seen Twister in 20-years.
• 3 December 2019: Nope. Just too complicated.
• 3 December 2019: 4D-Var data assimilation to create initial conditions And, a superior weather model is key component of the update cycle to continuously include new observations.
• 3 December 2019: I don't think this is either/or A climate scientist can have any of ten different degrees ranging from meteorology to physics and engineering. If you have grad level research training & can code, then you can make meaningful contributions in both fields simultaneously.
• 3 December 2019: This trailer in 2009 was one of the most epic parts of the entire trilogy. Star Trek reboot one was overall pretty good.
• 3 December 2019: A rare tropical storm (TC 06A) has formed off the coast of Somalia. It will head west and make landfall at 8°N latitude in a few days.
• 3 December 2019: It all boils down to convection.
• 3 December 2019: DS9: Sacrifice of Angels TNG: Yesterday's Enterprise Voyager: Series Finale I watch episodes every night on H & I
• 3 December 2019: Probably a handful fewer.
• 3 December 2019: Large extratropical cyclones. Did my PhD work on them.
• 3 December 2019: Judy Curry.
• 3 December 2019: Brutus the Barber Beefcake.
• 3 December 2019: You don't need any special training to declare yourself a meteorologist. Much of daily weather forecasting is basic science, high school level. However, to understand why or to do research, then you need some textbooks.
• 3 December 2019: Aside from the fundamental forces, I think our weather is unique b/c of the availabilty of unlimited water vapor for the hydrological cycle.
• 3 December 2019: Subtropical jet stream provides plenty of wind shear if thunderstorms can form.
• 3 December 2019: Bill Belichick. But he isn't going to waste his playbook in the regular season. The are just screwing around.
• 3 December 2019: Or he is a placeholder.
• 3 December 2019: I'm often up in the middle of the night listening to Fox Sports Radio and @benmaller I'm a night owl b/c of weather models.
• 3 December 2019: Aside from some silly geoengineering science fiction, his plans were solid mitigation, adaptation and quickly moving to non-fossil within constraints of political will. He got an F from the left activists.
• 3 December 2019: Doubt it.
• 3 December 2019: Cory Booker. He is a normal guy.
• 3 December 2019: Primary? Doubtful as long as gas is plentiful and cheap.
• 3 December 2019: Franklin will probably sign a huge extension. Jimbo did that with LSU every year. Ironically he kept saying no and they eventually moved on from Les Miles. Now look at them.
• 3 December 2019: I've only been in remnants but drove thru Ivan damage. Seeing the water lines on the trees 25 feet up where the surge line was ... incredible.
• 3 December 2019: Brian Kelly would be a solid choice.
• 3 December 2019: Cranberry Truffle is back in the menu. Pure sugar. I have my regular stop here in Decatur.
• 3 December 2019: Enough to be dangerous.
• 3 December 2019: No golfing.
• 3 December 2019: Next year, the Wolverines go into Columbus and administer a beat down.
• 3 December 2019: Moderate lane is wide open. Largest proportion of Dem primary voters reside there. Biden is a known quantity and has the decades of institutional experience to serve as caretaker President.
• 3 December 2019: Ask me anything about weather, sports or politics. 👇
• 2 December 2019: Model snowfall (10:1) according to p-type from HRRRv4 Also, winds pick up thru Monday evening. Gusts over 40 mph especially at/near coast.
• 2 December 2019: Still another 24-hours until late Monday before the Nor'easter clears ... plenty of opportunity for waves of heavy snowfall from NYC to Boston. Might not add up to much in the cities, but cause travel headaches. HRRRv4 (@weathermodels_)
• 1 December 2019: The HRRR v4 parallel will continue for a few weeks. Not sure if NCEP will continue past December. The expected upgrade date in April 2020.
• 1 December 2019: Snowfall analysis still coming in for the ongoing winter storms. But preliminary numbers show Duluth, Minnesota as the big winner with areas around Lake Superior pushing 2-feet.
• 1 December 2019: Flight shaming has almost no impact here in the U.S. on airline travel. Greta was barely a blip in terms of media coverage which is infatuated with non-stop Trump.
• 1 December 2019: Last minute climate conference Flights from Atlanta to Madrid are $3700 round trip on Delta in Economy class. >$10K for Business/First. Hopefully scientists & government officials can expense their trips & bring their spouses along. Spain is a great vacation destination.
• 1 December 2019: Currently 82°F in Jacksonville but windy Entire Florida peninsula in the 80s December in Florida is tough sledding.
• 1 December 2019: This Nor'easter does not have much wind ... and won't. The snowfall is lazy or conversational -- but it is heavy with high moisture content & will mix back-and-forth w/rain. #GBvsNYG should still see plenty of scoring.
• 1 December 2019: No, I meant I cannot generate every U.S. state out to 48-hours. The computational expense isn't worth it.
• 1 December 2019: Subscribers @weathermodels_ can find the HRRR parallel in the Model Lab: I can't provide all regions or variables.
• 1 December 2019: Really? My family reported 6-12" in Manistee with power outages from the heavy snow.
• 1 December 2019: The upgraded HRRR does a much better job representing winter precipitation types including sleet and snowfall. Data is freely available 8x per day with 48-hour forecasts at 00z/06z/12z/18z
• 1 December 2019: HRRRv4 shows a "mixed bag" of precipitation extending from the Great Lakes to the Northeast. The formation of a coastal low later tonight will set stage for heavier snowfalls on Monday. Travel delays or cancellations possible. ✈️ [HRRRv4 @weathermodels_]
• 1 December 2019: Weather service snowfall forecast for the Northeast looks pretty good for 3-6" in NYC metro, 5-7" in Boston but 12-18" away from the coast in NY and western Mass.
• 1 December 2019: I think private sector satellite data provision will only make a marginal contribution to weather modeling. The length of mission is key and cost tens of billions. Cube sats are 6 months and in most cases low quality data.
• 1 December 2019: 12 men on the field is the best new way for Saban to lose. #IronBowl
• 30 November 2019: Over the past 90-days, the Canadian global weather model has moved ahead of NCEP GFS putting it in last place among the Big 4. But, the last week it has had some issues. The availability of apples-to-apples ensembles makes the recently upgraded Canadian system quite attractive.
• 30 November 2019: Michigan lost the game when? Harbaugh prepared the game plan they walked into the stadium Shea Patterson fumbled
• 30 November 2019: Michigan defense playing with the IQ of cold tap water.
• 30 November 2019: Sir David Attenborough in "One Planet" claims polar bears hunting beluga whales is a recent development due to climate change. Yeah, probably not.
• 30 November 2019: Come on -- a gust of wind didn't blow that snap off course. Shea Patterson took his eye off the ball. #GoBlue
• 30 November 2019: Harbaugh is pumped up #GoBlue Even has his hater blockers on underneath cloudy skies.
• 30 November 2019: Cloudy with temperatures in the 30s in Ann Arbor for Michigan #GoBlue vs. Ohio State. Game time at Noon. 10-15 mph winds out of the East could gust to 20 mph.
• 30 November 2019: Newsweek journalist terminated?
• 30 November 2019: Really rocking in chilly St. Louis ... on the ground reports from @PREcip_Weather
• 30 November 2019: Great gift idea for the family.
• 30 November 2019: Impressive severe thunderstorm heading into St. Louis but temperatures are only 40ºF (!)
• 30 November 2019: I have a sneaking suspicion that the NWS snowfall maps will end up converging upon the ECMWF model forecasts ... still happy with max 6-inches in NYC. 12-18" in Albany & maybe 10" in Boston. This is mainly on Monday. Winds will not be very strong. 20-30 mph gusts.
• 29 November 2019: Better advertising to yield climate action? Rebranding suggestions: Global meltdown Climate collapse Climate chaos Scorched Earth Imminent Death
• 29 November 2019: Unusual example of "twin tropical cyclones" on each side of the Equator in the Indian Ocean off African coasts early next week.
• 29 November 2019: Boston is a good example of how precipitation-types are treated within the ECMWF model. "Mix" liq-equiv QPF is not treated entirely as snowfall -- only 0.2" of 0.5" is assigned to the separate snowfall bin.
• 29 November 2019: Right now, it is in the Lab "city charts" but will update 4x per day going forward.
• 29 November 2019: Timing of consistent snowfall in NYC in 7-10 AM Monday morning with 6-inches, or so expected from updated model outputs (ECMWF 12z). [31-90 hour chart added to my collections @weathermodels_]
• 29 November 2019: Terrell Owens posing on the Cowboys Star was incredible and then being tackled! Too bad Dallas was 5-11 in 2000 (and 2001 and 2002)
• 29 November 2019: Is there an updated ranking of the Top most disgusting | fantastic TD celebrations in the previously No Fun League? Moss mooning the crowd seems tame by today's standards.
• 29 November 2019: Climate activists protesting shopping areas in Paris and London decrying that fashion = ecocide. The anti-consumerism protests are also happening at an Amazon fulfillment center.
• 29 November 2019: Best estimate of total snowfall comes from the ECMWF ensembles percentiles thru Monday e.g. Median from 00z & 06z look similar = only small changes to overall tenor of storm. NYC 3-6" Boston 10-12" Large area of 6-12" across the Northeast.
• 29 November 2019: Wintry mix into NYC by Sunday evening with snowfall on Monday. ❄️ Nor'easter hangs around for 24-36 hours and will snarl post-Thanksgiving travel late Sunday into Monday including NYC and Boston. ✈️ ECMWF 06z ()
• 29 November 2019: At the bottom of (grocery) store receipt, it often says "You saved $25 or 33% today" Except, likely would not have purchased those items unless they were on sale. #BlackFriday
• 29 November 2019: And they are missing a chance to win the game with another successful onside kick. Bananas #Falcons
• 29 November 2019: Looks like maximum 2500 fans remaining for the last 5 minutes of the 4th Quarter.
• 29 November 2019: Matt Ryan is washed. Embarrassing.
• 29 November 2019: 1988 Sears catalog Wishbook had the Nintendo for $99. I remember games were like $35
• 29 November 2019: Temperatures well over 100°F in South Africa ... golfers wearing shorts
• 29 November 2019: New Star Trek Picard comic prequel providing info about post-Nemesis events. USS Verity is part of new class of starship including the Enterprise-F
• 28 November 2019: ECMWF 12z trended east with snowfall for NYC to New England. Starting late-Sunday throughout all Monday. ❄ Over a foot of snow? Get home as early as possible on Sunday! ✈ (My maps from )
• 28 November 2019: The balloons were dragged along the parade route.
• 28 November 2019: 20-years ago ... time flies! Those few years that I worked at the store were character building.
• 28 November 2019: The snowfall is calculated by taking the liquid precipitation and multiplying by 10 per inch of liquid. So, if the snow is fluffy, then you'll get more inches. 12"-18" looks to be the model range right now. Plenty of shoveling this weekend!
• 28 November 2019: Bay Area gasoline prices reach record highs. ⛽️ California average gas prices peaked at $4.10 a gallon earlier in November. Now down to $3.80.
• 28 November 2019: Kammuri is forecast to become a Super Typhoon. The waters east of the Philippines are very warm & conducive for intense storms.
• 28 November 2019: Typhoon Kammuri is intensifying east of the Philippines. A westward track is quite likely -- and landfall over Luzon is possible in 5-6 days as a powerful storm.
• 28 November 2019: Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃
• 28 November 2019: All that shit on those pages has been replaced and made obsolete by the advent of the smartphone. You can put the pieces together in retrospect. MP3 player, video camera, HD screens
• 28 November 2019: Sounds like he's been taking social media cues from @AB84 marching to your own drum
• 28 November 2019: There's a coupon for 15% off right now. Find the code on the @weathermodels_ account
• 28 November 2019: The last time I did Black Friday the hot items were 1 GB thumb drives, MP3 players, and Plasma TVs [2004] This site has archived ads. Try stumping your smart ass relatives by matching items with the year.
• 28 November 2019: My focus is entirely on which is under the brand
• 28 November 2019: Drudge no longer sets the narrative b/c Twitter is first place everyone goes for Breaking News. Trump's use of Twitter upended many media outlets.
• 28 November 2019: You've got to do more than curation these days. A successful aggregator site needs to combine the best aspects of: Twitter's rapid reaction & narrative formation Reddit's sorting of topics Google News scanning major outlets
• 28 November 2019: I took typing class in 10th Grade. Do kids still learn how to type in school? "Like why are the letters on my phone arranged all funny?"
• 28 November 2019: Yes, dragged along at 180° angle Just don't stand near a lamp post!
• 27 November 2019: Helping them grow. So much about private sector meteorology is data oriented. Yet, if you don't have the human expertise, then all the machinery is useless.
• 27 November 2019: I wear multiple hats these days. WeatherModels will continue to grow and expand heading into Year 3 of the service.
• 27 November 2019: 82 year old man has decided to stop flying and this is his 4th Thanksgiving away from family ... all in the name of climate change. Do you have a hyperaware climate relative like this?
• 27 November 2019: Latest long range forecast favors colder risks and snow as we get into December! Duh right? Well, it's more complicated than that. Our latest long range video here: (@bamwxcom)
• 27 November 2019: Very windy in NYC tomorrow. Gusts 35 mph+ out of WNW are likely. There is no way any balloons are flying in the Macy's Thanksgiving Parade. 🦃
• 27 November 2019: Here is the link:
• 27 November 2019: Eric, you have access to the percentiles. Do you use them often? Thinking about adding more.
• 27 November 2019: Polar bears damaging the Arctic monitoring equipment.
• 27 November 2019: Watching models for winter storm across Northeast heading into next week. ECMWF 12z just updated & has a "mixed bag" of winter precipitation for NYC & Boston. Could be heavier snow away from the coast. Travel late Sunday into Monday could be interesting. @weathermodels_
• 27 November 2019: California will bear the brunt of at least 2 "atmospheric river" systems over the next 5-8 days. Winter storms in the Gulf of Alaska have conveyor belts of moisture extending out of the subtropics. These narrow "rivers" of moisture are directed into the West Coast.
• 27 November 2019: For cheat meals, I'm a big fan of Arby's ... always switching up the menu and creating new sandwiches. Chick-Fil-A reminds me of dorm food.
• 27 November 2019: We've reached peak science journalism. Downhill from here.
• 27 November 2019: The U.P. of Michigan just west of Marquette could still see up to 30-inches of snowfall today! ❄️ HRRR v4 model snowfall w/improved precipitation-type
• 27 November 2019: Warm day across the Southeast with noon temperatures in the lower-70s in #Atlanta 🌡️ High in the 80s in south Florida 🏖️
• 26 November 2019: With railroad tracks, Dave. I have not seen this before.
• 26 November 2019: Cold air behind the #bombcyclone front will sweep thru California leading to a few chilly days. Record lows possible as Tahoe sinks below 0°F.
• 26 November 2019: Powerful blizzard likely this weekend across the Dakotas.
• 26 November 2019: Winter storm with heavy snow currently in Denver will quickly head across the Plains into the Midwest today. Will be a large strip of 6-12"+ from Denver thru Nebraska into Minneapolis and UP of Michigan.
• 26 November 2019: While not a tropical system, Oregon and Northern California getting their version of a hurricane landfall today. Powerful "bomb cyclone" with wind gusting to 100 mph, heavy rain and mountain snows. Simulated radar from HRRR (13z)
• 25 November 2019: Late Tuesday, the "bomb cyclone" will crash ashore in Oregon. Expect gusty winds, heavy rain and snows with this powerful storm.
• 25 November 2019: Koalas "functionally extinct" (?) As typical with inaccurate news, the correction never gets remotely the same attention as the original viral Tweets, RTs, and clicks. Of course, monetary incentive to publish & delay corrections, if at all.
• 25 November 2019: As the climate deteriorates, experts say overhead power lines will cause worse problems. Customers will need to pay more to bury or harden vulnerable lines. Just another cost of the worsening climate crisis.
• 25 November 2019: If you're visiting family in central and south Florida for Thanksgiving, make sure you pack shorts and sunscreen. 80s. 🏖️ High temperatures:
• 25 November 2019: ECMWF weather model continues to develop a very powerful Typhoon in the neighborhood of Philippines in 7-days. Intensity and structure consistent with Category 5 Super Typhoon.
• 25 November 2019: 5G frequency fallout to weather forecasting: "It is worrying and disheartening to watch history repeat itself and science losing to other societal pressures. Watching the cost society now has to pay for having ignored global warming warnings ... "
• 25 November 2019: Media often confuses this terminology understandably as "sting jet" is a catchy phrase.
• 25 November 2019: The wind speed maximum on the south or equatorward flank of a powerful "bomb cyclone" is NOT a "sting jet". It is the superposition of the upper-level tropopause fold with the bent-back warm front. Easy to see in cross-sections within a potential vorticity framework.
• 25 November 2019: I got a @ComfortablySmug quote RT but no follow. That's theft by deception.
• 25 November 2019: Fast moving winter storm to cross the Central Plains into the Midwest. Heaviest snow will be on the back-side of the low-pressure center but should dump on Minneapolis. Tuesday into Wednesday simulated radar from HRRR v4 (@bamwxcom)
• 25 November 2019: Do you think students should be put in charge of the Yale & Harvard endowments of $70 Billion?
• 25 November 2019: What sort of duty does a scientist have to correct misinformation on Twitter e.g. RT or sharing an obviously false or "fake news" story? I'd say it depends. Do you expect truth and accuracy from this scientist? Or virtue signalling and activism?
• 25 November 2019: Snow forecast in Denver metro has been increased to 13-18" from developing storm system. ❄️
• 25 November 2019: Up to 4-feet of snow coming to the Sierra in California along with record low temperatures by end of week. The snowpack will get a very healthy start to the winter season.
• 25 November 2019: Only 4-months ago, koalas were being targeted for population culling b/c of over-abundance. Now according to media reports, they are extinct due to climate change.
• 25 November 2019: Heartbreaking story about the Australia brush fires. ABC News reports that koalas are on the "brink of extinction". Yet is this true? Are koalas "functionally extinct"? Doesn't appear so, thankfully.
• 25 November 2019: Powerful "bomb cyclone" takes aim at Oregon coast. Landfall late Tuesday into Wednesday. Very gusty winds exceeding hurricane force with heavy coastal rain + mountain snow. Not unprecedented but rare at this deep pressure (< 970 mb) & intensification rate. ECMWF 06Z:
• 24 November 2019: Cowboys having some ball security problems in the heavy rain in Foxboro. #Patriots 2nd Quarter begins with a turnover INT
• 24 November 2019: Type in Google News "functionally extinct" ... bunch of stuff pops up. Or type into the Twitter search bar. This ain't hard.
• 24 November 2019: Number one spreader of the Fake News is Dan Rather. Go figure "fake but accurate" or frequent "Reliable Source"
• 24 November 2019: More and more scientists are publishing on forums like Huff Post & Forbes and doing a shit job. Some get paid for it -- churning out a quota of articles. Just b/c a scientist wrote something does not mean it's true.
• 24 November 2019: Did you spread the "koalas are functionally extinct" article from Forbes? Almost 1.7 Million Views. Yeah, it's fake news.
• 24 November 2019: NWS going with 10-12" of snow in Denver from upcoming snow storm off of 0.8" QPF.
• 24 November 2019: Extreme bomb-cyclone development. 30 mb pressure drop in 9-hours. 👀
• 24 November 2019: Total snowfall during the next 3-4 days is quite significant across the Lower 48 heading into Thanksgiving. Happy skiers across the Western U.S. and Rockies.
• 24 November 2019: Winter storm Tuesday-Wednesday for Central Plains into Midwest & Great Lakes with snow from Denver to Minneapolis. 4 to 8 inches ❄️ (ECMWF from )
• 24 November 2019: Historically powerful non-tropical storm Tuesday for the Oregon & Northern California coast. Model forecast pressure of 968 mb w/100-knots wind gusts equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane.
• 24 November 2019: Last 50-years of tropical storms and hurricanes on Earth. 4341 named storms 2356 became hurricane strength (74 mph+) = 54%
• 24 November 2019: Or 2 picks by 1:37 PM Jameis with 20 picks this year. 100 turnovers in career.
• 24 November 2019: Might need a boat this afternoon in Foxboro ... heavy rain and 40 mph wind gusts from powerful storm. Patriots are -5.5 over Cowboys. (4:25 pm kickoff)
• 24 November 2019: Was that a real prop bet out there? Jameis would throw a pick before 1:16 PM ET.
• 24 November 2019: In 1996, Bob Dole and Bill Clinton raised $35 million each for their Presidential campaigns and accepted federal matching funds. Bloomberg may blow that much in a day during his self-funded 2020 campaign.
• 24 November 2019: My maple trees lost all of their leaves yesterday. Went from bright red but complete foliage to nothing. #Atlanta 🍁
• 24 November 2019: Sam Waterson was arrested at the Yale Harvard football game turned climate protest. 42 total were arrested.
• 24 November 2019: "Busy Hurricane Season Does Less Damage, but Leaves Ominous Signs" Article posits climate change means "some storms" slow down and drop torrential rains. It's a "harbinger of things to come"
• 24 November 2019: Holy cow Arizona State. Just when it looked like the wheels came off!
• 24 November 2019: And walking into Publix just now Fleetwood Mac Little Lies is on the store speaker.
• 24 November 2019: How about Ann Wilson of Heart? Best voice in Rock and Roll?
• 24 November 2019: There's a Live performance by Stevie Nicks with a symphony orchestra from Chicago. Her voice is timeless but the strings bring out the magic. Stream and thank me.
• 24 November 2019: Of course, I'm non-partisan because it says so in my profile. Countless followers can attest to that. Also, I follow politics very closely so as to not be captured by the narrative. I should list the folks that inspire me.
• 24 November 2019: The vast majority of my Twitter traffic comes from non-weather related stuff. I rarely go over 10 Tweets a day b/c of my eye for detail and high standards. That being said, I should probably spend more time on this site.
• 24 November 2019: I do declare that Stevie Nicks music has held up spectacularly over the decades. Stand Back Seven Wonders Gold Dust Woman Edge of Seventeen
• 23 November 2019: Tough season for Jimbo at Texas A&M, but gets a chance at another Nunber 1 next week LSU. Last year was a 74-72 win in 7 Overtimes.
• 23 November 2019: When I was at Michigan 20 years ago, the Big House didn't have lights. Portable lighting was brought in until the huge stadium renovation updated things from the 19th to 21st Century. Yale Bowl looks like a dump.
• 23 November 2019: The hour delay from the climate protest has affected the outcome of this game.
• 23 November 2019: Almost dark in New Haven ... minute past sunset. No lights at the Yale Bowl. Game continues in Overtime with Yale kicking PAT to tie at 43
• 23 November 2019: So why don't Harvard and Yale divest their $70 Billion+ endowments from fossil fuel related investments? I'll hang up and listen.
• 23 November 2019: Police are cuffing and arresting the climate protesters at Harvard Yale football game.
• 23 November 2019: Ohio State has ball security problems. #PSUvsOSU
• 23 November 2019: Penn State is going to need to put some points on the board in the 2nd half or they have no chance. #PSUvsOSU
• 22 November 2019: And I'm watching the timing of the rainfall into #Atlanta tomorrow (Saturday). HRRR v4 (@bamwxcom)
• 22 November 2019: The new HRRR v4 has significantly different precipitation-type than the current operational model. Watching central Missouri for the mix of slop ... see if it verifies. (HRRR v4 @bamwxcom)
• 22 November 2019: Atmospheric river to impact California next week. Significant coastal rains and mountain snows will welcome in the winter storm season. ECMWF 00z moisture ()
• 22 November 2019: The current GEFS ensemble system is based off the old pre-FV3 upgrade GFS model. Apples and oranges. Unfortunately, it will be at least a year before the GFS actually has ensembles like ECMWF+EPS.
• 22 November 2019: GEFS, right? FV3-GFS is an entirely different model so it's important to differentiate.
• 22 November 2019: They really don't like when Trump spikes the football.
• 22 November 2019: I meant soon-to-be Hurricane Sebastien but uncertain the storm reaches H strength. Regardless, the trip will not be pleasant over the next 2-weeks. The climate conference in Madrid begins December 2.
• 22 November 2019: Climate activist @GretaThunberg is crossing the Atlantic in a smallish yacht. It is treacherous -- soon to be Tropical Storm Sebastien will pass just ahead -- but other powerful ocean storms will parade through. Tremendous waves & swell next 10-days.
• 22 November 2019: Data is available offline, so not very helpful.
• 22 November 2019: Example of 1-km ACCESS-Sydney from Australia's version of MetOffice Unified Model.
• 22 November 2019: I remember looking for this data a while back -- no dice.
• 22 November 2019: Global weather models have grid points every 9 to 13 kilometers. Meteorologists (like me) use regional models with finer scale. HRRR is 3-kilometers.
• 22 November 2019: Snowfall is on the way to the Western US and Rockies over the next week or so. I've added Blend of Models total snowfall to just in time for winter.
• 22 November 2019: Thin gruel --> "mistakes were made"
• 21 November 2019: Slippery slopes ...
• 21 November 2019: Comparing side-by-side the maximum temperatures for HRRR v3 + v4 here in the Southeast. Operational is warmer. 65°F at Atlanta (airport) vs. 63°F for upgrade candidate. Observations already 64°F
• 21 November 2019: This thread should give you an idea:
• 21 November 2019: Past 2-days of climate Twitter has been focused on disingenuous attempts to cancel Mayor Pete's climate adviser David Victor as a "fossil fuel shill".
• 21 November 2019: Skill comparison between NOAA GFS & ECMWF last 14-years. 1. Both models continue to improve 2. ECMWF has made considerable gains in summer-time skill 3. ECMWF minus GFS shows consistent & widening gap over the past several years.
• 21 November 2019: "Trump’s pick for NOAA job withdraws, citing health reasons." After Accuweather's federal sexual harassment settlement while Myers was CEO, there was zero chance anyone w/that level of baggage would even get a floor vote.
• 21 November 2019: A lot of tension on that stage. Instead of freewheeling debate, the exchanges are all about avoiding a viral gaffe moment. Trump's primary debates were a complete circus, unpredictable & entertaining. Hard to compete with that level of stage presence.
• 21 November 2019: The @AOC affiliated climate activist group wants Joe Biden to SHUT UP! #DemocraticDebate
• 21 November 2019: Almost half over and the moderators have not asked about the existential crisis of climate change. #DemocraticDebate
• 20 November 2019: Your Tweets are used in their articles without links e.g. screenshots. That seems weird.
• 20 November 2019: Unsettled weather across the Southwest including southern California. Los Angeles getting heavy rain today. Showers moved through Phoenix as well. The upper-level storm system includes moisture from remnants of a former tropical storm in the Pacific. Simulated radar today:
• 20 November 2019: Hearing later today on weather prediction efforts in the U.S. "Reclaiming U.S. Leadership in Weather Modeling and Prediction"
• 20 November 2019: Fascinating history of Intermountain Power Plant in Delta, Utah opened in 1987. L.A. owned rights to up to 50% of power output. For 40-years it has provided high paying jobs, tax receipts and transformed the economy of the area.
• 20 November 2019: Mayor Garcetti of L.A. decided unilaterally to shut down 3 coastal gas plants to more quickly meet California's climate goals. The Utah gas plant construction (next to the coal plant) will simply outsource the electricity production.
• 20 November 2019: Los Angeles is planning on replacing this giant coal plant in Utah with an even more gigantic natural gas plant to fulfill the city's electricity needs. Climate activists are upset but the project is full steam ahead in January. Almost $1 Billion.
• 20 November 2019: Did you know that Los Angeles gets the majority of its electricity from a giant coal fired power plant 600 miles away in Utah?
• 20 November 2019: 80°F so far in Las Vegas ... record high for the date. (prev 78°F from 1976)
• 19 November 2019: Yes, plenty of European based GFS maps.
• 19 November 2019: Still unseasonably warm in Ukraine for mid-November. Highs well into the 50s west to the 30s near Kiev along the Dnieper. Certainly could be a lot colder.
• 19 November 2019: Glad to see it done before winter.
• 19 November 2019: Looking ahead to next week's weather for Thanksgiving travel. Two areas of concern: Pacific Northwest (Seattle) and the Central U.S. A powerful blizzard is showing up in the longer-range guidance from ECMWF e.g. Tues-Wed. Just watchin' right now.
• 19 November 2019: Then who was this?
• 18 November 2019: Upcoming 46-day forecast data from ECMWF takes the model into 2020 with a complete December monthly forecast.
• 18 November 2019: And Ford uses Mustang instead of "Model E" for their new electric SUV? Weird branding decisions.
• 18 November 2019: Global temperatures on weather time scales can change dramatically. According to my daily temperature EKG, global anomaly went from a high of +0.9°C to +0.1°C in 2-weeks & has bounced back. Weather patterns like extreme cold outbreaks over North America affect global values!
• 18 November 2019: Curious that IBM focuses on India for new GRAF weather model. India's met agency runs newest version of the Met Office Unified Model globally + very high resolution nests over India. Same for Australia. United States already has HRRR (3-km) Europe is covered in hi-res models.
• 18 November 2019: Any good media coverage of the meteorology behind the near-record Venice floods out there? Are Sirocco winds increasing or becoming more frequent?
• 18 November 2019: I read somewhere that Luzon could use the rainfall. However, an intensifying Typhoon might not be so great.
• 17 November 2019: BBC: May 2014 Devon Archer, a former senior advisor to current Secretary of State John Kerry's 2004 presidential campaign and a college roommate of Mr Kerry's stepson HJ Heinz, signed on in April.
• 16 November 2019: There is plenty of easy money in being a slum lord. Now scale it up to an entire neighborhood or city.
• 16 November 2019: The two are intimately connected. At EC, they operate continuous ensemble DA gobbling in observations from all platforms. The HRES short term forecast is used as a first guess & analysis increment to move the process forward. More spatial res = better model w/new obs feeding in
• 16 November 2019: Soon ... meaning 2025 to 2030? The European Center will go to 5 km with HRES in a few years and will make even more realistic tropical cyclones. However, initialization of TCs within the current ensemble DA framework will still be poor. Isn't that where HWRF excels?
• 15 November 2019: Dow 28k November 15, 2019 How long until 30k? Impeachment Rally.
• 15 November 2019: 2 weeks into November and the center of the Lower 48 experienced some incredibly cold weather. Florida and the West noticeably much above normal.
• 15 November 2019: @curryja I remember a post you did on Cli-Fi
• 15 November 2019: Helmet is a melee weapon.
• 15 November 2019: We shouldn't overact here but the NFL should consider cancelling the Browns franchise and demolish the stadium.
• 15 November 2019: Browns should forfeit the game and implode their stadium. Disgraceful.
• 15 November 2019: New South Wales inundated with arson tips to investigate. The firebugs are impersonating firefighters. But it seems the majority of human caused fires are ignorant negligence -- BBQ or lighting outdoor open flames.
• 15 November 2019: Australia apparently has a problem with arson including kids starting new fires during fires and pyro-sexual deviants. People are sick.
• 14 November 2019: Now, if MOSE is finished in 2022, it will already be obsolete because -- you guessed it -- climate change. Venice is sinking and seems utterly incapable of solving the problem b/c of endemic corruption. You hate to see it.
• 14 November 2019: Why? Italian construction programs = corruption, cost overruns and prolonged delays. The system, if operational, would have protected the city. When you hear a politician blame climate change for a problem, it's almost certainly a man made screw up.
• 14 November 2019: I knew something was off when Venice's mayor immediately blamed climate change for his city's flooding. After the 1966 flooding, an infrastructure project called Moses was planned to hold back the seas. 53 years later it still hasn't been finished.
• 14 November 2019: History repeats itself. Conflicts of interest abound!
• 14 November 2019: Meanwhile in the Senate, Cocaine Mitch is "leaving no vacancy behind" filling up court appointments.
• 14 November 2019: The Great Blue Norther of November 11, 1911 Now that's a fantastic name for the extreme cold more than a century ago -- which the recent Arctic blast just topped!
• 14 November 2019: For a M.S. or PhD level meteorologist with coding experience, compiling and installing WRF or MPAS is trivial. It's probably easier for some of us to follow directions building a weather model than baking a cake in the kitchen. You don't really have to know what you're doing.
• 14 November 2019: Things have really changed these days with Weather Modeling. An advanced numerical weather prediction graduate-level class -- with access to dedicated supercomputer resources -- could probably whip up a competitive global weather model.
• 14 November 2019: Most professional journalists do an admirable job covering the science of climate change. It's a tough beat especially if you're not a scientist. But, holy cow, there is a lot of bullshit out there. Utter complete anti-scientific bullshit that boggles your mind.
• 14 November 2019: I have questions.
• 14 November 2019: Weather model data costs (if you want buy it in raw format): UK Met Office: $200K per year ECMWF: $200K per year NOAA GFS: Free dollars. Where will IBM GRAF fit in? Well, the perspective clients for the data are businesses. Big ones w/multi-million $ contracts.
• 14 November 2019: Also, articles blaming the recent Arctic cold blast on dwindling sea ice in the Arctic e.g. an area of missing ice near Alaska. Because it is warm there -- the cold air is allowed to escape south as the jet stream buckles -- like opening a refrigerator door.
• 14 November 2019: Relevant example today: Climate change will magnify weather "blocking events" This study's release & press is timely -- it is being used as "evidence" that the current Arctic blast is being caused by "climate change" b/c of "wavy jet streams"
• 14 November 2019: Climate change has done ... Climate change is doing ... Climate change is predicted to do ... Note to media & colleagues, these statements are not always interchangeable. Verb tenses matter.
• 14 November 2019: I honestly don't know if today's version of FV3-GFS would have gotten Hurricane Sandy right.
• 14 November 2019: In a head to head matchup, the ECMWF always wins over the long haul. But, each model has its strengths and weaknesses in different places and weather scenarios. Goal is to merge the best parts of each system and remove the errors ahead of time.
• 14 November 2019: The National Blend of Models will eventually do most of the dirty work at National Weather Service offices in creating their forecast grids e.g. what you see when you type in your zip code at
• 14 November 2019: Mult-model or "superensemble" techniques are useful b/c you can optimally combine different models for a more skillful forecast. The NOAA NWS "blend of models" for the United States will be upgraded in December and includes ECMWF, UKMET, GFS, et. al.
• 14 November 2019: What are you supposed to do with all of these separate models and boatloads of data? 3 options: 1. Throw darts & go with your gut on the best solution. 2. Use one system preferably with well calibrated ensembles e.g. ECMWF EPS 3. Multi-model ensemble blend.
• 14 November 2019: Wait, the U.S. Air Force simply adopted the U.K. Met Office model like it was some off-the-shelf software option? Yes. It's called GALWEM.
• 14 November 2019: Did u know India has one of the best, most advanced global & regional weather modeling systems? India partnered w/UK Met Office to license their model, installed it on a supercomputer. Australia, South Korea, & U.S. Air Force did the same.
• 14 November 2019: Weather models are a dime a dozen these days. Many private companies run their own systems tricked out for a given purpose: marine, aviation, sports, etc. At least 25 world countries have sophisticated weather modeling capabilities in addition to European consortium ECMWF.
• 14 November 2019: That decision led to the current FV3-GFS system which has shown marginal improvement at best. Many in the meteorology community including Gov't researchers saw MPAS as the much better long-term solution. IBM was a willing partner to continue investing in its development.
• 14 November 2019: As part of the Sandy relief bill, money was provided to NOAA to build a next-generation global weather model. Two new models were put up as replacements: MPAS & FV3 After testing, NOAA picked FV3.
• 14 November 2019: IBM's global weather model has an interesting backstory that can be traced to the failure of the NOAA global model (GFS) to accurately forecast Hurricane Sandy in October 2012.
• 14 November 2019: New England to be clipped by upper-level PV anomaly. Little white fuzzball on the tropopause swinging thru Maine by Saturday. These features are manifestations of the polar vortex & mean business (accompanied by very cold air).
• 14 November 2019: Powerful storm develops along the U.S. East Coast this weekend. It will join a monster "hurricane-force" extratropical storm south of Greenland. Not good boating weather. [GIF: wind gusts GFS 18z @weathermodels_)
• 13 November 2019: 11-days ago. This Arctic blast & extreme cold was highly predictable. Even GFS figured it out.
• 13 November 2019: What was the situation 50 years ago?
• 13 November 2019: Snowfall over the past 7-days has been notable for early November. I'd surmise that the remaining snow cover helped to crater minimum temperatures to century record lows. (The Lake Effect snowfall shows up well in the 2.5 km analysis from )
• 13 November 2019: Actually was quite warm in Ukraine today. 50s and 60s
• 13 November 2019: Meteorologists use Northern Polar Stereographic every day.
• 13 November 2019: 4°F below average to start November across the Lower 48. The West and Florida were not participating in the early winter arrival.
• 13 November 2019: I'm blaming the snow cover for the excessively cold record lows especially in the Midwest and Ohio Valley over past 2 days. ❄
• 13 November 2019: NYC set another rare record low of 23°F this morning. That's 3 record lows in the past several days: Nov 8th, 12th and 13th. Only 12 out of 365 daily record low have been set in the 21st Century. 135/365 still stand from the 1800s (!)
• 13 November 2019: Widespread record lows this morning across the Eastern US -- in many cases 2-for-1 specials as Tuesday's record low occurred just before midnight. This is a "century" level Arctic blast
• 13 November 2019: Peoria, Illinois did some damage to the record book. 5°F was record low for the 12th set earlier on Tuesday. Sadly, needed that nickel for Wednesday, so that one from 1986 is safe.
• 13 November 2019: A quick scroll thru the year ... only the 10th record low set (out of 365 days) from the 21st Century in NYC Central Park. Many of the records are very dusty from the 19th Century
• 13 November 2019: New York City set a record low before Midnight. How about that? 25°F beat 1926 mark of 26°F by 1°F. 24°F is record for Wednesday (13th) so maybe another one. 🌡
• 13 November 2019: Looks like Memphis with records back to 1875 will also get 2 for 1 record lows 🌡 ... currently 21°F so set Tuesday's record low & going to 17°F by morning for Nov 13th record low. Also, earliest / coldest start to winter season.
• 13 November 2019: Midnight temperature in South Bend was 6°F ... record low 2 for 1 🌡 13°F before midnight in Detroit blew up record low of 16°F from 1983. Needs to fall below 12°F (it will easily) to destroy 1911 record low fir Wednesday the 13th.
• 13 November 2019: South Bend, Indiana is amazing. 9°F will blow up two Century + record lows and if this 1°F morning low forecast pans out, the coldest start to winter season by 11-days.
• 13 November 2019: Dayton, Ohio at 12°F is at Tuesday's record low & will set Wednesday's mark at 12:00 ... and go lower from there. 2 for 1 special!
• 13 November 2019: Any stations about to set two record lows at Midnight? I'm on the hunt.
• 13 November 2019: I've built into my code switches to the "backup" servers whenever NOMADS goes sideways, which seems to be frequent lately.
• 13 November 2019: Temperatures sinking across the Northeast may still set record lows for today (Tuesday) depending upon the location. 🌡️
• 13 November 2019: Australia on Wednesday is almost entirely clear of clouds except along the southern coasts. Fires continue to burn across New South Wales.
• 12 November 2019: Probably 99.9% dry -- except for the places it rained. Nov 12th.
• 12 November 2019: Uh huh.
• 12 November 2019: Still in the 30s around #Atlanta metro this afternoon with chilly NW winds gusting to 36 mph. Cold front has blasted through Tallahassee. But balmy 80s ahead of it in Jax & down the Florida peninsula.
• 12 November 2019: When I was at UMICH, they applied some syrupy mess to the sidewalks on campus. It was like molasses and smelled bad.
• 12 November 2019: KBRO doesn't see any snow in Brownsville, Texas.
• 12 November 2019: Across Michigan, some folks haven't put the snow plows on their trucks yet. ❄️ Lake Effect snow has piled up along Lake Superior & Lake Michigan, but the 6"-10" across SE Michigan along I-94 & I-96 from Lansing to Detroit is amazing. Snowfall analysis:
• 12 November 2019: Currently 1°F in Cedar Rapids, Iowa after a record low of -6°F blowing up previous mark of +5°F in 1986. Also, coldest earliest start to winter season. 🌡️ Previous Arctic blasts showing up in the records today around the country are from 1911 and 1986.
• 12 November 2019: If you like the weather model maps that I post every day -- and the pretty colors -- then the service is having a 15% off sale. Good time to saddle up for winter. This puts Personal subscription at bargain $9/month. You can now freely post anything to social media.
• 12 November 2019: Temperatures along the Mississippi River today will be 30°-35°F below normal --> record cold. 🌡️ Highs more than 25°F below normal stretch from Texas to Lake Superior. California is warm & dry.
• 12 November 2019: Cold front has swept through New Orleans and Atlanta. Temperatures in the 30s to the Gulf Coast. 🌡️ Meanwhile -- quite warm in Florida with temps forecast today in the 80s from Interstate 4 southward.
• 12 November 2019: Currently snowing at sea level at 26°N latitude in Brownsville, Texas ❄
• 12 November 2019: I've customized palettes that you can find here: I use GrADS
• 12 November 2019: Only 7°F this morning in Amarillo, Texas matching the 7°F in Chicago. Cold rewriting many records from 1911. Century long cold records are incredibly hard to beat ... and they are being shattered.
• 12 November 2019: Of course, this Arctic blast is related to the dreaded Polar Vortex. Its appendage over the Great Lakes this morning is quite rare for mid-November. Thankfully its not mid-January (yet) or it would be much colder.
• 12 November 2019: High of 19°F forecast for Tuesday would shatter record of 28°F for coolest daytime high. Also, by far the coldest day overall to start the winter season in Chicago.
• 12 November 2019: Record low broken in Chicago for second day in a row. 7°F 🌡 records back to 1872 Also, coldest start to winter season on record (earliest 7° by a day) ❄
• 12 November 2019: And it's 8°F in Chicago for another record low (tie) 🌡
• 12 November 2019: You'd have to ask the dinosaurs.
• 12 November 2019: If the meteor over St Louis doesn't contain a trillion $ worth of gold and platinum, then it's just space junk.
• 12 November 2019: Beach weather in Florida with 80s from Interstate 4 southward ... Tampa, Orlando to Miami. 🏖
• 12 November 2019: 30°F as high Tuesday in Nashville might occur in ~30 minutes at midnight ... destroying record for coldest high temp. (Also, earliest coldest high in winter season.)
• 12 November 2019: Chicago forecast high of 21°F will blow up previous record low maximum of 28°F (most recently 1995). + Coldest daytime high to start winter season by one day. 21°F (Nov 13, 1986). Records since 1872.
• 12 November 2019: Chicago just hit a record low for Monday (Nov 11th) beating 15°F back in 1950. Tuesday's Record low of 8°F from 1986 looks safe. Boo!
• 12 November 2019: This Arctic blast will pick up moisture off the Great Lakes and dump it on land as snow. Not much, but it's in the right direction to counteract historically high lake levels.
• 12 November 2019: Day time Highs on Tuesday will be winter like cold ... some of the records won't be set b/c high will come at Midnight & temps fall thru day.
• 12 November 2019: Record lows possible from Brownsville, Texas to Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan. 100+ year old records (e.g. 1911) to be challenged Below zero actual lows in Iowa & Minnesota, Dakotas.
• 12 November 2019: Lake effect snow machine is cranking across Michigan as Arctic air blasts across Great Lakes. Favored snow belts could see 12-18" of fluffy snow piled up by Thursday.
• 11 November 2019: Temperatures are dropping 🌡️ during the past 24-hours. The front has made it to the Rio Grande. Single digit temperatures in the Midwest this afternoon. Still nice and warm in the Southeast 60s and 70s ☀️
• 11 November 2019: Any forecast can be used to check again the historical data. The upcoming Arctic blast is notable b/c it is very hard to break century long records due to the accelerating global climate heating.
• 11 November 2019: You might be seeing the articles about forecasting record low temperatures. Long ago in grad school, I started making these maps that used the long-term (century long) records database to put extreme cold into context.
• 11 November 2019: Rainfall hole over Australia during the next 10-days with most of the continent entirely dry. (ECMWF 00z @weathermodels_)
• 11 November 2019: The upper-level feature bringing the cold air to the Midwest today will head up to coast of Greenland over next several days -- orbiting the main "polar vortex" anchored over the Hudson Bay area of Canada. The following cold feature from North Pole looks to miss the Lower 48.
• 11 November 2019: Winter in Chicago. 🌡️ Temperatures in the low-20s with blowing snow ❄️. Wind chill of 8°F at O'Hare. Actual temperatures drop to 10°F by Tuesday morning. Not quite a record low (8°F from 1986)
• 11 November 2019: Before global warming, Qatar had the climate of Norway, right? The sand and desert is relatively new, last 50 years.
• 11 November 2019: Cooper on his toes ... TD #Cowboys
• 11 November 2019: Star Trek themed Minnesota Viking QB comparison on NBC Sunday Night football.
• 10 November 2019: How often has a 1-7 team beaten a 7-1 team? #ATLvsNO The Saints were almost a 2 TD favorite at home!
• 10 November 2019: Rainfall across California thru November 20th: Next day days continued dry.
• 10 November 2019: Something to watch for next weekend: ECMWF model update has a powerful coastal storm off the Southeast US. Hybrid winter + tropical.
• 10 November 2019: 1-hourly ECMWF (06z) animation of near-surface temperature anomaly (deviation from 1999-2018 normal) for next 90-hours. The coldest compared to normal is the purple colors on the map. (06z 1-hourly anomaly from @weathermodels_)
• 10 November 2019: Same logic for why the Arctic experiences "warm episodes" or so-called "heat waves" especially in Alaska. The warm air comes from elsewhere because weak sun angle does not allow for (much) local heat generation. Warmth comes from the south & typically marine origin (oceans).
• 10 November 2019: Arctic cold air pools do not form over the North Pole or the Arctic Ocean but over adjacent landmasses. Snow cover, high pressure = radiational cooling that generates extreme cold air masses. NW Canada is typically the corner of North America w/cold air generation!
• 10 November 2019: Record low temperatures Wednesday morning from South Texas to New England. Which locations or cities? Almost all of them. 24°F in NYC would tie record low. NYC recently tied a rare record low Friday morning (29°F with 1886)
• 10 November 2019: Up to 72-hours below freezing straight in Chicago with morning lows Tues+Wed of only 11°F. That's not quite record low temperatures -- but close. Only single digits or even below zero in the Midwest Tuesday morning.
• 10 November 2019: Daytime high temperatures on Monday will be well-below freezing across the Midwest: Minneapolis: 19°F Milwaukee: 27°F Chicago: 27°F Normal highs are typically in the 40s and lower-50s for November 11th.
• 10 November 2019: Here comes the "Arctic blast" Over the next 4-days, abnormally cold air (record cold) will descend upon the Lower 48 thru Texas to the Gulf Coast. The "coldest" actual temperatures will be over the Great Lakes leading to heavy "Lake Effect" snow. ()
• 10 November 2019: Jane Fonda did spend 20-hours in jail and apparently found the experience miserable. Had she been arrested again this last Friday, she could have spent 90-days in the clink. However, that would conflict with upcoming show "Grace & Frankie" in January
• 10 November 2019: Hollywood Reporter: Do you feel Obama dropped the ball on environmental issues? Jane Fonda: "Yes. I think he did great and I miss him and Michelle, but I don't think he got the seriousness of climate"
• 10 November 2019: "Obviously I'm trying to recycle, although that's hard to do in Beverly Hills." -- Jane Fonda.
• 10 November 2019: This game took all 60-minutes and LSU needed to outscore Alabama to win! Great game.
• 9 November 2019: Jordan Travis finally gets on the field at the end of the 10th game of season for FSU. Starts lighting up the scoreboard immediately. #GoNoles
• 9 November 2019: Deion was "interested" 2-years ago when Jimbo Fisher departed. Depending upon the NCAA "rules change" for players to make money off their name/likeness, recruits might want to consider FSU with "CEO" Deion Sanders as a smart idea financially.
• 9 November 2019: There's also a condensed user interface in the Lab:
• 8 November 2019: He is about to be on @HowieCarrShow so maybe he can ask him.
• 8 November 2019: Do you agree with this? Global warming destabilizes the jet stream causing Arctic air to plunge to lower latitudes.
• 8 November 2019: Pretty colors! 🤗
• 8 November 2019: Currently on Connector 75/85 heading into Midtown. Southbound is closed for President Trump. #Atlanta
• 8 November 2019: Coldest from this Arctic blast will be Wednesday -- with record lows from Texas to New England. 🌡️ Amazing 232 million below freezing across Lower 48 ... 80% of real estate. Warned you it was coming like a week ago -- not like you could do anything about it. 😬
• 8 November 2019: Continental scale cold coming early next week. Records from South Texas to Maine will be broken. It's mid-November, so the background state isn't so cold -- not like mid-January, so this cold should be tolerable. (25°F below normal on Nov 12th)
• 8 November 2019: The Euro cross-sections are working normally.
• 8 November 2019: Up to $55 Million now that Tom Steyer has lit on fire for his failing campaign.
• 8 November 2019: I was a dual-major at Michigan & needed a way to combine history and atmospheric science in order to satisfy my program requirements. In my "history of witchcraft" class, my term project was the effects of weather/climate on superstition & witch hunts. 🧙‍♀️
• 7 November 2019: The NOAA FV3-GFS weather model received an upgrade this morning with the 12z cycle. Version 15.2.0 Anyone notice any changes?
• 7 November 2019: Arctic cold air is also very dry. 🌡️ Dew points in the single digits to teens = 30°-40°F below normal. Yikes!
• 7 November 2019: Hard freeze to the Florida Gulf coast around Pensacola? Only 21°F 🌡️ in #Atlanta Wednesday morning from this model. 20s across the Southeast is quite cold for mid-November. Brutal Arctic cold front on the way! 😬
• 7 November 2019: Arctic blast is courtesy of strong Canadian high pressure (1048 mb). By Monday, the brutal cold front reaches Texas with a good portion of the central Lower 48 experiencing freezing, record cold temperatures. ECMWF 12z update ()
• 7 November 2019: Checking on the 10-day weather forecast models for rainfall (or snow) in California. Nope. None likely through November 17th.
• 7 November 2019: My favorite color on a weather map! This Arctic blast is the real deal. You've got a few days to prepare for the record cold arriving early next week.
• 7 November 2019: First week of November has been quite snowy around the Great Lakes. A lot more is on the way as Arctic blast cold air crosses the warm lake water. Map of observed seasonal snowfall already > 10" across Wisconsin and Northern Michigan:
• 7 November 2019: It's been 15-years since head basketball Coach Leonard Hamilton had a losing season at Florida State. FSU was 29-8 last year = class act. The football program just spent $18M to disappear their coach.
• 7 November 2019: When this Arctic cold front blasts through, opportunity for snow flakes here in #Atlanta early next week if enough moisture is available. Could be heavy snow in higher elevations of TN/NC. Tuesday midday map: (ECMWF 12z)
• 6 November 2019: Record cold by next Monday. Daytime high temperatures only in the teens & 20s in the Midwest.🌡 These highs are 25° to 30°F below normal for Nov 11th.
• 6 November 2019: Comparable ECMWF map for +150 hours (or +6 Days) Widespread 25-30°F below normal temperatures from Texas to the Great Lakes and Northeast. ECMWF ensembles arriving now @weathermodels_
• 6 November 2019: Looks like the GFS was the consistent model for the extreme cold blast coming early next week. Temperatures 20F - 40F below normal -- east of the Rockies by Mon-Tues of next week. Make sure your fireplace is ready to go!
• 6 November 2019: Right now, there is an ongoing major data problem w/NCEP for the past 24-hours. Everything from them is a mess today.
• 6 November 2019: For weather model users of NOAA/NCEP products, their data servers have been on the fritz since yesterday afternoon. The data retrieval is spotty.
• 6 November 2019: MODIS capture of Halong near max intensity. Me thinks 165-knots (T 7.9)
• 5 November 2019: 18Z ATCF shows 155 knots. Curious to see what JTWC comes up with for 21Z
• 5 November 2019: Since when did Wendy's change its BBQ sauce? Yuck.
• 5 November 2019: NOAA SSD analyzed Halong at T 7.5 (155-knots) at 1430Z JTWC seems behind the curve with T 7.0 (140-knots)
• 5 November 2019: Super Typhoon Halong remains at maximum intensity (155-170 knots) with satellite algorithms maxing out at T 7.9 Halong is one of the strongest storms we've observed via satellite in the past 40-years. The storm is in the open Western Pacific & will not directly affect land.
• 5 November 2019: ERA5 has released their October 2019 data. Also, record warm month of October. (The anomaly depiction between the two "reanalysis" datasets is very similar but the global numerical values have some differences. I'll discuss that later.)
• 5 November 2019: Super Typhoon Halong has continued to intensify over past few hours. Satellite intensity algorithms nearing T 8.0 or 170-knots at the apex of the cyclone scale. While the true wind speeds are not measured directly, Halong is probably the strongest storm on Earth this year.
• 5 November 2019: Super Typhoon Halong over open waters of Western Pacific looks very impressive on satellite. Storm likely peaked at 150-knots a few hours ago (Category 5 ) but the official intensity from JTWC is at 130 knots. No direct impacts to land.
• 5 November 2019: Maybe some relief in 2-3 weeks. The next 30-day temperature average is decidedly warm over the West with the ridge pattern. New EPS weekly:
• 5 November 2019: Zero rainfall for California for the next 10-days. Also, zero rainfall for Nevada and Utah.
• 4 November 2019: Using the degree-day method: (TMAX+TMIN)/2.0 Temperature anomalies for the next 15-days from ECMWF EPS 12z look downright chilly. I suspect the script will flip for the back-half of November, but -10°F anomaly over Great Lakes in the ensemble mean is impressive cold.
• 4 November 2019: I see a pattern here -- and it's a cold one. Next 10-days of well below normal temperatures from ECMWF 12z model. Note: correct anomalies must be from the M-climate and not mismatched w/CFSR. ERA5 is pretty close. (GIF: )
• 4 November 2019: Are you ready for Arctic blasts? * Heavy Great Lakes effect snow * Temperatures well below normal thru next 7-10 days * It will feel like winter. (GFS 12z 3-9 day forecast model )
• 4 November 2019: Remember horrifying scene from Our Planet of walruses jumping off a cliff? Scientists suggested it was b/c polar bears & not explanation given by David Attenborough of "climate change". New season uses same footage -- and it's polar bears!
• 4 November 2019: Used to be Drudge, not anymore. RealClearPolitics is better at curating political news and views. Now, I scroll thru a list of trusted & interesting Twitter journalists and pundits.
• 4 November 2019: Crappy TV weather is showing the GFS and ECMWF as "two scenarios" but not explaining which forecast model is closest to correct. Viewers shouldn't have to guess from the raw model data.
• 4 November 2019: The expensive Euro (ECMWF) data has been loosened up ... the social media restrictions have been lifted. Television meteorologists will likely share the Euro more on social media & the public will see plenty of battles of the GFS vs. Euro model war. Is this good?
• 3 November 2019: I've been making maps for customers for over 15 years starting from FSU during hurricane season of 2005. I've made billions of maps since & helped generate millions in revenue. My color schemes are now default for many outfits. What's the future hold?
• 3 November 2019: You could always find ECMWF full-suite maps for free on There is an extensive archive. So why pay $10/month for any weather map service? Convenience, pretty colors, metro zooms, pre-rendered images.
• 3 November 2019: Florida State will pay Willie Taggart about $18 Million to no longer coach the Seminoles after another losing season. Jimbo Fisher left for TAMU & $75 million 2 years ago. I'm betting they will blow out the boosters' budget to land a big name coach.
• 3 November 2019: 4-years ago in early November 2015, Trump and Ben Carson had about 50% of support of Rasmussen polls. The GOP wanted an "outsider". They got one. Democrats do not have any such love for outsiders.
• 3 November 2019: Is this a brilliant clap back? 👏 Governor Newsom continues to laser focus on the cause of California wildfires & preventive power outages: climate change. Bankrupt PG&E will use these statements to pin blame on nebulous climate change to escape liability for faulty equipment.
• 3 November 2019: FSU is way ahead financially in terms of coaches. Jimbo would have held the program hostage for $100M guaranteed by now.
• 3 November 2019: The first moment when they contemplated Trump's win on Fox News: Panel on Election Night around 10:22 PM ET when he picked up Ohio.
• 2 November 2019: Will be watching the GFS weather model closely over next couple days. An early season extreme cold-blast could devastate the central Lower 48 by next week (Monday 11th)
• 2 November 2019: Global temperatures are like the stock market with a lot of EKG heart palpitations. Last 7 years show the step up in mid-2015 which is now the "new normal"
• 2 November 2019: Exclusive (first) look at Global temperatures for October 2019 likely warmest on record for month, slightly exceeding (or tying) Oct 2015. Areas of open Arctic sea ice contribute highly positive anomalies to the global mean. (Data: JRA-55. Analysis: mine)
• 2 November 2019: Temperatures nicely in the 80s across South Florida heading into noon-hour. The cold front progressed to about Interstate 4 (Orlando/Tampa) but spared the snowbirds from donning their mothballed frocks.
• 2 November 2019: Woman cleared of vandalism charges after successfully arguing her property was under imminent threat from climate disaster. Ruling expected to be used as blanket immunity for future climate protestor vandalism.
• 2 November 2019: Then there's this about Kamala Harris AG office defending the use of low-level offender prisoners to fight wildfires as cheap labor instead of releasing them from custody due to overcrowding. Yikes!
• 2 November 2019: Brutal article on Dem 2020 candidates response to California fires: No visits, not even home state Senator Kamala Harris who is flailing in Iowa. Only some virtue signal Tweets blaming climate change. No leadership to be found.
• 2 November 2019: They're not going to win any defensive battles in the league. Once LeBron and Davis stopped chucking up 3s and went inside, things turned quick. Porzingis is garbage.
• 2 November 2019: SoCal Edison admits its equipment may have started ongoing "Maria fire" in Ventura County.
• 2 November 2019: Watch the green energy contracts. Bankruptcy judge already ruled in PG&E favor to tear them up. Vested interests will place these contracts ahead of wildfire victims.
• 2 November 2019: Yup. With this phony mediation of Newsom, climate change may be used as a way to ask wildfire victims to take much less than they are owed. The 21st Century "green energy" plans of California will be built come hell or high water.
• 1 November 2019: Question: can PG&E go back into bankruptcy court with Newsom's statement (+ previous Governor Brown) who explicitly blame climate change for the fires -- both representing the state of California -- and drastically reduce liability damages? This smells fishy.
• 1 November 2019: Governor Newsom still blaming climate change for PG&E problems. In court, PG&E tried and failed to limit wildfire liabilities by blaming climate change. Judge rejected claims & PG&E went bankrupt. I'm baffled about this.
• 1 November 2019: Commercial level subscribers are allowed to use ECMWF maps/charts e.g. consulting, reports, websites. Of course, we don't allow syndication or mirroring of content, but we're happy to see our maps/data providing value to businesses & their clients.
• 1 November 2019: Still in the upper-80s to lower-90s in South Florida!
• 1 November 2019: Um, yeah, not so much @NYGovCuomo Cuomo has a history of making false statements about the weather and climate of New York. Hopefully he can get better informed.
• 1 November 2019: Yes. It's wide-open now.
• 1 November 2019: What does this change? Previously, our license did not allow for "end-users" to share content on the open-internet e.g. social media. The "weather police" will no longer enforce previous restrictions. 🚔 The new policy is effective today, Nov 1, 2019.
• 1 November 2019: Update: ECMWF maps / charts from can be shared freely by subscribers on social media, websites, blogs, etc. (w/attribution & in moderation) Still $10/month for the best maps site in the business! I'll be happy to see my colorful maps everywhere again!
• 1 November 2019: Due to the cold weather here in #Atlanta yesterday, Halloween trick-or-treat turnout was down 75%.
• 1 November 2019: As of today, ECMWF has changed its rules-of-the-road for sharing weather maps on the Internet. Wide open! Our Weathermodels subscribers can now share whatever they want to Twitter, Facebook (w/attribution in moderation) Subscription still $10/month = now an even better deal!
• 1 November 2019: Global 3 km (convection resolving) or nests within more coarse model?
• 31 October 2019: After 3 years on defense, Trump's supporters are waiting for the big payoff. The Big Reveal. The Impeachment battle might start out with enthusiastic defenders but battle fatigue might set in quickly.
• 31 October 2019: Temps have fallen into the 40s across #Atlanta and will continue to freezing by morning. The cold weather might depress trick-or-treaters
• 31 October 2019: Frigid across much of U.S. with snowfall in the Great Lakes. Kids might flake out on trick-or-treating.
• 31 October 2019: "This is an example of the cost of not fixing climate change" says scientist. Climate change damages are mounting in California.
• 31 October 2019: Too early for Trick-or-Treat? Not even 4 PM
• 31 October 2019: Quite the Halloween storm-system. Severe weather and heavy snow all connected to a powerful low-pressure spinning into Canada. It's almost November so buckle up for a brutal winter!
• 31 October 2019: So, all of Kroger's candy is already 50% off.
• 31 October 2019: My baseline shift prediction: 0.15°C
• 31 October 2019: Why do this? A monthly-mean temperature is the average of daily temperatures. Same with year-mean temperatures. Changes on sub-monthly time scales are important for calculating monthly/yearly values. e.g. look at step up in Feb/March 2019. What caused that?
• 31 October 2019: Global temperatures (compared to climatology) have indeed spiked to end October 2019. [For > 10-years, I've been calculating daily temperature anomalies from reanalysis data -- and promoting the method. Way ahead of the curve.] More: []
• 31 October 2019: Freeze tonight in #Atlanta metro as temperatures behind the cold front fall into the lower 30s. Any moisture or puddles will dry up quickly this evening so icy roads not an issue. No snow flurries expected -- clear skies.
• 31 October 2019: What's your costume? @AB84
• 31 October 2019: Here comes the cold front 😬 Temperatures to drop by 20°-30°F across the Southeast today on
• 31 October 2019: Update: Gerrit Cole is unemployed.
• 31 October 2019: Astros saving Gerrit Cole for extra innings.
• 31 October 2019: Wednesday's High temperature of 18°F Denver ties monthly record low-maximum for October -- previous tied on Tuesday -- and set Oct 30, 2002.
• 31 October 2019: Interesting how Buck and Smoltz just glossed over that completely blown inside K on Correa. Greinke was jobbed in the 7th and then the wheels came off the Astros.
• 31 October 2019: Update: the Nats have scored some runs.
• 31 October 2019: Cold front blasts through #Atlanta by evening with temperatures falling into the 40s for Trick-or-Treaters. Rainfall should be over with ... Warm and humid in the 80s across Florida peninsula. Beach weather to end October.
• 31 October 2019: A snowy for the Great Lakes from Chicago, Milwaukee into Northern Michigan. Could be substantial accumulations during the day with windy, cold conditions.
• 31 October 2019: It's unlikely the Nats can win this #Game7 unless they put some runs on the board.
• 31 October 2019: The six-figures salary is widely reported. 16% raise would put the avg salary at 100K after 5-years.
• 31 October 2019: Updated my "reanalysis" dataset page here: () Including monthly temperature anomaly from 1958-present Month-to-date October 2019 anomaly = October 2015, with 3 days left to include in calculations -- for warmest October on record.
• 30 October 2019: Haven't read much about the Chicago teachers strike now in its tenth day of cancelled classes. Average salary of public school teacher in the district is $100K per year. Is that typical in other big cities or just unique to Chicago?
• 30 October 2019: My perennial reminder not to use a daily "weather map" to say anything about climate change. Of course it's cold across the western U.S. -- and it may be warm somewhere else. But, daily snapshots are not how climate scientists measure Earth's long term global warming.
• 30 October 2019: The presence of the UN climate conference would have likely exacerbated the "social unrest" -- but probably shouldn't discuss that. 🤐
• 30 October 2019: Record highs continue across Florida with many areas pushing upper-80s and 90°F including Orlando, Tampa and Miami.
• 30 October 2019: High temperatures today are 30° to 50°F below normal 🌡️across Colorado, Texas & central Plains. Since it's late-October, some all-time monthly cold records may fall tomorrow morning (Denver 👀)
• 30 October 2019: Of course, meteorologists are critical to forecast the extreme fire danger & help firefighters attack the blazes. But, Wall Street "distressed-asset" traders are watching the weather in California w/respect to fate of PG&E.
• 30 October 2019: WSJ wrote that PG&E was the first "climate change bankruptcy" & probably not the last. Due to the lengthy drought, hundreds of millions of trees died & needed to be thinned away from PG&E's transmission lines and poles. But the fires came first ...
• 30 October 2019: Earlier this year in court, the CEO of PG&E also blamed climate change for wildfire losses arguing that their liability ($ billions) should be mitigated -- as PG&E could not have foreseen the years long drought. The judge rejected that argument & PG&E went bankrupt.
• 30 October 2019: At a Congressional hearing, former Governor Jerry Brown blamed climate change & Republicans (and Trump) in Washington for California's ongoing wildfires and power outages. Note, Brown was recently Governor for 8-years and is eager to deflect any blame.
• 30 October 2019: Cold front has made it to the Mexican border with near-freezing temperatures this morning. Almost all of Texas is pretty chilly for late-October.
• 30 October 2019: Chile is no longer hosting the United Nations climate conference (COP25) (cancelled)
• 29 October 2019: Looks like significant snow for Trick-or-Treaters on in the Great Lakes with wind chills in the 20s.
• 29 October 2019: The woeful Atlanta Falcons have found the culprit for their 1-7 season: kicker Matt Bryant who missed two > 50-yard field goals. Maybe they meant to cut QB Matt Ryan and screwed up the transaction.
• 29 October 2019: Forecast low of -3°F in Denver on Halloween morning would set the all-time October record low for the location. Today's historical record still stands at -2°F from 1917 so this level of early-winter cold has happened before.
• 29 October 2019: Climate change aspects of these wildfire events are fairly easy to understand. And, low-humidity, extreme wind events aren't just going to blink out of existence. Eliminating ignition sources & reducing fuel load only near-term mitigation strategy.
• 29 October 2019: News outlets and journalists are failing to properly cover the California wildfires within the climate crisis context.
• 29 October 2019: ECMWF 12z develops Maha to also Category 4 ... with approach to Oman from Southeast.
• 29 October 2019: Reminder that the North Indian Ocean cyclone records are rife with obvious errors in data only 20 years ago. Best to not make any sweeping conclusions about long-term changes.
• 29 October 2019: I think the anthro signal in damages is perhaps next century @RogerPielkeJr but we should see signals in actual climate variables much sooner. Part of why the latter is true is that our measurement capabilities + advanced modeling will reduce the uncertainty, hopefully.
• 29 October 2019: The answer given in article is "no trend observed -- yet" I'd look to changes in frequency of extrene wind events but with "noisy natural variability" teasing out a signal might involve some data torture.
• 29 October 2019: Both Cyclones Fani and Kyarr in the NW Indian Ocean were classified as top-end Category 4 (135-knots) but satellite & analyst Dvorak T 7.0 suggests both were Category 5's Even hurricane records from 2 days ago are kind of a crapshoot.
• 29 October 2019: It's Mars on Earth.
• 29 October 2019: Whoa -- what the hell happened here? -35°F in Peter Sinks, Utah? The meteorology is fascinating behind this type of extreme cold air episode.
• 29 October 2019: Oh. Eventually they'll send alerts when the power is actually on during wildfire season. Scary times in the Golden State.
• 28 October 2019: Video: Climate change makes California's fires worse because of extreme changes to the jet stream. Leading climate scientists (Mann) all agree that rapid decarbonization of the economy is the only way to stop these "jet fueled" wildfires.
• 28 October 2019: Fighting this climate crisis is astronomically expensive. Californians must lead by emptying their wallets! "It will be extraordinarily expensive and politically fraught, but it’s essential to protect lives and control the chaos created by the growing fire threat."
• 28 October 2019: "How did things get so bad in California, so quickly? The answer is climate change." "it’s also woefully apparent that the state’s infrastructure cannot handle this new normal." Its going to get worse. "The wildfires are just the beginning of what Californians can expect."
• 28 October 2019: LA Times editorial board: Climate change has set California on fire. Are you paying attention? Yeah we are! Governor Brown and climate scientists previously blamed fires on climate change and warned us about the hellscape dystopia.
• 28 October 2019: Governor Brown has blamed climate change for most of California's problems. Some people have realized that might be simplistic. Nevertheless, Californians must spend more money & invest in climate solutions. There is huge public support for higher taxes & expenses.
• 28 October 2019: This interview with former California Governor Jerry Brown helps explain why the state is suffering from fires & blackouts: global climate change. Brown now has a UC Berkeley+China Think Tank looking into solutions for the climate crisis.
• 28 October 2019: Interesting kids book at Target.
• 28 October 2019: Global temperatures for October 2019 are highly anomalous (+0.57°C over 1981-2010) ... especially in the Arctic. While western North America is cold, the rest of the globe more than accounts for it.
• 28 October 2019: When I was in Monterey, I actually had cheap rent near downtown and my commute was 5 minutes. But much happier in the Southeast away from the sinking ship.
• 28 October 2019: Another (unmentioned) reason why @GavinNewsom floats the idea of a Warren Buffet takeover of PG&E: very profitable above-market "green energy" contracts that bankruptcy court already gave approval for PG&E to tear up. e.g. Topaz Solar Farms
• 28 October 2019: LA Times: To fight climate fueled fires, customers need to pay a LOT more. Rates going up soon by $9/month per household. = Skyrocketing electricity prices Let's face it: Preventing and fighting wildfires means utility customers will have to pay more
• 28 October 2019: Intense Cyclones are rare but there've been a few. Gonu in 2007 was particularly intense (145-knots Category 5). In the 1990s, very intense / deadly cyclones affected the other side of India in the Bay of Bengal. I don't have a good idea how these changes over the decades.
• 28 October 2019: Winter has arrived in Denver. ☃️ Temperatures by Halloween will eventually reach freezing -- after starting out at 0°F 16-24" of snowfall expected over the next 3-days. ❄️
• 27 October 2019: Ocean temperatures are plenty warm for any intensity Tropical Cyclone e.g. up to a Category 5 hurricane as we see with Kyarr. However, the waters are actually a bit below normal. Ocean temperatures are not the primary impetus for Arabian Sea cyclones.
• 27 October 2019: Cyclone Kyarr track is uncertain. ECMWF 12z model takes it to Djibouti after transiting the entire Gulf of Aden. Weird. The following storm would be named Maha. Quite the busy week ahead in the NW Indian Ocean for "hurricanes"
• 27 October 2019: Cyclone Kyarr in the Arabian Sea remains powerful -- almost Category 5. Another tropical cyclone will form in its wake -- and there'll be twin cyclones in the small basin in 3-5 days.
• 27 October 2019: Patriots and Browns game will start out very wet but by halftime, only scattered showers.
• 27 October 2019: Why is Trump killing religious scholars?
• 27 October 2019: Rain was forecast to stop in the 2nd Half. And it did.
• 27 October 2019: Should throw Georgia in there too!
• 27 October 2019: So many frauds exposed today. Wisconsin, Oklahoma and now Notre Dame. #GoBlue pouring it on in Ann Arbor
• 27 October 2019: Europe gained an hour tonight ... their Daylight Saving Time ended. United States will Fall Back next weekend.
• 27 October 2019: PG&E blackouts start in Northern California. Over 2 million people will lose power for days
• 27 October 2019: PG&E won’t reimburse customers affected by blackouts, rejecting appeal from Gavin Newsom
• 27 October 2019: Rain is pretty much done in Ann Arbor. Almost an entirely dry 2nd Half underway. 17-0 #GoBlue
• 27 October 2019: At a press conference on Thursday, @GavinNewsom remarked on the power blackouts: “It’s more than just climate change. It’s about the failure of capitalism to address climate change." What did he mean?
• 27 October 2019: Up to T 7.1 = 140-knots. Cyclone Kyarr satellite intensity is at Category 5. The next 03z JTWC advisory will be interesting.
• 27 October 2019: Now 30-minutes+ of heavy rain in Ann Arbor at the Big House. The second half should be much drier. Radar 8:30 PM ET #GoBlue 10-0
• 26 October 2019: At least an hour of moderate rain in Ann Arbor #GoBlue Potential for a mostly dry 2nd half.
• 26 October 2019: Eye has begun to clear out with Cyclone Kyarr. Satellite intensity T 6.7 = 125-knots. Taking its best shot at Category 5 in the NW Indian Ocean.
• 26 October 2019: I lived in California for over 3 years and I filled up my U-Haul with $4.50 gallon gasoline knowing it was the last damn time. ⛽
• 26 October 2019: Lot of Californians complaining about high gas prices as if it's a new phenomena. Actually, you just voted for higher gas taxes for road repairs and now @GavinNewsom raided the new $ billions for green policies! High gas prices are a badge of honor, wear it proudly!
• 26 October 2019: Different point of view here: the state of California prioritized a climate change agenda (green energy) while regulating PG&E and neglected critical safety measures. Jerry Brown's green legacy? Electric train boondoggle, fires, and blackouts.
• 26 October 2019: Their biggest problem was they didn't score enough points to win.
• 26 October 2019: Not really. The media narrative was created around what these scientists are saying. Governors Brown and Newsom, the legislature, and PG&E based their policy and decisions upon what scientists tell them.
• 26 October 2019: Satellite image of now Category 4 (115-knots) Cyclone Kyarr west of India from their geostationary satellite INSAT-3DR Link:
• 26 October 2019: More references: "'Undeniable link to climate change' in California's fire season, expert says" "The many ways climate change worsens California wildfires"
• 26 October 2019: This jet stream pattern with the huge excursion over Alaska is freakish and likely caused by Arctic sea ice depletion causing stagnant patterns. This is prime example of the "climate juiced" atmosphere patterns expected to become more frequent due to climate heating.
• 26 October 2019: I used to be skeptical of these jet-stream & climate links but the evidence has become overwhelming in just the past 2-years. Sadly, Climate change fueled wildfires are the "New Normal" in California 🔥
• 26 October 2019: The climate science is settled on direct causal links to California wildfires. Whether it is drier droughts, or whiplashes to wetness, the jet stream is acting freakishly. The fingerprints of climate change are all over this current event.
• 26 October 2019: Cyclone Kyarr in the Arabian Sea has intensified considerably to at least Category 4 (115-knots). Models have it weakening considerably before any impacts to Oman by next Thursday. Meanwhile, another Cyclone could form in its wake to the south. ECMWF 00z (@weathermodels_)
• 26 October 2019: You really hate to see this: "Can California fight climate change and high gas prices?" "Pasadena resident Bob Snodgrass wants fossil fuels to be more expensive"
• 26 October 2019: This narrative still persists: The power blackouts are due to climate-fueled extreme weather leading to worse human caused fires. Stopping the climate crisis will allow utilities like PG&E to keep the lights on.
• 26 October 2019: The sidearm motion reminds me of Dennis Eckersley but without the wild leg kick. Kirk Gibson's iconic home run in 1988 was off Eck's hanging slider 3-2 pitch. Walk off World Series HR's are nice.
• 26 October 2019: I love submarine pitchers. What spurs a pitcher in his development or career to drop down and throw that junk?
• 26 October 2019: 46-day EPS is available for all subscribers @weathermodels_ All 51-ensembles + Mean snowfall is in the Model Lab. As well as properly sorted rain/snow matrix
• 26 October 2019: Snapshot Sunday morning. The winds are absolutely screaming down the Central Valley and then across the Bay Area heading offshore. Hurricane force on highest Sierra peaks. Any ongoing fires will quickly spread smoke over the entire area.
• 26 October 2019: Wind gusts will increase dramatically on Sunday -- spilling across the Bay Area and then offshore. Widespread 40-50 mph gusts at sea-level with stronger winds at elevation 60-75 mph gusts. Extreme fire danger.
• 26 October 2019: The remnants of Tropical Storm Olga head north into the Great Lakes with the enhanced moisture going over Chicago as it is part of a powerful non-tropical system -- next 36-hours. (ECMWF 18z @weathermodels_)
• 26 October 2019: By Sunday, Cyclone Kyarr in the Arabian Sea should be at least Category 4, and could make a run at Category 5 over the very warm ocean waters. Late-October is a peak "hurricane season" in the NW Indian Ocean.
• 25 October 2019: Well, look what happened in bankruptcy court in June: 'PG&E Can Pull Out of Green-Power Contracts' "Court ruling allows California utility to shed billions in wind and solar deals, threatening scores of electricity suppliers"
• 25 October 2019: Recall the worry that PG&E's bankruptcy could allow the utility to exit above-market, expensive long-term "green energy" contracts (wind/solar) and replace with cheaper options? This would threaten California's climate-change plans.
• 25 October 2019: Well, now we've come full circle. Climate experts and media are now saying climate change is not solely to blame. (It never was -- even though that's all you heard from them) Time for journalists to "follow the money" on this climate wildfire blame.
• 25 October 2019: Here's Jerry Brown "hitting back at Trump" for not buying the climate change "new normal" line. PG&E echoed Brown: "Facing $17B in Fire Damages, PG&E CEO Blames Climate Change"
• 25 October 2019: Last 2 years, climate experts, Govs Brown & Newsom, and media blamed climate change for extreme fire risk & acreage burned. Other folks (like Trump) were mocked for saying forest management & human encroachment & ignition were just as much to blame.
• 25 October 2019: Ominous forecasts this weekend for winds in Bay Area. Gusts 50-60 mph screaming by Sunday morning. Really bad.
• 25 October 2019: And Chris Webber is still indiscriminately using "analytics" ... still worst commentator ever & not getting better. TNT ratings will suffer if he's with Marv 2x a week.
• 25 October 2019: Area of low pressure off the Egyptian coast will provide some showers and gusty winds. Actual sea temperatures are 25°-26°C just warm enough to sustain tropical convection. The "Medicane" will spin down over the weekend.
• 25 October 2019: Failure to clean house and staff his administration with qualified people to fulfill Trump's policy mandate.
• 25 October 2019: reempowering the Silent Majority.
• 25 October 2019: For California, massive power blackouts could become a way of life." Maybe the way of life in the 19th Century. The sense of defeat & acceptance is so sad.
• 25 October 2019: Read about the Intermountain Power Plant in Utah that Los Angeles runs using the Southern Transmission line.
• 24 October 2019: Rate payers aka customers will need to dig in their pockets to fund the green transition mandated in California. You think gasoline is expensive, just wait for electricity prices to skyrocket! 🚀
• 24 October 2019: Blame climate change, greed or whatever. But the bottom line is that someone needs to pay for the accumulated debt & liability of $30B before any real infrastructure investment occurs necessary for a 21st Century electric grid fed w/renewable energy transmitted 1000 miles.
• 24 October 2019: The phrase "New Normal" is often ascribed to a situation that just "happened". PG&E is turning the screws on California b/c they are bankrupt & can't self-insure against more massive fire liability.
• 24 October 2019: Hope your Halloween costume isn't scanty in Denver. Temperatures collapse this weekend & don't recover. 20s for highs ... also plenty of snow sticking on the ground.
• 24 October 2019: Governor @GavinNewsom blames climate change and decades of corporate greed for California's current extreme wildfire power shutoff. The wildfire danger is getting exponentially worse in California as the climate crisis continues unabated.
• 24 October 2019: 90°F+ in the Bay Area Up to 100°F in Southern California. Scorching late October day & very dry. Forecast highs Thursday:
• 24 October 2019: Relative humidity values across California are bone dry -- only in the single digits. Temperatures pushing into the 90s this afternoon. Currently 90°F in Monterey at Noon!
• 24 October 2019: And down goes the GFS ... The verification at 00z Oct 25 coming up will likely be pretty bad for GFS. ECMWF is in the 0.95 range sitting pretty. 👑
• 24 October 2019: No rain or snow in the forecast for California for the next 10-days. Strong winds and warm temperatures + low humidity = extreme fire danger 🔥
• 24 October 2019: GFS 12z shows the track across the NW Indian Ocean from coast of India to Oman in about 6-days. The waters are very warm and Category 4 is likely as maximum intensity. Precipitable water animation ()
• 24 October 2019: Actually the "guilt ridden" frequent flyers will be paying an additional "carbon offset" fee that will amount to billions in upcoming years. The airlines are brilliant at vacuuming up nickels and dimes from their customers. They will simply run their own carbon schemes.
• 24 October 2019: After doing some research, I've determined that Amazon Fire as a device name is offensive.
• 24 October 2019: Only if you have a "Where's Waldo" hat on your head.
• 24 October 2019: A powerful Arabian Sea Cyclone is forming off the western coast of India. It will head toward Oman in the next 5-days but should significantly weaken as it approaches any land. Maximum intensity should be Category 4+ (115-knots) based upon the model pressure forecasts.
• 24 October 2019: Tomorrow afternoon doesn't look like a complete washout, maybe scattered showers.
• 24 October 2019: Model update (ECMWF 06z) has Amarillo, Texas receiving 4-7" of snowfall today from a developing storm system. NWS is in the 3"-4" range -- I'll take the over! (@weathermodels_)
• 24 October 2019: Yup, I meant that moving the entire line back would necessitate dumping the corner 3.
• 24 October 2019: NCAA basketball this upcoming season moves the 3 point line back a foot and half to over 22 feet. The NBA is at 23 feet 9 inches. Moving that back to 25 feet would eliminate the corner 3.
• 24 October 2019: Biden just said it again in a speech. "Expodentially" has a nice ring to it.
• 24 October 2019: The forecast-forecast correlation includes climatology just like the regular anomaly correlation. I've been keeping track of ECMWF vs. GFS for about 15 years now beginning in summer of 2005 when I started making my own maps beginning my PhD work.
• 24 October 2019: You don't know from this chart which model is wrong per se, but u know ECMWF skill exceeds GFS on average. Then look at run-to-run intramodel forecast-forecast correlations for consistency. You can use maps for that. Combine the two methods to know which model is right.
• 24 October 2019: You can "forecast the forecast" in medium range by correlating two diff global models e.g. ECMWF and GFS or cluster/sort ensembles e.g. EPS. Black line is the forecast-forecast correlation b/t ECMWF & GFS for North America 5-day. GFS verification about to "drop-out" or bust.
• 24 October 2019: Um, the authors make a wild assumption that the recent Jan to Aug 2019 Amazon burn rate continues to accelerate into what they call a "carbon bomb" All hogwash. September fires dropped off dramatically b/c of rain & military.
• 24 October 2019: Wild ass claim: Amazon rainforest 'close to irreversible tipping point'
• 24 October 2019: Huh, what?
• 23 October 2019: Sad that Josh Gordon's season ends on a defensive tackle after a Brady sack fumble. @JOSH_GORDONXII
• 23 October 2019: Let this sink in: The power outage in California like this afternoon's is being applauded by the NY Times for the positive effect of showing "comfortable" Californians what the apocalyptic future of climate crisis is like today.
• 23 October 2019: Advertisement for Kroger brand forzen Cinnamon Waffles and French Toast Sticks. The latter come already with a carmelized syrup mixed in crunchy bits of sugary cinnamon. And they are dirt cheap. They taste close to Burger Kings french toast sticks.
• 23 October 2019: Judge Judy would be a formidable candidate, but Bloomberg? Come on. Even Tom Steyer can only buy so many votes.
• 23 October 2019: Winter is coming fast & hard! Temperatures across the Rocky Mountains are going to drop to winter like cold by Halloween with chance of accumulating snow ❄️ from Denver to Minneapolis next week. ECMWF 12z from (still $10/month for Winter 2019-20)
• 23 October 2019: Well, previous performance doesn't really provide much help for gauging the potential skill of a current forecast. There are other tools for that task.
• 23 October 2019: Governor @GavinNewsom formed a Strike Force earlier in the year to grapple the climate change caused wildfires. Can't really remark on any progress b/c the issue is so complex & the changes so rapid. Everyone is working hard.
• 23 October 2019: The science is very clear. California wildfires could grow exponentially due to climate change. PG&E is on firm scientific ground to be pro-actively shutting down electricity.
• 23 October 2019: Another climate change induced "power shutoff" this afternoon across Northern California. This is the "new normal" for at least the next decade. "conditions in the Napa and Sonoma wine country were expected to resemble those from 2017"
• 23 October 2019: Wonderful. Found the announcement for #Atlanta book signing at Carter Center.
• 23 October 2019: Hey Bret, are you planning on visiting Atlanta on your book tour? And yes, books make great Christmas gifts 🎄
• 23 October 2019: I read the documentation in the paper & see that you address this mismatch. The T-air is a 3-hourly instantaneous value at 00/03/06/09/12/15/18/21 (UTC) The derived TMAX / TMIN from those values will have a mismatch between the true daily TMAX / TMIN but may not matter much.
• 23 October 2019: 18-hours after this loop ended, Hurricane Patricia reached 180-knots at 06z on October 23, 2015. The maximum intensity of 185-knots (or Category 7 on extrapolated Saffir-Simpson Scale) was at 12z with minimum central pressure 872 mb
• 23 October 2019: Degree days are also defined using TMAX and TMIN to derive the daily mean. The NASA based land dataset does not have the daily T min/max. How is this difference (bias) addressed?
• 23 October 2019: Yikes. I'd hope new ones had safety shut-off.
• 23 October 2019: How popular are electric blankets these days? I had one in college b/c dorm room was poorly heated. In the 1920s, tuberculosis patients slept outdoors using electric blankets.
• 23 October 2019: Helpful guide on how to boil water in a microwave. Its actually quite complicated.
• 23 October 2019: As I said in July, attribution science is a golden opportunity to make a lot of money suing big corporations for "climate damages". It's time to get on board the gravy train. 🚂 Perhaps we can sue the Rockefeller family for ill gotten gains?
• 22 October 2019: Yup.
• 22 October 2019: Definitely. Glad to see Michigan fans in the Southeast. Maybe a @TomBrady bobble-head is hiding around there, too?
• 22 October 2019: SoCal fire liability was smaller. It's still there just not $30B.
• 22 October 2019: Thus, it's all about planning the severe weather day ahead of time. Get your A-team at station to drive the coverage when the warnings pop. Tell viewers that you are ready to break in to programming during commercial b/c public safety is paramount.
• 22 October 2019: Why not just stream on the App? There's no money in it for the station to go over the top. The ad dollars come from eyeballs on the newscasts. Social media can't completely replace TV weather at local level especially with goofy timeline algorithms promoting stale content.
• 22 October 2019: Also important to point out that the meteorologists themselves don't control the programming, so it's unfair to blame them for station level decisions. But in huge markets, branding of personalities & authority is key. People can flip the channel if the coverage isn't there.
• 22 October 2019: Clarify: All Dallas metro stations w/tornado warning went to TV coverage, but timing is everything in severe wx coverage. Sending viewers to the "App" b/c cutting into programming could upset viewers won't fly. Fox 4 (DFW) was wall-to-wall, as T warning hit w/their newscast.
• 22 October 2019: Note, PG&E blames climate change for everything bad happening to their company. They've got a point.
• 22 October 2019: PG&E Warns It Could Cut Power to California Users Again because of the climate fueled severe weather. "Mr. Johnson said the increasingly disastrous effects of climate change will continue to make power shut-offs necessary"
• 22 October 2019: And the bait is continuously taken. Well-targeted "troll content" is dirt cheap originating from Russia, Eastern Europe or wherever. The social media platforms don't seem to be nimble enough to interdict -- or maybe don't care.
• 22 October 2019: The 'Tulsi is a Russian agent' story is old -- back to February NBC article but refreshed a few months ago after Kamala Harris was broadsided by Tulsi in the Dem debate. Likely where Hillary got the Russian "bots and sites" line. e.g. Harris press sec
• 22 October 2019: Satellite analysis indicated Typhoon Bualoi reached Cat 5 (140-knots) around 09Z this morning in the Western Pacific. (Dvorak T 7.0) It is a rather small but symmetric storm. No impacts to land -- should pass well east of Japan.
• 22 October 2019: "Thanks to meteorologist Dr. Jeff Masters, climate scientist Dr. Anthony Broccoli, and other colleagues who have introduced the "weather on steroids" analogy to the climate science community."
• 22 October 2019: Weather Channel owner Byron Allen wants to highlight climate change’s impact on Black communities via @theGrio
• 22 October 2019: New stamps for 2020 include Gwen Ifill, Arnold Palmer and the Mayflower. A letter stamp costs 55 cents.
• 22 October 2019: He should move to San Francisco. They encourage this type of behavior.
• 22 October 2019: The NBC corporate owned station really dropped the ball.
• 22 October 2019: *Okay that's worded wrong. Everyone eventually broke into programming but the timing was suspect especially for NBC which was showing Cowboys. Whatever. Atlanta has great severe weather coverage but crappy football.
• 22 October 2019: So none of Dallas-Fort Worth networks broke into their normal programming to alert viewers of an EF-3 tornado? Yikes! Weekend crews on Sunday caught flat footed? Where the hell are the Chief Meteorologists?
• 22 October 2019: It's even worse than 6 minutes late because the storm had bad intentions well before the tornado warning was issued. Definitely asleep at the wheel at this station. Any certifications or seals should be suspended until we figure out what is going on.
• 22 October 2019: NBC 5 in Dallas (KXAS) waited 6 minutes after NWS issued Tornado warning to break into Cowboys football game. Trash.
• 21 October 2019: Brilliant. And filter by company if you're a frequent filler or have a credit card?
• 21 October 2019: Dry, hot and windy weather: Parts of Northern California now under a PSPS Watch A "reasonable chance" of executing a PSPS (Public Safety Power Shutoff).
• 21 October 2019: Damn, that didn't last long. Free the Krassenstein Bros!
• 21 October 2019: HRRR v4 & RAP v5 upgrades scheduled for June 2020. Many under-the-hood improvements. Parallel data will come in November with a consistent feed likely in early 2020. 00z/06z/12z/18z cycles will be extended to 48-hours.
• 21 October 2019: The real climate debate from @CliffMass Excellent summary of the current political climate.
• 21 October 2019: Weather Channel entering 2020 Democratic Primary by interviewing 9 candidates on climate change.
• 21 October 2019: It's still quite warm in Texas tonight in the 70s to lower-80s where it hasn't stormed. Plenty of fuel for supercells.
• 21 October 2019: While the strong tornado is well away from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, many Cowboys fans inside likely live in northern Dallas. Not good.
• 21 October 2019: The northern supercell has the large tornado in northern suburbs of Dallas. Radar (9:20 PM CT)
• 21 October 2019: Does Trump have a burner account?
• 20 October 2019: Wow, Clemson fell to Number 4 in the AP Top-25 Their weak schedule not doing them any favors.
• 20 October 2019: Julio Jones is abusing new Ram Jalen Ramsey. Matt Ryan is force feeding the ball. Too bad the Falcons can't do much else.
• 20 October 2019: LA Times states climate change "threatens our very existence" Where did the notion that climate change is an "existential crisis" come from? Is there any scientific foundation for the claim? It's a bumper sticker phrase repeated by 2020 Dem candidates.
• 20 October 2019: Active weather across the Central U.S. today and tonight with quite a storm system: +Snow on the backside of the Low within colder air +Severe Storms along a cold front. Simulated radar thru tonight (HRRR 15z @weathermodels_)
• 20 October 2019: The high in Atlanta yesterday the October 19th was 60°F with rain from a tropical storm. It was 97°F only 15-days earlier on October 4th during a "flash drought". Hopefully this "weather whiplash" takes a break.
• 20 October 2019: Hanging curve ball by Chapman. Osuna with the win!
• 20 October 2019: Blown save Osuna.
• 20 October 2019: Update: Shea Patterson is a warrior. #GoBlue
• 20 October 2019: Shea Patterson is a disaster.
• 20 October 2019: Santiago, Chile is hosting a huge UN climate meeting in early December. 16-year old activist Greta is supposed to be the star of the event. The recent riots don't bode well for the international meeting if the streets are militarized.
• 20 October 2019: Ha, not minus 40s. At least it's not snowing.
• 20 October 2019: But they are adding miles of track, brand new stations, and capacity. The cost of a ticket rose from $1.13 to $1.17.
• 20 October 2019: Santiago's public transport is reputed to be world class and quickly being electrified to satisfy climate goals. Reporting needs to better explain why these riots started rather than just saying growing social unrest and inequality.
• 19 October 2019: Am I getting this right: the Chilean riots were spurred by a 4 cents (U.S. dollar equiv) increase in the cost of the metro subway fare during rush hour? This is the "last straw". Now dozens of stations are torched, and many public transport buses destroyed.
• 19 October 2019: All part of Harbaugh's game plan.
• 19 October 2019: Clear and calm in State College for Michigan's visit. Temperatures will fall into upper-40s thru game. #GoBlue
• 19 October 2019: Bernie was just endorsed by The Squad. Tulsi should not be associated with that toxic crowd.
• 19 October 2019: She went on Tucker Carlson's show to speak to her real base of support.
• 19 October 2019: Illinois wins! Wow.
• 19 October 2019: South Carolina fans justifiably upset with the officiating which completely ruined this game. Florida should do the right thing and forfeit.
• 19 October 2019: Moderate rain from remnants of Nestor continuing to cover #Atlanta metro. This cold rain is plenty welcome after temperatures near 100°F and rapid "flash drought" just 2-weeks ago.
• 19 October 2019: Florida Gators at South Carolina is rainy from former Tropical Storm Nestor. Steady mist or rain likely for much of game. Gamecocks having no trouble at the outset.
• 19 October 2019: This was a terrible bet.
• 19 October 2019: PG&E could turn off its entire grid if the situation warrants. Climate change is increasing the fire danger exponentially.
• 19 October 2019: New Normal: CEO of PG&E remarks that power shutoffs in California to prevent climate fueled wildfires could last 10 years or until at least 2030.
• 19 October 2019: Just watched Laundromat on Netflix starring Meryl Streep. Excellent ... and the ending was perfect. Don't read any spoilers or news. It will ruin it.
• 18 October 2019: U.S. crops by acreage as of October 1, 2019 (planted) Corn: 86.5M Soybeans: 74.9M Wheat: 46.3M Peanuts: 1.4M Peas: 1.3M Sunflowers: 1.3M Pumpkins: 56,038 Turnips: 4,276 Yam: 657 Rhubarb: 359
• 18 October 2019: I'd give even money odds that #Nestor is briefly a hurricane before landfall in Florida. The hurricane force winds might be well removed from the poorly defined center but it is what it is.
• 18 October 2019: Did you know that after the hurricane season, sometimes storms are added to the record books that did not get a name in real-time? They are referred to as "Unnamed Storms" and happen frequently. So, while Nestor = 14th "named" storm, we might have missed one or two!
• 18 October 2019: Important update: NHC has declared the system Tropical Storm Nestor!
• 18 October 2019: Even non-professionals must be very careful these days as presenting false weather reports is a serious crime. Even the President of the United States has been credibly accused and is now under Impeachment Inquiry. e.g.
• 18 October 2019: The blob of showers is not yet Nestor. Writing that name anywhere in public constitutes issuing a counterfeit weather report punishable by U.S. Code § 2074: False weather reports*. Please report all absconders! *Note, this law has never been enforced.
• 18 October 2019: Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 is the official designation of the storm system in the Gulf. It is not a tropical storm or hurricane but a lopsided blob of showers with strong winds. It is therefore illegal to refer to it as #Nestor, or something.
• 18 October 2019: The climate activist nutjobs are bravely protesting the ... spins wheel ... NY Times.
• 18 October 2019: We still don't officially / technically have a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico. The center of circulation is not well defined even though there are heavy showers in a blob covering a lot of real estate. However, Tropical Storm Nestor should be born in next 12-hours.
• 18 October 2019: Extinction Rebellion activists supported by climate scientists, media, and celebrities have lost public support. Their latest illegal street display was taken down by police.
• 17 October 2019: Huh? In no way do I equate gluing yourself to a train to MLK.
• 17 October 2019: Just stop with the civil rights movement comparisons. Have some sense of history.
• 17 October 2019: Atlanta metro to add 1-million in population per decade with nearly 9 million total by 2050.
• 17 October 2019: Wait a minute, didn't LeBron want Morey punished, too?
• 17 October 2019: That's really stupid to suggest anyone would use lethal force. The tactic of gluing yourself to the train, plane or road requires quick thinking and action. Violence is definitely warranted to stop that threat.
• 17 October 2019: A citizen does not need to wait for police to apprehend a law breaker. The protestors' intentions are unknown. Do they have a bomb? Anyone climbing onto a train full of passengers should be removed with whatever force is necessary. A serious threat to public safety.
• 17 October 2019: The forecast tropical storm for Florida this weekend will bring plenty of welcome rainfall to the Southeast. #Nestor
• 17 October 2019: Some under-the-hood changes being made to the NOAA GFS model next month (Nov 7) to version 15.2.0 PDF notice:
• 17 October 2019: From RL Miller, political director of Climate Hawks Vote quoted here:
• 17 October 2019: "We all know that Mitch McConnell is the grim reaper and nothing ever gets done in the Senate, but Schumer has been like a pallbearer at the funeral of action in the Senate," Miller said. "He hasn't been fighting, and so I'm honestly heartened to see him do something. Anything."
• 17 October 2019: Interesting that ECMWF 06z develops "Nestor" in the Gulf of Mexico into a Hurricane. Gulf of Mexico ocean temperatures are still "summertime" warm in the 80s so plenty of fuel for intensification.
• 17 October 2019: Commuters acted smartly and swiftly to stop the climate activist from possibly gluing himself to the train. 👏 These folks are taking mass transit (electric powered) to go to work & provide for their families!
• 17 October 2019: Here is the now deleted Tweet. These climate "rebels" are complete whack jobs. Actual climate scientists supporting this crowd have provided intellectual legitimacy to eco-nuts. Nice job.
• 17 October 2019: The Extinction Rebellion climate nutjobs compared their train disrpution to civil rights activist Rosa Parks in a now-deleted Tweet. These climate cultists are delusional.
• 17 October 2019: It is very heartening 👏 to see working class commuters exercise their "civil disobedience" rights by dragging the nutjob Extinction Rebellion climate activists off their train. 🚂
• 17 October 2019: Looks like the working class has had enough of the Extinction Rebellion climate activist nutjobs interfering with their work commute.
• 16 October 2019: Many more examples out there: St. John's, Newfoundland pointed to Minneapolis and climate change e.g. idling leading to greenhouse gases.
• 16 October 2019: Guardian has updated their climate lingo again. Hard to keep up sometimes. Climate crisis or emergency instead of climate change. Climate denier instead of skeptic Global heating not global warming Wildlife not biodiversity
• 16 October 2019: A tiny cactus from IKEA given to me as a house warming gift 4 years ago is now 5 feet tall. It's getting enormous. But I didn't realize that during repot, it extruded white milk that smelled like a skunk. Putrid!
• 16 October 2019: Strong "jet streak" of winds where planes fly across Southeast extending through the Smokey Mountains into the Carolinas. 170 mph+ (very strong for mid-October) This is a primary ingredient for rapid cyclogenesis or "bomb cyclone" formation.
• 16 October 2019: Heavy rain and wind this evening has postponed Game 4 of the ALCS in New York. There was zero chance of pulling off an evening game.
• 16 October 2019: Local pressure falls modeled by GFS 12z to be almost 45 hPa in 24 hours. Note, this isn't used as the technical definition of a "bomb cyclone" -- instead it is the storm-center pressure fall. But, that will qualify quite easily, too. Unusual for mid-October in Northeast.
• 16 October 2019: Small circulations embedded within the warm conveyor belt -- during the rapid development phase -- may cause damaging wind gusts > 60 mph around Boston late Wed into Thursday. ECMWF 06z (Accessible: 🔐)
• 16 October 2019: Rapid intensification of a coastal storm ("bombogenesis") will see pressures fall to 970 mb around Boston by early Thursday. This is not tropical -- and still too warm for a blizzard. It's just a giant & very wet leaf-blower.
• 16 October 2019: Almost $50 million into the campaign for 7 minutes of speaking time at the 4th Debate. Steyer could power a small city with the money he is lighting in fire.
• 16 October 2019: A tropical storm may form in the Gulf of Mexico by Friday or Saturday and head toward Louisiana. Boatloads of rainfall from a deep tropical moisture feed. ECMWF 18z (@weathermodels_)
• 16 October 2019: "Expodentially" Biden is incoherent AF #DemDebate
• 16 October 2019: Kind of surprised nobody on the dais has suggested a carbon tax. #DemocraticDebate
• 16 October 2019: Bernie seems to have recovered to his old self. "This planet faces the greatest threat in its history from climate change."
• 15 October 2019: More problems for Tesla's roof solar panels. They seem to catch fire. On top of Walmart's lawsuit, starting to get the smell of a class action.
• 15 October 2019: Canadian global weather model data now available on 15-kilometer grid as of 12z today. This is an upgrade from 25-kilometers.
• 15 October 2019: Cities ban new "drive thru" restaurants to fight climate change.
• 15 October 2019: Great gift idea for the holidays. I'd love a new Atlas 🌎under my Christmas Tree. 🎄
• 15 October 2019: This might be the most colossal sports public relations fuck up ever.
• 15 October 2019: Holy shit.
• 15 October 2019: Financially harmed, physically, emotionally, spiritually harmed ... What the hell is he talking about? This is NOT a statement about the League or China but directly blaming Morey for fucking with his bag.
• 15 October 2019: Wait, is what LeBron saying that Morey's Tweet could have gotten them hurt -- as in the NBA players on tour in China? I gather that from "he needs to be more careful what he Tweets" ... what the hell was going on over there during past few weeks?
• 15 October 2019: Former Patriots:
• 15 October 2019: Need to check this w/other climate experts: “We have 11 years left to try to turn this fossil fuel disaster around so that we don’t completely pass the tipping point and it becomes untenable to govern, untenable to have a stable economy, or any kind of human rights or anything.”
• 15 October 2019: This is an excellent interview & Jane Fonda is speaking genuinely about an issue she is deeply concerned about (climate change). She can't be easily dismissed as a brainwashed teenager.
• 14 October 2019: Barometer needles (if you have one) will be getting a workout early Thursday morning centered right upon Boston with 971 mb central pressure expected from "bomb Nor'easter" Temperatures too warm for a blizzard -- just heavy rain.
• 14 October 2019: Gov Newsom wants PG&E to cut a check to everyone affected by the power blackout -- $100/$250 for houses/businesses. I'm sure the bankrupt utility has $1B just laying around.
• 14 October 2019: Long haul trucking is a lifestyle and more women are getting jobs. Still only 6.6% of trucking workforce is women. Great way to get out and meet people, um, right?
• 14 October 2019: The bad blood between political rivals even led to Jefferson's vice president Aaron Burr killing Alexander Hamilton in a duel over disrespectful comments.
• 14 October 2019: Today, we have video memes, GIFs and soon deep fakes. Are these different than the often grotesque political cartoons of 200 years ago? Here's Thomas Jefferson attempting to shred the Constitution (1797). He eventually was chosen as the 3rd President of U.S.
• 14 October 2019: One of my history projects 20 years ago was collecting political cartoons from Election of 1800 to late 1990s during Clinton Impeachment. It was a ton of work w/o Internet. And book: The Art of Controversy:
• 14 October 2019: The Euro nailed Sandy (3:20 mark)
• 14 October 2019: Outside of Alaska or Hawaii, is there any other state that pays double for an essential like gasoline? e.g. orange juice, milk, bananas, NY Strip steak are all fresh & pretty close in price from coast to coast.
• 14 October 2019: Nice explainer on the perpetually high California gas prices. The Cali gas market is very sensitive to refinery problems like explosions & maintenance. The special blends & regulations mean the state's gas supply is completely isolated.
• 14 October 2019: $5 gallon gasoline in Los Angeles. Avg price in San Fran is $4.20, of course. Meanwhile, wholesale club prices have fallen to $1.89⁹ around Houston, Texas.
• 14 October 2019: How do you explain this garbage truck driver expelling the burning contents onto the side of the road? Passerby tried to warn him but were met with a "vacant stare". Resulting fire quickly spread to 800 acres, killing two and destroying homes.
• 13 October 2019: Used "Twitter Search" to figure out the context of this old "screen-capped" Tweet. The discussion at hand was the technical difference between "climate forcing" and "climate pollutant". In 2013, Tweets weren't threaded.
• 13 October 2019: He's tiny compared to you.
• 13 October 2019: Stanford climate scientist quoted on efficacy of blackouts to prevent climate fires: “At this point we don’t have a better option for reducing risk than shutting electricity off,” Field said. “It’s better than having a whole community burn down.”
• 13 October 2019: Climate scientists predict acceleration blackouts due to California climate crisis: "Expect more preventative power blackouts in California as the climate gets hotter and drier and the wildfire season gets nastier and longer, scientists say."
• 13 October 2019: Blackouts to be determined by weather model forecasts going forward: the threat of dangerous fire weather conditions can be predicted many days in advance. Climate scientists report fires getting much worse. Only strategy is to adapt & mitigate.
• 13 October 2019: Yes, climate change fueled blackouts in California will only get worse. "Residents were left asking why so many people had to lose power and whether rolling blackouts would become routine as climate change makes wildfires more frequent and intense."
• 13 October 2019: Coach Mullen playcalling leaves much to be desired. Blew it in chunks & now it's over. Too bad.
• 13 October 2019: The system worked. While slightly inconvenienced, Californians can breathe a sigh of relief as turning off electricity prevented climate fueled conflagrations. This experience is very valuable for future blackouts.
• 13 October 2019: Humanity is not facing "extinction" due to climate change. These are literally the ramblings of the insane. Where is she getting this cultish nonsense from? Maybe there is a new comet in the sky ... ☄
• 13 October 2019: Greta Thunberg did not win the Nobel Peace Prize this year, and now Jane Fonda is stealing her spotlight. The award qualifications are a bit nebulous. Indeed, just a few years ago, one Peace Prize recipient literally bombed another. (Obama & Doctors Without Borders).
• 12 October 2019: Californians currently pay 1.5x to 2x the cost for gasoline and happily vote for higher gas taxes to fund important transportation projects like high speed rail. It's time to raise rates and taxes to astronomical levels to make sure the power stays on. Let's get this done!
• 12 October 2019: PG&E has turned back on the power to almost all California customers. With climate change causing more unprecedented & extreme fire weather, it's time to invest in hardening the electricity infrastructure to survive the "new normal". Cheap electricity is dead and gone.
• 12 October 2019: Devastating loss for Georgia (-21.5) at home vs. South Carolina. Not sure they recover from this beat down.
• 12 October 2019: It was in the strike zone.
• 12 October 2019: Fake News? Sheriff says outage did not kill man who collapsed 12 minutes after oxygen tank lost power. "an autopsy determined he died of severe coronary artery atherosclerosis"
• 12 October 2019: Bay Area land is also sinking so without any sea level rise, the flooding risk goes up. Can't forget to mention the role of subsidence or risk misleading planners about the true risks.
• 12 October 2019: Reminder that 2014 Tigers had a pitching staff that included Max Scherzer, Verlander, David Price and Anibal Sanchez.
• 12 October 2019: Governor Newsom said "There’s no magic wand here" reacting to PG&E deliberate power outages acknowledging the clear links to climate change. California is ill prepared for this "new normal".
• 12 October 2019: Briefly in the early 1970s, small subtropical storms like Melissa were called "neutercanes" but the term was, um, offensive and dropped from the official lexicon.
• 11 October 2019: People will definitely take climate change more seriously if ... spins wheel ... Jane Fonda gets more involved.
• 11 October 2019: As I've been warning for days, climate change has now directly caused more than $2.5B in economic damages from California power blackouts. The future looks bleak, pretty much an unrecognizable hellscape.
• 11 October 2019: Trump: U.S. farmers may need to buy more land to plant all them soybeans.
• 11 October 2019: Neil Cavuto didnt know. He's shocked.
• 11 October 2019: Just flipped on Shepherd Smith and he announced he is done.
• 11 October 2019: Baby in playpen outside seems to be injured.
• 11 October 2019: Neighbor having some health problems lately.
• 11 October 2019: The "Gore effect" is usually countered by taking a daily weather map and circling the cold area & then pointing to the rest of the Earth as "above normal". Of course, this doesn't "prove" anything but it puts short-term weather fluctuations in global context.
• 11 October 2019: Wow, guess I have to explain what is the "Gore effect". ... it's the perception that extreme weather (hot or cold) either proves or disproves climate change. It's "selective perception" yet both sides do it. Now you know the rest of the story. ()
• 11 October 2019: It's an actual thing, and used as a joke in the meteorology community. Are you being purposely obtuse or just ignorant in general? Hard to tell.
• 11 October 2019: While this might seem ironic, this extreme cold is probably directly caused by climate change. It's a glimpse into the future, a harbinger, or new normal of climate fueled winters. Let that sink in.
• 11 October 2019: The Greta effect? (like the Gore effect) Today climate activist teenager Greta Thunberg is holding a Climate Strike rally in Denver. The last two days destroyed the record for the coldest, earliest start to "winter". Records since 1872. Only 9°F this morning!
• 11 October 2019: Yes. Of course many climate scientists promoted themselves as individually winning that 2007 award when it was the IPCC as an institution and Al Gore individually.
• 11 October 2019: Typhoon Hagibis heading toward Tokyo, Japan by Saturday still as a very large and powerful Cat 1 or 2 hurricane.
• 10 October 2019: Starting to see "tempers flaring" against PG&E. UC Berkeley economics professor nails the underlying problem: "California’s energy economy being thrown off balance by climate change" It is definitely the "New Normal" b/c of the new climate fueled fires.
• 10 October 2019: The Extinction Rebellion and this member are simply repeating verbatim what scientists like Mann, James Hansen, and a hundred others have been saying for decades. The alarmist lingo works & if a few crazies join The Cause, then the ends justify the means.
• 10 October 2019: Are you saying a bankrupt utility with outstanding judgments of $20B is unable to secure liability insurance against another $20B judgement? Turns out PG&E has the ability to turn the screws a bit until California addresses inverse condemnation.
• 10 October 2019: While that may be technically true, the fires would not have been as bad. You can't sue the science.
• 10 October 2019: Those trying to pin the blackouts on PG&E are trying to deflect blame from the real problem here: climate fueled wildfires burning hotter and more than ever. Californians should be rationing resources and changing their way of life to adapt to the climate crisis.
• 10 October 2019: The consequences of climate change are happening in real time right now in California. The power outages will only get worse and more extensive. Leading climate scientists are warning. The science is clear.
• 10 October 2019: Into the 2nd Day of the PG&E blackout due to the climate crisis. The future looks bleak for electricity in California b/c climate fueled extreme weather will only get worse. The current energy infrastructure needs rapid and dramatic upgrades to deal w/unfolding disaster
• 10 October 2019: Perhaps she can share the Nobel Peace Prize with the Extinction Rebellion?
• 10 October 2019: Unseasonably cold and snowy across the Mountain West into the Plains. Temperatures 30-40°F below normal this afternoon -- with actual values remaining below freezing.
• 10 October 2019: Wildfire spreading through Bay Area town ... yes, the electricity was already turned off so need to look at the typical human-caused culprits: arson, negligence.
• 10 October 2019: The intellectual foundation of the Extinction Rebellion is as thin as tissue paper.
• 10 October 2019: Yes. They can't afford to self-insure against another huge loss.
• 10 October 2019: Prediction: PG&E will need to increase rates considerably to pay for infrastructure (actually just delayed maintainence) but they'll invoke "climate change" and hoodwink everyone with "green energy" upgrades. State and media will play along. People screwed.
• [10 October 2019](https://web.